The 2025 NFL draft is less than a month away, so now's the time to start diving into the NFL prop market and highlighting bets I like.

For all my NFL draft props, see our free Fantasy Life bet tracker, which I will update regularly.

In this article, which we will also update as the draft approaches, I will highlight the draft props I like the best, with my most recent bets being placed at the top of this article.

For all my mocks, check out my Fantasy Life author page as well as our Fantasy Life NFL Draft Hub. Also, every Saturday edition of the Fantasy Life Newsletter is now dedicated to the draft.

Over the past six years (since I started submitting mocks in competitions), I’m the No. 2 mocker for accuracy, and I'm a lifetime 484-424 (+102.6 units) betting on the draft. Subscribe to our free Betting Life Newsletter for regular guidance, best bets, and more.

Best Bets for the 2025 NFL Draft

Shedeur Sanders No. 2 Pick

  • Date: Mar. 29
  • Book: BetMGM
  • Odds: +350

ESPN's Adam Schefter has reported that EDGE Abdul Carter (Penn State) will likely be the No. 2 pick to the Browns, but …

  • Schefter (as good as he is) has been wrong in the past about team/player pairings.
     
  • Schefter couched his reporting/prognosticating in a world of caveats: "Right now," today," "we reserve the right to change our mind," "a lot of things change," "to me," "it looks like," "let's see how it plays out," etc. For a "report," that's honestly very soft.
     
  • Schefter, with his report, has probably moved the market too far.

Here are the current odds for Carter to go No. 2.

  • Caesars: -250
  • DraftKings: -270
  • FanDuel: -300
  • BetMGM: -350

I take a "wisdom of the crowds" approach by regularly consulting the work of historically sharp mockers and aggregating it into an index, and "right now" (to use a Schefterism) QB Shedeur Sanders (Colorado) is the No. 2 pick in 48% of the recent sharp mocks I've surveyed, which translates to +108 odds (per our Fantasy Life Odds Calculator).

As I mention in my most recent mock draft, the Browns have failed to add a starting-caliber QB in free agency, which makes them a real candidate to select one at No. 2.

It's possible they could trade for veteran QB Kirk Cousins, but even if they do, they (like the Falcons last year with Michael Penix) could still take a QB in Round 1.

And Sanders is arguably worthy of the No. 2 selection, given his overall career production.

As a true freshman at Jackson State, he passed for 3,231 yards and 30 TDs to eight INTs, and then as a sophomore, he improved upon those numbers with 3,752 yards and 40 TDs to six INTs.

As a junior, he passed for 3,230 yards and 27 TDs to just three INTs in his first year at Colorado, and then as a senior he had a nation-best 74.0% completion rate while slinging it for 4,134 yards and 37 TDs to 10 INTs and winning the Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Award as the nation's top upperclassman QB.

As a pocket passer, Sanders could fit into offensive HC Kevin Stefanski's system.

And then finally there's EDGE Myles Garrett, to whom the Browns just gave a four-year, $160M extension with $123.5M guaranteed. With Garrett, the Browns don't need Carter the way that they need a QB.

And Garrett seems to have a sense of the team's plans at QB (plans that contributed to his decision to stay with the team), and he has recently said—while answering a question about the team's potential plans with the No. 2 pick and the QB position in general—that “any team that's going to go far needs a QB, and one that's young.”

Schefter tends to be right more often than he's wrong, but I think the market has moved way too aggressively toward Carter on something that is probably still a coin flip.

Sanders is worth a bet to go No. 2 at markedly plus odds.

Thor's Prospect Profile: Shedeur Sanders

Travis Hunter No. 1 Non-QB

  • Date: Mar. 29
  • Book: DraftKings
  • Odds: +190

Right now, EDGE Abdul Carter (Penn State) is -300 (DraftKings) to be the first non-QB selected. I think those odds are far too short, creating value on WR/CB Travis Hunter (Colorado).

Let's assume the Titans select QB Cam Ward (Miami) at No. 1.

After him, there are two true blue-chip prospects available: Carter and Hunter.

Carter is great: He's young (21 years old), pedigreed (unanimous All-American), and productive (12 sacks and nation-leading 24 tackles for loss as a junior).

But he also has injury issues: He didn't work out at the combine because of a stress reaction in his right foot, and then he didn't work out at his pro day because he's still rehabbing his shoulder from an injury suffered during the season.

That might be enough to push a team toward Hunter, who, you know, is the most talented prospect in this class given his all-around, both-sides-of-the-ball skill set.

Last year, Hunter won the Fred Biletnikoff Award as the most outstanding receiver in college football with 96-1,258-15 receiving—and he won the Chuck Bednarik Award as the defensive player of the year.

With his ability to impact both the offense and defense at a high level, Hunter already deserves consideration vs. Carter as the No. 1 non-QB … and then you look at the teams picking Nos. 2-3.

The Browns at No. 2 already have EDGE Myles Garrett. The Giants at No. 3 already have EDGEs Brian Burns and Kayvon Thibodeaux.

But both teams could use help at WR and CB.

I understand why Carter's the favorite, but Hunter shouldn't be this big of a dog.

Thor's Prospect Profile: Travis Hunter

Will Johnson No. 1 DB (Not Including Travis Hunter)

  • Date: Mar. 29
  • Book: FanDuel
  • Odds: +100

Given that teams aren't sure which position WR/CB Travis Hunter will play in the NFL, there's a chance that someone else will actually be the first true DB selected in the class—and some books have released props to that effect. 

I think this prop comes down to three players, maybe five.

In the recent sharp mocks I've consulted, here's the breakdown of No. 1 non-Hunter DBs.

  • Johnson: 64%
  • Barron: 28%
  • Emmanwori: 4%
  • Starks: 4%
  • Hairston: 0%

Johnson's 64% hit rate translates to -177 odds.

I will be the first to admit that Johnson has a wide range of draft outcomes. I could see him going as high as No. 6 to the Raiders and as low as No. 23 to the Packers.

But with good size (6-2, 194 lbs.) and pedigree (five recruitment stars), Johnson is a worthy No. 1 DB and very bettable at even money.

Under 2.5 Round 1 WRs (Not Including Travis Hunter)

  • Date: Mar. 29
  • Book: DraftKings
  • Odds: +220

This prop doesn't include WR/CB Travis Hunter (Colorado). If it did, the juice to the under would likely be -800 at least. In literally not one mock I've seen have there been fewer than 2.5 WRs when counting Hunter.

Also, at the combine he was listed as a CB (not a WR), and on the league's combine tracker Hunter's first positional designation is CB.

And DraftKings even states: “Hunter will be classified as a CB only and will be counted as a WR for settlement purposes.”

So this prop is about WRs Tetairoa McMillan (Arizona), Matthew Golden (Texas), Emeka Egbuka (Ohio State), and Luther Burden (Missouri), and how many of them get into Round 1.

Now, here are two facts that might seem contradictory at first glance but aren't.

  • We will probably see three non-Hunter WRs in Round 1.
  • Both Egbuka and Luther individually are unlikely to go in Round 1.

So, one of Egbuka and Luther collectively has a good shot to hear his name called on Day 1, but separately, they're both best projected for early Day 2.

In recent sharp mocks I've perused, both Egbuka and Luther have sub-50% Round 1 occurrence.

  • Egbuka: 48%
  • Burden: 28%

And the probability we see three-plus Round 1 WRs, while still greater than 50%, is still not all that great (based on mocks).

  • Over 2.5 WRs: 56%
  • Under 2.5 WRs: 44%

A 44% hit rate comes out to +127 odds.

This is not a great WR class, especially when we take into account that the best WR in the class (Hunter) might not even play the position on a full-time basis in the NFL.

With that in mind, I'm fine taking the under at significant plus money. There are lots of ways for both Egbuka and Burden—or even McMillan or Golden—to fall down the board and out of Round 1.

Thor's WRs Rankings: McMillan, Golden, et al.