Anytime Touchdown scorer bets are a fun way to bet football. Who doesn’t love cashing in on big plays and guys finding paydirt? At the same time, the overall TD market is often laden with poor to questionable pricing as books generally have a big hold on many of the TD bets they offer.

There are also pockets of value to be found in this kind of market and every week I’ll be going through trying to find the best TD props for you using the FantasyLife+ projections.  We’ll also be line shopping with the Fantasy Life prop finder tool, which allows you to shop for the best prices across all the major sportsbooks in a flash.

We almost had a multi-hit day with Adam Thielen hitting paydirt early last Sunday.

Alas, Ameer Abdullah got stoned inside the five-yard line multiple times (despite getting a career-high 23 touches) and Dante Pettis missed a late opportunity to be a hero, so we had to settle for Thielen.

We’ll try for a perfect week one more time in Week 18.

Week 18 Anytime TD Prop Bets 

Tyrone Tracy Anytime TD (+135; Caesars)

The Giants take on an Eagles team that is locked into the No. 2 seed and has decided to pull the plug on playing their starters for this game. 

As of writing, Saquon Barkley is out, Jalen Hurts is out, Kenny Pickett is out, Tanner McKee will get the start at QB, and lots of defensive starters will be resting. That means Tracy should have better average starting field position than he has had in recent weeks and will be up against backups when down in the red zone, where he’s been the clear Inside-the-Five (I5) back for the Giants this season. 

Tracy somehow stayed out of the end zone last week against the Colts, even with the Giants scoring 44 points but has scored at least one TD in six of his last 11 games, which is impressive given the quality of QB the Giants have had under center in those starts. However, he has now scored in 54% of his last 11 games played and outperformed the 42% implied odds of his current price (+135) for Week 18.

At the end of the day, I see this game as being pretty simple from a game script with handoffs plentiful on both sides, which should benefit the Giants RB. I’d be happy to play this down to +120 if needed.

Davante Adams Anytime TD (+150; Caesars)

Sometimes simple thinking can yield solid results and that’s what I am doing with Davnate Adams this week, keeping it simple. Adams has scored five times in his last five games, and that’s despite being held out of the end zone last week vs the Bills, in the Jets' embarrassing 40-14 loss.

This week, despite the hot run, his TD prop is still as big as +150 (40% implied), which makes it an appealing target just on his recent trends. The Dolphins pass defense has been tough on opposing WRs this season (only 11 TDs allowed to opposing WRs, the fewest in the league) and that’s probably part of why this number has remained in the +150 range.

However, Miami’s stats aren’t enough for me to stay away. Adams beat this unit for nine catches and a TD in Week 15 and could be playing with his pal Aaron Rodgers for the last time, who needs one TD pass to hit 500 for his career.

The narrative thing is less interesting to me than the price, but it's still worth mentioning. Adams has been vocal about playing hard down the stretch and in Week 18 and obviously wants Rodgers’ “potential” last career game to be memorable. 

I’d be OK playing Adams as low as +140 in this spot. 

DK Metcalf Anytime TD (+165; Caesars) 

Metcalf has lost target share to Jaxon Smith-Njigba this season, but he remains the Seahawks' best big-play receiver. He’s also the only Seahawks receiver to receive an end zone target over the last three games and scored two games ago against another weaker NFC secondary in Minnesota.

This week he takes on the Rams, who have undersized corners to begin and will likely be resting some starters. Metcalf has dominated this matchup with Los Angeles the past few seasons scoring TDs in both games vs the Rams last year and in three of his last four games vs them, overall.

While the Bears game was a huge step back for this offense (and football in general) I find it hard not to think Metcalf and Smith, who can add $2M to his bonus due in March with a Seahawks win, won’t right the ship in this spot.

His overall production from this season likely doesn’t warrant the shorter price this week but I’m willing to look past it for a one-time deal in Week 18 with the extenuating circumstances I mentioned above. This may even be a spot where you look to play Metcalf for multiple TDs (or play some first-half TD lines), as I doubt the Rams are going to be putting up much of a fight in this game.

Better prices may manifest later in the week, but I’d be OK playing this at +160 or better for now.

Adam Thielen Anytime TD (+225; bet365)

Thielen came through for us with a TD last week (he scored twice) and with another terrific matchup in Week 18, I don’t see any reason not to take him to score again at what is nearly the same price.

The veteran has now found the end zone three times in his last two games and was the only Panther to see an end zone target last week vs the Buccaneers.

 

On paper, the Falcons also might be a better matchup than the Buccaneers were. They’ve allowed a 69.61% completion percentage to opposing QBs this season, the second most passing TDs (31) and ceded the most TDs to opposing WRs in the entire league (21).

As I mentioned last week, Theilen’s implied odds sit around 29% (again) and even if you extend Theilen’s TD rate to the full nine games he’s played in this season (4/9; 44%), and include the pre-Bryce Young-surge games, he still comes out well on top of that mark.

Given how good the Young/Tielen connection has been of late, I’d be fine including Theilen in cards this week and playing him down to +200.

Cole Kmet Anytime TD (+675; Caesars)

Kmet has been criminally under-used this season, but he still has four TDs on the year, which is actually one more than Rome Odunze (+400 anytime this week) and only one less than DJ Moore (+300 anytime this week). Despite Kmet being close to his teammates on the YTD scoreboard, his price this week is double that of Moore’s and 1.5x that of Odunze.

The Packers have also been more lax against TEs this season, allowing a 77% conversion rate on targets to opposing TEs, and the sixth-most receiving yards to the position. Kmet’s never scored against Green Bay, but he’s typically outperformed against them and has no fewer than three receptions versus the Packers in his last four meetings.

I wouldn’t get too crazy with this prop, as his targeting has been abysmal of late, but I also wouldn’t be shocked if a few more targets drift his way this week—especially in the red zone where the Bears have had issues converting all season long.

I’d play this down to +600 and also like Kmet’s alternate receiving lines this week if you’re looking for another angle on the Bears' TE.

Looking for more player prop edges on the Week 18 slate? Head to our Player Prop Tool to compare our in-house projections to market prices to highlight the biggest edges to take advantage of!

Week 18 Player Prop Tool