Ian Hartitz unveils his bold predictions, in-depth analysis, and more in the Week 16 Ian's Manifesto.

And just like that: Week 16 is upon us. Let's break down some ball!

Every week I will be going through 10 key storylines ahead of all the NFL action, focusing on key fantasy-related trends, the week's biggest mismatches, my personal rankings of every game, bold predictions, and much more.

As always: It's a great day to be great.

1. Who should fantasy managers want under center between Jameis Winston and Dorian Thompson-Robinson?

Jameis and it's not particularly close, but sadly the Browns are making the switch to DTR.

Look, I understand how bad the Deshaun Watson experience has been in Cleveland. He's objectively been one of the worst QBs in the NFL over the past three seasons.

And yet, DTR is one of the VERY few QBs who you can make a compelling argument has certifiably been worse.

Dorian Thompson-Robinson among 64 QBs with 125-plus dropbacks in 2023-24:

  • EPA per dropback: -0.284 (62nd)
  • Completion percentage over expected: -12.8% (63rd)
  • Passer rating: 42.6 (64th)
  • Pass TD rate: 0.7% (64th)
  • INT rate: 4.8% (62nd)
  • Yards per attempt: 3.7 (64th)

That last number is particularly egregious: DTR's 3.7 yards per attempt is the single-worst mark in the SUPER BOWL ERA among all QBs with at least 125 career pass attempts.

The offense-wide results have accordingly been miserable. Thompson-Robinson led the Browns to 13, 12, and 3 points in three spot starts last season, failing to clear 165 yards in any of them. His lone extended appearance in 2024 featured 82 yards, 0 TD, and 2 INTs on 11-of-24 passing (45.8% completion) … against the same porous Bengals defense he might face this Sunday.

Look, Winston is clearly capable of dragging this Browns offense into the dumpster himself, but at least he's provided glimmers of hope in addition to his ever-electric pregame speeches. If the Browns' goal at this point is to simply tank, then yeah, go with DTR, but fantasy managers of Jerry Jeudy and company NEED Jameis under center in order to have any level of confidence in an upside scenario.

Jeudy would be the upside WR2 he's been for the better part of the last two months if Winston were under center; shoutout to the 25-year-old talent for being one of just five pass catchers with 1,000-plus receiving yards this season. Fantasy managers could also feel relatively optimistic about Elijah Moore, Cedric Tillman (concussion), and David Njoku (hamstring), again, if we could avoid the DTR experience.

But sadly that's not the world we live in. Largely avoid all associated pass catchers at all costs in Cleveland for the time being. A similar sentiment is true for the team's newfound starting RB as well…

2. What are the outlooks for the league's various next-man-up RBs?

The Injury Gods were unusually kind to RBs all season long, but a handful of injuries suddenly have several backup RBs looking at bigger roles ahead of Week 16.

*Law and Order music*

These are their stories:

Lions RB David Montgomery (MCL): Done of the season. Now fantasy managers can FINALLY start Jahmyr Gibbs after stashing him all season. I joke. Anyway, yeah, go ahead and fire up Gibbs as THE RB1; he ripped off PPR RB2 and RB1 finishes in two full games with Montgomery sidelined last season. Note that Craig Reynolds and Sione Vaki only played special teams after the Monty injury, so don't be surprised if Gibbs sees a snap rate north of 80% ahead of Sunday's matchup with the Bears.

Saints RB Alvin Kamara (groin): Doesn't look great for Sunday's matchup against the Packers. The Saints' injury-riddled offense doesn't exactly provide the higher scoring ceiling these days, but second-year RB KenDre Miller looks poised to rack up 15-20 combined carries and touches as the next man up. Kudos to Miller for making the most out of his (limited) opportunities this season: He ranks second and seventh in missed tackles and yards after contact per carry this season (min. 25 carries, lol). While this week's trip to Lambeau Field doesn't exactly have smash matchup written all over it, Miller will be a top-30 option at the position and someone worth FLEXing in deeper leagues.

Browns RB Nick Chubb (broken foot): Season-ending injury paves the way for Jerome Ford to (again) lead the backfield. However, this amounted to only RB36 production in terms of PPR points per game in Weeks 1-6 this season, as the Deshaun Watson-led Browns struggled to offer any sort of scoring upside, and the likes of Pierre Strong as well as D'Onta Foreman also stayed involved. The former scenario is mercifully out of the picture now, but as we just discussed, Ford isn't someone fantasy managers NEED to jam into the lineups with Dorian Thompson-Robinson replacing Jameis Winston under center.

Texans RB Joe Mixon (ankle): Got banged up by a hip-drop tackle (again). Mixon continued playing, although that is sometimes the case due to adrenaline. Hopefully Mixon is practicing in full on Wednesday and this is a moot point. If not, Dameon Pierce would be the next man up as the early-down back; just realize Dare Ogunbowale figures to see PLENTY of pass-down work as well ahead of a matchup against the Chiefs' league-best defense in fewest PPR points per game allowed to opposing RBs. Both would be lower-end RB3 options if Mixon is ultimately sidelined.

Titans RB Tony Pollard (ankle): Seemed to re-aggravate his ankle injury in Week 15, although Pollard has largely been playing through the pain of one ailment or another all season long. Still, Tyjae Spears' out-of-nowhere PPR RB3 finish reflects the reality that the second-year talent possesses the sort of explosive dual-threat skill-set capable of taking a lonely fantasy analyst from six to midnight in a hurry. Titans RBs other than Pollard and Spears have accounted for just 19 touches all season long—we could expect something close to a true every-down workhorse role for Spears should Pollard be sidelined, and this would land him in the position's top-15 options ahead of a winnable Week 16 matchup with the Colts.

Broncos RB Jaleel McLaughlin (quad): Was starting to emerge as the team's lead RB prior to the injury. With a short week to get ready to face the Chargers on Thursday night, McLaughlin seems to be far from a lock to suit up, meaning Javonte Williams could perhaps re-establish himself as the featured RB. Of course, Williams has had plenty of chances to run away with this role and failed to do so; he'd still be little more than an iffy RB3 ahead of this tough matchup if McLaughlin is ruled out. Knowing Sean Payton, it's always possible the team simply uses guys like Audric Estime and Blake Watson more instead of Williams.

Raiders RB Sincere McCormick (ankle): Could be dealing with a sprain the high-ankle variety,  meaning this Raiders backfield would condense down to Alexander Mattison and Ameer Abdullah. We can go back to Weeks 5-8 to get an idea of what this split might look like.

 

Only the Panthers and Bills have allowed more PPR points per game to opposing RBs than the Jaguars this season, so as gross as it might be to consider FLEXing either Raiders RB, the matchup could present the opportunity to at least provide double-digit fantasy points—especially if Aidan O'Connell manages to get healthy enough to replace Desmond Ridder under center.

Speaking of QB injuries…

3. Who is your best QB streamer bet if disaster struck your team?

I'm in a league where I spent my well-earned first-round bye watching both of my QBs in Patrick Mahomes (ankle) and Geno Smith (knee) go down with injuries that could keep them out of Week 16 and perhaps beyond. Pain.

But that doesn't mean it's time to quit. Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? That's what I thought.

Here's to hoping Mahomes and Smith suit up, Jameis keeps his job, and no other madness strikes the position for the next two weeks. But if not? I'd prioritize these potential streamers:

Colts QB Anthony Richardson (available in 47.8% of ESPN leagues): Has ripped off QB2, QB21, QB11, and QB17 finishes since getting the starting job back in Week 11. The completion percentage might not ever be pretty, but the rushing production sure is: 10-32-2, 10-61-0, 9-48-1, and 7-46-1 rushing lines in those four starts reflect the reality that Richardson remains capable of filling up the boxscore on the ground. Overall, only Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts have more fantasy production strictly from rushing than Richardson during this span. Sunday's winnable matchup against the Titans should offer more scoring upside than usual for the Colts; Richardson is deserving of top-15 treatment in this winnable spot.

Jets QB Aaron Rodgers (56.2%): Has posted top-12 finishes in back-to-back weeks after having just two performances in Weeks 1-13 combined. Good matchups have certainly helped, but that variable also isn't going anywhere against a Rams defense that has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game to opposing QBs this season. The Jets don't seem poised to give up on the lost season just yet, meaning A-aron should have at least another 60 minutes to stat pad with his pair of ultra-talented receivers. Don't freak out here, but I prefer Rodgers over fellow pocket passers in tougher matchups like Justin Herbert and C.J. Stroud.

Rams QB Matthew Stafford (60.6%): The latter point above also holds true for Stafford, who had thrown multiple TDs in four consecutive games prior to last Thursday night's stinker against the 49ers. Good news: The Jets' typically awesome pass defense has been anything but for awhile now: Only the Giants and Jaguars have allowed more EPA per dropback than Gang Green since Week 8. I lean Rodgers over Stafford due to the likelihood the former QB's offense airs the ball out a bit more, but both offer solid multi-TD upside thanks to their rather awesome WR rooms.

Jaguars QB Mac Jones (98.5%): This one is for people in deep skank leagues with very little options to choose from on the waiver wire. That said: Give Jones credit for sandwiching respectable 18-plus fantasy points performances around Week 14's dud. There's a low floor here obviously, but beggars can't be choosers, and the Jaguars' +3% dropback rate over expected since Week 13 reflects the reality that they're down to let Jones cook amidst this lost season. The matchup is winnable against a Maxx Crosby-less Raiders defense that has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing QBs this season.

Sticking on the topic of gross replacement options…

4. What TE streamer is the best dart to throw this week?

Fantasy managers might still be grasping for straws here due to late-season injuries to guys like Evan Engram (shoulder, IR), Dallas Goedert (knee, IR), David Njoku (hamstring), Will Dissly (shoulder), and Zach Ertz (concussion) among others.

Lucky for you (kinda): There are a few players still usually available on the waiver wire who possess solid enough one-week upside.

Texans TE Dalton Schultz (available in 55.5% of ESPN leagues): Only has two top-12 PPR finishes all season, but maybe a matchup with the Chiefs' 30th-ranked defense in fantasy points allowed to the position is just what the Texans' $36-million man needs. It's been a disappointing season for the Texans' offense as a whole; just realize the Chiefs have largely funneled opposing production through the air in recent weeks. Consider: Kansas City had ranked just 29th in EPA per dropback in Weeks 8-14 prior to Jameis Winston throwing them the ball every other dropback last Sunday. 

Chargers TE Stone Smartt (97.6%): Has posted 3-54-0 and 5-50-0 receiving lines with Dissly out of the picture over the last two weeks. Arguably more of a WR than a TE, Smartt had a legit near full-time role (70% route rate) in Week 15 and now gets a Broncos defense that is so good on the outside that they've allowed the second-most targets to opposing TEs this season. Smartt is deserving of mid-tier TE2 treatment and someone I would start ahead of guys like Kyle Pitts, Cole Kmet, and Mike Gesicki, among others.

Jaguars TE Brenton Strange (97.9%): Somehow the best option of the three, Strange has made the most out of his five spot starts this season by posting PPR TE9, TE8, TE25, TE9, and TE2 finishes. The Penn State product was the 61st overall pick of the 2023 NFL Draft for a reason and possesses fantasy-friendly athleticism; Strange is essentially the No. 2 pass-game option in Jacksonville at the moment and finds himself in a winnable matchup against the league's fifth-worst defense in PPR points per game allowed to opposing TEs.

Week 16 really is a great spot for Strange, but not everyone can be so lucky.

5. What BRUTAL Week 16 matchups deserve legit downgrades in the fantasy ranks?

The Fantasy Life DVP tool is pretty cool because it not only tells you how many fantasy points per game defenses are allowing to each position, but also the number of points above or below expectation.

Accordingly, these three Week 16 matchups look really tough on paper:

49ers QB Brock Purdy vs. Dolphins (-3.4 fantasy point boost vs. QBs): Weather has been the primary culprit behind Purdy's QB32 and QB31 finishes in Weeks 13 and 15; it's not like he needs to be ranked outside the position's top-20 options ahead of this matchup. Still, the Dolphins aren't exactly a pushover, thanks in large part to an ascending pass rush that has racked up the league's sixth-most pressures since Week 6. That said, I'm not too worried about the 49ers passing attack; the Dolphins were flamed for 339 yards by Aaron Rodgers just two weeks ago after all. Treat Purdy as a borderline QB1 more so alongside guys like Rodgers and Stafford, as opposed to a mid-tier option with Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold.

Texans RB Joe Mixon vs. Chiefs (-4.7 fantasy point boost vs. RBs): Only three RBs have reached 15 PPR points against the Chiefs all season long. Meanwhile, Mixon (ankle) could be operating at less than 100% this week, and he's already been struggling with under two yards per carry in three of his last five games. Now, the potential for 20-plus touches makes it difficult to drop Mixon too far down the ranks; just realize the potential for (another) piss-poor efficiency effort has me leaning toward guys like Chuba Hubbard, Isaac Guerendo, and James Cook despite Mixon's superior body of work this season.

Commanders WR Terry McLaurin vs. Eagles (-4.1 fantasy point boost vs. WRs): McLaurin is having a career-best 2024 season and has scored OR gained at least 98 yards in 11 of his last 12 games. Overall, McLaurin joins Justin Jefferson and Ja'Marr Chase as the only WRs with 15-plus PPR points in double-digit games this season. Of course, his one dud (1-10-0) over the past three months happened to come against this very Eagles defense. This isn't to suggest you can't play McLaurin—each of Adam Thielen (19.2 PPR points), Cooper Kupp (20), and Puka Nacua (20.7) have put forward quality performances against this group over the past four weeks—but expectations do deserve to be tempered, leaving McLaurin as more of a boom-or-bust WR2 as opposed to the top-8 option he was last week.

On the topic of who boasts the best pass defenses these days…

6. What pass defenses have gotten MUCH better or worse in the second half of the season?

The below chart denotes every defense's performance in EPA allowed per dropback in Weeks 1-8 compared to Weeks 9-15 this season.

The biggest improvements feature the Cardinals (+26 rank change), Cowboys (+21), Ravens (+17), Colts (+14), and Panthers (+14). The most actionable note here would be NOT going fully to the well on the Steelers passing game against the once mediocre Ravens pass defense. Even the presence of George Pickens (hamstring) wasn't enough to keep Russell Wilson from averaging season-low marks in yards per attempt (5.7) and passer rating (67.5) against this group back in Week 11.

Meanwhile, the biggest losers have been the Bears (-26), Jets (-20), Bills (-15), Titans (-13), and Raiders (-12). Accordingly, we shouldn't be overly sweating the pass-game projections of the Lions, Rams, Patriots, Colts, or Jaguars. This isn't to suggest those passing attacks are set to smash–particularly the latter three–but at a minimum their respective matchups don't warrant downgrades considering the defenses they're facing have been pretty mediocre for the better part of the last six weeks.

Man, predicting the future isn't too easy, huh? Oh well. Let's keep trying to do it anyway!

7. Fraud check: Which top Week 15 performances were real?

The following players ripped off sterling top-12 PPR performances last week, but that doesn't mean the production is here to stay. Presenting: Fraud check, where we (me) decide if last week's biggest stars are here to stay, or if we simply just witnessed a one-off boom.

Cowboys QB Cooper Rush (QB8): Don't look now, but Rush has thrown multiple TDs in three of his last four games and is fresh off easily his best performance of the season against the lowly Panthers. Up next is a Buccaneers defense that emerged as a bit of a pass funnel unit thanks in large part to the walking, talking, human stonewall that is Vita Vea. Don't expect another top-10 performance out of Rush or anything, but he's earned top-20 consideration and could be a better option than guys like C.J. Stroud or Justin Herbert considering the matchups. I still lean toward those latter QBs, but not all Fantasy Life rankers feel that way.

Titans RB Tyjae Spears (RB3): The Titans' second-year RB demonstrated his slippery dual-threat ability with 4-5-1 rushing and 6-87-1 receiving lines against the Bengals last week. Of course, the Bengals' sad excuse for a defense helped matters, but the Colts' 27th-ranked unit in PPR points per game allowed to opposing RBs doesn't exactly move the needle either. I wouldn't trust Spears even a little bit if Tony Pollard (ankle) again chooses to play through the pain; just realize we're looking at a legit high-end, top-15 caliber handcuff play otherwise.

Panthers WR Jalen Coker (WR12): Cokeheads, rejoice! Yes, Coker's big Week 15 was thanks in large part to an 83-yard TD scored on a blown coverage. Also yes, another full-time role is on the way now that Xavier Legette (groin) is out for at least Week 16. The Cardinals' aforementioned improvement in pass defense doesn't exactly make this a smash spot, but that doesn't mean Coker can't provide ~WR4 level production should Bryce Young bounce back following last week's dud. Coker was an upgrade in Dwain McFarland's ever-excellent Utilization Report.

Steelers TE Pat Freiermuth (TE8): Has scored in three straight games and accordingly posted PPR TE6, TE5, and TE8 finishes. Only Trey McBride and Jonnu Smith have also posted top-8 finishes at the position in each of their last three games. Not too shabby, until you remember Muth's 2-14-0 dud against the Ravens five weeks ago, as well as the reality that he's still seen 4 or fewer targets in six of eight games with Russell Wilson under center. Freiermuth remains a TD-dependent TE2 option despite the recent run of success; I'm starting guys like Brenton Strange and Jake Ferguson ahead of him this week.

8. What are the biggest on-paper mismatches in Week 15?

Every week I put together a group of charts meant to provide easy-to-decipher matchup advantages on both sides of the ball in a handful of categories. This includes combined explosive pass/run-play rates, pressure, yards before contact, pass yards per dropback, and EPA per play. The idea is to have one metric to show a mismatch instead of always going, "Offense ranks X, defense ranks Y."

Without further adieu: The week's biggest mismatches in these ever-important categories. Feel free to click on any of the below categories for a full chart.

  • Explosive passing offense: The Ravens, Lions, and Eagles passing games appear to be set up quite well. However, the Chiefs, Commanders, Patriots, and Giants aren't looking too hot at the moment ahead of their tough respective matchups.
  • Explosive running offense: The Cardinals, Patriots, and Buccaneers look especially poised to do good things on the ground this week. Meanwhile, the Steelers and Browns, in particular, look to have their work cut out for them.
  • Pressure: The Cardinals, Jaguars, and Bills look ready to provide plenty of clean pockets this week, while the Eagles, Bengals, and Vikings could be facing more pressure than they'd prefer.
  • Yards before contact per carry: RBs from the Eagles, Ravens, Cardinals, and Bears might have more clear runways than usual this week, but the opposite is true for the Titans, 49ers, Panthers, and Seahawks.
  • Pass yards per dropback: The best set-up passing attacks look like the Lions, Packers, Ravens, and Bills this week, while the worst look like the Bears, Chiefs, Giants, Commanders, and Patriots.
  • EPA per play: Rams-Jets andE agles-Commanders stand out as the week's most likely back-and-forth shootouts, whereas Broncos-Chargers looks like the week's top defensive slugfest.

9. Ranking every game of the week from a biased entertainment perspective

I remain steadfast in the idea that no NFL game is inherently "bad." Complaining about specific matchups is ignoring the reality that relatively *meh* football is so much better than *no* football; we should NEVER dismiss any given 60 minutes of professional action on the gridiron.

With that said: Some matchups are indeed more awesome than others, so let's take a quick second to rank every matchup of the week in terms of what I'm looking forward to most through my own biased lenses:

  1. Steelers-Ravens. Two of the AFC's top-4 teams in terms of point differential meet in a battle that will help decide the AFC North champion. In Week 11, the Steelers took home the W despite not scoring a single TD; don't expect that witchcraft to be enough this time in Baltimore for this Saturday afternoon special.
  2. Broncos-Chargers. The fact this matchup is No. 2 speaks to how subpar this week looks as a whole on paper. Still, the Broncos and Chargers are tied with the Eagles for the league's best scoring defense, meaning the likely low-scoring contest will at least be more of the "good" vs. "ugly" variety.
  3. Eagles-Commanders. Not to be a dick, but the Commanders' only wins since September ended have come against: Deshaun Watson, Andy Dalton, Caleb Williams (on a miraculous Hail Mary), Daniel Jones, Will Levis, and Spencer Rattler thanks to a stopped two-point conversion. Meanwhile, the Eagles look a lot like the NFC's best all-around squad given how banged up the Lions are. Maybe we get a good matchup here, but as a (not overly good) gambling man, I LOVE Philly -3.5.
  4. Vikings-Seahawks. This is contingent on Geno Smith (knee) playing through the pain; otherwise this would slot in somewhere in the 12-14 range. Still, Sam Darnold and the Vikings continue to be one of the season's best feel-good stories, and this is one of only five Week 16 matchups featuring two teams with winning records.
  5. Rams-Jets. I'm weirdly optimistic about this one turning into a fantasy-friendly shootout. Then again, it's also possible each team's respective elderly QB struggles in freezing temperatures. At least the NFC West-leading Rams have every reason to keep their foot on the gas.
  6. Patriots-Bills. The Bills figure to do all sorts of Bills things and win this game in style; they're 14-point favorites for a reason. Still, Drake Maye has the sort of talent and gunslinger mentality to still be awfully entertaining even inside of a bad all-around situation.
  7. Buccaneers-Cowboys. The week's highest game total (49) resides in a QB duel between Baker Mayfield and Cooper Rush. What a time to be alive.
  8. 49ers-Dolphins. Neither team is exactly operating at peak efficiency, although it also wouldn't be surprising if we see a sneaky shootout unfold. At least we won't have to deal with Tua and Co. playing in cold weather. That's a good start.
  9. Lions-Bears. Detroit figures to still do plenty of good things on offense, but watching the Bears just makes me sad these days. Kudos to Caleb Williams for being tough enough to absorb all the punishment he's taken on this season at least.
  10. Cardinals-Panthers. At this point my main concern while watching the Cardinals is whether or not Trey McBride will catch a TD. I guess James Conner is cool, too.
  11. Browns-Bengals. I would rank this No. 1 if Jameis Winston were starting.
  12. Texans-Chiefs. This one looked like an easy pick for the No. 1 spot back in August, but now? We have a disappointing Texans offense that just *totaled* 181 yards against the Dolphins and a similarly disappointing Chiefs offense that will either have Carson Wentz or a hobbled Patrick Mahomes (ankle) under center. The reality that Texans-Chiefs is tied with Raiders-Jaguars for the lowest game total of the week (39.5) is just so sad.
  13. Saints-Packers. Virtually every important piece of the Saints offense is injured, so get ready for Jordan Love and Josh Jacobs to probably score around 30 points in an easy victory. Which is cool and everything, but yeah, not exactly a peak Monday night matchup. Call me a hater.
  14. Titans-Colts. This one has the potential to be more "bad but fun" than "bad and bad", especially if Will Levis gets another chance under center as opposed to Mason Rudolph. At least we can look forward to Anthony Richardson making a few truly awesome tight-window dimes as well as a few misses that will make you wonder how he's a professional thrower of the football.
  15. Giants-Falcons. I appreciate Tim Boyle being more willing to test defenses downfield than your typical bad QB, but yeah: The New York Football Giants have been one of the most depressing teams to watch all season long outside of the occasional Malik Nabers highlight, while Kirk Cousins has arguably been the single-worst QB in football over the last six weeks. Cool?
  16. Jaguars-Raiders. It's never good when you're genuinely REALLY hoping Aidan O'Connell is healthy enough to play.

10. Three bold predictions for Week 16:

Every week I'll put my reputation on the line regarding a handful of players I believe could outperform their general fantasy-related expectations. The majority will NOT work out—they wouldn't be bold otherwise—but will that stop me? Hell, no!

Without further adieu: Let's get weird.

  • Bears RB D'Andre Swift: Swift had a four-game stretch with 119-plus total yards and a TD from the end of September through October, but hasn't reached 90 yards and has just one TD since. That said: The Bears have fed him 15-plus touches in all but two games this season, and the Lions are essentially playing their entire backup defense at this point due to injuries. I like Swift providing some (rare) fireworks for the Bears offense this week and going for 130 yards and a pair of scores.
  • Ravens WR Zay Flowers: I truly believe Flowers is one of the best 15 or so WRs in the NFL. He's electric after the catch, and few manage to get out of their breaks as smoothly. Of course, the Ravens tend to spread things around and don't always need to force feed their No. 1 WR. Expect that to at least somewhat change on Saturday against a Steelers defense that has allowed some big performances to the likes of Jerry Jeudy (5-64-1, 6-85-0), Ja'Marr Chase (6-86-1), Tee Higgins (5-69-1), DeVonta Smith (11-109-1), A.J. Brown (8-110-1), and Terry McLaurin (5-113-0) over the last six weeks. Give me 120 yards and a trip to the end zone for Mr. Flowers.
  • Jets WR Garrett Wilson: Last week it was Davante Adams, but perhaps this week it's the Jets' ultra-talented 24-year-old wideout against a Rams defense that has allowed guys like Jauan Jennings (46.5 PPR points), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (37), Marvin Harrison Jr. (29), Jameson Williams (24.4), A.J. Brown (22.9), and Khalil Shakir (21.6) to clear 20 fantasy points in style this season. This matchup between two at-times solid passing offenses and two floundering secondaries has sneaky shootout written all over it. I say 150 yards and a TD for Garrett Wilson, lock it in.

Players highlighted last week and results: James Cook (133 yards, 2 TDs), Calvin Ridley (60 yards), Brian Robinson (87 yards).