After a special day on Monday, the MLB returns to the status quo on Tuesday. Fortunately, Tuesdays are always a big night for baseball. All 30 teams are scheduled to take the field, and we’ll even have one doubleheader after a rainout on Monday. That leaves 16 games to choose from, with most of the action coming in the evening.

Let’s dive into some of my favorite betting options for Tuesday’s MLB slate.

MLB Bets Today – Picks for Tuesday, May 28

Los Angeles Dodgers-New York Mets F5 Under 4.5 (Game 1) (-125; BetMGM)

I tried to play this same exact wager on Monday, but Mother Nature didn’t cooperate. The game was ultimately postponed, so I’m going back to the well with the first leg of the doubleheader on Tuesday.

If anything, the bet looks even stronger today. Instead of Gavin Stone getting the ball for the Dodgers, they’ll send Tyler Glasnow to the bump. Glasnow has been nothing short of dominant in his first year with Los Angeles. He owns a 2.44 xERA, while his 33.3% strikeout rate puts him in the 96th percentile. The Mets’ offense has been roughly league-average against right-handers this season, so I don’t think they’re going to have much success in this spot.

The bigger question is whether or not Tylor Megill can hold up his end of the bargain. Personally, I think he can. Megill has developed some new offerings in the offseason, and while the jury is still out, he seems like a vastly improved pitcher. After dominating in Spring Training, Megill owns a 3.00 ERA and 2.69 FIP through two outings in 2024.

The Dodgers offense is no joke, but Megill should be able to at least limit the damage. I’m expecting a lower-scoring contest, particularly in the first five innings.

Seattle Mariners ML vs. Houston Astros (-122; FanDuel)

What in the world has happened to Hunter Brown? He was once considered a top pitching prospect, and he looked the part at times during his first two seasons. However, the wheels have come off in 2024. His strikeout rate is down, his walk rate is way up, and his ERA currently sits above 7.00.

I don’t expect Brown to be that bad all season – his xERA is a more reasonable 4.40 – but unless he can get his walks under control, that’s far from a guarantee.

On the other side, Luis Castillo remains an above-average starter for the Mariners. He may not be quite as dominant as he was in his prime, but his 3.31 ERA and 3.70 xERA give the Mariners a sizable edge on the bump.

Houston has been the better team offensively, but this number still seems too low for the home squad. I’ll take my chances with Castillo vs. Brown at this price tag 10 times out of 10.


More MLB Bets for Tuesday, May 28

Pirates F5 ML at Tigers (+140)

There aren’t a lot of pitchers that could make Jared Jones a +140 underdog on the first-five moneyline, but Tarik Skubal is one of them. Skubal has emerged as the clear favorite for the AL Cy Young award, but I’m still willing to roll with the uber-talented rookie. Jones leads the league in Stuff+, and he’s one of the few pitchers with better strikeout metrics than Skubal. The Pirates’ offense has also been slightly better against left-handers than the Tigers have been against righties (104 wRC+ vs. 102).

Cardinals-Reds Under 9.5 (-115)

Taking an under at the Great American Ballpark is always a risky proposition, but the sharps are all over the under in this spot. Andrew Abbott will get the ball for the Reds, and he’s been extremely impressive this season. He owns a 2.68 ERA through 10 starts, and his 2.72 xERA suggests he hasn’t been particularly fortunate. Kyle Gibson hasn’t been quite as good for the Cardinals, but he does have an excellent 50.3% groundball rate. If Gibson can keep the Reds on the ground – and inside the ballpark – nine runs or fewer feels like a very reasonable outcome.


2024 MLB Bets Record

  • Yesterday: 2-1 (+0.5 units)
  • Season: 102-116-6 (-17.46 units)

All bets are based on half units unless stated otherwise.