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Quinn Ewers, Cam Skattebo, and More Overrated 2025 NFL Draft Prospects for Dynasty
With the NFL Combine quickly approaching, Fantasy Life's Thor Nystrom and Ray Garvin, of Blecher Report and Destination Devy, discuss the most overrated 2025 NFL Draft prospects for dynasty leagues.
Find the entire discussion at the Fantasy Life YouTub Channel here:
Quarterbacks
Ray Garvin: I'll start with Texas QB Quinn Ewers, listed as QB4 in the 2025 draft class. He is overrated. I'm not here to bash on any college kid and their NFL future dreams, but we're just talking about where they're ranked, their play and their projected outcome at the next level.
Ewers is not the QB4 in this class. Yes, we may have thought this could have been one of the quarterbacks to contend for QB1 at the start of the college football season, but as we progressed through the year and watched him through the college football playoffs, it is unequivocally clear he is not a top-five quarterback in this class.
This is a quarterback that I thought probably needed another year of development in the collegiate game, but I completely understand why he said, I'm tired of it. I don't want the pressure. Let me just get out of college football and go to the NFL.
But Ewers is not a top-four quarterback in this class. He's not a top-five quarterback in this class. He's got some talent, he's got some traits and tools, but this is a guy that I think is severely overrated, according to the consensus big board.
Thor Nystrom: Well said: Ewers is No. 7 in my rankings amongst the quarterbacks.
More: Quinn Ewers 2025 NFL Draft Scouting Profile
Ewers showed that he had a mastery over Steve Sarkisian's system — the first couple reads at least. He does a good job with the timing when the concept is there, and he'll get the ball out on time. If it's the first couple reads and somebody's open.
The issue is when he has to go down the progression line and you have to start deviating away from the script that Sarkisian has handed to you. That's where I started to see issues with Ewers, especially when pressure was bearing down on him.
The Georgia regular season game is obviously the best example of this, where he got sacked a billion times and kept turning the ball over and was briefly benched for Arch Manning. But it's, it is indicative, I think, of the sort of the poison pill of the evaluation there. Can he improve that and access the rest of his tools?
What I like about him is throwing intermediate on time and on the script. But again, outside of that, we have some issues. Where did you have Ewers in your rankings?
Garvin: I've got Ewers as QB9 in my rankings right now. And one of the things that I really focus in on is completion percentage over expected. Are they doing more than their offense expects them to do? Ewers has a negative CPOE — a -.30 completion percentage over expected — worse than Jalen Milroe, worse than just about every other quarterback in this class.
Nystrom: Ewers should have gone back to school but he wasn't going to be starting at Texas next year. That's, I think, why this happened. Texas informed him. If they were going forward with Arch Manning, that makes sense.
If I was Ewers, I would have taken the NIL bag. I think he's potentially going to be taking a pay cut Year 1 at the NFL. This is a guy who averaged $2 million in NIL the last three years at Texas. I don't know if his Year 1 money is going to match that, because I think he's going to go on Day 3.
My overrated quarterback against the consensus board is Riley Leonard listed at No. 6. This seems like another vestige from heading into the scene the last season, just like we have with Ewers, where not everyone has gotten there.
I have him as my QB11. He's a good athlete. I like him the short game and and I trust him. But he can't throw downfield at all. You literally cannot have him throw 20-plus yards downfield, in the middle of the field where people can come and start picking the thing off and defending balls.
The only deep shots that he can take are one-on-one down the sidelines, and that effectiveness wavers. He's a leader, and people like him in the locker room. His coaches love him. His teammates love them. I like the running aspect he gives you. And, like I said, he can do this short, Putt Putt-type passing stuff.
I do not think this guy has enough throwing talent to cleanly project as a backup quarterback in the NFL, a QB2. He's got a shot, but he's gonna have to prove that he has that arm talent in order to be a longterm QB2. And if not that, what is he? This is a guy for me that is closer to undraftable than he is a Day 2 or Day 3 pick.
Garvin: You must watch some tape, because you nailed Riley Leonard. We just talked about Quinn Ewers and how overrated he was. Ewers, his chunk play rate, 15-plus yards down the field, pass attempts, his explosive play rate, 30-yards plus down the field, are all significantly higher than that of Leonard.
You're talking about a quarterback that does not want to push the ball downfield. I think you're being a little nice in that I don't think he's very good in the intermediate area. This is a quarterback that is going to be very scheme-specific with his landing spot.
I can see him potentially working out as like a Bo Nicks backup in Denver, where you never need him to play. But if you needed a spot start out of him for a week, he can get in there, complete a few short passes and run the hell out of the ball. I'm with you. I've got Riley Leonard at QB10. Good locker room guy. Love the experience, national championship contender, but not an elite quarterback prospect in this class at all.
Running Backs
Garvin: Do not crush me. I'm standing 10 toes down on this one. I like this player, but there is no way shape or form that Cam Skattebo, out of Arizona State, is the RB6. I just I refuse to believe that.
Let's start with the pros: He's incredible at making defenders miss with his physicality. His broken tackle percentage is right up there with Ashton Jeanty (49.6%), the consensus RB1. Skattebo is at 49.6% — these are both two really good running backs who make people miss in space, especially when they're contacted.
Skattebo might not have that second gear, in my opinion, to hit those home run plays. And I get it. You don't need your running back to do that every single time they touch the ball. I believe Skattebo is a bit undersized at the running back spot.
So when you're thinking about this big physical tackle-breaker, I don't want my big physical tackle-breaker 5-foot-7, 5-foot-8, 210-215 pounds. I want them to be a bigger type of back. So when I'm looking at the archetype for Skattebo, I'm truly trying to find out how he succeeds at the next level. Because I don't picture him or profile him as a RB1 out of the gate. He's not going to get the type of capital to get that type of opportunity right away.
He feels like he is best as a compliment in an offense with a proper bell cow, or at least a traditional back that you can run the ball 15-plus times up the A-, B- and C-gap and utilize Skattebo in space. I always say this: There's a difference between running backs who can catch passes and running backs who can be deployed as a pass-catching weapon. I do believe that Skattebo has the ability to be deployed as a pass-catching weapon, but I don't think he's a true No. 1 running back in this class.
I think he lacks some of that wiggle. I don't believe he's got that prototypical size to handle that workload. So for me to see him at RB6, I need a guy that I feel can step into any one of the 32 teams that need a back and play right out of the gate.
Nystrom: I'm hoping that my colleague Kendall isn't watching right now — the Arizona State grad and the world's biggest Camp Skattebo fan. I'm at RB8, so not crazy off.
I love the point you brought up about Skattebo's frame in conjunction with the game he's going to have to play in the NFL. He's not going to become an athletic demon overnight, right? He's not going to become a speedster or burner. He needs to win the same way he did at Arizona State with the tackle breaking.
The guy that I that I see a little bit in him is David Montgomery. But the thing is, David Montgomery was over 5-foot-10 and 222 pounds coming into the league. He played bigger than that, and then the 4.63 speed probably is around where Skattebo is going to be.
Skattebo better get over his vertical jump. Montgomery actually had a 1% vertical jump. He was in the first percentile 28.5. You and I might be able to get over 28.5. But Montgomery had the frame to break tackles. Skattebo is a bit smaller, so can he add weight? I don't know that he can.
He's 5-foot-7, right? How much could you get? Up to 220, I'm not really sure. But I think I'm more or less with you — he's just a little bit too high.
My overrated RB is Kalel Mullings, the running back from Michigan who is RB11 on the consensus board rankings. I have Mullings way lower on my board.
Mullings has things going for him: He doesn't have a lot of wear on the tires — he was a linebacker prior to the past two seasons. And then the first season, 2023, he was on the championship team. He was sort of buried on the bench and didn't have a ton of usage. Last season, he ended up overtaking Donovan Edwards, but Edwards was still heavily used as a rotational back, so at least you have that.
He didn't get nicked up a lot in college. And I also like the hammer back stuff. It's what he is, the sledgehammer. It's just, we're gonna give you the ball, you're going between the tackles, and you're gonna street-fight people. All that stuff is great even if the guy can't get outside.
But he certainly lacks long speed. This is a short-yardage profile, and he doesn't do anything on passing downs. Literally, they didn't put them out on passing downs since he has been a running back. So you can't expect any utility on your passing downs.
Essentially, his game is limited to the thing in the NFL that is the cheapest to find, which is between-the-tackles running. I think he is way too high.
Garvin: I legitimately thought this was a joke in the show notes. I thought the producers were playing with us, because I'm trying to understand the world in which Kalel Mullings is anybody's RB11. Again, we're not here to rip on these collegiate kids, but, come on, there's no way.
I have him currently at RB 10, but I gotta readjust that ranking. Mullins is almost as good as Skattebo.
Now I agree with you — this is a very easy position. Scattebo's game is something you can find. And I don't want to be dismissive, but you can find the plotting thumper, bruiser to take some carries in the NFL, off the street. You can go find a retired back and get them to come out there and do that. I'm with you. I think RB 11 is just far too high for this running back.
Nystrom: Yeah, and in this crazy-stacked class, I think I don't see him going higher than the sixth round. I don't know how he could with how stacked this class is. So it's going to be either sixth or seventh round. I do think he gets drafted.
I think the guy who is in jeopardy of not getting drafted is his famous teammate, Donovan Edwards, who was on the cover of the college football game and all this stuff. I do think Mullings has to get into a situation where he is platooning and he is just sort of the short-yardage guy. And there are teams that need that. My Minnesota Vikings couldn't run around the goal line last year. They had a bad interior offensive line.
Wide Receivers
Garvin: It's tough when you get these names that have been in the draft space and circles for some years, and the expectations are very high. And it all works together, right? Quinn Ewers, a little overrated. His potential WR1 Isaiah Bond as well. Isaiah Bond is WR5.
He wasn't the best pass catcher on his own team. And I would argue Gunnar Helm was a more consistent pass catcher than Isaiah Bond. So I'm putting him as the third-most reliable pass catcher in that offense. And a lot of people are going to point toward the end of the season where he ran, I believe, a deep dig route, jumps up, tries to catch a ball, clanks off his hands.
He's got tremendous speed. But these comps that are floated out there to Jalen Waddle. It's a disrespect to Jalen Waddle, and it's unfair to put those type of expectations on the University of Texas' second- or third-best pass catcher in that offense, another player that I thought would have done himself a good service going back to school to refine his game.
But here's the reality: He's going to run fast, or that's what Isaiah Bond does. But when you're talking about all of the things that are required to be a successful wide receiver at the next level, he's not going to play a boundary, he's not playing on the outside, and he has not shown the competency on the inside to run those two-way routes from the slot. He's a speed guy. Is he Trey Tucker right now? Is he a Trey Tucker-type player right now? I just think at WR5, you're setting the expectations way too high for this kid.
Nystrom: Yeah, and Steve Sarkisian thought he was going to be Xavier Worthy. That's what Steve Sarkisian pitched last year in the transfer portal around this time. Bond had been at Alabama prior to that.
Sarkisian was like, “You can be my new Xavier worthy.” And Texas did not get that this past year. Bond only had 17 catches, 220 yards and one touchdown. Some of the advanced metrics are real bad. He had a couple drops despite having the lower targets. He doesn't catch in the contested situations. He needs to be open.
Down the stretch he was splitting time with Ryan Wingo and the kid they got from Oregon State, Bolden. And now you're going to early declare?
I agree that Bond is going to put on a show at the combine, but after what we saw, especially this year, I would not be able to touch him in on Day 2. Now, if it falls into Day 3, OK, in a bad receiving class, sure I can shoot a shot on on an athletic profile, and he's shown flashes, right? We just have not seen them coalesce into something we can predict in the NFL in Year 1. I think what we'll see is him affixed to the bench.
Maybe he can kick return and come in every now and again or be injury insurance. He shouldn't be playing as a rookie. His game is not there yet. So yea, I agree with you.
My overrated receiver, staying in the state of Texas, is TCU's Savion Williams. And this kind of hurts my heart, because I love players like this, and I'm almost learning from my mistakes or fighting myself on this, because this is the player type that earlier in my days of NFL draft work, I always super overrated this guy. So we'll see if this time I end up getting it right.
Someone asked me on Twitter a month and a half or two months ago for my take on Williams and I said he is what would happen if Cordarrelle Patterson and Laviska Shenault had a love child. That's all you need to know about him. That's what he is.
He's super big, super athletic, super twitchy. He has long speed. Fabulous athlete. And with the ball in his hands, he can do all kinds of stuff. He's dangerous. The problem is he doesn't have any ball skills, right? It was like when Patterson came in — they were trying to teach him the whole time how to play receiver. They finally just sort of gave up on it, right?
Patterson eventually found his destiny of sort of the utility guy on offense and a running back. You'd manufacture touches for him on the outside and then do kick returning. But he couldn't run the routes and didn't necessarily have the ball skills down the field.
Savion Williams is going to have to be taught to be a receiver. He is not a receiver. He is a manufactured touch guy, and any idea of what he could be down the road is projection.
We haven't seen it, so that's what's going to have to be taught to him up until then. You're talking about a special teamer, and probably a good one. You're talking about a guy for an offense where, again, you manufacture the touches for him out in the slot — a big slot. Kind of a guy you manufacture touches for within five yards of the line of scrimmage or behind the line, bring them into the backfield. You can do the end-around stuff with him. He's good with the wildcat stuff, but that's it for me.
This is a very limited use, utility type wide receiver, and he's ranked top-10 on the consensus board. It's way too high, even in a down receiver class.
Garvin: We are in lockstep — he is the type of receiver that I would have gravitated to a couple of years ago. The Rondale Moores — the positionless athletes, right? Here's the thing: You cannot do that at the next level. And they're not gong to take two years to develop a third-round wide receiver. It's not going to happen. Either you're competent and ready to go and show something immediately, or we've seen this story play out time and time again.
If I'm going to take a TCU wide receiver, give me Jack Bech, who is rated around 10 spots lower than Williams and has actually played proficient, competent levels of the wide receiver position.
I would have been with you on this one a couple years ago — just wait until the right team drafts Savion and you're gonna have a stud. Well, you know what? Things that have to be dependent on the right team and the right OC just have too many stars that have to align. He's not ready yet — WR8 is just too high.
Tight Ends
Nystrom: Let's look at the tight end position and meld the overrated and the underrated tight ends, which we happen to agree on.
We'll start off with the overrated, which is Clemson's Jake Briningstool. I have a lot of exposure on Briningstool at the moment, because I happened to own him on my 50-team college fantasy football league team last year. So I watched a lot of Clemson and I was, of course, rooting for them to just throw the ball to Briningstool.
Let me tell you my scouting report on Briningstool: He's tall. That's about it. He's tall. He doesn't block, so you can't really put him in-line. He's gonna have to be the big slot kind of a guy. But he's not explosive. He is reliable within six yards, eight yards of the line of scrimmage.
The body's not the same, but he reminds me a bit of Will Mallory a couple years ago, where people were starting to go nuts and it's like, I've seen Will Mallory's work. I served with Will Mallory. Will Mallory was a friend of mine. He is not going to be a starting NFL tight end.
That's how I feel about Jake Briningstool. At best, he'd be a fourth option on a concept, and maybe you could toss him the ball up higher. But he struggles down the field as well, and I'm struggling to find positives in the evaluation rate. Do you see?
Garvin: I'll be brief. I'm with you. He's a big target. He's got long arms and when the ball hits his hands, he will catch it. I think he's got sticky hands.
What concerned me the entire time in Mobile, Ala., was that I didn't know if the guy was jogging or running in mud. He is very slow. There's no explosion there at all. He made a great contested catch in traffic. But just that level of juice and speed — he just doesn't possess it. So there's no way he should be TE5.
Nystrom: His Senior Bowl reminded me a lot of a tight end. Our mutual friend Derek Brown comped him to — and I'm stealing the comp — Cole Turner. There are some similarities there. Maybe he's a poor man's Cole Turner.
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