If you are debating between which QB to start you donât have a starting QBâŠ
In todayâs Fantasy Life Newsletter presented by Underdog Fantasy:
A red herring from the Patriots?
QB battles taking form
Rookie Profile: Drake Maye
Itâs 3/25. Take it away, Peter OverzetâŠ
The Patriotsâ decision with the third overall pick in the 2024 Draft should be very easy:
You take whoever is left between Drake Maye and Jayden Daniels and usher in a new era of New England football with a potential franchise QB.
But as weâve learned over the years, nothing is ever easy when it comes to the Patriots.
New head coach Jerod Mayo seems to be picking up right where Bill Belichick left off with the games and obfuscation:
Sure, Mac Jones was a flop and the Patriots could secure a war chest if they decided to trade back, but that would be very irresponsible.
Jones was the 15th overall pick in 2021 and both Maye and Daniels are considered much, much better prospects (check out Ianâs profile of Maye below, by the way).
The Patriots have historically loved trading down, but to what end? The goal will always be to land a franchise QB and itâs hard to imagine a better near-term setup to do so than picking No. 3 in a class with three clear top QB prospects.
In this piece on NFL.com, Mayo gushes about the newly-signed Jacoby Brissett and says he could be their starter this year. Brissett is, admittedly, an above-average backup QB, but the key word there is backup.
The Draft is a month away, so itâs time to cram on these rookies. Today, Ian breaks down one of the best QB prospects expected to go at the top of the draftâŠ
Maye arrived at North Carolina as a five-star recruit and next-big-thing inside of a program that has sent Mitchell Trubisky and Sam Howell to starting NFL QB heights over the past seven years.
Obviously, neither of those latter QBs exactly took over the league, but itâs hard not to be enamored about Mayeâs ability to buck the trend after his three seasons in Charlotte. His 2022 campaign (4,321 pass yards, 38 TDs) was a bit more prolific than the encore in 2023 (3,608 yards, 24 TDs), but maybe thatâs just life after losing your top-two WRs to the NFL (Josh Downs, Antoine Green) and dealing with a pretty meh offensive line (and sore ankle) all season long.
Seriously: Mayeâs supporting cast last season was the worst of the big-six QBs and a bit of a night-and-day difference when watching the group.
Best/worst Power-5 2023 supporting casts in terms of average team PFF rush, receiving, pass blocking and run blocking grades (everything except passing):
Still, even the snap crash back to reality (ope, there goes gravity) wasnât enough to stop Maye from landing PFFâs best overall passing grade over the past two seasons, even if his more traditional efficiency metrics werenât quite as stellar.
Maye among 89 Power-5 QBs with 300-plus dropbacks 2021-23:
PFF pass grade: 91.6 (No. 1)
Passer rating: 105.4 (No. 25)
Yards per attempt: 8.4 (No. 26)
Adjusted completion rate: 75.3% (No. 24)
9-5 and 8-5 records in 2022 and 2023 reflect the reality that Maye didnât exactly turn this program into world-beaters, but (like Caleb Williams), the difference between these two QBâs defenses and what the rest of the top-2024 signal-callers were working with is pretty much night and day.
Games where their defense gave up 28+ points 2022-23:
Caleb Williams: 18 Drake Maye: 17 Michael Penix: 14 Jayden Daniels: 13 Bo Nix: 8 ... J.J. McCarthy: 1
The two-time team captain leaves North Carolina as someone fully expected to be off the board within the first few picks of the 2024 NFL Draft. Letâs dive into why.
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