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#256 đź“Š Free Week 10 Fantasy Rankings

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In today’s Fantasy Life Newsletter we discuss Odell Beckham, Nick Chubb and Dalvin Cook, look at the biggest signals and noise from Week 9 and drop early Week 10 ranks. It's 11/10. Take it away, Peter Overzet…
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Lots to cover this morning. Let’s get to it…

* Odell Beckham Jr. went unclaimed on waivers, which made sense considering any team who claimed him would have been on the hook for $7.25 million in salary for the rest of the season. OBJ is now a free agent and can negotiate with every team. The front runners right now appear to be Green Bay and New England.

* Browns RBs Nick Chubb and Demetric Felton both tested positive for COVID. Because they are both vaccinated, there is a chance for them to be cleared in time for Sunday’s game. If not, D’Ernest Johnson would be in line for a monster workload vs. the Patriots.

* Sam Darnold has a fractured scapula in his right shoulder and will miss “several weeks” according to Tom Pelissero. XFL stud P.J. Walker will try to turn things around in relief. 

* Dalvin Cook is in a legal battle surrounding an altercation that occurred last year with a former girlfriend. The woman filed a lawsuit accusing Cook of assault, battery, and false imprisonment. Cook’s attorney said that his client was assaulted by the woman after she broke into his home and later tried to extort him of millions of dollars. Both the NFL and Vikings declined comment last night. 

 

đź’Ą SIGNALS & NOISE

Ben Gretch (@YardsPerGretch) writes the terrific Stealing Signals newsletter where he does a weekly deep dive into the previous week and shares his biggest signals (players who could sustain their production) and biggest noise (performances that were likely fluky). Here are some of his observations from Week 9…

Signals:

* James Conner — 77% snap share, 67% routes (looks like he’ll get something close to a full workload)

* Adrian Peterson — squeezed on two sides with Jeremy McNichols doubling him up in routes and D’Onta Foreman cutting into his rushing, with Foreman looking like the more efficient runner this first week (Foreman is a nice pickup option, and McNichols is the best play in the short term)

* Josh Allen — 5.6 and 6.1 passing aDOT past two games (was never below 8.2 in first six games before bye; defenses seem to be taking away the deep shots like they have with the Chiefs, and we’ll have to see how the Bills adjust but it could mean more underneath targets for Cole Beasley and the RBs, as well as potentially more running from Allen)

* Elijah Moore — routes back up to 65%, 8-7-84-2 receiving day (the big efficiency day should lead to a more consistent role the rest of the way, and a potential second-half breakout)

Noise:

* Christian McCaffrey — only 32% routes while getting 14 of 18 RB carries (routes will almost certainly rise going forward)

* Ja’Marr Chase — 6 catches for 49 yards (13 targets, 172 air yards, and a game of near misses)

* Mark Ingram — more catches than Alvin Kamara (Kamara ran routes on 66% of dropbacks, had more targets; Ingram was at 25% routes)

* Olamide Zaccheaus — two touchdowns (just 54% routes, has been playing well behind Tajae Sharpe recently with Calvin Ridley out, so this isn’t something to chase)

To see all of Gretch’s biggest signals and biggest noise analysis from Week 9, subscribe to his substack. 

 

🥇 WAZ'S .5 PPR RANKS

Here are the early Week 10 rankings from Rob Waziak aka "Waz" along with a couple notes on Thursday Night Football guys:

Tua Tagovailoa (Q26) is still recovering from a fractured finger injury and is considered a GTD for tomorrow’s home game against Baltimore. Tagovailoa put in limited practices Monday and Tuesday, but head coach Brian Flores hinted that he isn’t ready and that Jacoby Brissett (QB30) would be the starter if the game were yesterday. Keep a close eye on Tagovailoa’s injury updates, but I don’t envision the Dolphins rushing him out there and risking further injury. Unless you’re in a deep 2QB or superflex league, I wouldn’t hold out hope for Tagovailoa’s availability or rely on Brissett.

Unless he finds himself participating in practice today, don’t count on Latavius Murray (RB52) being available for tomorrow night’s game. He’s logged back-to-back DNPs and it appears it will be another dose of Devonta Freeman (RB27) and Le’Veon Bell (RB47). Both dusty running backs reached paydirt against the Vikings’ lackluster rush defense last week, but Freeman accounted for 58% of the offensive snaps, whereas Bell saw 23% and Ty’Son Williams (NR), 18%. Freeman and Bell could each see double-digit touches again against the Dolphins’ 18th ranked rush defense, but I’d only feel comfortable flexing Freeman. Nick Boyle (NR) being activated off injured reserve could benefit the entire Ravens run game.

Waz is a fantasy football analyst who competes in draft and season-long expert rankings competitions. He's consistently been at or near the top of all industry-wide leaderboards since 2017. He’ll be back on Saturday with an update.

- Pete Overzet

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