Week 10. Double digits. Goodbye Daylight Savings Time.

With Week 9 come and gone, we have officially reached and are moving past the midway point of the season.

The memory of fall foliage is now nothing but a whisper in the wind. On the ground, countless light-brown leaves.

Someday, reality and fantasy will cross paths on a hiking trail. Which one will yield to the other?

No one knows.

This is the life we lead.

A Fantasy Life.

As of Tuesday evening, here's an early look at my (preliminary) favorite Week 10 fantasy plays—the guys who (in some combination) …

  • Might be high in my fantasy rankings relative to the industry consensus.
  • Need to be started in most season-long leagues.
  • Must be added if they are on waivers.
  • Possess underappreciated upside.
  • Have advantageous matchups.
  • Should be considered in daily fantasy.
  • Make for desirable dynasty acquisition targets.
  • Are on teams with player-friendly betting odds.
  • Catch my eye with their player projections.
  • Stand out in our Fantasy Life Player Prop Tool.

Some notes.

Updates: After I submit this piece, any changing opinions I have will be reflected in my rankings and my projections (accessible with a FantasyLife+ subscription), which I will update throughout the week.

Scoring & Ordering: All fantasy points are half-PPR scoring unless otherwise stated. Players are ordered within position roughly (but maybe not precisely) according to my rankings.

Abbreviations: Check out the end of the piece for abbreviations I might use.

Bye Week: This week, the Steelers and 49ers are on bye.. 

Sports Betting Data: Odds are as of 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Nov. 5, and based on the consensus lines in our Fantasy Life Odds Page.

Freedman's Favorites: Although we publish this piece as four separate articles broken out by position, I think of it as one cohesive whole and write it as such. With that in mind, please be sure to check out the rest of my favorite Week 8 fantasy football plays in the other positional previews.

Best QBs for Fantasy Football Week 10

Joe Burrow (Bengals) at Ravens

  • Bengals: +6
  • O/U: 53
  • TT: 23.5

Although this isn't a betting article, I believe it's relevant that Joe Burrow tends to outperform expectations on the road and as an underdog (per Action Network).

  • Burrow on Road: 24-11 ATS (31.3% ROI) | 19-15-1 ML (13.4% ROI)
  • Burrow as Underdog: 18-10 ATS (23.3% ROI) | 11-16-1 ML (13.5% ROI)

And as a road dog of more than a field goal, Burrow has been exceptional.

  • +3.5 as Road Dog - ATS: 9-3 (44.0% ROI)
  • +3.5 as Road Dog - ML: 5-6-1 (37.1% ROI)

Although the Bengals are sizable dogs in Baltimore, I'm not worried about Burrow—especially since the Ravens rank No. 3 in most fantasy points allowed to QBs (21.4) and largest fantasy boost allowed to QBs (+3.8).

Without former DC Mike Macdonald (current Seahawks HC), the Ravens' defense is easily No. 1 in most passing yards allowed per game to QBs (301.8). While the Ravens in previous seasons had a defense to be avoided, this year it has been one to attack.

And that's exactly what Burrow did when he faced the Ravens in Week 5 and passed for 392 yards and 5 TDs (with 1 INT) in a narrow 41-38 overtime loss.

Burrow was terrible in Week 1 (164 yards passing, 5.7 AY/A), but in the eight games since he has looked like a near-MVP candidate (2,080 yards and 20 TDs passing, 8.4 AY/A).

Daniel Jones (Giants) vs. Panthers (in Germany)

  • Giants: -6
  • O/U: 41.5
  • TT: 23.75

Daniel Jones is not good. He's probably bad. At best, he's mediocre.

In the first half last week he had zero yards passing on six attempts. Matt Saracen might've done better.

And yet Jones still ended Week 9 as the No. 4 QB with a more-than-respectable 174 yards and 2 TDs passing (8.2 AY/A) and 7-54-1 rushing.

With a median of 6 carries and 20 yards rushing this year, Jones has a decent fantasy floor each week, and this week his advantageous matchup gifts him a cavernous ceiling, as the Panthers are No. 31 in defensive dropback EPA (0.238, per RBs Don't Matter) and defensive pass DVOA (34.4%, per FTN).

If there's a place to back Jones, it's when he's not at MetLife Stadium.

  • Jones at Home: 14-21 ATS (-23.5% ROI) | 12-22-1 ML (-25.3% ROI)
  • Jones Anywhere Else: 21-14 ATS (15.7% ROI) | 13-22 ML (1.1% ROI)

I probably won't want to watch this game—especially since it's the early one in Germany—but if I happen to turn it on I don't expect Jones' performance to hurt my eyes.

The Dropback

Jalen Hurts (Eagles -7.5, TT: 24.75) at Cowboys: Hurts has an 11.6 AY/A and 44-159-6 rushing in four games since the Week 5 bye. The Cowboys are No. 29 in defensive pass DVOA (21.2%) and might struggle to generate pressure without EDGEs DeMarcus Lawrence (foot, IR), Marshawn Kneeland (knee, IR), Sam Williams (suspension), and perhaps Micah Parsons (ankle), who has been out since Week 5. 

Sam Darnold (Vikings -4, TT: 25.5) at Jaguars: Since the Week 6 bye, Darnold has a 9.0 AY/A, and he has 15-plus fantasy points in every game this season but one (Week 5 vs. Jets). The Jags are No. 1 in largest fantasy boost allowed to QBs (+6.4).

Aaron Rodgers (Jets +1, TT: 22.5) at Cardinals: The aged Rodgers has three extra days to rest and prepare coming off Thursday Night Football, and he has a respectable 7.8 AY/A in his four games with QBs coach Todd Downing calling plays. The Cardinals are No. 32 in defensive dropback SR (51.2%).  

Caleb Williams (Bears -5.5, TT: 22.5) vs. Patriots: The good news about how Williams has performed over the past two weeks is that he at least hasn't thrown any INTs, right? The Patriots are No. 30 in defensive pass DVOA (32.2%).