2024 NFL Player Projections
Our NFL Player Projections for the 2024 season include positional projections for the biggest names in fantasy football and NFL betting. Get our projections for each statistical category and fantasy point projections to prepare for your fantasy football drafts in 2024.
Last Updated: May 2024
How do our projections work?
Our in-season projection model is built on historical data that focuses on expected game environment and team archetypes, which allow us to place offenses into peer groups.
The projected game environment is derived from Vegas lines, and archetype peer groups are crafted based on how teams behave in different game scripts compared to the league average. The two primary components are dropback rate over expected (DBOE) and plays per minute over expected (PPMOE).
This approach provides the Fantasy Life model with powerful insights that fuel play volume and scoring projections, which then flow down to the player level. For example, our model understands how a slow-paced run-heavy team behaves differently than a fast-paced pass-heavy team in leading, close, trailing, and blowout game scripts.
Player and league-level historical efficiency data then combine with team passing and rushing volume projections to derive player projections.