It's Week 11 of the NFL regular season, which means we're officially more than halfway through.

Over the past six years (since I started submitting mocks in competitions), I’m the No. 2 mocker for accuracy, and I'm a lifetime 484-424 (+102.6 units) betting on the draft.

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In 2024 I was a terrible 38-49 (-10.4 units) thanks largely to a heavy fade of QB Michael Penix, but I was at least the No. 5 mocker.

Here's my way-too-early 2025 NFL mock draft (published in May), in case you want to check it out.

2025 Mock Draft Methodology

I've determined draft order by projecting out the rest of the season and assigning picks based on expected win totals for each team. Each week, you can access my team projections in our Fantasy Life Game Models (accessible with a FantasyLife+ subscription).

With this mock, I'm trying to accomplish four main tasks.

  1. Maintain my spreadsheets and models for the 2025 draft.
  2. Work through my thoughts on potential team needs.
  3. Review hierarchies within position groups.
  4. Identify players with a chance of going in Round 1.

I will be wrong on almost everything in this mock, which is essentially an exercise in exercise. Because of that, I provide only brief notes at the end.

2025 Mock Draft

Here's my "we're midway through the NFL season" mock draft:

PickTeamPlayerSchoolPosition

1

CARCameron WardMiamiQB

2

NETravis HunterColoradoWR

3

TENShedeur SandersColoradoQB

4

NOQuinn EwersTexasQB

5

CLEJalen MilroeAlabamaQB

6

LVCarson BeckGeorgiaQB

7

NYGGarrett NussmeierLSUQB

8

JAXWill CampbellLSUOT

9

MIAKelvin BanksTexasOT

10

NYJMalaki StarksGeorgiaS

11

CHIJonah SavaiinaeaArizonaOT

12

SEAAbdul CarterPenn StateEDGE

13

DALAshton JeantyBoise StateRB

14

CINNic ScourtonTexas A&MEDGE

15

DENTetairoa McMillanArizonaWR

16

LARWill JohnsonMichiganCB

17

TBMykel WilliamsGeorgiaEDGE

18

INDBenjamin MorrisonNotre DameCB

19

SFMason GrahamMichiganDT

20

ARIJames PearceTennesseeEDGE

21

HOUKenneth GrantMichiganDT

22

LACDeone WalkerKentuckyDT

23

GBTyleik WilliamsOhio StateDT

24

MINShavon RevelEast CarolinaCB

25

PITLuther BurdenMissouriWR

26

ATLHarold PerkinsLSUEDGE

27

PHIJalon WalkerGeorgiaEDGE

28

WASAireontae ErseryMinnesotaOT

29

BALEmery JonesLSUOT

30

BUFEmeka EgbukaOhio StateWR

31

DETJack SawyerOhio StateEDGE

32

KCDenzel BurkeOhio StateCB

Borderline Prospects

These are the players I currently view as residing on the borderline of Rounds 1-2.

  • WR Isaiah Bond (Texas)
  • TE Colston Loveland (Michigan)
  • OT Cameron Williams (Texas)
  • OGs Tyler Booker (Alabama) & Donovan Jackson (Ohio State)
  • EDGEs Princely Umanmielen (Mississippi), Lebbeus "LT" Overton (Alabama) & J.T. Tuimoloau (Ohio State)
  • DT Walter Nolen (Mississippi)
  • CB Tacario Davis (Arizona)

Quarterbacks

Six QBs in the first seven picks? Yes. Why not?

If I had told you at this time last year that we would get six in the top 12, you would've said I was ridiculous.

Many teams at the top of the board need QBs, and this class has enough of them who could entice.

Right now, Shedeur Sanders is +300 (DraftKings) to go No. 1, but I marginally prefer Cameron Ward (+500), given that he has friendlier odds and goes ahead of Sanders in most of the mocks I've perused.

Running Backs

I have just one RB going in Round 1: The electric Ashton Jeanty.

It will be so hilarious when the Cowboys see him go off the board one pick ahead of them after GM Jerry Jones mentions casually in an interview the day before the draft that they intend to take him in Round 1.

Wide Receivers

Travis Hunter, Tetairoa McMillan, and Luther Burden currently feel like Round 1 locks.

I wanted to get Isaiah Bond into the mock but couldn't find a great landing spot. Ultimately, I think he's likely to go in the top 32.

Tight Ends

Colston Loveland is no Brock Bowers, but he has a good chance to go on Day 1. I was very tempted to give him to the Chiefs at No. 32.

Offensive Linemen

Last year's OL class was loaded. This year's, not so much.

Defensive Linemen

Oh, baby. Here be dragons.

I have 11 DLs in Round 1 and another four on the borderline.

In 2024, we saw a record eight OTs go in Round 1. In 2025, we could see an all-time number of DLs in the top 32.

Linebackers

No offball LBs went in Round 1 in 2024. I project the same for 2025.

Secondary

Four CBs and one S. Typical.

Kickers

Nah, bro.