Patrick Mahomes is threatening to slather his turkey in ketchup tomorrow. On Twitter, people are arguing about the intrinsic goodness of Thanksgiving food. Battle lines are drawn, and unless you have a hot taek, you better sit this one out or risk getting caught in the crossfire.
Tomorrow, we get the glorious three game Thanksgiving slate. There are lots of moving pieces right now with injuries (check the full rundown below for notes on guys like D’Andre Swift) and with COVID (the Ravens have had 5 players and 4 staffers test positive, but the game is still on as of Wednesday morning).
For now, I want to dive into the most actionable stats from last week with a lean toward tomorrow’s games. You can access many of the sites linked below via a Rotopass sub, which includes Rotoviz, Sharp Football, ESPN+, RosterWatch, Rotowire, and Footballguys...
- Rich Hribar’s Worksheet is up on Sharp Football, which you should read in full, but I’ll serve you up three bite-sized portions for tomorrow’s set of games:
- “Detroit is 28th in receptions allowed per game to opposing wideouts (14.6)”...Hello, Will Fuller & Brandin Cooks.
- “Dallas is 25th in touchdown rate allowed to tight ends (8.6%)”...For such a gross year at tight end, tomorrow’s slate has a shocking amount of solid TE plays.
- “Chase Claypool has not hit 70 yards receiving in a game since Week 6, but has eight or more targets in each of his past four games after hitting that mark in just one of his opening six games.”...Weird stat for Claypool, but he leads the team with four end zone targets during that span, as well.
- Speaking of Steelers WRs...“In seven healthy games this season, Diontae Johnson has recorded at least 10 targets six times with an average of 11.1.” - Jack Miller breaks down Johnson’s WR1 campaign over at Rotoviz.
- “The Cowboys have allowed the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season, including the third-most over the past month. They've also allowed the fourth-most points to perimeter receivers this season.” As if you needed another reason to fire up Terry McLaurin on Thanksgiving, Mike Clay digs into his juicy matchup on ESPN+.
- “Denzel Mims had 29% of the targets, 47% of the air yards (led the NFL in Week 11), and a WOPR of .75—a true WR1-level weighted opportunity rating.” - Pat Kerrane dives deep on the rookie’s elite numbers with Joe Flacco, as well as the most important stats from Week 11 in the newest edition of Stat Chasing.
Injury rundown. D’Andre Swift (concussion) was upgraded to limited for Tuesday’s practice, which is a step in the right direction for being able to play Thursday...Kenny Golladay (hip) continues not to practice...Chrisitan McCaffrey (shoulder) is expected to practice today...Chris Carson (foot) put in a full practice yesterday...Mark Andrews (thigh) was limited in the Ravens walkthrough yesterday...Still no update on return timetable, but Myles Gaskin (knee) is recovering well from his MCL sprain...Austin Ekeler (hamstring) will practice this week. Hell yes...La’Mical Perine (ankle) is out for at least three weeks...A handful of other notable players were limited at practice yesterday: T.J. Hockenson (shoulder), Big Ben (quad), Matthew Stafford (right thumb), JuJu Smith-Schuster (toe), and Terry McLaurin (ankle).
Loose ends. On Monday I assumed that Ryan Finley would be starting for the Bengals in Joe Burrow’s absence, but the team is now planning to start Brandon Allen vs. the Giants on Sunday...The Jags will start Mike Glennon at QB vs. the Browns on Sunday...Eric Ebron doesn’t want to “be a butthole”...I’m doing 5 shows today. Not sure how that happened, but if you’d like to see me talk a lot of fantasy football today you can check my Twitter for links.