The Super Bowl is upon us, and don't get us wrong… we love to bet on sides, totals, and props. But when our sportsbook overlords give us the opportunity to bet on opening kickoffs, longest punts, or other exotic and novelty bets, well, we can't resist. 

Opening Kickoff to NOT be a touchback +130 (MGM)

49 of 56 opening kickoffs at Super Bowls did not result in a touchback. 

I get it’s not completely fair to add in some of the older Super Bowls in here because of the new touchback rules adopted in 2016, but even in the past six years since the new rule, we’ve seen four of the six opening kickoffs not result in a touchback.

The explanation is simple.

Pat McAfee went on to share that the footballs for the opening kickoff are harder than normal and don’t travel as far due to them being “commemorative” balls.

Even though Jake Elliot and Harrison Butker have combined to hit a touchback on 64% of kickoffs over the last two years, if the ball is different than normal for the opening kickoff, then this changes things.

At plus money, this is a great play.

Eagles Longest Punt over 50.5 yards -115

From 2020-2022 Brett Kern had a game over this number in 42 of 53 games he played in.

In all four games, he’s punted 3+ times this year he’s hit this over as well. 

There’s obviously a concern here just simply with volume, as the Eagles are an elite offense that doesn’t offer the opportunity to a punter that a poor offense would.

Assuming he can get a few punts in this game, it’s pretty likely he hits this over, and even if he only gets one or two opportunities, he can still hit this number. 

For what it’s worth, the line on punts for the Eagles in this game is set at 3.5

Time that the Final play is completed at 10:14:59 PM ET or earlier -155

This equates to whether the game will take 3:45 or longer to play. 

This number has gone under in 14 of the last 17 Super Bowls, with an average time of 3:32, and three times this went over were some of the more unique Super Bowls in recent memory.

First was the OT game with the Patriots' comeback against the Falcons. That game still barely went over, with a total time of 3:47. 

The second was the Patriots/Eagles, in which 74 points were scored, creating a Super Bowl record. Still, this game was 3:46. 

The third game was the blackout in the Superdome, where the lights went out for roughly 45 minutes. 

Other than that, most games have comfortably gone under. We would basically need an absolute shootout with tons of possessions (and commercial breaks) or a game to go into overtime for this over to hit.

In this specific game, it’s totally possible, considering the offenses both teams possess, but the under is such a banger and a bad line set by these books that we should take advantage of. 

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