We made it. Super Bowl 59 is here with the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Philadelphia Eagles in New Orleans. 

I’m going to take you through my best and favorite Super Bowl 59 player props on the slate as we try to win some big money on the final NFL game of 2024-25.

Approaching Super Bowl Player Props

It’s been a great season if you’ve been following along on the Fantasy Life Bet Tracker and I’ll be trying to win us a little more money once again this weekend. That said, it’s also the final game of the year so I’m also going to let loose a little with some of these props. 

There will be a couple of the standard line O/U totals, but if we’re being honest, a lot of these lines are already pretty efficient as they’ve been up for a week. So I’ll be diving into at least one “Specialty Market” to spice things up as well. Maybe not five-alarm spice, but 3.5 spice.

Just like usual, you can find all my Super Bowl 59 bets in our Fantasy Life Bet Tracker. It's free, as is our Betting Life Newsletter.

If you're a more serious sports speculator, you can also access the Fantasy Life weekly fantasy rankings and player projections with a FantasyLife+ subscription. 

For prop-specific tools, see our Fantasy Life Prop Finder as well as Player Prop Edge Table.

Let’s dive in and get to this week’s top five props…

Top 5 Player Props For Super Bowl 59

JuJu Smith-Schuster Ladder Bet (Receptions) 

  • 3+ receptions (+240)
  • 4+ (+650)
  • 5+ (+1500)
  • SGP: 2+ receptions + Anytime TD (+650)

I said I wanted to get a little wild, so let’s do a big ladder bet right off the top.

Despite adding Hollywood Brown, Xavier Worthy, and DeAndre Hopkins this offseason, it was still Smith-Schuster who ended up landing the biggest receiving play of the game for Kansas City against Buffalo:

Smith-Schuster wasn’t just a one-play wonder versus Buffalo for KC, either. He played on 58% of the snaps and had a 63% route rate. As the Chiefs’ primary slot receiver, it’s fair to say that Smith-Schuster could also be in for a little more work vs. the Eagles given the legitimacy of their outside corners.

While he hasn’t been a huge part of the offense for most of 2024-25, JuJu's history with Kansas City includes a 7-catch, 53-yard performance vs. the Eagles in Super Bowl 57. As the saying goes, history doesn’t always repeat, but sometimes it rhymes.

I’m not suggesting Smith-Schuster is a lock to post 7 catches again, but I do think he’s a player who has a wide variety of outcomes in Super Bowl 59—and one of those includes drastically outperforming his current reception prop, which is set at 1.5 (-115).

I‘m happy to play the over on his regular line up to -130. However, I do think his history with Mahomes/Reid—and the matchup this week—may dictate him getting relied upon more than we’ve seen to this point in the playoffs.

I’m prone to take on more risk in this spot and ladder Smith-Schuster through 3+, 4+, and even 5+ receptions in this spot. His current odds on those bigger milestones don’t seem to have any of the factors mentioned above baked in, and with how close he operates to the line of scrimmage, those alternate lines could hit fast if the Eagles jump out in front, or completely stymie the Chiefs’ run game.

DeAndre Hopkins Over 10.5 receiving yards

  • Odds: -130 (BetMGM)
  • Projection: 18.0

Look, I know I just finished talking about JuJu Smith-Schuster and the potential for him to have a much bigger role in the passing—which would likely work against guys like Hopkins. However, I simply cannot look at a 10.5-yard receiving line on one of the best downfield receivers of the past decade, in the Super Bowl nonetheless, and not bet the over. 

Hopkins may be past his prime but he’s still fully capable of coming up with at least one big play downfield for the Chiefs in the biggest game of the season. Despite the poor postseason, he did go for 30+ yards in this offense in five straight games between Weeks 12-16 and had five games with 50+ yards this season. Any sort of game script where the Chiefs get behind early could also push Hopkins into more action late in the game where they might be more likely to give him a jump ball or two. 

I’m not expecting a throwback 100+ yard, 2-TD Hopkins special this week, but I do think he’s pretty likely to make an appearance at some point and—at the very least—get some kind of ceremonial catch (much like Ocho Cinco did in the 2012 Super Bowl). 

He’s projected for 18 yards on Fantasy Life this week and if he comes even close to that mark, he'll cash our over. 

DeVonta Smith Under 4.5 receptions

  • Odds: -112 (DraftKings)
  • Projection: 4.8

Here is the Eagles target share over the last three games (via Fantasy Life Utilization Report):

  • Goedert: 35%, 20%, 33%
  • Smith: 24%, 20%, 17%
  • Brown: 18%, 33%, 35%

On top of Goedert leap-frogging Smith in usage, Goedert is also going to have the most advantageous matchup of all the Eagles receivers. The Chiefs allowed 5.9 receptions and 66.2 receiving yards per game this season to opposing TEs, which ranked them bottom three in both areas as a defense.

You could just bet the over on Dallas Goedert, and I did mention him already (numerous times to be honest) as a potential longshot for the MVP award.

However, with Goedert’s totals on the rise, and Smith's downward trend, the better way to play this trend might be to just bet the under on Smith. He’s seen exactly four targets in each of the Eagles' first three playoff games, and while he’s connected with Hurts on all 12 targets it’s pretty also clear he’s taken a bit of a backseat to his TE. 

With alpha WR1 A.J. Brown also in high demand for Hurts’ attention it’s quite possible Smith again tops out under 5 targets and doesn’t even come close to hitting this mark. 

Patrick Mahomes Under 30.5 rushing yards 

  • Odds: -112 (DraftKings)
  • Projection: 4.8

I’m semi-stealing this one from colleague Matthew Freedman, who brought up the likelihood of Mahomes having a slow rushing day on our Fantasy Life show this week—and also put this bet in our free NFL bet tracker. 

Mahomes does typically rush more come playoff time and his 11 rushes against the Bills are a great example of how he’s willing to sell out to get the win in big games. However, the Eagles' defense is built differently and certainly will be ready for Mahomes should he decide to become a primary ball carrier for the Chiefs yet again.

They’ve only allowed 30+ rush yards to an opposing QB on three occasions this season (Jayden Daniels x2; Lamar Jackson x1) and I’m not prone to thinking this will be the spot they suddenly start losing containment.

Freedman’s projections have Mahomes sitting in the 24-yard range, so I’m fine tagging along and riding shotgun as we pray for the Eagles linebackers to do their job and keep the Chiefs QB from making too many plays outside the pocket this week.

Travis Kelce to attempt a pass / DeAndre Hopkins to attempt a pass

  • Kelce +4000 (bet365)
  • Hopkins +6600 (bet365)

Ok, let’s end with a weird one. Not every site has markets for this but on bet365 you can bet on “Non-QB to record a pass attempt”. 

 

As soon as I saw this market, I knew I needed a little exposure. The punters are pretty obvious candidates and certainly, we could see either team attempt a fake punt. However, my impression of both these teams and coaches is that they’d rather go down swinging with their A-Listers than put the game in the hand of a kicker.

That leads us to the skill players. Not many players on the Eagles have attempted passes. A.J. Brown has two career pass attempts, but neither went for a completion—and both came as a member of the Titans.

Kenneth Gainwell completed a pass at some point, but I don’t think Nick Sirianni is spending the lead-up to the biggest game of his career designing trick plays for a backup RB.

That leads me to the Chiefs. Andy Reid lives for moments like this and certainly wouldn’t hesitate to trust one of his veteran pass-catchers to execute a trick play if he thought the Eagles were vulnerable. Both DeAndre Hopkins and Travis Kelce have attempted multiple passes in the NFL and seem like the best candidates on the Chiefs for some kind of trick RPO play.

Like I said up above, it’s the last game of the season, so I’m willing to let my hair (that I don’t have!) down a little and take a stab in a market like this. The most likely scenario is that both these teams stick to the game plan and just let their star players do what they do best—which for the receivers on both teams means catching only.

However, if any team is gonna bring out the chicanery, it’s probably the Chiefs who have a head coach who lives for designing specific plays to exploit the opposing team's weaknesses.

A small stab at two Chiefs (both at huge odds) so I can be the hero who called the Kelce-to-Mahomes TD pass is well worth the risk.