Underdog Fantasy is one of the fastest-growing companies in the industry. They’re known for their massive best ball tournaments and their snake draft format, but did you know they also offer pick ‘em contests? They work very similarly to traditional prop bets, with players having specific lines set in a variety of categories. You can then pair up to five of these selections together for up to a 20x return on your investment.

If you’re new to Underdog Fantasy, make sure to take advantage of a first-time deposit match of up to $100. Just sign up using our link or by entering promo code LIFE.

Let’s dive into five of my favorite selections for Underdog contests in Week 10.


Derrick Henry Over 107.5 rushing yards

Henry got off to a slow start this season, finishing with 85 rushing yards or fewer in his first three games. Since then, he’s been on an absolute heater. The Titans have fed him the rock as much as possible over the past six games, and he’s averaged 24.8 carries and 127.2 yards per game. He’s racked up at least 100 rushing yards in five of those contests, and he’s gone for at least 114 yards in four of them.

Expect the good time to keep rolling for Henry in Week 10. The Broncos have a strong defense, but that’s solely due to their pass coverage. They rank first in Football Outsiders pass defense DVOA, but they’re just 25th against the run.  The Broncos allowed 191 rushing yards last week vs. the Jaguars, and they’ve allowed at least 155 in three of their past five games.

The Titans should also get Ryan Tannehill back under center this week, which should be good for their offense in general. Things weren’t a disaster with Malik Willis at quarterback, but Tannehill will make the Broncos respect the passing game at least a little.


Kareem Hunt Over 2.0 receptions

Hunt went through a brief swoon a few weeks ago, but he returned to his usual role in the Browns’ offense last game. He was a big factor in the team’s passing attack, running a route on 58% of the team’s targets. He was targeted on 29% of his routes run, and he finished with four catches for 30 yards. Hunt also saw 33 snaps, which didn’t put him far behind Nick Chubb.

That’s not an aberration. Hunt has at least two catches in six of seven games this season, and he has at least three in four.

Hunt draws a fantastic matchup in Week 10 vs. the Dolphins. They’ve been a massive pass funnel this season, ranking seventh in run defense DVOA and 31st against the pass. The Browns are not a team that takes to the air very often, but they could be forced to throw a bit more than usual.

Miami has also struggled to defend running backs in the passing game. They rank 28th in DVOA vs. the position, allowing averages of 7.3 passing attempts and 60.6 receiving yards per game. Hunt is the clear preferred pass-catcher in the Browns’ backfield, so he figures to benefit more than Chubb.


Chase Claypool Under 36.5 receiving yards

The Bears have lost back-to-back games, but the team has to be feeling more optimistic than they have in a long time. Most of that optimism steps from quarterback Justin Fields, who has taken a massive step forward in the past few weeks. The team also acquired Claypool to give Fields another option in the passing game.

That said, most of Fields’ recent improvement stems from his rushing ability. That was on full display last week, with Fields rushing for 178 yards on 15 carries. He passed for 55 fewer yards than he rushed for, and that’s not exactly an anomaly. 

Fields has averaged just 146.9 passing yards per game, so there’s not a whole lot of production to go around for the Bears’ pass-catchers.

There’s also no guarantee that Claypool will get the necessary target volume to surpass this number. Claypool’s six targets in his first contest with the Bears tied with Cole Kmet, while Darnell Mooney led the team with eight. Claypool caught just two of his six targets for 13 yards, so this number feels a bit aggressive.



Dameon Pierce Over 79.5 rushing yards

Most of the focus in this matchup is going to be on the Giants’ running game. The Texans have been horrendous at defending the ground game this season, and the Giants have one of the best running backs in football in Saquon Barkley. He’s definitely a candidate to go over his listed rushing prop of 97.5 yards.

However, don’t forget about Pierce on the other side. The fourth-round rookie out of Florida has blossomed into one of the biggest bell-cow backs in the league. He’s played on 78% of the team’s snaps in back-to-back weeks, and he had a whopping 96% of the carries last week vs. the Eagles. He racked up 139 yards in that contest, and he’s earned praise from Giants defensive coordinator Wink Martindale heading into Week 10. Martindale said that Pierce is the “angriest” runner in the league, and it’s hard to disagree with that assessment.

The Giants are a matchup where Pierce should find some success. They rank just 24th in rush defense DVOA, and the line movement suggests this should be a competitive contest. The Giants are down to just 4.5-point home favorites after starting the week at -6.5. Pierce should get to around 20 carries if this game stays competitive, which should be more than enough to get to 80 yards.


Mack Hollins Over 40.5 receiving yards

Hollins has been a pretty sizable part of the Raiders’ passing attack this season. He’s been the team’s No. 3 receiver when at full strength, and the Raiders have played a ton of three-receiver sets. Hollins has racked up at least an 85% snap share in all eight games this season, resulting in an average of 49.8 receiving yards per game.

Of course, the Raiders are far from full strength at the moment. They recently placed both Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller on IR, which opens up a ton of opportunities for the rest of the roster. Those two players have combined for a 28.4% target market share, and they’ve each been targeted on at least 16% of their routes run.

Hollins figures to be one of the biggest beneficiaries. He’s played in two games this season without Renfrow, and he erupted for 11 targets, eight receptions, 158 yards, and one touchdown vs. the Titans in Week 3. He was unable to duplicate that production in his second outing without Renfrow, but Derek Carr threw for just 188 yards in a brutal matchup vs. the Broncos. Davante Adams accounted for 101 of those yards, so it didn’t leave much for the rest of the roster.

The Colts’ pass defense isn’t nearly as good as the Broncos, so Hollins has an excellent chance to hit the over on 40.5 yards.