Underdog Fantasy is one of the fastest-growing companies in the industry. They’re known for their massive best ball tournaments and their snake draft format, but did you know they also offer pick ‘em contests? They work very similarly to traditional prop bets, with players having specific lines set in a variety of categories. You can then pair up to five of these selections together for up to a 20x return on your investment.

If you’re new to Underdog Fantasy, make sure to take advantage of a first-time deposit match of up to $100. Just sign up using our link or by entering promo code LIFE.

Let’s dive into five of my favorite selections for Underdog contests for Wild Card Weekend.

Trevor Lawrence Under 35.0 Pass Attempts

The Jaguars have officially completed one of the best comebacks in NFL history. Their playoff odds seemed non-existent after falling to just 3-7 in Week 11, especially with the Titans sitting at 7-3. However, Tennessee absolutely collapsed, losing seven straight contests, while the Jaguars rattled off wins in six of their final seven games.

Lawrence was a big reason for the team’s turnaround. He emerged as a legitimate franchise quarterback, particularly during a four-game stretch in Weeks 12 through 15. He averaged 8.95 adjusted yards per attempt to go along with 12 touchdowns: 11 through the air and one on the ground. He threw just one interception during that stretch, so he started to look the part of a former No. 1 overall pick.

However, Lawrence quietly showed some regression over the final weeks of the season. He managed just one touchdown pass and one interception over his final three games, and his adjusted yards per attempt dipped to just 6.76. The team still managed to win all three contests, but it was surprisingly due to their defense: They allowed 22 total points versus the Jets, Texans, and Titans. Lawrence’s passing volume also took a hit, attempting 32 passes or less in all three contests.

This matchup versus the Chargers is the perfect one for the team to lean on their ground attack. The Chargers have been a run funnel all season, ranking 29th in rush defense DVOA and 10th against the pass, so opposing teams have unsurprisingly run the ball heavily in this matchup. Opposing QBs have averaged the third fewest passing attempts per game against the Chargers, so 35 feels a smidge high for Lawrence.

Josh Allen Over 25.85 Fantasy Points

You have to feel kind of bad for the Dolphins. They were one of the best stories early in the year. Mike McDaniel was a Coach of the Year candidate, Tua Tagovailoa emerged as an MVP threat, and Tyreek Hill was on-pace to become the league’s first 2,000-yard receiver.

Unfortunately, it wasn’t meant to be. Tua suffered multiple concussions this season, and the team is rightly protecting his long-term health. They haven’t officially ruled him out yet, but all signs point towards Skylar Thompson starting at quarterback. That doesn’t figure to end well, and the Bills are on pace to become the largest favorites in the history of the Wild Card round.

Allen will be at the helm for the Bills on Sunday, and expect him to succeed in this matchup one way or another. He has an extremely appealing skillset for fantasy purposes, combining rushing and passing upside better than any quarterback in football. He averaged 24.3 fantasy points per game this season, and he eclipsed 25.85 fantasy points in both meetings with the Dolphins this season.

Allen has also historically taken his game to another level in the postseason. He was nothing short of remarkable in the playoffs last season, racking up nine touchdown passes and at least 300 passing yards in both contests. He also rushed for at least 60 yards in both games, so he has the potential for a monster outing against the Dolphins. The spread is a bit scary, but Allen easily eclipsed this figure in a blowout win versus the Patriots last postseason. If the Bills do run away with this one, expect Allen to be a big reason why.

Saquon Barkley Over 17.5 Rushing Attempts

2022 has been an outstanding bounce-back year for Barkley. The oft-injured running back was able to play 16 games, with the lone exception being the final game of the year. The team gave him some much-needed rest with their playoff spot secure, so expect him to be good to go versus the Vikings.

Barkley’s workload tapered off a bit towards the end of the year, but he remains one of the biggest bell-cow backs in football. His only real competition for carries is Daniel Jones, and both players should be able to find success in this matchup. The Vikings rank merely 27th in defensive DVOA, and they’ve struggled against the run and the pass.

Barkley managed just 14 carries in his first meeting with the Vikings, with the Giants opting for a pass-heavy game script in that contest. That was out of character for New York. They finished the year 24th in pass rate over expectation, so they prefer to keep the ball on the ground whenever possible. Expect them to get back to their roots in the rematch.

Trenton Irwin Under 5.5 Receiving Yards

Taking the under on a player like Irwin always feels risky. We’re likely going to lose this selection if he catches even a single pass, and that’s certainly possible: Irwin had at least six receiving yards in eight different contests this season.

Still, I think expecting him to put up a bagel in this spot is pretty reasonable. Irwin played on just 18% of the Bengals’ offensive snaps last week, and both of his targets came on the team’s first drive of the game. For the remainder of the game, he was relegated to cardio work.

The Bengals have a lot of mouths to feed in their passing attack. Ja’Marr Chase is one of the top receivers in football, and Tee Higgins is an excellent Robin to his Batman. Tyler Boyd is also a capable slot specialist, while Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine are active pass-catchers out of the backfield.

With the importance of winning cranked up to 11 during the playoffs, don’t be surprised if Irwin’s role is basically removed from the equation. He should get on the field for a handful of snaps, but he might not see a single target.

Leonard Fournette Under 36.5 Receiving Yards

Fournette was one of the unsung heroes of the Bucs’ Super Bowl win in 2020-21, but those days are long in the past. Fournette has not been nearly the same player this season, averaging just 3.5 yards per attempt, so he has unsurprisingly started to lose work to rookie Rachaad White. White hasn’t been much better – he’s averaged just 3.7 yards per carry – but at least he brings fresh legs to the table.

Fournette and White have basically split the snaps in recent weeks, but Fournette has handled most of the pass-catching responsibilities. His work as a runner has been limited, with Fournette logging 10 carries or fewer in four of his past five games (excluding Week 18). Given his mediocre yards per carry and a brutal matchup versus the Cowboys, expecting him to finish with less than 37 rushing yards seems pretty reasonable.

If you play Over/Under on Sleeper, check out my picks here!