The four worst words in the English language...
Running back by committee.
It’s a phrase that sends shivers down any fantasy players’ spine. And yet outside a handful of unicorns, nearly every backfield in the league employs some kind of committee now.
But this isn’t actually a bad thing if it’s only a 2-man committee. It’s the dreaded 3-man committees that are a disaster for fantasy.
Take the Buffalo Bills and their RBs, Devin Singletary and Zack Moss. Joe Buscaglia in The Athletic recently said, “The Bills know each of their running backs brings something different to the table and likely won’t favor a one-back system anytime soon unless one vastly outplays the other.”
The knee jerk reaction to this quote would be to stay away from this backfield, but this is the exact situation I like to target with my mid- to late-round RB selections. Here’s why:
- They are cheap. Both players are going after pick 100 in all formats right now and much later in some
- The Bills 2021 win total is set at 10.5 and the team projects to be a Top 5 scoring offense again this year
- Both Singletary and Moss provide standalone value (Moss offers more at the goal line, while Singletary is involved more in the passing game) and either would become a Top 24 back if the other misses time
If forced to choose, I prefer Moss of the two. He played the majority of the snaps down the stretch last year and should wrestle away a few more goal line TDs from Josh Allen this year. But both Moss and Singletary are targets of mine at their current ADPs. Don’t be scurrrred.
📰 Fantasy News for the true sickos.
* When you draft a RB at the end of Round 1 or beginning of Round 2 over a stud WR, you are banking on them making a leap into a bellcow role. It sounds like Joe Mixon could do just that: "Assuming health, this will be the largest workload of Mixon’s career,” said Paul Dehner Jr. “An extra 15-20 receptions...I think you’ll see him in the rarified air of the 80% snap rate.”
* Oh no, Kyle Murray expects a “big year” for A.J. Green. Said Murray: “I know a lot of people are sleeping on him. I know a lot of things have been said about him, maybe not being able to do it anymore. I’m glad he’s on the team.” Obviously Murray isn’t going to disparage Green, but if the Cardinals want to be as dynamic as possible they’ll need to feature the other weapons in the offense.
* Curtis Samuel didn’t participate in the June minicamp, but is expected to be ready for the start of training camp on July 27. Rookie Dyami Brown is one of my favorite sleepers in drafts right now and would become even more interesting if Samuel continues to miss time.
* Jets RB Ty Johnson has impressed at minicamp, according to Rich Cimini from ESPN.com. Unlike the Bills, the Jets backfield is setting up to be a dreaded 3-way committee between Michael Carter, Tevin Coleman, and Johnson. Cimini also notes that Keelan Cole and Denzel Mims will be in a camp battle for the 4th WR spot in the offense.
📚 The Fantasy Articles You Must Read
The Most Popular Macro-Level Best Ball Stacks by Michael Dubner. Stacks come in all shapes and sizes and don’t necessarily need to feature the QB (Josh Allen & Stefon Diggs, Derrick Henry & AJ Brown, etc). “Stacking” is much more about making a bet on a specific team or offense. Over at Rotoviz, Michael Dubner looks at which types of stacks have historically provided the best results.
Fantasy Football: What We Can Learn From Team Touchdown Dispersal For 2021 by Rich Hribar. “While Justin Herbert will have a much better environment in 2021 to mitigate any pressure regression...the Chargers are a team we should expect to have a tighter Pass/Run TD split than last year. Now only if LAC will lock in Austin Ekeler for those GL carries…”
Both Rotoviz and Sharp Football Analysis are part of the Rotopass.com network, which includes a bundle of great fantasy sites for less than $80. Get a jump on your leaguemates with a sub today.
📊 Stat of the Day…
🐦 Tweet of the day. We get it, NFL. The Cowboys, Eagles, and Washington Football Team play in the same division.
💪 High key thicc. Oh no…Cooterdoodle curated the “Quad Squad” and their ADPs. Choose your thicc fighter:
See ya Friday.