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#251 💥 The New RB1

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In today’s Fantasy Life Newsletter, we recap Thursday Night Football and take a look at the full practice report from yesterday. It's 11/5. Take it away, Peter Overzet…

If you redraft today, I think you are debating between taking Cooper Kupp and Jonathan Taylor for the 1.01 pick. 

Taylor had 19 carries for 172 yards and 2 TDs last night against the Jets. Per Next Gen Stats, he had 76 rush yards over expected and leads the NFL in that metric (+259). He also notched the fastest speed by a ball carrier this season (22.05mph) on his 78-yard TD last night.

Taylor’s body of work to date is wild:

Oh, and the cherry on top? The Colts have one of the best possible schedules during the fantasy playoffs with three dome games (NE, @ARI, LV). It’s blastoff szn for JT.

Other Thursday Night Football highlights included:

* Nyheim Hines took advantage of Marlon Mack being a healthy scratch. Hines got it done on the ground (6-74-1) and through the air (4-34).

* Jets rookie WR Elijah Moore finally got things going. He turned his 8 targets into 7 catches for 84 yards and 2 TDs—the first of his career. 

* Odds and ends...Mike White left the game with a forearm injury and Josh Johnson took over...Michael Carter (13-49; 1-37) cooled off a bit and Ty Johnson (4-21; 2-40-1) stayed involved...Michael Pittman Jr. (5-64-1) kept the breakout rolling. 



As we suspected yesterday, Odell Beckham Jr. has played his last game as a Cleveland Brown. Adam Schefter reported earlier this morning that the team will be releasing him once they restructure his contract.

In converting Odell’s base salary into signing bonus, the Browns will make it easier for another team to claim him on waivers. The contract should be finalized in the next couple of days, at which point he will be released and hit waivers. 

The Saints remain the best on paper fit for a landing spot after expressing interest at the trade deadline and losing Michael Thomas for the season, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him front run his way to Tampa Bay, Kansas City, or Green Bay.  



Love, Hate and the wisdom of Judge Matthew Berry. “In the three games since Tua Tagovailoa returned, Mike Gesicki is averaging 16.9 PPG and has a 17% target share and 85% catch rate over the same stretch. The good times should roll on this week against a Texans defense that allows the sixth-most PPG to tight ends this season and is tied for the most touchdowns allowed to tight ends this season.”

DFS Stacks & Values: Week 9. Ryan McCrystal shares a galaxy brain DFS play that has some statistical merit: “Mark Ingram should be treated as a tournament dart throw only, but this looks like an ideal opportunity for him to see increased touches against the Atlanta Falcons. The New Orleans Saints are six-point favorites, and when playing with a lead they run the ball at the third-highest rate in the league (60%). New Orleans primarily runs the ball in 11 personnel, which is a bad matchup for the Falcons defense. Atlanta is allowing an NFL-worst 67% success rate against 11-personnel run plays.”

Get access to Matthew’s column on ESPN, DFS content on Sharp Football Analysis, and a bundle of other great sites with a Rotopass subscription



The full rundown from Thursday practices is posted below, but a few situations to highlight:

* David Montgomery (knee) returned to practice yesterday, though it’s still unclear if he’ll play Monday night. Make sure you have a backup plan if we don’t get the news by Sunday and you want to roll the dice.

* Taysom Hill (concussion) practiced in full yesterday, although the Saints are expected to start Trevor Siemian on Sunday vs. the Falcons, per Ian Rapoport. 

* Tyrod Taylor will start in Week 9 vs. the Dolphins. 

* Did Not Practice: Matthew Stafford (back), Kyler Murray (ankle), DeAndre Hopkins (hamstring), Robert Woods (foot), CeeDee Lamb (ankle), Sterling Shepard (quadriceps), James Robinson (heel), Cole Beasley (ribs), Eric Ebron (hamstring), Saquon Barkley (ankle/COVID)

* Limited participants: Chase Edmonds (limited), Elijah Mitchell (ribs), Deebo Samuel (calf), DeVante Parker (shoulder/hamstring), Amari Cooper (hamstring), Jarvis Landry (knee), Kenny Golladay (knee), Kadarius Toney (thumb), Sam Darnold (concussion/right shoulder), Julio Jones (hamstring)

* Full participant: Davante Adams (illness), Dak Prescott (full), Taysom Hill (concussion), Tyrod Taylor (hamstring), Josh Jacobs (chest), Justin Herbert (right hand)

We’ll be back tomorrow with Waz’s updated Week 9 ranks and updates on a lot of these injury situations. 


Enjoy your Friday. 

- Pete Overzet


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