In today's Fantasy Life Newsletter, presented by Guillotine Leagues:
After a few hectic weeks with injuries and weather, it’s a quiet weekend for the NFL Wild Card round. Jalen Hurts was cleared from concussion protocol and is good to go, while Jordan Love practiced in full for the second straight day on Friday after injuring his elbow last week.
A.J. Brown didn’t practice Thursday, but said he will play. DeVonta Smith didn’t practice Friday due to back tightness, but is expected to play since he’s not on the injury report.
Quentin Johnston is good to go after being limited with a thigh injury and illness this week. He will see more targets with Joshua Palmer out.
Zay Flowers was ruled out Thursday, and it wasn’t a surprise after seeing him down in pain grabbing his right knee last week.
With the injury news out of the way, it’s time to get in a few more leagues. If you haven’t joined Guillotine LeaguesTM yet, now is your chance. There are several articles to help with guidance and strategies. There are plenty of options to choose from.
- Guilloteenie ADP is here to help with last-minute drafts
- Pete drops Super Wild Card Weekend DFS options
- Watercooler: Can you survive against the King of the Chop?
Time's running out!
Registration for CHOPionships ends TODAY!
Learn more about the best NEW way to play NFL Playoff Fantasy Football.
AROUND THE WATERCOOLER
The latest analysis and insights from our merry band of football nerds:
👑 Want to join a CHOPionship? The King of the Chop has a few spots left if you hurry!
🪓 Can you Chop Matthew? Take your best shot here.
🔪 Props and Chops! CHOPionship advice and Super Wild Card Weekend props.
⏮️ Rewind! Kendall, Chris, and Geoff share what they learned from playing Guillotine Leagues for the first time.
👀 Playing DFS this weekend is just … wild. Here are our projections.
💍 Is this fantasy punishment going too far? What would you propose?
Guilloteenie ADP: Josh Allen, Saquon Barkley Lead Postseason Picks
We have a Guilloteenie mock, Paul Charchian wrote an in-depth cheatsheet, and we put together a set of rankings.
We even dedicated a full show to drafting a Guilloteenie squad.
And now we have data. Cold, hard, unbiased data.
Please enjoy this Guillotine LeaguesTM “Guilloteenie” ADP as you enter your contests and coast to the Final 2. Care to guess who’s No. 1 out of this top 100?
Wild Card NFL DFS Picks: Build Around Justin Herbert
By Peter Overzet
I love Super Wild Card Weekend. It's truly the last great DFS slate for the season.
Divisional Round always features the best real-life football with the Top 2 seeds back in the mix, but the 6-game slate of Wild Card weekend gives us so many fun angles for building tournament teams.
Normally the picks in this space focus on DraftKings games/pricing, but I'm switching it up this week to focus on the Underdog draft games.
You'll still want to be overweight on the top players in the early rounds of drafts, but I like having at least one unique piece on each roster that I "reach for" in the last round.
With that said, here are some good scroll-down options for each position.
🏆 Herbie Fully Loaded
QB Justin Herbert (ADP: 34.2; QB7; $6000)
If there's one thing I feel extremely confident in this weekend it's the Chargers handling a fraudulent Texans team that has limped into the playoffs.
Despite traveling to Houston for this game, the oddsmakers agree with me—Los Angeles is positioned as 3-point road favorites. The Bolts also have fairly favorable Super Bowl odds around +3000, in large part due to this winnable Round 1 matchup.
If the Chargers do take care of business, it will likely be because of Herbert, who has averaged 21.6 fantasy points over the past month.
Houston is one of the bigger pass funnels in the entire league. They are the third-stingiest team vs. opposing RBs (-1.7 boost), while giving up the 10th-biggest boost to opposing QBs (+1.8 boost) and opposing WRs (+2.9 boost).
Because Herbert is QB7 on Underdog, he will likely get drafted in less than 50% of drafts. You can stack him with any combo of his WRs, though keep an eye on the injury reports for Quentin Johnston (he missed practice on both Wednesday and Thursday). Joshua Palmer is already out. If QJ misses, Will Dissly becomes an extremely strong play.
