TD props are a fun way to bet on football. Who doesn’t love cashing in on big plays and guys finding paydirt? At the same time, the overall TD market is often laden with poor to questionable pricing as books generally have a big hold on many of the TD bets they offer.

There are also pockets of value to be found in this kind of market and every week I’ll be going through trying to find the best TD props for you using the FantasyLife+ projections and prop finder tool, which allows you to line shop for the best prices across all the major sportsbook in a flash.

Let’s dive into Week 6 and see what the FantasyLife+ tools can unearth for the next big slate of the season.

Week 6 NFL Anytime TD Bets

Najee Harris (+120; DraftKings)

  • Play to +100

I don’t trust Pittsburgh to cover a full FG on the road this week, so I’ll get my Steelers exposure via proxy with what I think is a mispriced line on a Najee Harris anytime TD.

The Raiders have allowed a TD to an RB in every single game they have played this season and Harris—who scored eight TDs last year—was leading the league in most touches without a TD this season before Week 5. 

Cordarrelle Patterson has already been ruled out for Week 6 and Jaylen Warren is doubtful, so Harris is likely to handle all of the Short-Down-and-Distance (SDD) snaps and Inside the 5 carries (I5 carries) against a defense that is 28th in EPA against the run.

 

I’d play this one down to +100 and expect his odds may shrink as we get closer to kickoff.

Tank Bigsby Anytime TD (+250; Caesars)

  • Play to +200

We hit the Chuba Hubbard anytime TD last week against the Bears, whose defense has now ceded six TDs to opposing RBs in five games. With a close point spread (-1.5/+1.5) I see no reason to stop playing this trend with their opponent this week in the Jaguars, who now have a bit of a time-split in their backfield with Tank Bigsby and Travis Etienne.

Of the two, the momentum is clearly with Bigsby, who broke out last week with 101 yards and two rushing TDs, on just 13 carries, and his anytime TD odds remain significantly higher than Etienne’s who is still as short as +150.

Etienne may still play more snaps and is the better receiving back, but per our Utilization Report, Bigsby took 57% of the carry attempts last week and has also taken the vast majority of I5 carries since Week 4. 

 

Honestly, I could see both backs having success this week in London for Jacksonville, but Etienne makes more sense to play as an over in the yardage markets.

For now, Bigsby is the better inside runner and, given his success against the Colts, should get the first crack at driving in any short-yardage scores this week. 

Sam LaPorta anytime TD (+250; Caesars) 

  • Play to +200

LaPorta scored 10 times last season but comes into Week 6 this season without a TD on the year. The second-year TE is now a couple of extra weeks removed from an early season injury that hampered his playing time in Week 3 and 4, and coming out of the bye week will face a Cowboys defense that allowed two scores to the TE position last week.

I like buying low on this spot on LaPorta period (whether it be in fantasy, or his yardage props) but at +250, his anytime TD prop makes plenty of sense to add to cards this week.

For context, he was as low as +140 in Week 1 of the season to find the endzone, and despite the Lions being road favorites with a 27.75 implied team total in Week 6, his current number is about 35-40% bigger at most sportsbooks than it was for that Week 1 matchup with the Rams.

LaPorta is as big as +250 at FanDuel as of writing, a bet I've already entered in our Free Bet Tracker, but I’d be pretty happy to play this prop at anything above +200 (which it is sitting at multiple books). If he scores this week, the value will likely disappear on him again, making this the perfect time to strike with a dome game against Dallas on the schedule.

Hayden Hurst Anytime TD (+650; Caesars)

  • Play to +500

I’m going to play a second TE to score this week, one who has been getting some end-zone targets this year and is available at much longer odds.

Hayden Hurst has remained steady at around a 10-12% target share since the beginning of the season in this offense, but of the two primary TEs the Chargers use for pass-catching duties, he has been the one looked to when they get near the goalline (33% EZ Target share in Week 1 and 4).

While he’s yet to convert, Hurst saw an end zone target in Week 1 and Week 4, and now faces a Bronco defense that does tend to allow more catches in the middle of the field – and has allowed more TDs to TEs this season (2), than they have WRs (1). 

I like the Broncos in this game but with how savvy Justin Herbert is there is likely going to be a red zone opportunity or two for the Chargers pass-catchers to come through at some point in this contest. With Hurst’s odds still well above +500, he makes sense as a longer shot to consider this week and a player I expect will pay off soon for anytime TD hunters.