Don't finalize your betting slips without Geoff's Anytime Touchdown Prop Bets for Week 4:

TD props are a fun way to be football. Who doesn’t love cashing in on big plays and guys finding paydirt? At the same time, the overall TD market is often laden with poor to questionable pricing as books generally have a big hold on many of the TD bets they offer. 

There are also pockets of value to be found in this kind of market and every week I’ll be going through trying to find the best TD props for you using the FantasyLife+ projections and prop finder tool, which allows you to line shop for the best prices across all the major sportsbook in a flash. 

Let’s dive into Week 4 and see what the FantasyLife+ tools can unearth for the next big slate of the season.

Week 4 Anytime TD Bets to Target

Kyren Williams Anytime TD (-110; bet365)

This number doesn’t look huge, but when you consider Williams’s overall usage to start the season, and his history with the Rams as the lead running back, it’s almost shockingly high.

Since coming back from injury in Week 12 last year, Wiliams has played in 10 games for the Rams and scored a TD in eight of those games. Further, after last week’s three-TD game, he’s now scored multiple TDs in three of his previous 10 games and 13 total TDs over that same span (averaging 1.3 per game). 

This line is also likely giving too much credit to the Bears' defense, which has regressed a bit against the run in 2024. The Bears have a lot of defensive linemen on the injury report this week (including Montez Sweat) and have allowed four TDs to the RB position already, including three last week. This number on Williams is way too high and worth taking at anything better than -130.

Carson Steele Anytime TD (+137; bet365)

Steele performed well in his first big test as the Chiefs lead back, taking 17 carries for 72 yards (4.2 yards per carry). Overall, he took 61% of the carries and also dominated the red zone work, handling 100% of the inside-the-five opportunities.

Despite the nice start and the fact the Chiefs have a 23.5-point implied team total as a 7.5-point favorite, Steele’s anytime TD prop can still be had at +135 or better at a couple of books. This is miles above what Isiah Pacheco’s TD prop would be if he were still leading this backfield. 

Even if there is a slight drop in talent with Steele, being the lead back for the Chiefs has a ton of value, and at current prices, he makes sense as a player to target for his career TD this week.

Kyle Pitts Anytime TD (+230; FanDuel)

I am officially declaring Week 4 Kyle Pitts week (again). Pitts' usage has disappointed to start the season, as the veteran has just a 15% target share and has yet to catch more than three passes in a game. However, with all of Atlanta’s weapons, there will be shifts in focus as the offense tries to get all of their big names involved at some point and take advantage of the best matchups every week

This week, the matchup clearly calls for a Pitts eruption.

New Orleans under Dennis Allen has been a sieve against the TE for the most part, and is coming off a game where they allowed Dallas Goedert to single-handily ruin them with an 11-reception, 170-yard performance.

Goedert didn’t get in the endzone but had a couple of near misses and throughout last season the Saints did allow seven TDs to opposing TEs, which tied for second-most in the league. 

I’m playing Pitts from a bunch of different angles this week. However, at current prices, finding the end zone against this defense is one of my favorite ways to bet on a big week for the much-discussed TE.

Ronnie Bell Anytime TD (+800; Caesars)

Brock Purdy has played extremely well to start the year, despite not having his regular allotment of weapons. He had a couple of tough matchups with New York and Minnesota, but got on track statistically last week against the Rams, throwing for 3 TDs in the loss.

This week the 49ers passing game should be in a good spot to excel again as they take on the Patriots, who are 26th in EPA per dropback and have allowed multiple TD passes last week to Aaron Rodgers.

While Christian Gonzalez could make life difficult again for Brandon Aiyuk, Purdy proved last week, when he boosted Jauan Jennings to an 11-175-3 line, that he’s not afraid to look elsewhere if his primary read is covered. 

Ronnie Bell posted a 58% route rate last week and a 10% target share, making him the clear wide receiver three in this offense, a role he should play again with Deebo Samuel likely out. 

Against this secondary, Bell projects as the kind of player who could get loose for a play or two, and with his QB seeing the field as good as anyone those kinds of opportunities could lead to s score. 

These two actually hooked up for a TD three different times last year and with a solid matchup and more increased opportunity looming for Bell, it makes sense to target the third-year WR in the anytime TD market this week at +700 or bigger.