Tuesday is almost always a big night for baseball. All 30 teams are slated to take the field, and only one of those matchups will occur before 6 p.m. ET. The weather report also looks solid, so we should have a bunch of games to choose from.

Let’s dive into some of my favorite betting options for Tuesday’s slate.

MLB Bets Today – Picks for Tuesday, May 7

Philadelphia Phillies F5 ML vs. Toronto Blue Jays (-130; Caesars)

The Phillies have been one of the best teams in baseball this season, thanks largely to their pitching staff. They’ve gotten huge contributions from some unlikely sources, with Ranger Suarez, Spencer Turnbull, and Christopher Sanchez all posting outstanding numbers. Their five top starters all have an ERA of 3.68 or better, and when combined with their excellent offense, that’s a tough combination to beat.

Sanchez will get the ball on Tuesday, and I give him an edge over Jose Berrios. That might seem wrong on the surface. Berrios has a 1.44 ERA this season, so he’s been very good in his own right. However, he’s thrived due to some unsustainable good fortune. Opposing batters have managed just a .229 BABIP, and Berrios has stranded 96.6% of opposing baserunners. Both of those figures are way below his career norms. His xERA currently sits at 4.87, so Berrios hasn’t been nearly as good as his traditional numbers indicate.

The only real weakness for the Phillies at the moment is their bullpen, so I’ll continue to target them on the first five innings moneyline. -130 in this matchup is more than good enough.

Pittsburgh Pirates ML vs. Los Angeles Angels (-125; BetMGM)

The Pirates have an abundance of young pitchers, so Quinn Priester has become a bit of an afterthought. He was once considered a solid prospect – he was No. 72 overall per FanGraphs in 2023 – but he struggled in the big leagues in 2023.

However, he’s shown some serious improvement in his second season. He’s still not generating a ton of swings and misses, but he makes up for it with an elite batted-ball profile. Priester has a ridiculous 68.5% groundball rate, which limits the damage on balls in play. Batters are still making hard contact against him, but they can only do so much when they’re hitting it on the ground.

He should be able to carve through a weak Angels lineup. With Mike Trout sidelined, I’d be impressed if casual MLB fans could name more than two players in their current lineup. I like the Pirates’ chances against Patrick Sandoval a lot more than the Angels’ chances vs. Priester.

More MLB Bets for Tuesday, May 7

Mets ML at Cardinals (+110)

Things have just not gone to plan for the Cardinals this season. Their offense continues to struggle, and they’re not going to get any help from their pitcher on Tuesday. Miles Mikolas owns a 5.33 xERA for the year, and his strikeout stuff continues to decline. I much prefer Jose Butto for the Mets, so they should have the edge in both facets of the game on Tuesday.

Red Sox-Braves Under 8.5 (+100)

Kutter Crawford has been one of the biggest surprises this season. He owns a 1.56 ERA through his first seven starts, and he has the peripherals to back it up. He ranks in the 97th percentile in hard-hit rate and 89th percentile in average exit velocity, so his breakout seems legit. Reynaldo Lopez has also been impressive for the Braves, so runs should be at a premium in this contest.

Orioles F5 ML at Nationals (-200)

I don’t mind laying juice when the price is right, and that’s the case in this matchup. The Orioles will have one of the best starters in baseball on the mound in Corbin Burnes, while the Nationals will turn to Trevor Williams. The Orioles’ offense has been slumping of late, but I’ll take their chances vs. Williams over the Nationals’ chances vs. Burnes 10 times out of 10.

2024 MLB Bets Record

  • Yesterday: 2-2-1 (-0.075 units)
  • Season: 74-70-5 (-4.82 units)

All bets are based on half units unless stated otherwise.