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Newsletter 307 🚨How To Plan For Week 17

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In today’s Fantasy Life Newsletter presented by Monkey Knife Fight, Waz breaks down the Week 17 slate and shares his updated ranks. It's 1/1. Take it away, Peter Overzet…

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2021 might be over, but the fantasy season isn’t.

We have 14 games on the main slate tomorrow, along with Packers-Vikings on SNF and Steelers-Browns on MNF.

Below, Waz breaks down all of the injury and COVID situations he’s currently monitoring and shares his updated Week 17 ranks.

A lot is likely to change between now and kickoff, so keep an eye out for tomorrow’s edition with all of the finalized inactive news.

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Joe Burrow is fresh off a monstrous and record-breaking 525 yard passing game against the Ravens and all signs are pointing to a shootout when Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs come to town. His projection on Monkey Knife Fight sits at 275.5 passing yards and despite the massive breakout game last week, Burrow has gone for more than that number in only 3 of his last 6 games.

The Chiefs are riding an 8 game win streak, although they have not needed Mahomes to play like a superhero during this stretch. Mahomes’ projection sits at 288.5 passing yards, a number he has only reached in 1 of his last 5 outings. 

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Antonio Brown (WR11) tweaked his ankle in practice earlier this week and is considered a GTD for the Buccaneers’ road game against the Jets. With Mike Evans (WR68) already at risk of missing or being limited with a hamstring injury, Brown’s availability would be beneficial. If Brown or Evans miss the game, look for Rob Gronkowski (TE4), Breshad Perriman (WR62), and Tyler Johnson (WR72) to see some extra looks in what should be a run-heavy game for Ronald Jones II (RB8) and Ke’Shawn Vaughn (RB42).

Marquise Brown (WR23) hasn’t practiced all week due to an illness, but is expected to play. Lamar Jackson (QB25) is still nursing his ankle sprain and hasn’t practiced all week, so I am anticipating Tyler Huntley (QB15) will draw another start.

After two DNPs this week, Emmanuel Sanders (WR69) is at risk of missing tomorrow’s home game against the Falcons with a knee injury. Gabriel Davis (WR53) could flirt with a high-end WR3 floor against a Falcons defense that ranks 29th in DVOA against the pass if Sanders were to sit.

Jordan Howard (RB34) is still dealing with a stinger and is questionable to play tomorrow. Since he returned to practice on Thursday, I expect him to be active and split reps with Boston Scott (RB28). If Howard is ruled out, Scott could flirt with top 12 numbers against a Washington team that ranks 15th in DVOA against the rush. 

After sitting out last week with a heel injury and not practicing this week, James Conner (RB30) appears to be on the wrong side of a GTD designation. We should hear some news on his status before tomorrow, but I wouldn’t rely on Conner to play as of right now. If Conner sits, Chase Edmonds (RB24) would again assume workhorse duties against a Cowboys rush defense that ranks 19th in DVOA.

The Broncos will be starting Drew Lock (QB30) at QB and could also be without Courtland Sutton (WR75), who has been dealing with an illness. Already without Jerry Jeudy and Tim Patrick, expect Lock to lean on his RBs, Javonte Williams (RB13) and Melvin Gordon (RB20), while trying to work his tight ends, Noah Fant (TE13) and Albert Okwuegbunam (TE19).

Carson Wentz’s (QB20) availability will come down to the wire on Sunday. On Tuesday, he was placed on the COVID-19/Reserve list and will be eligible to play if he remains asymptomatic. If Wentz doesn’t clear protocols tomorrow, Sam Ehlinger (QB34) will draw the start at home against the Raiders.

 

Full ranks listed below.

🥇WAZ'S .5 PPR RANKS

Rob Waziak aka "Waz" is a fantasy football analyst who competes in draft and season-long expert rankings competitions. He's consistently been at or near the top of all industry-wide leaderboards since 2017. 

 

I’ll be doing a Q&A on the Fantasy Life app tomorrow at 10am ET if you want to swing by and pepper me with start/sit questions. Download the app here. 

-PETE OVERZET

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