TD props are a fun way to be football. Who doesn’t love cashing in on big plays and guys finding paydirt? At the same time, the overall TD market is often laden with poor to questionable pricing as books generally have a big hold on many of the TD bets they offer. 

There are also pockets of value to be found in this kind of market and every week I’ll be going through trying to find the best TD props for you using the FantasyLife+ projections.  We’ll also be line shopping with the Fantasy Life prop finder tool, which allows you to shop for the best prices across all the major sportsbooks in a flash. 

Let’s dive into Week 10 and see what the FantasyLife+ tools can unearth for the next big slate of the season.  

Week 10 Anytime TD Scorer Bets

Tyrone Tracy Anytime TD (+105; bet365)

Tracy has big game potential written all over him this week. The Panthers are 31st in EPA against the rush and 30th in success rate vs the rush. On the season, they have allowed 1.4 rushing TDs PER GAME to opposing RBs, which is the highest rate in the league by a wide margin (second place is four teams tied at 1.1 per game).

 

Tracy is still splitting some workload with Devin Singletary, but there has been a clear push to get the rookie more early down work. He’s played on over 60% of the snaps in five straight games and 83% of the carries in Week 8 against Pittsburgh.

Despite some tough matchups of late, he’s also managed to find the endzone in two of his last four starts. At +105, this number doesn’t properly reflect the increased opportunity of late, the matchup, and just his overall talent level (5.0 yards per carry on the season). 

I’d personally play him down to -115 this week for a regular anytime TD but Tracy has plenty of multiple TD upside this week as well. The Panthers have already allowed three multiple TD games to opposing RBs through nine games this season and Tracy–who now has a firm grip on early down and short-distance carries–is available as big as +650 (13.3% implied odds) to be the fourth. 

Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD (+180; FanDuel)

The Patriots are big underdogs this week against the Bears, but Chicago isn’t necessarily a team or defense, I trust to completely shut down the Patriots. Last week, they allowed 205 yards rushing (6.61 yards per attempt) and two rushing TDs to the Cardinals RBs in a 29-9 loss.

The Patriots are only 30th in success rate via the run on offense, but Stevenson has maintained a stranglehold on the team’s goal-line carries this year (78%, I5 carry rate) and has been great at converting chances (7 total TDs, 6 via the rush). 

Rhamondre Stevenson Utilization Game Log

 

Just from a past performance rate, I think we’re well within our right this week to take a long look at Stevenson as an anytime scorer given that his odds have ballooned to as high as +180, which gives us implied odds of 35%. He’s scored in five of eight games this season already and faces a Bears team that allows 0.9 TDs per game to the RB position.

With general turmoil building around the Bears as well, I also don’t think it’s wrong just to expect that the Patriots can make this a closer game than the spread projects. If that scenario does play out, it all points to Stevenson again finding the end zone and paying off very attractive odds.

Ladd McConkey (+200; bet365)

McConkey isn’t a name I generally think of when it comes to anytime TD bets but the rookie’s superb route running and natural ability have already allowed him to find the end zone four times in eight starts this season.

With Justin Herbert back to full health after a couple of early-season foot issues, the Chargers have also become more of a pass-first team. While they sit at 51% in pass rate on the season, they’ve thrown the ball on 59% of their offensive plays over their last three games, which is the ninth-highest rate in the league over that span.

You also have a Tennessee defense on the other side, which tends to funnel toward the pass, having allowed 11 passing TDs to just eight rushing TDs on the year. The Titans' secondary has also been affected by poor play and injuries and will likely be without CB L’Jarius Sneed again this week, their star signee over the offseason.

All-in-all, with the Chargers favored by 7.5 points in spots, and having a solid 23-point implied team total, this is a spot where it makes sense to be bullish on McConkey. At +200 or better we’re getting implied odds in the 33% range, which is just good enough for me to add a McConkey anytime bet to the betting card this week, and get more exposure to the Chargers passing game in what appears to be a very underrated spot. 

Juwan Johnson Anytime TD (+475; DraftKings)

With the Saints down multiple starting WRs, this should be a great time for TE Juwan Johnson to get more downfield targeting. At 6’4, 230 lbs, Johnson ran a sub 4.6 40M dash out of college and out of all of the Saints TEs, profiles most like a WR. 

That fact alone should allow him to see some solid looks from Derek Carr this week, who is taking on a Falcons pass defense that has given up 15 passing TDs already (tied for 6th most in the league) and ceded a 70.85% completion rate to opposing QBs (worst in the league).

Johnson started the season slowly, but per the Fantasy Life Utilization Report, he’s been integrated more and more throughout the season and posted a 74% route rate last week–while playing on 51 snaps (the third time in four games he’s played over 50 snaps).

Johnson’s been a solid TD performer in the past and connected with Carr for TDs in three straight games between Weeks 15 to 17 last season. He also posted posted a career-high 7 TDs in 2022. With the Saints WR core decimated and Johnson having a great matchup, I’m all for taking a swing with him this week in an above-average matchup, at anything above +400.

More Week 10 Bets