All love and prayers to the people of Baltimore.
In todayās Fantasy Life Newsletter presented by Moby:
Takeaways from the Owners and Coaches Meetings
An Update on Nick Chubb: Good news for Cleveland
Jayden Daniels Prospect Profile: Ian breaks down the Heisman winner
Itās 3/27. Take it away, Chris Allenā¦
If you get enough decision-makers together, somebodyās going to let something slip.
Well, at least thatās the hope.
Most of the leagueās movers and shakers are down in Orlando to talk shop and unveil changes coming next season (more on that in a bit). And with all of the media around, a few of the interviews generated some buzz in the fantasy space.
š± Calvin Ridley is the nextā¦ JaāMarr Chase?
ESPNās Kevin Clark sat down with Titansā HC Brian Callahan about his plans for Calvin Ridley. And, despite joining a passing game already featuring DeAndre Hopkins, Cincinnatiās former OC compared Ridley to the Bengalsā WR1.
āYouāre looking at a very similar role to what JaāMarr [Chase] played.ā
Of course, thatās the headline.
But Callahan expanded on what most of us would consider to be clickbait with Ridleyās ability to win both from the slot and on the perimeter. And the former Jaguar can still run a full route tree. All of which line up with the tape despite a tough ending to 2023.
Regardless, if Tennessee wants to use its $92M-dollar WR like a true WR1, his fifth-round ADP on Underdog might be worth the cost.
š Kyle Pitts to the MFāing Moon
I realize Pete got everyone riled up talking about Kyle Pitts last week. But Iām going to ask for everyone to stay calm reading about HC Raheem Morrisā thoughts on his new TE.
Morris on Kyle Pitts, whom he referred to as the "mayor of Atlanta": āI think he just brings nothing but excitement when you're talking about how he wants to be used, whether you spread him out ā¦ whether you have him in line, whether you have him in the backfield, for thatā¦ twitter.com/i/web/status/1ā¦
Morris is already referring to Pitts by a cool nickname?
Pitts brings nothing but excitement?!
Atlantaās coaching staff is really excited aboutā¦Pittsā TARGETS?!?!
Drake Londonās ADP has already soared into the second round (ADP: 23.2), while Pitts sits around 68th overall. If we can chalk up some of his lagging production in ā23 to injury recovery, the Falconsā TE should see a similar boost in draft cost.
š¦ The Eaglesā Offense Will Beā¦Interesting
Naturally, differing styles need time to mesh. And in Philadelphia, combining Nick Sirianniās approach and new OC Kellen Mooreās schematic tendencies shouldnāt be any different. But at this point, the uncertainty is worth monitoring.
Nick Sirianni sidestepped most questions about how the #Eaglesā offense may look with new OC Kellen Moore. Did use the phrase āKellen leading the offenseā a few times.
There will be obvious crossover between his and Mooreās schemes. But how the hybrid system will incorporateā¦ twitter.com/i/web/status/1ā¦
To be fair, Sirianni did give the former Chargersā and Cowboysā OC some props for ādirecting the shipā so far (whatever that means). But looking at just their 2023 playcalling philosophies, theyāve got some work to do.
Dropback Over Expectation Rate: 4.0% (Moore), -1.0% (Sirianni)
Under Center Rate: 19.1%, 7.1%
RPO Rate: 14.6%, 19.0%
Pre-Snap Motion Rate: 59.0%, 26.4%
Adding Saquon Barkley, an RB whose target share has been above 10.0% every season since 2018, to a squad that hasnāt involved their rushers to that degree since 2019 (Miles Sanders) was already something of a headscratcher. But hopefully, Mooreās sermons from the Good Book of the Forward Pass will keep the values of the Eaglesā pass-catching trio of A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert stable for 2024.
š§ Robert Kraft Wants a QB
Most first-round mocks hinge on what the Patriots will do at third overall. Some think theyāll trade down. New Englandās GM Eliot Wolf could look to stockpile picks and build their offensive line, based on his time in Green Bay.
But apparently, Robert Kraft has a sliiiiiiiightly different idea of the direction his team should take.
Robert Kraft says as a fan, he'd like to see the Patriots take a QB at No. 3 overall.
But "we're going to be open to whatever can come our way. I'll let the team make the decision what they think is best. One way or another, I'd like to see us get a top rate quarterback."
New Englandās front office already has ālengthyā meetings set up with the top QB prospects. From Drake Maye to Jayden Daniels (Ian has some thoughts on Daniels later), the Patriots are doing their due diligence before the opening night of the draft. Either route they choose, itāll give us a keen insight into how decisions and investments are being made in this new age of Patriots football.
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š Bijan Robinson is being drafted WHERE?? Biggest ADP trends to watch.
š² Kickoff returns are back, baby! Check out the new rules starting this season.
ā” Pittsburgh signs the top FA return man. Iām going to have the Steelersā D/ST on every roster.
š Saintsā star OL may not be cleared for play. Means more targets to Kamara, right?
š¤ Rookie visits are happening left and right. Check out which prospects are meeting with your team!
š¤ Browns' GM gives an update on Nick Chubb. April will be a huge month for Cleveland.
ā° The league moves the trade deadline. Deals and the election on the same day. What a world.
š° No extension for Dak Prescott coming soon. Itās the final year of Dak, CeeDeeās, and McCarthyās contracts. Itāll be fine.
š Goodell announces a change to the ā24 schedule. Some would call it a gift. Others? Wellā¦
The reigning Heisman Trophy winner racked up ridiculous numbers as both a passer (3,812 yards and 40 TDs) and rusher (135-1,134-10) during his magical 2023 campaign. And now, heās the rookie QB2 in best ball drafts.
Is he worth the click? Letās see what Ian has to say about Jayden Danielsā¦
š Pro: Can be a pure pocket passer constantly willing to go through progressions
You might assume that Danielsā ridiculous rushing ability makes him a bit of a run-first QB who needs to learn how to be better at winning from the pocket.
In reality: Not really! While having Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas constantly winning their respective one-on-one battles on the outside sure as hell helped matters, Daniels deserves a lot of credit for his repeated ability to win from the pocket.
As NFL.comās Lance Zierlein eloquently puts it:
āHowever, teams must also recognize that he has no issues sitting in the pocket and working through progressions as a platform thrower with good mechanics and footwork. Daniels possesses the football intelligence to get himself protected and take care of the football with quality decision-making. Heās an accurate passer over the first two levels and throws with anticipation to slice and dice zone coverages.ā
Thereās also PFFās excellent 2024 draft guide, which includes āStable Metricsā for every QB. They are defined as metrics that tend to be more predictive of future success than unstable metrics. The most stable facets of QB play are those with the biggest sample sizes, even though they intuitively seem āeasier.ā
Danielsā performance in the five corresponding stable metrics:
No pressure grade: 93rd percentile
Early down grade: 93rd
No play-action grade: 98th
Negative play % grade: 98th
Passes past the sticks grade: 97th
There are countless examples of Daniels putting the football exactly where it needs to be downfield. His deep slot fades in particular were often b-e-a-utiful. I even think the idea that he ācanātā throw over the middle is quite overrated.
Jayden Daniels throwing over the middle
The man didnāt throw for 40 TDs in 12 games by accident last season; Daniels consistently made the most out of his (admittedly pristine) offensive environment at LSU.
For (mostly) better and worse: Danielsā deep ball and speed force defenses to account for virtually every square inch of the field when heās under center. This isnāt a trait that all QBs come close to possessing; even relative early-career struggles at the next level should at least still result in fantasy-friendly production along with a positive gravity-induced impact on the rest of his offense.
Full Breakdown of the Reigning Heisman Trophy Winner
