- 1. Chicago Bears (via Panthers)
- 2. Washington Commanders
- 3. New England Patriots
- Fantasy Impact
- Scouting Report
- 4. Arizona Cardinals
- 5. Los Angeles Chargers
- 6. New York Giants
- Fantasy Impact
- 7. Tennessee Titans
- 8. Atlanta Falcons
- 9. Chicago Bears
- 10. Minnesota Vikings
- Scouting Report
- 11. New York Jets
- 12. Denver Broncos
- 13. Las Vegas Raiders
- 14. New Orleans Saints
- 15. Indianapolis Colts
- 16. Seattle Seahawks
- 17. Jacksonville Jaguars traded to MIN
- 18. Cincinnati Bengals
- 19. Los Angeles Rams
- 20. Pittsburgh Steelers
- 21. Miami Dolphins
- 22. Philadelphia Eagles
- 23. Jacksonville Jaguars (pick traded from MIN)
- 24. Lions (traded pick from Dallas Cowboys)
- 25. Green Bay Packers
- 26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- 27. Houston Texans (pick traded to the Cardinals)
- 28. Kansas City Chiefs
- 29. Dallas Cowboys
- 30. Baltimore Ravens
- 31. San Francisco 49ers
- 32. Carolina Panthers (trade from Buffalo)
- 33. Buffalo Bills
- 34. Los Angeles Chargers
- 35. Atlanta Falcons
- 36. Washington Commanders
- 37. New England Patriots
- 38. Tennessee Titans
- 39. Los Angeles Rams
- 40. Philadelphia Eagles
- 41. New Orleans Saints
- 42. Houston Texans
- 43. Arizona Cardinals
- 44. Las Vegas Raiders
- 45. Green Bay Packers
- 46. Carolina Panthers
- 47. New York Giants
- 48. Jacksonville Jaguars
- 49. Cincinnati Bengals
- 50. Washington Commanders
- 51. Pittsburgh Steelers
- 52. Indianapolis Colts
- Fantasy Impact
- 53. Washington Commanders
- 54. Cleveland Browns
- 55. Miami Dolphins
- 56. Dallas Cowboys
- 57. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- 58. Green Bay Packers
- 59. Houston Texans
- 60. Buffalo Bills
- 61. Detroit Lions
- 62. Baltimore Ravens
- 63. Kansas City Chiefs
- 64. San Francisco 49ers
- 65. New York Jets
- 66. Arizona Cardinals
- 67. Washington Commanders
- 68. New England Patriots
- 69. Los Angeles Chargers
- 70. New York Giants
- 71. Arizona Cardinals
- 72. Carolina Panthers
- 73. Dallas Cowboys
- 74. Atlanta Falcons
- 75. Chicago Bears
- 76. Denver Broncos
- 77. Las Vegas Raiders
- 78. Houston Texans
- 79. Indianapolis Colts
- 80. Cincinnati Bengals
- Fantasy Impact
- 81. Seattle Seahawks
- 82. Arizona Cardinals
- 83. Los Angeles Rams
- 84. Pittsburgh Steelers
- 85. Cleveland Browns
- 86. San Francisco 49ers
- 87. Dallas Cowboys
- 88. Green Bay Packers
- 89. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- 90. Arizona Cardinals
- 91. Green Bay Packers
- 92. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- 93. Baltimore Ravens
- 94. Philadelphia Eagles
- 95. Buffalo Bills
- 96. Jacksonville Jaguars
- 97. Cincinnati Bengals
- 98. Pittsburgh Steelers
- 99. Los Angeles Rams
- 100. Washington Commanders
Happy offseason! We have seven long, football-free months ahead of us; there’s no better time to start prepping for next season than this very second.
Presenting: The Fantasy Life 2024 NFL Draft Tracker.
Consider this your one-stop shop for every team’s current picks and eventual selections. Subscribe to the (free!) Fantasy Life Newsletter for more offseason content that will include plenty of prospect-specific analysis in the lead-up to draft day, and note that the Fantasy Life crew already has way-too-early 2024 ranks LIVE.
You can check out every team’s total draft capital at the moment right here.
Below is a list of each team’s total draft picks (not including projected comp picks) and key free agents.
This page will be updated throughout the season and culminate with up-to-the-minute draft day analysis on all fantasy-relevant selections.
1. Chicago Bears (via Panthers)
- Draft picks (6): 2.33, 3.65, 4.101, 5.140, 5.164, 6.179
- Draft Pick 1.01: Caleb Williams
- Chris's Grade: A+
Fantasy Impact
To say that Chicago has turned the team around by drafting Caleb Williams is an understatement. They haven’t had a QB with a PPG average over 20.0 in the 21st century. Now, Soldier Field has both the signal-caller and supporting cast to restore the prestigious franchise into a competitive powerhouse.
Williams is a natural fit with the coaching personnel already in place with the Bears. Shane Waldron worked under Sean McVay and bolstered Seattle’s passing game for the past three seasons. From Cooper Kupp to Tyler Lockett to Keenan Allen, the reliance on a savvy route runner to power the offense won’t go away. And Williams’ 76.0% career-adjusted completion percentage (the highest of the top-3 prospects) will keep Allen as a high-end WR. But the former Trojan’s penchant for extending plays also plays into what DJ Moore does best, as Chicago’s new WR1 had the fourth-highest explosive play rate in 2023.
Williams has the skills as a passer and a runner, plus the infrastructure, to meet his QB12 ADP. Now, let’s wait to see how high the hype train takes him in fantasy drafts.
To read more about Williams' fantasy impact as well as more 2024 NFL Draft winners and losers for fantasy football, click here!
Scouting Report
The No. 8 overall recruit and No. 1 dual-threat QB in the 2021 high school class, Caleb Williams began his prolific collegiate career at Oklahoma (in style) before following head coach Lincoln Riley to USC. There, he promptly won the Heisman Trophy in 2022 after a season with 52 total TDs and 4,919 total yards.
His encore in 2023 still included plenty of ridiculous numbers (41 TDs and 3,775 total yards in two fewer games), but the Trojans’ leaky defense led to far less success when it came to wins and losses. Pretty much any advanced metric tells the same story: Williams was nothing short of elite during his three college seasons.
Williams is the consensus 1.01 selection in the 2024 NFL Draft for good reason, as his elite arm talent and escapability led to a never-ending stream of ridiculous highlights as both a passer and rusher. And while nobody is (hopefully) expecting the 22-year-old to immediately be elite at the NFL level, it’s hard to not be enthralled with Williams's ability to force defenses to essentially account for every square inch of the football field.
Get the full report on Caleb Williams here.
2. Washington Commanders
- Draft picks (8): 1.02, 2.36, 2.40, 3.67, 4.102, 5.137, 6.180, 7.219
- Draft Pick 1.02: Jayden Daniels
- Jonathan's Grade: B
Fantasy Impact
It turns out the betting markets were right about the Commanders wanting Jayden Daniels with the second overall pick. We'll have to wait awhile to find out if that was the right decision or not, but I'm pretty confident it will be fun for fantasy. Not only is Daniels a dynamic rusher, he's also willing to throw the ball deep. This has the potential to be a great outcome for the Commanders offense as a whole if Daniels proves his final college season was due to him progressing rather than just being in a great situation.
While I have some reservations about Daniels as a prospect, it is hard to ignore the upside. Despite Washington having a pretty productive passing attack last season, it didn't yield any fantasy superstars because the targets and TDs were really spread out. No pass catcher had more than four receiving TDs, but there were four separate players who hit that mark. As long as Daniels proves to be a competent passer, it seems reasonable to think the production should be a bit more concentrated in 2024 which could result in a bounce back for Terry McLaurin.
Scouting Report
Daniels was a four-star recruit and the No. 1 rated dual-threat QB coming out of San Bernardino, California back in the 2019 recruiting cycle. He originally landed at Arizona State for three seasons until Daniels transferred to LSU to “showcase his talent on a national stage.”
Daniels’s rate of 0.31 missed tackles forced per rush attempt tops what guys like Lamar Jackson (0.25), Justin Fields (0.24), Jalen Hurts (0.22), and Kyler Murray (0.18) achieved during their collegiate careers.
The issues with pressure aside: Those other QBs who didn't pan out at the NFL level didn’t have Daniels’s combination of passing ability from the pocket and legit game-breaking ability on the ground. It’d be a lot cooler if Daniels could speed up his processing sooner rather than later, but he might just be the sort of outlier talent capable of getting away with it even at the pro level.
For this reason, I support prioritizing Daniels ahead of the elderly pocket passers in his tier like Jared Goff, Kirk Cousins, Matthew Stafford and Aaron Rodgers in redraft and best ball. It’s not that those veterans can’t out-perform Daniels, but at that ADP range, Daniels is likely your QB2.
Check out the full scouting report on Jayden Daniels for more!
3. New England Patriots
- Draft picks (7): 1.03, 2.34, 3.68, 4.103, 5.135, 6.181, 7.228
- Draft pick1.03: Drake Maye
- Chris's Grade: B-
Fantasy Impact
Honestly, Drake Maye to New England makes sense.
The tools are there with Maye. His 11.0 aDOT was the highest in the class and he had a 97.1 PFF grade on attempts of 20 yards or more. Coming from an Air-Raid-style system, Maye’s downfield tendencies would paint him as a volatile QB. But his 29.4% pressure rate in ’23 was third-highest in this class. He mitigated pressure by scrambling on 10.1% of his dropbacks. He forced a missed tackle on 51.2% of his runs. But Maye could use some time to acclimate to the NFL.
His 57.9% middle-of-the-field rate was the lowest in the class and the Patriots’ best receiver is…K.J. Osborn? Pop Douglas? New England bringing back Jacoby Brissett gives Maye invaluable reps without the pressure from defenders. He may not provide an immediate impact, but dynasty managers should look forward to his long-term development.
Scouting Report
Drake Maye arrived at North Carolina as a five-star recruit, and he was heralded as the next big thing for a football program that has recently seen Mitchell Trubisky and Sam Howell go on to become starting QBs in the NFL.
At his best, Maye demonstrates the ability to absolutely disintegrate defenses from the friendly confines of the pocket. He has the requisite size at 6’4 and 223 lbs. as well as the mobility to navigate a muddled situation.
Maye also flashed a decent dose of baby Big Ben-esque pump fake goodness. With all those tools, his top-end results were nothing short of spectacular. Ultimately, even though Daniels offers higher immediate fantasy ceiling due to his rushing upside, I’m more confident in Maye’s ability to thrive as a long-term NFL starter. Because of that, while I understand why Maye's best ball ADP for 2024 is currently behind that of Daniels, I'd still look to prioritize Maye over Daniels in dynasty formats.
Keep reading the full scouting report here!
4. Arizona Cardinals
- Draft picks (13): 1.04, 1.27, 2.35, 3.66, 3.71, 3.91, 4.104, 5.136, 5.160, 6.187, 7.221, 7.223, 7.240
- Draft Pick 1.04: Marvin Harrison Jr.
- Jonathan's Grade: A+
Fantasy Impact
The top WR prospect in a loaded class, Marvin Harrison Jr. should be an instant game changer for the Arizona offense. MHJ is about as pro-ready of a prospect as we've seen in years, right up there with Ja'Marr Chase. I fully expect him to step in and be the top WR for the Cardinals from Week 1 and have success in that role. He's already being treated as such in best ball drafts where he is going in the second round. He may not be a value, but I'll still be drafting him at that price due to the upside he has playing alongside Kyler Murray.
The Cardinals had such a glaring need at WR that I'm viewing this as a boost for the whole offense even though it does technically mean more target competition for guys like Trey McBride and Michael Wilson.
Scouting Report
Widely considered the best non-QB in the 2024 NFL Draft class, Marvin Harrison Jr., AKA Maserati Marv according to Gus Johnson, surprisingly wasn’t always considered the “generational” WR prospect that he’s often lauded as these days.
Of course, it didn’t take long for Harrison to prove that he was indeed the next big thing upon landing in Columbus. The man scored three TDs in the Rose Bowl during his first extended game action for crying out loud.
The evaluation for Harrison becomes even cleaner when we consider the chances of him landing with either the Cardinals (picking fourth overall) or the Chargers (fifth overall). Both teams conveniently boast proven franchise QBs and WR depth charts in dire need of an elite No. 1 option.
This alone is good enough for a tiebreaker between Harrison and Nabers if you happen to believe that both WRs are in the same tier (which I do). The Ohio State product deserves to be the first non-QB off the board in dynasty formats. And honestly, even in superflex or 2QB leagues, if you want to draft Harrison over anyone not named Caleb Williams, go for it.
Can't get enough MHJ? Read more here!
5. Los Angeles Chargers
- Draft picks (7): 1.05, 2.37, 3.69, 4.105, 5.138, 6.182, 7.222
- Draft Pick 1.05: Joe Alt
6. New York Giants
- Draft picks (7): 1.06, 2.39, 2.47, 3.70, 4.107, 5.139, 6.184
- Draft Pick 1.06: Malik Nabers
- Chris's Grade: B-
Fantasy Impact
On the one hand, here's the list of Giants' pass-catchers who earned more than 80 targets last season.
No, that's not a typo. I could use that same list to highlight who from the G-Men crossed the 1,000-yard mark in receiving yards or had multi-TD receiving games. Simply put, whoever plays under center in New York could use the help.
But on the flip side, the Giants have similar questions at QB. Let's assume Daniel Jones starts the season. His injuries likely have NYG's front office looking at a post-Jones era. Drew Lock gives the team a bit more stability over Tommy DeVito should Jones miss more time, but none of them have sustained success Nabers would need to break into the upper echelon of the WR ranks.
The landing spot mutes some of Nabers' immediate impact. The LSU product had a career snap rate of 57.3% from the slot, and the Giants' current primary pass-game options are interior players. And the QB play, or lack thereof, is obvious. But the Rookie Super Model indicates Nabers has the talent to overcome his situation. It just might take some time for us to see it in the boxscore.
Scouting Report
For Nabers, you truly don’t need more than one hand to count the number of pass-catchers more productive than the homegrown talent since 2022. The numbers and eye test both tell the same story here: Nabers is on the short list of the best non-QBs available in the 2024 NFL Draft class.
It’s easy to see this speed and athleticism all over Nabers’s tape, but he backed things up by running a blistering 4.35 40-yard dash and putting up a 42-inch vertical at LSU’s Pro Day. While Nabers is certainly more than adept at simply running away from defenders, his joy-stick movement skills in the open field are arguably just as dangerous.
As of now though, my final verdict is Harrison as my 1A in this 2024 rookie class and Nabers as my 1B among WRs. They are indeed in the same tier, and landing spot and draft capital will be the ultimate tie-breaker. It's also worth mentioning that the only rookie I would draft ahead of either Harrison or Nabers in superflex or 2QB dynasty formats would be Caleb Williams.
More on Malik Nabers from his college production!
7. Tennessee Titans
- Draft picks (7): 1.07, 2.38, 4.106, 5.144, 6.183, 7.218, 7.239
- Draft Pick 1.07: JC Latham
8. Atlanta Falcons
- Draft picks (7): 1.08, 2.43, 3.74, 3.79, 4.109, 5.141, 6.198
- Draft Pick 1.08: Michael Penix Jr.
- Jonathan's Grade: F
Fantasy Impact
The first shock pick of the night, the Atlanta Falcons took Michael Penix Jr. as the fourth QB off the board, ahead of J.J. McCarthy. Calling this pick unexpected doesn't do it justice as Penix was generally expected to be a second round pick with just a few rumors that he could sneak into the first. There were rumors about Las Vegas being interested in Penix but I don't remember hearing anything about the Falcons being in on him.
With Kirk Cousins in place this pick won't have much of an impact for fantasy football in 2024 unless Cousins ends up missing time. This was a long-term move for the Falcons but it is difficult not to question their judgment spending such a premium pick on an older prospect with a serious injury history. Time will tell how this move plays out but Atlanta is sure to take some heat over the next year or two as they almost surely passed on more than one elite player.
The only place this really moves the needle is in dynasty where we now know Penix isn't expected to start for at least two seasons but he will have draft capital on his side when he does get his chance.
Scouting Report
Unlike the other top six QBs in this class, Michael Penix Jr. wasn’t an overly hyped college prodigy. Don’t confuse this as a Rudy situation, but the Tampa native product was “just” a three-star recruit and ranked as the 21st-best pro-style QB in the 2018 class.
While Penix does a great job of limiting negative plays under pressure, he also didn’t exactly thrive when defenses were able to muddle up his typically clean pockets. In fact, there were times when it looked like Penix was overwhelmed by what he was seeing, which is a concerning part of his profile.
Penix’s bonkers passing numbers at Washington were certainly aided by the efforts of Rome Odunze, Ja’lynn Polk, and Jalen McMillan, each of whom are tentatively expected to be drafted on Day 1 or Day 2 of the 2024 NFL Draft. Throw in the aforementioned Joe Thomas Award-winning offensive line, and you probably don’t need more than one hand to count the number of better offensive environments in college football last season.
Click here for the full report on Michael Penix Jr.
9. Chicago Bears
- Draft picks (6): 1.01, 1.09, 3.75, 4.110, 4.122, 5.142
- Draft Pick 1.09: Rome Odunze
- Chris's Grade: B-
Fantasy Impact
There's no doubt about the Rome Odunze's skill.
His 1.07 career-adjusted RYPTPA ranks seventh in the class and he averaged 24.8% of Washington's targets over his final three seasons. He's a complete receiver. Odunze averaged 4.16 YPRR against man coverage and ripped up zone coverage with a YPRR mark of 2.86. Combined with a career 5.2 YAC per reception, Odunze should have no trouble making Caleb Williams look good on a weekly basis. But the Washington product has bigger problems.
Odunze joins a squad already fitted with high-end target earners. DJ Moore (28.5%) and Keenan Allen (24.4%) both ranked in the Top 20 amongst all WRs in total target share. Both receivers play in areas of the field where Odunze excelled. There's no direct area of the field where Odunze could easily carve out a role.
We just saw a high-end prospect in Jaxon Smith-Njigba join a crowded offense with disappointing results. The Bears' offense may be better than the Seahawks in '23. But Odunze has a tough road to breakout as a rookie.
Scouting Report
The Washington Huskies are expected to produce not one, not two, but three high-end WRs who should be off the board by the time Round 4 of the 2024 NFL Draft comes around.
That said: Rome Odunze is rather clearly the alpha of the group — and he would have a strong case as THE WR1 in a less-loaded draft class.
You name the route and there’s a good chance that Odunze managed to consistently create separation on it. Per PFF: Odunze registered a 100th percentile receiving grade vs. single coverage in 2023.
Ultimately, Odunze is indeed my WR3 behind Harrison Jr. and Nabers, but the gap isn’t large at all. The three pristine landing spots on teams with elite QBs and a dire need for a true No. 1 WR (Buffalo, Los Angeles, Arizona) could wind up being the tiebreaker here. Accordingly, Odunze’s status as easily the cheapest of the three in re-draft and dynasty land alike makes him a screaming buy at the moment in fantasy leagues of all shapes and sizes.
Check out Odunze's full scouting report!
10. Minnesota Vikings
- Draft picks (8): 1.10, 2.42, 4.108, 4.130, 5.155, 5.162, 6.178, 6.189
- Draft Pick 1.10: J.J. McCarthy
- Jonathan's Grade: C+
Fantasy Impact
The Vikings ended up getting something of a value on their new QB, at least relative to the most recent mock drafts where he was widely expected to go in the top five. While J.J. McCarthy may not have a ton of experience, he has had a ton of success. The NFL is clearly valuing his track record as a winner and leader more than the fantasy community is, but now we have to acknowledge that McCarthy once again finds himself in a great situation. He gets to step in and throw to a super talented group of pass catchers featuring Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson.
Although it may be an ideal situation for McCarthy, it is far from ideal for all the pass catchers I just listed. Minnesota is almost guaranteed to decrease their passing volume when compared to the past few seasons with Kirk Cousins which just means fewer opportunities for all of those players to get the ball. I fully expect Justin Jefferson to get his, so Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson are the biggest losers in my book. The only guy you can really make a case for benefitting from this move is Aaron Jones with the expectation of a more run-heavy Minnesota offense.
Scouting Report
I’m getting Kirk Cousins vibes looking over J.J. McCarthy’s profile.
McCarthy’s 80.0% adjusted completion percentage is the second-highest in his class, with a slightly below-average passing aDOT relative to the last four QB prospect groups drafted early. Plus, Michigan used play-action concepts in 24.1% of his dropbacks, which indicates McCarthy’s schematic versatility. Even better, U of M’s triggerman could attack a variety of areas of the field, which is what many NFL offenses need to target to move the ball downfield.
However, the other five QBs in this class averaged 489 dropbacks in their final season. McCarthy had 370. Michigan’s passing rate ranked 117th in the CFB. But throwing fewer passes, even with a gap this large, isn’t a major concern by itself. However, when combined with potential mechanical issues, more questions arise.
Like Cousins, we’ll value McCarthy based on his surroundings. At 203 lbs., defenders will quickly test his desire to scramble despite McCarthy having 39 rushing attempts in his final year. If his slight frame forces him to stay in the pocket, the quality of his pass-catchers will dictate his value.
Get the full breakdown on McCarthy here!
11. New York Jets
- Draft picks (5): 1.11, 3.72, 4.111, 4.113, 6.186
- Draft pick 1.11: Olu Fashanu
12. Denver Broncos
- Draft picks (6): 1.12, 3.76, 4.121, 5.143, 5.145, 7.236
- Draft pick 1.12: Bo Nix
- Jonathan's Grade: C-
Fantasy Impact
The sixth QB to go off the board in the top 12 picks, Bo Nix now lands in Denver and should immediately step in as the starter. He has tons of experience after spending three years at Auburn and two years at Oregon, starting 61 total games. Funny enough, Nix is basically the same age as Zach Wilson who the Broncos just acquired for a late round pick swap.
The Broncos are definitely in rebuilding mode and don't have a ton of talent around Nix but they may be able to add some more weapons throughout the draft. As it stands, Courtland Sutton should be the clear top target with the likes of Josh Reynolds, Marvin Mims Jr., and Tim Patrick competing for targets behind him. I think Nix can support at least one fantasy relevant pass catcher, maybe two, but this is still a below average landing for rookie pass catchers throughout the rest of the draft.
From a dynasty perspective, this should boost Nix's stock a bit as he got better than expected draft capital and should start immediately.
Scouting Report
Bo Nix is a former five-star recruit and was the No. 1 dual-threat QB in the 2019 class … one spot ahead of reigning Heisman Trophy winner Jayden Daniels.
Like Daniels, Nix’s career didn’t start and end in the same place. While Nix became Auburn’s first freshman starting QB since 1946, the Tigers ranked just 28th, 90th, and 68th in scoring alongside underwhelming 9-4, 6-5, and 6-7 records during his three years as their starter.
Enter The Oregon Ducks, who brought in Nix and proceeded to lead all Power-Five schools in offensive TDs (146), yards per play (7.4), and EPA per play (+0.3) during the 2022 and 2023 seasons. Naturally, the (at this point) veteran QB was a big reason why.
There’s also the reality that Nix played in one of the coziest offensive environments in continental America. How much of what we saw was him being great, and how much was more so due to his playmakers and scheme?
13. Las Vegas Raiders
- Draft picks (9): 1.13, 2.44, 3.77, 4.112, 5.146, 6.206, 7.220, 7.224, 7.226
- Draft Pick 1.13: Brock Bowers
- Chris's Grade: D-
Fantasy Impact
I don't understand.
The Raiders already have Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers on the outside and Michael Mayer aligning tight to the formation. Let's ignore the WRs and focus on Mayer.
Mayer started earning targets (43) in his first season at Notre Dame with jumps in his workload each progressive year. He averaged 48.0% of his snaps from the slot with a 2.07 YPRR. Simply put, Mayer was an elite TE prospect. And now the Raiders have two.
Bowers's other problem comes from under center. Even if Aidan O'Connell loses the starting job, Gardner Minshew will take over to lead the Raiders' passing game. As the Colts' starter, the jorts-wearing backup ranked 21st in EPA per play and 29th in CPOE. So, Bowers has not only a crowded situation and poor QB play to start off his career. For one of the best TE prospects to enter the league in some time, we'll be waiting a while to see fantasy-relevant play out of the Notre Dame TE.
Scouting Report
Brock Bowers is a former four-star recruit out of Napa, California. The No. 3 TE recruit in his class, nobody originally expected Bowers to become this big of a deal heading into the 2024 NFL Draft. There simply wasn’t a more productive TE in college football over the past three seasons.
Bowers’s career average yards after the catch per reception (YAC/R) beats out essentially every top-50 TE in recent history other than David Njoku. No player at the TE position has racked up more total yards after the catch in a single season than what Bowers managed in 2021 (522).
At 6’3 and 243 lbs., both his height and weight are sub-20th percentile. Bowers's 32.75” arm length and 9.75" hand size are both also sub-40th percentile. Suffice it to say that Bowers is not a hulking presence on the football field even though he often plays like a man twice his size.
As of now, I have Bowers as my TE12 in the Fantasy Life Rankings for 2024, which is below the other rankers. I believe that veteran TEs like Dallas Goedert, Jake Ferguson, and David Njoku belong ahead of Bowers.
We're hoping that Bowers will slot into a significant role as a rookie, but those veteran TEs already project for full-time roles in likely productive passing attacks, and they're pretty damn good football players in their own rights.
The scouting report to give you hope about Bowers' future.
14. New Orleans Saints
- Draft picks (6): 1.14, 2.45, 5.148, 6.191, 6.200, 7.229
- Draft pick 1.14: Taliese Fuaga
15. Indianapolis Colts
- Draft picks (7): 1.15, 2.46, 3.82, 4.117, 5.149, 6.192, 7.231
- Draft pick 1.15: Laiatu Latu
16. Seattle Seahawks
- Draft picks (7): 1.16, 3.78, 3.81, 4.118, 5.150, 6.193, 7.232
- Draft pick 1.16: Byron Murphy II
17. Jacksonville Jaguars traded to MIN
- Draft picks (7): 1.17, 2.48, 4.114, 4.116, 5.151, 6.194, 7.233
- Draft pick 1.17: EDGE Dallas Turner
18. Cincinnati Bengals
- Draft picks (7): 1.18, 2.49, 3.80, 4.115, 5.147, 6.195, 7.234
- Draft pick 1.18: OL Amarius Mims
19. Los Angeles Rams
- Draft picks (6): 1.19, 2.52, 3.83, 5.152, 5.153, 6.190
- Draft pick 1.19: DE Jared Verse
20. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Draft picks (7): 1.20, 2.51, 3.84, 4.119, 4.120, 6.196, 7.237
- Draft pick 1.20: OL Troy Fautanu
21. Miami Dolphins
- Draft picks (6): 1.21, 2.55, 5.156, 6.185, 6.199, 7.238
- Draft pick 1.21: DE Chop Robinson
22. Philadelphia Eagles
- Draft picks (5): 1.22, 2.50, 2.53, 5.159, 6.188
- Draft pick 1.22: CB Quinyon Mitchell
23. Jacksonville Jaguars (pick traded from MIN)
- Draft pick 1.23: WR Brian Thomas Jr.
- Chris's Grade: B
Fantasy Impact
Brian Thomas scored a TD (15 total) on every four catches (60 total) in his final season at LSU. Coincidentally, Trevor Lawrence could use a sure-handed pass-catcher as he witnessed the seventh-most drops of any starting QB in '23. But Thomas needs to develop his craft.
Nearly a quarter of Thomas's targets (24.3%) came in the deep areas of the field. The catches he hauled in produced 632 of his 1,079 of his yards. His lowest production came on intermediate looks. In short, he had a limited route tree. In addition, the Jaguars' addition of Gabe Davis becomes redundant.
Regardless, Thomas Jr.'s 4.33-speed and 58.3% contested-catch rate puts him on the short track to replace Calvin Ridley. The LSU product steps into an offense with a top-12 QB. While his skillset needs work, he has shown he can develop into a more diverse route runner. For 2024, Thomas Jr. has WR2 potential in a high-end passing game.
Scouting Report
Surprising but true: The 6’3”, 209-pound gargantuan with 4.3 speed isn’t exactly an underdog story. Thomas made this abundantly clear courtesy of his breathtaking 2023 performance as a top dog (tiger?) inside of college football’s No. 1 ranked scoring offense.
Humans standing 6-foot-3 and weighing 209 pounds shouldn’t be able to run a 40-yard dash in 4.33 seconds, but Thomas isn’t like most mortals. Overall, his 122.2 speed score ranks in the 99th percentile at the position; the man’s 10-yard split (1.5) was a mere 0.01 second removed from NFL Combine 40-yard champ Xavier Worthy (1.49) for crying out loud.
Throw in a 38.5-inch vertical, and Thomas stands out as a freak among freaks: His 9.97 out of 10.00 RAS score ranks 10th out of 3,063 WRs from 1987 to 2024.
As great as Thomas’ 2023 campaign was, his numbers don’t look great when we examine the whole picture. It’s not like he was buried behind scrubs on the LSU depth chart during his first two seasons in college, but then again both Kayshon Boutte and Trey Palmer only wound up amounting to sixth-round picks in the 2023 NFL Draft.
Ultimately, I agree with Dwain’s conclusion: Thomas is a walking, talking boom-or-bust WR4 ahead of 2024 – there are enough concerns about his relative late-career boom and overall rawness as a prospect to warrant the gap between him and the position’s top-three receivers.
The pros and cons of Brian Thomas Jr.!
24. Lions (traded pick from Dallas Cowboys)
- Draft picks 1.24: CB Terrion Arnold
25. Green Bay Packers
- Draft picks (8): 1.25, 2.41, 2.58, 3.89, 3.92, 4.126, 6.203, 7.242
- Draft pick 1.25: OL Jordan Morgan
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Draft picks (6): 1.26, 2.57, 3.90, 4.125, 6.202, 7.243
- Draft pick 1.26: OL Graham Barton
27. Houston Texans (pick traded to the Cardinals)
- Draft pick 1.27: DL Darius Robinson
28. Kansas City Chiefs
- Draft picks (5): 1.31, 2.61, 3.93, 4.129, 5.157
- Draft pick 1.28: Xavier Worthy
- Jonathan's grade: A
Fantasy Impact
Oh baby, dreams do come true. This is about as fun as it gets, pairing one of the most dynamic WR prospects with the league's best QB should give the Chiefs offense some of the juice it has been missing since Tyreek Hill departed for Miami. While the history of 40 yard dash kings isn't great, Worthy's production profile is strong enough to give me real hope he can buck that trend and deliver for both real and fantasy football purposes.
Travis Kelce is aging and Rashee Rice is facing a potential suspension so this pick can help address needs for Kansas City in both the short and long-term. Expect Worthy to shoot up draft boards across all formats now that his future is tied to Patrick Mahomes. The upside is tremendous but the hype train could get out of control quickly, be prepared to spend a high pick on Worthy if you want him.
Scouting Report
Anytime you can set a record at the NFL Combine it is going to help your draft stock. Even better if it’s a record in the most talked about event, the 40-yard dash.
That is exactly what Xavier Worthy did when he ran the 40 in just 4.21 seconds, breaking the record held by John Ross. Unlike some of the other NFL Combine heroes who boosted their draft stock with a fast 40 time, Worthy has a legit production profile to go along with the insane testing numbers.
It isn’t ideal that his production didn’t get better as he aged at Texas, but he broke out as a true freshman which is one of the most encouraging signs we can have for a player entering the NFL.
He was also used in a different role within the Texas offense each season which helps to explain some of the ups and downs throughout his career.
Get more analysis on Xavier Worthy's game here!
29. Dallas Cowboys
- Draft picks (5): 1.28, 2.56, 3.88, 7.230, 7.241
- Draft pick 1.28: Tyler Guyton
30. Baltimore Ravens
- Draft picks (7): 1.30, 2.64, 3.96, 4.132, 5.165, 7.225, 7.249
- Draft pick 1.30: Nate Wiggins
31. San Francisco 49ers
- Draft picks (7): 1.31, 2.63, 3.95, 4.124, 4.131, 6.208, 7.248
- Draft pick 1.31: Ricky Pearsall
- Chris's Grade: C-
Fantasy Impact
I'm confused.
Ricky Pearsall played 58.7% of his snaps from the slot. He was over 50.0% at Florida in both seasons and the same was the case in two of his three years at Arizona State. Pearsall crossed 20.0% of the team's targets in two of his final three years. Plus, he was efficient as a receiver (posted over a 2.0 YPRR in three of five seasons). However, Pearsall isn't the only pass-catcher in San Francisco with chops as an inside receiver.
Kyle Shanahan deployed six different skill players from the interior in 2023. From Ronnie Bell (33.3% slot snap rate) to Brandon Aiyuk (29.5%), the 'positionless' aspect of the 49ers' passing game kept us guessing. And it's not like Brock Purdy was a voluminous passer to support multiple receivers. SF's PROE was -2.0%.
Maybe this move is in anticipation of the team trading away Aiyuk or Deebo Samuel. But for now, it's a crowded, low-volume offense relative to the league. Without a change in the personnel, Pearsall's 2024 outlook looks bleak.
Scouting Report
Pearsall’s route rate and target share increased each year following his first season at Arizona State. He led the Sun Devils in targets in 2021, and after transferring to Florida in 2022, he reclaimed the WR1 spot during his final collegiate campaign.
He can run a diverse route tree, win in contested catch situations, and has the footwork and body control to work against tight coverages. In an ideal world, he'll drop into a team with an established No. 1 WR, a solid No. 2 WR, and Pearsall could be their third-down merchant. All the offense would have to do is spread out the defense and let Pearsall work the interior to convert for a first down.
But he still needs some development. Pearsall will likely be asked to run block if his route assignment has him aligned closer to the snap. And at less than 190 lbs., that may be a tough proposition. It's another reason Pearsall could see limited action as a rookie regardless of which team selects him. But maybe if he were to spend most of the summer at his local Chipotle, Pearsall could have one less thing to worry about come Week 1.
Highlighting Pearsall's strengths and weaknesses from his college days.
32. Carolina Panthers (trade from Buffalo)
- Draft picks 1.32: Xavier Legette
- Jonathan's grade: C+
Fantasy Impact
A mild surprise to end round one, the Panthers traded up one spot to get their guy Xavier Legette. The new coaching staff made it a priority to surround Bryce Young with some weapons this offseason as they have now traded for Diontae Johnson and drafted Legette in the first round. While I still wouldn't describe the Carolina offense as exciting, there are at least pieces in place to give last year's first overall pick a chance to improve.
Legette brings some much needed explosive playmaking ability to the Panthers who have two possession receivers at the top of the depth chart in Johnson and Adam Thielen. It's not an ideal landing spot for Legette but there should be targets available and he has a pretty clear path to playing time.
If Legette is legit he could form a decent 1-2 punch alongside Johnson moving forward as Thielen's career comes to a close. The only real loser with this pick is Jonathan Mingo who struggled as a rookie and has a very similar skill set as Legette who the new coaching staff just invested heavily in.
Scouting Report
Legette has a rare combination of size and speed that will intrigue plenty of NFL teams. He measured in at 6’1” and 221 lbs at the NFL Combine and crushed the athletic testing with a 4.39 second 40 yard dash and a 40” vertical which ranked among the best in the WR position group..
He has some of the most exciting highlight reel plays of anyone in this class, but he is far from a complete receiver. After four years with minimal production at South Carolina, he broke out in a big way in 2023.
In a talented WR class Legette still stands out for his physical traits, but the team that drafts him will need to have a plan for developing him. He won’t enter the league as the most polished WR but he has a valuable skill set that should allow him to play a fantasy relevant role while hopefully developing into a more complete player.
Get the full scouting report on Legette here.
33. Buffalo Bills
- Draft pick 2.33: Keon Coleman
Fantasy Impact
After trading down twice in round one, the Bills finally got Josh Allen another weapon. Keon Coleman will bring a big, physical presence to the Buffalo offense and should immediately step into a significant role for a team that has a ton of vacated targets with Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis now playing elsewhere.
Coleman is a bit of a controversial prospect but I do think there is significant upside for both fantasy football and real football. He could easily be a double digit TD player catching passes from Josh Allen and has the athletic ability to develop into a legit number one WR in the NFL. At the same time, the floor is pretty low so this landing spot was important to solidify his status as someone worth taking a shot on in all formats.
Scouting Report
You can describe Coleman in a single word: raw.
At 6-foot-3 and 213 pounds, the Florida State product has the build of an X-receiver. With that frame, you’d think he’d be able to turn 50-50 balls into 60-40 propositions for his QB. But out of Coleman’s class, his 43.4% contested catch rate puts him at WR10.
However, Coleman maintained healthy target shares of 22.9% and 24.9% as a starter. He averaged 32.6% of his offense’s air yards and had the seventh-most TDs in his final college season (which came after transferring schools).
Coleman was a top option in his offense wherever he went. Whether it be for his route versatility or red-zone prowess, the Spartan-turned-Seminole can create gravity at every level of the field.
34. Los Angeles Chargers
- Draft Pick 2.34: Ladd McConkey
Fantasy Impact
After all of Jim Harbaugh's talk about offensive lineman being weapons, I was relieved to see the Chargers finally add another pass catcher for Justin Herbert. McConkey fits well with what the Chargers need as he provides versatility and the ability to separate in the blink of an eye. He has some Keenan Allen to his game and he will likely be asked to step in and fill that role now that Allen is in Chicago.
McConkey played 30% of his college snaps in the slot, showcasing his ability to play inside and outside which should be valuable for his new team considering their overall lack of pass catchers. He will give Herbert a reliable target who can win underneath and over the top. While McConkey won't solve all their problems, this is at least a start for rebuilding the Chargers' WR room.
This is a pretty good landing spot for McConkey as he has a real chance to be Herbert's top target if the Chargers don't make any other major moves at the position. I expect him to move up draft boards in both dynasty and redraft formats.
Scouting Report
If you value YPRR (yards per route run) then Ladd McConkey is the prospect for you. He never posted lower than 2.16 YPRR in any of the three seasons he played in. His final year mark of 3.26 YPRR ranked 8th best in the nation for all WRs in 2023 (min. 30 targets).
When he was on the field running routes, McConkey absolutely balled out. He also ranks highly in passer rating when targeted, which demonstrates how QB-friendly his skill set is.
By far the biggest red flag in McConkey’s profile is the fact that he wasn’t a full-time player at Georgia. If we are going to invest a high pick into a player in our rookie drafts, we would expect them to have dominated at the collegiate level, but that wasn’t the case for McConkey.
He is also an older prospect who will turn 23 during his rookie season, so I don’t love that for his ability to continue to develop as a pro. It is difficult for me to get too excited about an older slot WR who only had one college season with more than 40 targets and never hit 800 yards.
35. Atlanta Falcons
- Draft pick 2.35: Ruke Orhorhoro
36. Washington Commanders
- Draft pick 2.36: Jer'Zhan Newton
37. New England Patriots
- Draft pick 2.37: Ja'Lynn Polk
Fantasy Impact
WR was (and still is) a position of massive need for the Patriots. After grabbing their new franchise QB in round one, New England got him a weapon early on day two by selecting Ja'Lynn Polk out of Washington. Polk had a big 2023 season and will bring good size (6'2") and alignment versatility (career 31% slot rate) to the Pats' offense.
New England was always likely to invest in the WR position so this doesn't really move the needle for anyone that was already on the roster. For Polk, this landing spot provides a relatively easy path to playing time but will likely cap his ceiling in 2024 as the Patriots are expected to have one of the worst offenses in the NFL.
I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of two TE sets from New England this year in order to get Hunter Henry and Austin Hooper on the field at the same time. Polk, DeMario Douglas, and Kendrick Bourne should serve as the top WRs barring any other significant moves at the position.
38. Tennessee Titans
- Draft pick 2.38: T'Vondre Sweat
39. Los Angeles Rams
- Draft pick 2.39: Braden Fiske
40. Philadelphia Eagles
- Draft pick 2.40: Cooper DeJean
41. New Orleans Saints
- Draft pick 2.41: Kool-Aid McKinstry
42. Houston Texans
- Draft pick 2.42: Kamari Lassiter
43. Arizona Cardinals
- Draft pick 2.43: Max Melton
44. Las Vegas Raiders
- Draft pick 2.44: Jackson Powers-Johnson
45. Green Bay Packers
- Draft pick 2.45: Edgerrin Cooper
46. Carolina Panthers
- Draft pick 2.46: Jonathon Brooks
Fantasy Impact
I'm not going to lie, this pick makes me sad. Brooks was the clear top RB prospect in my opinion but he now lands on the NFL's worst team from last season. The Panthers scored just seven total rushing TDs last year and had the third worst run-block win rate.
Brooks is recovering from a torn ACL in November but I still expect him to win the starting role pretty early in the year, but it remains to be seen how much fantasy value that can provide.
It's hard not to question this pick for a Carolina team that has a ton of needs. RB feels like a luxury pick they couldn't afford, especially with Chuba Hubbard looking competent last season. Hubbard will now be nothing more than a late round dart throw and a potential thorn in the side of fantasy managers who draft Brooks. This landing spot will likely also push Brooks down the board in fantasy drafts and could cause multiple other RBs to go ahead of him depending on their landing spots.
Read my full breakdown of Brooks' game here.
47. New York Giants
- Draft pick 2.47: Tyler Nubin
48. Jacksonville Jaguars
- Draft pick 2.48: Maason Smith
49. Cincinnati Bengals
- Draft pick 2.49: Kris Jenkins
50. Washington Commanders
- Draft pick 2.50: Mike Sainristil
51. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Draft pick 2.51: Zach Frazier
52. Indianapolis Colts
- Draft pick 2.52: Adonai Mitchell
Fantasy Impact
This was a bit of a fall for Mitchell who was getting round one draft steam a few weeks ago, but it could be worse. He'll now join a young and talented offensive skill group for the Colts which look like a team on the rise. Mitchell is extremely physically gifted but he will have to compete with Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs for targets.
The good news for Mitchell is that the Colts played with three WRs on the field (11 personnel) at the third highest rate last season. As long as he can beat out Alec Pierce, he should be able to get plenty of playing time. At that point, it'll be up to him to earn targets from Anthony Richardson.
For now I'm expecting Downs and Mitchell to fall slightly from where they were going in best ball drafts, but this pick should only push Richardson higher as his supporting cast is starting to look very strong.
For more on Mitchell be sure to check out the full scouting report from Ian Hartitz.
53. Washington Commanders
- Draft pick 2.53: Ben Sinnott
Fantasy Impact
The answer to the question of who would be the second TE off the board turned out to be Ben Sinnott. Washington needed a long-term solution at the position and they may have found a good one in Sinnott.
Although he is a bit undersized, Sinnott is a well-rounded player who graded well as a blocker and was an efficient pass catcher. He also crushed the NFL Combine where he was one of the top performers in his position group across most drills. He'll likely spend his first year as a part-time player learning from Zach Ertz and developing chemistry with rookie QB Jayden Daniels.
I won't be projecting a ton of production for him as a rookie but he'll be someone to keep an eye on as a potential waiver wire add late in the season if he works his way into a full-time role.
54. Cleveland Browns
- Draft pick 2.54: Michael Hall Jr.
55. Miami Dolphins
- Draft pick 2.55: Patrick Paul
56. Dallas Cowboys
- Draft pick 2.56: Marshawn Kneeland
57. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Draft pick 2.57: Chris Braswell
58. Green Bay Packers
- Draft pick 2.58: Javon Bullard
59. Houston Texans
- Draft pick 2.59: Blake Fisher
60. Buffalo Bills
- Draft pick 2.60: Cole Bishop
61. Detroit Lions
- Draft pick 2.61: Ennis Rakestraw Jr.
62. Baltimore Ravens
- Draft pick 2.62: Roger Rosengarten
63. Kansas City Chiefs
- Draft pick 2.63: Kingsley Suamataia
64. San Francisco 49ers
- Draft pick 2.64: Renardo Green
65. New York Jets
- Draft pick 3.65: Malachi Corley
Fantasy Impact
The good news is that this is pretty solid draft capital for Corley who had a wide range of potential outcomes in the draft. The Jets traded up to take him with the first pick of the third round and he'll have a good shot to make an impact in 2024 so long as he stays on Aaron Rodgers' good side.
Rodgers is known for not trusting rookie pass catchers but the Jets are in win-now mode and have a sneaky thin WR depth chart. Garrett Wilson is the clear top guy and Mike Williams is theoretically an upgrade at WR2 but he's coming off a torn ACL and will turn 30 this season. If Corley's YAC skills translate to the next level he could have a surprisingly big role in 2024. Expect his ADP to be on the rise coming out of this weekend.
66. Arizona Cardinals
- Draft pick 3.66: Trey Benson
Fantasy Impact
I have to admit I didn't expect this one, but in hindsight it doesn't seem too surprising. Arizona appears to be loading up on offense by putting a number of young playmakers around Kyler Murray. After spending the fourth overall pick on Marvin Harrison Jr. the Cardinals made Benson the second RB drafted this year and now have a strong complement (and eventual successor) to James Conner.
Conner was great last season so he figures to open as the starter but he will be 29 years old in a few days and is in the final year of his contract. This looks like a committee situation that will shift from veteran to rookie as the lead back over the course of the season. It's not great for the fantasy value of either player but I definitely prefer the late season production in that scenario.
I hope this leads to Benson falling in best ball drafts because I really like his upside in what should be a much improved Arizona offense. His contingent value will be elite and there should be a path to him just winning the job if he flashes early or Conner starts showing his age.
67. Washington Commanders
- Draft pick 3.67: Brandon Coleman
68. New England Patriots
- Draft pick 3.68: Caedan Wallace
69. Los Angeles Chargers
- Draft pick 3.69: Junior Colson
70. New York Giants
- Draft pick 3.70: Andru Phillips
71. Arizona Cardinals
- Draft pick 3.71: Isaiah Adams
72. Carolina Panthers
- Draft pick 3.72: Trevin Wallace
73. Dallas Cowboys
- Draft pick 3.73: Cooper Beebe
74. Atlanta Falcons
- Draft pick 3.74: Bralen Trice
75. Chicago Bears
- Draft pick 3.75: Kiran Amegadjie
76. Denver Broncos
- Draft pick 3.76: Jonah Elliss
77. Las Vegas Raiders
- Draft pick 3.77: Delmar Glaze
78. Houston Texans
- Draft pick 3.78: Calen Bullock
79. Indianapolis Colts
- Draft pick 3.79: Matt Goncalves
80. Cincinnati Bengals
- Draft pick 3.80: Jermain Burton
Fantasy Impact
I like this pick a lot for both Burton and the Bengals. Cincinnati could find themselves thin at the position quite quickly now the Tyler Boyd is a free agent and Tee Higgins has requested a trade. Burton adds an explosive downfield threat for Joe Burrow and is the type of player who can make defenses pay if they overcommit to stopping Ja'Marr Chase.
Buront averaged 18 yards per reception for his college college and had an aDOT of more than 20 yards in his final season. I would argue he is more talented than this draft position and this could be a potential steal for Cincinnati.
If Higgins does stay in Cincy for 2024, Burton will profile as a guy with a high ceiling but low floor on a weekly basis. If/when Higgins moves on, we could be looking at the long-term number two across from Chase. Don't be surprised if the Burton hype train takes off soon.
Get the full scoop on Burton here.
81. Seattle Seahawks
- Draft pick 3.81: Christian Haynes
82. Arizona Cardinals
- Draft pick 3.82: Tip Reiman
Fantasy Impact
The Cardinals have one of the most promising young TEs in the NFL in Trey McBride but they chose to add an intriguing developmental prospect behind him. Reiman is big and athletic but was inconsistent and never put up much production in college.
Reiman never hit 20 receptions in any college season and I wouldn't describe him as a great blocker yet, although he did flash the ability to move defenders. I don't think he'll be anything more than a late round pick in dynasty rookie drafts.
83. Los Angeles Rams
- Draft pick 3.83: Blake Corum
Fantasy Impact
This is one of the more interesting picks of the third round in my opinion. The Rams got great production out of Kyren Williams when he was on the field but clearly weren't thrilled with their depth behind him.
I think Williams should hold onto most of the high value touches and should still be very valuable for fantasy. The big question is whether or not Corum benefits from being another year removed from the torn menisu he suffered in 2022.
Prior to that injury Corum looked like he could be a potential star at the next level. He was still very productive last season but didn't have quite the same burst or tackle breaking ability.
Corum has proven he can handle a large workload so while I expect Williams to remain the clear lead back, the contingent value will be really strong in the event Kyren misses any time.
Check out my full write up on Corum here.
84. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Draft pick 3.84: Roman Wilson
Fantasy Impact
It is always worth taking note of who the Steelers draft in the middle rounds at WR considering their excellent track record at the position. I was already a fan of Wilson so getting the Steelers' stamp of approval was a welcome sign.
While I feel good about the talent evaluation, the Pittsburgh offense will most likely be very run heavy and it remains to be seen whether Russell Wilson or Justin Fields can support multiple pass catchers. That being said, the competition for targets is pretty wide open after George Pickens, and even he isn't even a target hog the way Diontae Johnson was.
This is fine landing spot for 2024 but I think it could be a great one long-term so I'll be moving Wilson up my dynasty ranks.
Read the full report on Roman Wilson here.
85. Cleveland Browns
- Draft pick 3.85: Zak Zinter
86. San Francisco 49ers
- Draft pick 3.86: Dominick Puni
87. Dallas Cowboys
- Draft pick 3.87: Marist Liufau
88. Green Bay Packers
- Draft pick 3.88: MarShawn Lloyd
Fantasy Impact
I'm a big fan of Lloyd's game and I like this landing spot as he should be a great change of pace option alongside Josh Jacobs. He can create big plays and broke tackles at an elite rate throughout his time in college. He never handled a huge workload but he has the size (220 lbs) to handle real volume if needed.
Jacobs should be the clear lead back in 2024 but his contract doesn't guarantee him much beyond this season so Lloyd has a chance to ascend into a larger role if he plays well. I don't think his cost in drafts will get out of control so I have a feeling he will be one of my favorite selections in both dynasty and best ball.
89. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Draft pick 3.89: Tykee Smith
90. Arizona Cardinals
- Draft pick 3.90: Elijah Jones
91. Green Bay Packers
- Draft pick 3.91: Ty'Ron Hopper
92. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Draft pick 3.92: Jalen McMillan
Fantasy Impact
The Bucs have a strong WR room already but they built on that strength with a well-rounded prospect out of Washington. McMillan broke out in 2022 but his production dipped in 2023 as he struggled with injuries.
He played most of his snaps out of the slot and posted better than 2.3 YPRR in each of his final two seasons. There is plenty to like in McMillan's profile and he projects as someone who could develop into a quality starter but his ceiling is limited to being a WR2.
It could be difficult for McMillan to earn a lot of routes and targets in 2024 while competing with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Trey Palmer but the upside is there in the long-run for dynasty leagues.
Read more about McMillan here.
93. Baltimore Ravens
- Draft pick 3.93: Adisa Isaac
94. Philadelphia Eagles
- Draft pick 3.94: Jalyx Hunt
95. Buffalo Bills
- Draft pick 3.95: DeWayne Carter
96. Jacksonville Jaguars
- Draft pick 3.96: Jarrian Jones
97. Cincinnati Bengals
- Draft pick 3.97: McKinley Jackson
98. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Draft pick 3.98: Payton Wilson
99. Los Angeles Rams
- Draft pick 3.99: Kamren Kinchens
100. Washington Commanders
- Draft pick 3.100: Luke McCaffrey
Fantasy Impact
Washington closed out day three by taking a familiar name in Luke McCaffrey. CMC's brother is a fluid athlete with a pro-ready skill set that I expect to translate well. He should be able to step in and play in the slot right away to give rookie QB Jayden Daniels another weapon.
McCaffrey tested well at the NFL Combine but hadn't gotten a ton of love in fantasy drafts. This draft capital should put him on the radar in all formats as there is real opportunity behind Terry McLaurin in this offense. Jahan Dotson should be the number two WR but he struggled last season and you never know what can happen with a new coaching staff and rookie talent in town.
101. Carolina Panthers
- Draft Pick 4.101: Ja'Tavion Sanders
Fantasy Impact
Pour one out for anyone holding out hope that Tommy Tremble would be a viable fantasy asset. Ja'Tavion Sanders profiles as a receiving option over having a blocking role for the Panthers. The Texas TE averaged over 15.0% of the team's target in consecutive seasons in an offense featuring Patrick Mahomes' new WR, Xavier Worthy, and the Colts' latest edition AD Mitchell.
Regardless of what you think of Bryce Young's development, Sanders' size and long speed offer the short-statured QB another weapon that can create after the catch. With time for the two to get in sync, Sanders may be worth a late-round dart in dynasty leagues.
Scouting Report
There’s no question about Sanders’ receiving skillset. From having the ability to execute multiple routes to producing on his opportunities, the Longhorns TE was the perfect complement to the WRs. We saw Sanders do it against actual defenders, and he showcased the same ball-tracking traits at the NFL Combine.
Man or zone coverage, it didn’t matter. Sanders was able to work through coverage to make catches in tight windows for long gains. And, critically, he was able to create after the catch to keep his offense ahead of the chains.
Sanders operated as the second or third passing option for the Longhorns. His 18.3% and 20.6% TPRR over his final two seasons ranked in the top three. And he did this while playing alongside speedy Xavier Worthy and Adonai Mitchell (in 2023). More importantly, as the film indicates, he did it in different ways (e.g., long speed, breaking tackles).
102. Denver Broncos
- Draft Pick 4.102: Troy Franklin
Fantasy Impact
One of the usual concerns for rookie WRs is their compatibility with the offense. If they're on the same page as their QB can be a legitimate issue. Luckily, Troy Franklin doesn't have that problem.
Franklin gets to reunite with his college QB, Bo Nix, and continue their low-aDOT, create-after-the-catch ways in Denver. And Franklin's skillset lends itself to an immediate on-field impact.
The Oregon product posted above-average metrics in YPRR (3.32) and YAC per reception (6.6) during his final season with the Ducks. While he primarily played on the outside (80.9% snap rate out wide), his 190-lb frame doesn't lend itself to physical corners at the NFL level. Shifting him to the slot in Year 1 would be ideal for the quick WR and allow him to develop along with his college QB.
Scouting Report
A former four-star recruit and the No. 3 overall WR in the 2021 class, Troy Franklin entered Oregon with high expectations and more than achieved them by setting single-season school records for receptions (81), receiving yards (1,383), and receiving TDs (14) during his final year in Eugene.
While getting paired with Bo Nix in this ever-high-flying offensive attack helped matters, Franklin’s game-breaking speed (4.41-second 40-yard dash) proved to be the linchpin of a Ducks offense that scored more TDs (146) than anyone else over the last two seasons.
Unlike the consensus top-three WRs in this class, Franklin doesn’t directly profile as someone overly “landing spot proof” when it comes to evaluating his 2024 fantasy upside. Maybe this won’t matter and he gets to land on the Chiefs, Bills, Chargers, or Cardinals, but there’s a lower potential floor here should he go to an offense that’s not overly enamored with the vertical passing game.
103. New England Patriots
- Draft pick 4.103: Layden Robinson
104. Arizona Cardinals
- Draft pick 4.104: Dadrion Taylor-Demerson
105. Los Angeles Chargers
- Draft pick 4.105: Justin Eboigbe
106. Tennessee Titans
- Draft pick 4.106: Cedric Gray
107. New York Giants
- Draft pick 4.107: Theo Johnson
Fantasy Impact
Johnson was the TE2 on some scouts boards but he ends up falling to day three. He's a phenomenal athlete but had very little receiving production in college which makes him more of a developmental prospect.
This is clearly a pick for the future as Darren Waller doesn't seem to have many years left in his career. Johnson and Daniel Bellinger should have the 2024 season to make their case as the future of the position in New York.
Read our full report on Johnson here.
108. Minnesota Vikings
- Draft pick 4.108: Khyree Jackson
109. Atlanta Falcons
- Draft pick 4.109: Brandon Dorlus
110. New England Patriots
- Draft pick 4.110: Javon Baker
Fantasy Impact
The Patriots have an awful track record of drafting WRs, but they nabbed an intriguing prospect in the fourth round with Javon Baker. A popular sleeper pick, Baker should have a chance to compete for snaps as a rookie in a very thin WR room in New England.
Baker started his career at Alabama but then transferred to UCF where he was very productive. He brings good size and decent athleticism at a position where New England desperately needs bodies. Look out for Baker as someone who could earn snaps during the later part of the season if he can build chemistry with rookie QB Drake Maye.
111. Green Bay Packers
- Draft pick 4.111: Evan Williams
112. Las Vegas Raiders
- Draft pick 4.112: Decamerion Richardson
113. Baltimore Ravens
- Draft Pick 4.113: Devontez Walker
Fantasy Impact
Admittedly, Tez Walker is raw with a limited skillset. But he offers one thing the rest of the Ravens' WR corps doesn't have: size on the outside. The UNC product almost exclusively ran from the perimeter falling just short of the class average in YPRR on the outside. But a 4.36 40-yard dash time isn't anything to dismiss. And Lamar Jackson needs WRs capable of beating press coverage to create explosives downfield.
Let's hope Walker can get over his issue with drops (8.8% career drop rate) and cash in on any deep attempts Jackson lobs his way. But in Year 1, expect Walker to operate as a much-needed distraction to keep defenses occupied with the Ravens' perimeter assets while Jackson continues to work the middle of the field.
115. Cincinnati Bengals
- Draft Pick 4.115: Erick All
The easy analysis is Erick All will have to wait to become fantasy relevant. Just look at their depth chart. Ignore their WRs and what they'll likely do in future years to keep Joe Burrow happy. All has his own position-mates to consider. Mike Gesicki likely leads the Bengals' TEs given his historical route rates and contract. Behind him, Tanner Hudson and Drew Sample await. Iowa has become ‘TE University’ in recent years and taking a swing on an athletic prospect makes sense for Cincinnati. However, it'll take a year or two before we can see what All brings to the table.
120. Miami Dolphins
- Draft pick 4.120: Jaylen Wright
The Dolphins continue to add speed to their roster. Wright ran the second fastest 40 yard dash time for the RB position group at the NFL Combine. One of the knocks on him is his vision and the fact that he faced light boxes all the time in college which made it much easier to rip off big runs. Miami might just be the best situation for his skill set which makes this a really fun landing spot. It may be tough for Wright to earn a ton of touches if Raheem Mostert and Devon Achane stay healthy, but Wright will have contingent value and a path to a larger role in future years when Mostert eventually moves on.
123. Houston Texans
- Draft pick 4.123: Cade Stover
Houston adds another piece around their star QB C.J. Stroud. Stover is a solid pass catching TE who has played a bunch of different positions throughout his football career. He's pretty good after the catch and has room to develop alongside this young core in Houston. Don't expect much in the first year or two but keep Stover on your radar for a few years down the line.
125. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Draft pick 4.125: Bucky Irving
It was always a question of when, not if, the Bucs would add to their backfield. The answer turned out to be in the late fourth round with the ultra-productive Oregon RB Bucky Irving. He didn't test very well but his tape is really good and he should be a good understudy to Rachaad White. It will be up to Irving how much he can force his way onto the field as a rookie, but this is still a pretty good outcome for White as the Bucs were a candidate to spend higher draft capital on an RB.
Get the full breakdown on Irving here.
127. Philadelphia Eagles
- Draft Pick 4.127: Will Shipley
Darren Sproles. Boston Scott. Will Shipley.
At 5'11", the Clemson RB assumes the coveted ‘small rusher’ role that's been fruitful for fantasy in the past. Shipley's burst and long speed should earn him a spot in the Philly rotation immediately. He'd be an upgrade on Kenneth Gainwell in two-minute scenarios when the team needs to move quickly. However, Shipley also brings a receiving skillset the Eagles lost with D'Andre Swift.
While Jalen Hurts looked to his WRs more often, Shipley earned over 30 targets in consecutive seasons at Clemson. He averaged over 8.0 YAC per reception all three years. While we can't pencil Shipley into a heavy rushing workload with Saquon Barkley leading the charge, but Shipley can work into hurry-up/two-minute scenarios to aid his fantasy production in Year 1.
128. Buffalo Bills
- Draft Pick 4.128: Ray Davis
On the one hand, Ray Davis is an older prospect. He'll turn 25 during his first season in Buffalo. And the traditional half-life for RBs, doesn't lend itself to rushers who already have a quarter century under their belt.
On the other hand, Davis posted Top 20 numbers in yards after contact per attempt (3.91) and was 27th in total explosive runs. And at 216 lbs, the Bills have a (somewhat) younger replacement for Latavius Murray who operated as the short-yardage complement to James Cook. This move brings the ceiling potential down for Cook, but Davis should be in line for fantasy-relevant touches in 2024.
129. San Francisco 49ers
- Draft Pick 4.129: Isaac Guerendo
Elijah Mitchell, you have a problem.
Isaac Guerendo is a top-tier athlete with high-end burst and long speed at the size most teams would want for their starting RB. Additionally, Guerendo ranked 13th in yards after contact per attempt in his final years at Louisville while earning 20+ targets in back-to-back seasons.
The oft-injured backup to Christian McCaffrey has only shown flashes of both availability and viability as a fantasy asset. Drafters have looked to Mitchell as the heir apparent or contingent option in the 49ers' backfield should CMC miss time. However, given Guerendo's size, speed, and experience in a pro-style system, Mitchell may find himself even farther from a starting position by the time we get to September.
131. Kansas City Chiefs
- Draft pick 4.131: Jared Wiley
Kansas City brings in a decent receiving TE to learn behind Travis Kelce and Noah Gray. Wiley was pretty productive in his final season at TCU and looks like a natural receiver who catches the ball well and can pick up yards after the catch. He's got good size but is an older prospect so the ceiling probably isn't too high, but with Kelce in his mid-30s the Chiefs decided to start building depth at the position.
134. New York Jets
- Draft pick 4.134: Braelon Allen
Allen was super productive at Wisconsin and is one of the youngest players in this class so there are reasons to like this pick for the Jets. I have some questions about Allen's athleticism but he has the size to handle plenty of touches if he shows he can play at the next level. This is Breece Hall's backfield but the Jets now have a few young developmental projects behind him with Allen and Izzy Abanikanda.
Read more on Braelon Allen here.
135. San Francisco 49ers
- Draft pick 4.135: Jacob Cowing
San Francisco sure does seem to be loading up on receiver amidst all the trade rumors. Cowing is a speedy slot receiver who plays with toughness and plenty of burst. He can create separation underneath and has the speed to burn defenses over the top but he is pretty undersized. He could be a fun player in the Shanahan system if he gets a shot, but would have a better weekly ceiling than season long one for fantasy purposes.
142. Indianapolis Colts
- Draft Pick 4.142: Anthony Gould
Anthony Gould profiles as insurance for Josh Downs. The Oregon State WR, standing at 5'8", spent over 90.0% of his snaps in the slot in 2021. Gould was able to diversify his deployment with his wideout snap rates tilting toward the outside in his final seasons. Regardless, his speed and frame are conducive to an interior role. Plus, with Downs susceptible to missing time, we may see Gould earlier than later in 2024.
147. Denver Broncos
- Draft Pick 4.147: Audric Estime
Adding depth to your rushing attack isn't a bad way to approach the draft. And plussing-up your backfield with an efficient RB is always a good move.
Audric Estime was one of five RBs in the class with above-average marks in both forced missed tackle rate and yards after contact per attempt. Assuming he wedges himself into the Broncos' rotation in Year 1, he can work in short-yardage/goal-line situations without hesitation. However, Javonte Williams will retain the base-down work and Samaje Perine will be the passing-down option. It'll take an injury to see more of Estime in his rookie season, but don't take his lack of touches for a lack of talent.
152. Philadelphia Eagles
- Draft pick 5.152: Ainias Smith
The Eagles bring in a versatile playmaker in Ainias Smith. He has plenty of speed and explosiveness which he shows after the catch and in the return game. He should be an effective special teams player right away while hopefully developing into a more refined receiver. The Eagles have their top pass catchers but are searching for depth behind A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. They brought in a number of veterans this offseason and now Smith will joing the mix to compete for snaps.
156. Cleveland Browns
- Draft pick 5.156: Jamari Thrash
The Browns didn't have a lot of draft capital this year so it is somewhat notable they spent their third selection in this draft on WR Jamari Thrash after acquiring Jerry Jeudy via trade a few weeks ago. Thrash has a slender frame but is very quick and can create yards after the catch. He's an older prospect but had two productive seasons at Louisville and will now get to compete for a depth role in Cleveland.
165. Baltimore Ravens
- Draft pick 5.165: Rasheen Ali
The Ravens made a big splash at the RB position this offseason by signing Derrick Henry but they still had a need for depth at the position with Gus Edwards departing in free agency and Keaton Mitchell recovering from a torn ACL. Ali is a fun prospect who brings power, explosiveness, and pass catching chops. I like this as a high upside pick who the Ravens can evaluate while leaning on Henry in the short-term. Unfortunately, Ali suffered an injury at the Senior Bowl so he will need to fully recover before he can start competing for a spot on the roster.
166. New York Giants
- Draft pick 5.166: Tyrone Tracy Jr.
The Giants were one of the better landing spots for a rookie RB hoping to earn a role early on. New York doesn't have very good depth behind Devin Singletary so there are snaps available to be won in training camp.
Tracy converted from WR to RB last year so he still has some developing to do, but he is a very good athlete who can make big plays as a rusher and receiver. He'll be a priority pick for me towards the end of dynasty rookie drafts.
167. Jacksonville Jaguar
- Draft Pick 5.167: Keilan Robinson
Keilan Robinson's utility to the Jaguars' offense looks limited to special teams. He's undersized, with a total of 42 targets to his collegiate profile. As a rusher, Robinson never accrued more than 350 yards in a single season. Behind Travis Etienne Jr. and Tank Bigsby, Robinson doesn't have a projectable role in the backfield. Without a receiving skillset, Robinson wouldn't fit on third downs or in two-minute scenarios. His size precludes him from short-yardage work. As a result, barring injury, Robinson should be an avoid in fantasy leagues.
170. New Orleans Saints
- Draft Pick 5.170: Bub Means
OK, subjectively, Bub Means should earn volume based on his name alone.
Objectively, there's a chance he might.
Means's athletic testing indicates high-end long speed and quickness for a 6'1"-212 receiver. He operated as an interior (24.2% slot snap rate) and exterior route runner throughout college but primarily downfield (16.9 aDOT). Nearly a quarter of his routes were in contested situations.
His skillset overlaps with burner Rashid Shaheed. But the Saints could use some depth at the position. While we'd prefer more intermediate assets for Derek Carr, Means creating explosives might be in the cards for 2024.
171. New York Jets
- Draft Pick 5.171: Jordan Travis
Jordan Travis sits behind Aaron Rodgers and Tyrod Taylor on the depth chart. Tommy Cutlets wound up taking snaps for the other New York franchise in 2023, so anything can happen. But let's assume nothing disastrous happens to the Jets QB room.
Regardless, Travis could use the time to refine his game. His 71.1% career-adjusted completed percentage lags behind this year's crop of passers. But he does have some upside as a runner, with 5+ rushing TDs over his last four seasons. So, if we do see him on the field in 2024, lower expectations for the entire passing game, but Travis's floor rmay be saved by his athletic ability.
173. New York Jets
- Draft pick 5.173: Isaiah Davis
After taking Braelon Allen late in round four, the Jets dipped back into the RB pool by selecting Isaiah Davis late in round five. Davis was ultra-productive at South Dakota State and showed a well-rounded skill set on tape. He has good size, decent burst, and isn't afraid on contact. He can also contribute in the passing game. The Jets backfield suddenly looks quite crowded which isn't great for projecting the fantasy value of any of the depth pieces.
181. Los Angeles Chargers
- Draft pick 6.181: Kimani Vidal
This could be one of the more fantasy relevant picks of the sixth round. The Chargers were widely expected to select an RB on day two, but they opted to wait until round six. Vidal is a smaller school propsect who played at Troy but showed excellent tackle breaking ability and rushed for the second most yards in the country last season.
He is decent in the passing game and should compete for a role behind Gus Edwards. Vidal will be worth a dynasty rookie pick and is even a fun dart throw at the end of best ball drafts.
182. Tennessee Titans
- Draft pick 6.182: Jha'Quan Jackson
A smaller receiver with good speed, Jackson projects as a special teamer early in his career. If he can carve out a roster spot he has the athleticism to be a fun rotational piece in WR room but the path to fantasy relevance seems thin.
184. Miami Dolphins
- Draft pick 6.184: Malik Washington
One of the most productive receivers in college football season, Washington brings more speed to this Miami offense. He set an ACC record with 110 catches last season while showing great hands and the ability to generate yards after the catch. He's a shorter receiver but Miami has shown they prefer speed over size so Washington will fit right in.
Sixth round draft capital isn't much of an investment and Miami already has two target dominant WRs so Washington doesn't have a path to early production but should have some contingent value if he earns a roster spot.
185. Philadelphia Eagles
- Draft Pick 6.185: Johnny Wilson
The Eagles continue to stack up wins in the draft.
Johnny Wilson profiled as a receiver most thought would go in the earlier rounds of the draft. He's 6'6" with enough burst to work through defenders. And his route alignment throughout college fits what the Eagles need on offense.
A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith can work at all three receiver positions, and their positional flexibility makes the passing game all the more potent. But having a perimeter WR to maintain defensive attention from their second-level defenders allows Brown and Smith to operate. Wilson may not earn significant targets with highly efficient (and highly paid) options at Jalen Hurts's disposal.
But a splash play here and there? Absolutely.
186. Atlanta Falcons
- Draft Pick 6.186: Jase McClellan
The Falcons have Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier on the roster. Jase McClellan topped out at 17 targets in a single season at Alabama. McClellan offers no skillset outside of the two RBs ahead of him. At best, the Crimson Tide product works into a rotation. He averaged over 3.0 yards after contact per attempt and would fit into short-yardage situations. He could be a solid pass protector for Kirk Cousins. However, without a change to the personnel, McClellan doesn't hold fantasy value.
187. Atlanta Falcons
- Draft Pick 6.187: Casey Washington
Casey Washington posted above-average results during his athletic tests with a primary deployment on the outside at Illinois. With Drake London (can function as the Z or from the slot), Kyle Pitts (used on the perimeter), and Darnell Mooney (played some X, but most efficient off the line), Washington's skillset fits a need for the Falcons. However, Washington needs time to develop. His single-season best YPRR was 1.63. He struggled with creating separation and using his 6'2" frame to work through coverage. A receiver-friendly scheme like an offshoot of the Sean McVay tree would serve him well as a rookie. We may not see him in 2024, but he can work his way into playing time in the future.
191. Arizona Cardinals
- Draft Pick 6.191: Tejhaun Palmer
Tejhaun Palmer enters a situation worth monitoring. Despite Arizona drafting Marvin Harrison Jr., the Cardinals' WR corps features Michael Wilson, Greg Dortch, and Chris Moore. Palmer's 96.6% perimeter snap rate puts him in contention with Wilson for looks. And last year's third-round receiver missed some time due to injury. It's possible Palmer could see playing time in 2024. However, he'll need to get in sync with Kyler Murray to secure any fantasy value as a rookie.