Fantasy

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers. Week 10

by Dwain McFarland

1 year ago

It is time to make those tough lineup decisions for Week 10 of the fantasy football season.

Below you’ll find positional rankings, player analysis, betting totals, and implied points for every game on the slate.

Find all of our positional rankings here.

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers – Week 10

Last updated: 10 am, Saturday, November 12th. Please refer to our Rankings page for updates!

Quarterback

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	QB1	Jalen Hurts	vs WAS	43.5	-11.0	27.25	24.5
1	QB2	Patrick Mahomes II	vs JAC	50.5	-9.5	30.00	26.2
1	QB3	Josh Allen	vs MIN	43.0	-3.0	23.00	27.9
2	QB4	Justin Fields	vs DET	48.5	-3.0	25.75	19.0
2	QB5	Tua Tagovailoa	vs CLE	49.5	-3.5	26.50	20.0
2	QB6	Dak Prescott	at GB	44.0	-4.5	24.25	14.7
3	QB7	Geno Smith	at TB	44.5	2.5	21.00	18.6
3	QB8	Justin Herbert	at SF	45.5	7.0	19.25	17.3
3	QB9	Kyler Murray	at LAR	40.5	3.0	18.75	20.1
3	QB10	Tom Brady	vs SEA	44.5	-2.5	23.50	15.4
3	QB11	Jimmy Garoppolo	vs LAC	45.5	-7.0	26.25	16.0
3	QB12	Kirk Cousins	at BUF	43.0	3.0	20.00	18.0
4	QB13	Trevor Lawrence	at KC	50.5	9.5	20.50	16.2
4	QB14	Daniel Jones	vs HOU	40.5	-4.5	22.50	16.3
4	QB15	Jared Goff	at CHI	48.5	3.0	22.75	16.6
4	QB16	Russell Wilson	at TEN	39.0	3.0	18.00	15.2
4	QB17	Derek Carr	vs IND	41.0	-4.5	22.75	15.1
4	QB18	Aaron Rodgers	vs DAL	44.0	4.5	19.75	14.7
4	QB19	Marcus Mariota	at CAR	42.5	-2.5	22.50	15.9
5	QB20	Jacoby Brissett	at MIA	49.5	3.5	23.00	14.7
5	QB21	Andy Dalton	at PIT	40.0	-1.5	20.75	15.6
5	QB22	Taylor Heinicke	at PHI	43.5	11.0	16.25	17.7
5	QB23	Kenny Pickett	vs NO	40.0	1.5	19.25	11.7
6	QB24	Matthew Stafford	vs ARI	40.5	-3.0	21.75	12.7
6	QB25	Ryan Tannehill	vs DEN	39.0	-3.0	21.00	12.0
6	QB26	Davis Mills	at NYG	40.5	4.5	18.00	12.4
6	QB27	Sam Ehlinger	at LV	41.0	4.5	18.25	7.3
6	QB28	PJ Walker	vs ATL	42.5	2.5	20.00	7.3

Tier 2 – Justin Fields

Fields is the No. 2 QB over the last four games, with 28.1 points per game.

He is averaging a mouth-watering 12.3 rushing attempts for 102 yards per game over the last four contests and has a rushing TD in three consecutive games. While it will be challenging to keep up this pace, underlying data points suggest the rushing attempts will continue to pile up.

First, Chicago is getting their young superstar more involved in the designed-run game over the last three weeks (21%), and he leads the NFL in scramble rate (17%) on the season.

Additionally, regardless of the game script, the Bears run the ball more than most NFL teams:

Trailing by four-plus points: 47% (3rd)
Within three points: 48% (5th)
Leading by four-plus points: 72% (2nd)

This weekend, Fields draws a great matchup against the Lions, who allow the fourth-most rushing attempts per game (29.5) in non-overtime play. Opponents average 149 yards and 1.6 TDs.

Of course, the Lions are also terrible against the pass, with PFF’s third-worst coverage grade (52.1), and Chase Claypool should operate as the No. 2 across from Darnell Mooney after another week to integrate into the game plan.

The overall game environment is ripe for a lot of points, with the second-best game total and the fifth-highest team total.

Fields is an absolute SMASH play this weekend and ranks as my No. 4 QB.

Tier 3 – Kyler Murray

Murray is a game-time decision due to a hamstring injury, according to Kliff Kingsbury. He practiced in a limited fashion over the last two days, which is a positive sign. However, Murray comes with a lot of risk as a late-game option who might not be able to bail out his fantasy managers with rushing yards.

Jimmy Garoppolo (Sunday Night Football) is available in 47% of Yahoo! Leagues and is the best pivot option. Colt McCoy is Murray’s backup and is an emergency replacement option.

Murray slips to low-end QB1 territory.

Additional QB Notes & Movers:

Tier 1 – Josh Allen is questionable for Week 10 due to a sprained elbow. If he plays, Buffalo could lean away from their pass-first mentality. Allen managers should prepare to find an alternative. He is the QB3.
Tier 2 – Tua Tagovailoa averages 337 yards and 2.8 TDs in non-injury games this season. The Dolphins are scheming unique looks for their speedy WRs, and the third-year QB has been the perfect point man. Miami has a top-four team total and the second-best game total on the slate. Tagovailoa is a mid-range QB1 this week.
Tier 3 – Jimmy Garoppolo has three top-12 finishes in his last four starts, averaging 278 yards and two passing TDs. He isn’t an exceptional passer, but Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle make up one of the top-three skill position groups in the NFL. Garoppolo has Tagovailoa-like upside if Kyle Shanahan decides to throw more. He is a great streaming option as a low-end QB1.
Tier 5 – Matthew Stafford entered the concussion protocol on Tuesday, making his availability this weekend extremely shaky. John Wolford would start if Stafford can’t go – which wouldn’t be good for Cooper Kupp.

Running Back

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	RB1	Saquon Barkley	vs HOU	40.5	-4.5	22.50	19.6
1	RB2	Christian McCaffrey	vs LAC	45.5	-7.0	26.25	20.8
1	RB3	Austin Ekeler	at SF	45.5	7.0	19.25	24.9
1	RB4	Derrick Henry	vs DEN	39.0	-3.0	21.00	21.1
2	RB5	Alvin Kamara	at PIT	40.0	-1.5	20.75	18.0
2	RB6	Travis Etienne Jr.	at KC	50.5	9.5	20.50	14.3
2	RB7	Josh Jacobs	vs IND	41.0	-4.5	22.75	19.1
2	RB8	Nick Chubb	at MIA	49.5	3.5	23.00	20.4
2	RB9	Kenneth Walker III	at TB	44.5	2.5	21.00	14.5
2	RB10	Dalvin Cook	at BUF	43.0	3.0	20.00	15.7
3	RB11	Dameon Pierce	at NYG	40.5	4.5	18.00	15.2
3	RB12	Aaron Jones	vs DAL	44.0	4.5	19.75	15.0
3	RB13	Leonard Fournette	vs SEA	44.5	-2.5	23.50	16.0
3	RB14	Jonathan Taylor	at LV	41.0	4.5	18.25	11.9
3	RB15	Miles Sanders	vs WAS	43.5	-11.0	27.25	14.6
3	RB16	Antonio Gibson	at PHI	43.5	11.0	16.25	12.4
4	RB17	Cordarrelle Patterson	at CAR	42.5	-2.5	22.50	15.4
4	RB18	Jamaal Williams	at CHI	48.5	3.0	22.75	14.7
4	RB19	Tony Pollard	at GB	44.0	-4.5	24.25	13.1
4	RB20	D'Andre Swift	at CHI	48.5	3.0	22.75	14.6
4	RB21	David Montgomery	vs DET	48.5	-3.0	25.75	9.8
4	RB22	Najee Harris	vs NO	40.0	1.5	19.25	10.9
4	RB23	D'Onta Foreman	vs ATL	42.5	2.5	20.00	7.0
4	RB24	James Conner	at LAR	40.5	3.0	18.75	10.3
4	RB25	Devin Singletary	vs MIN	43.0	-3.0	23.00	10.8
5	RB26	Khalil Herbert	vs DET	48.5	-3.0	25.75	11.2
5	RB27	AJ Dillon	vs DAL	44.0	4.5	19.75	7.9
5	RB28	Raheem Mostert	vs CLE	49.5	-3.5	26.50	9.8
5	RB29	Kareem Hunt	at MIA	49.5	3.5	23.00	10.7
5	RB30	Jeff Wilson Jr.	vs CLE	49.5	-3.5	26.50	10.0
5	RB31	Ezekiel Elliott	at GB	44.0	-4.5	24.25	11.1
5	RB32	Tyler Allgeier	at CAR	42.5	-2.5	22.50	8.7
5	RB33	Brian Robinson Jr.	at PHI	43.5	11.0	16.25	6.5
5	RB34	Darrell Henderson Jr.	vs ARI	40.5	-3.0	21.75	7.8
6	RB35	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	vs JAC	50.5	-9.5	30.00	12.2
6	RB36	Chuba Hubbard	vs ATL	42.5	2.5	20.00	3.0
6	RB37	Melvin Gordon III	at TEN	39.0	3.0	18.00	8.0
6	RB38	Rachaad White	vs SEA	44.5	-2.5	23.50	5.5
6	RB39	Kyren Williams	vs ARI	40.5	-3.0	21.75	0.0
6	RB40	Jerick McKinnon	vs JAC	50.5	-9.5	30.00	6.6
6	RB41	Dontrell Hilliard	vs DEN	39.0	-3.0	21.00	8.3
6	RB42	Eno Benjamin	at LAR	40.5	3.0	18.75	9.6
6	RB43	Latavius Murray	at TEN	39.0	3.0	18.00	8.8
6	RB44	Isiah Pacheco	vs JAC	50.5	-9.5	30.00	3.8
6	RB45	Jaylen Warren	vs NO	40.0	1.5	19.25	4.5
6	RB46	Nyheim Hines	vs MIN	43.0	-3.0	23.00	6.7
6	RB47	Kenneth Gainwell	vs WAS	43.5	-11.0	27.25	5.3
6	RB48	Caleb Huntley	at CAR	42.5	-2.5	22.50	5.1
7	RB49	Alexander Mattison	at BUF	43.0	3.0	20.00	5.8
7	RB50	James Cook	vs MIN	43.0	-3.0	23.00	4.4
7	RB51	Rex Burkhead	at NYG	40.5	4.5	18.00	6.5
7	RB52	Chase Edmonds	at TEN	39.0	3.0	18.00	6.2
7	RB53	Isaiah Spiller	at SF	45.5	7.0	19.25	1.2
7	RB54	Travis Homer	at TB	44.5	2.5	21.00	2.8
7	RB55	Cam Akers	vs ARI	40.5	-3.0	21.75	3.9
7	RB56	Elijah Mitchell	vs LAC	45.5	-7.0	26.25	4.1
7	RB57	JaMycal Hasty	at KC	50.5	9.5	20.50	3.4
7	RB58	Zack Moss	at LV	41.0	4.5	18.25	3.4
7	RB59	Raheem Blackshear	vs ATL	42.5	2.5	20.00	3.0
7	RB60	Ameer Abdullah	vs IND	41.0	-4.5	22.75	1.8
7	RB61	Boston Scott	vs WAS	43.5	-11.0	27.25	2.4
7	RB62	Sony Michel	at SF	45.5	7.0	19.25	3.1
7	RB63	Dwayne Washington	at PIT	40.0	-1.5	20.75	0.9
7	RB64	Brandon Bolden	vs IND	41.0	-4.5	22.75	4.0
7	RB65	Keaontay Ingram	at LAR	40.5	3.0	18.75	3.2
7	RB66	Avery Williams	at CAR	42.5	-2.5	22.50	2.3
7	RB67	DeeJay Dallas	at TB	44.5	2.5	21.00	1.5
7	RB68	Jordan Wilkins	at LV	41.0	4.5	18.25	6.8
7	RB69	Justin Jackson	at CHI	48.5	3.0	22.75	1.9
7	RB70	Kylin Hill	vs DAL	44.0	4.5	19.75	0.7
7	RB71	Tyrion Davis-Price	vs LAC	45.5	-7.0	26.25	1.9
7	RB72	Matt Breida	vs HOU	40.5	-4.5	22.50	2.3

Tier 1 – Christian McCaffrey

McCaffrey scored 40 fantasy points as he regained his elite utilization status in his second game with the 49ers.

Snaps: 81%
Rushing attempts: 75%
Route participation: 69%
Target share: 36%

Now he gets a matchup against a Chargers defense that struggles to stop the run, allowing the fourth-most yards per game (144) in non-overtime play.

The 49ers have the third-highest team total on the slate and are seven-point favorites at home.

McCaffrey barely misses the No. 1 overall rank thanks to Saquon Barkley’s elite matchup against the Texans, but CMC could easily finish as the top RB option in Week 10.

Tier 2 – Travis Etienne Jr.

Etienne delivered a juicy 20.9 fantasy points per game over the last four weeks, and his utilization and efficiency data suggests the production will continue.

Since Week 7, the 2021 first-round pick posted an 80% snap share. He is one of only a handful of backs to receive that sort of treatment – he dominates rushing attempts and passing downs.

Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
7	80%	58%	45%	12%	25%	57%	25%	91%	82%	18.9
8	79%	73%	59%	11%	15%	100%	100%	63%	100%	25.2
9	81%	78%	67%	7%	9%	100%	50%	33%	100%	26.6
YTD	59%	46%	51%	9%	16%	54%	41%	72%	91%	14.2

He sports the No. 5 PFF rush grade (90.6) and ranks highly in multiple efficiency metrics.

Missed tackles forced per attempt: 32% (5th)
Average yards after contact: 3.21 (16th)
10-plus yard attempts: 14% (12th)

If he could improve in one area, it would be in the receiving game. His TPRR (16%) and YPRR (1.05) are below historical RB2 thresholds. He was the No. 1 graded receiving back by PFF in his senior year at Clemson, but that hasn’t played out yet in the NFL.

The Jaguars are almost double-digit dogs this weekend at Kansas City, which could lead to more passing and an opportunity for Etienne to get rolling in the receiving department.

Etienne is a SMASH play as a mid-range RB1 in Week 10.

Tier 3 – Dalvin Cook

Cook has quietly bogarted an 83% snap share over his last three games thanks to an expanded role on passing downs.

Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
1	77%	71%	71%	12%	13%	71%	0%	80%	89%	13.8
2	69%	67%	63%	13%	19%	100%	0%	80%	44%	7.6
3	61%	68%	32%	0%	0%	100%	100%	73%	38%	15.6
4	62%	77%	43%	6%	10%	60%	0%	13%	100%	10.6
5	57%	58%	40%	5%	12%	50%	67%	30%	38%	26.1
6	87%	76%	46%	4%	6%	100%	0%	78%	100%	15.3
8	76%	74%	52%	20%	27%	90%	100%	88%	100%	25.1
9	86%	77%	64%	9%	11%	67%	100%	86%	100%	13.7
YTD	71%	71%	51%	9%	13%	77%	75%	63%	64%	16.0

The Bills only allow the fourth fewest yards on the ground (103) in non-overtime play, but a driving factor is their ability to play from ahead. Their run defense grade is the fourth-worst (43.0) over the last four games, per PFF.

If Josh Allen (elbow) misses the game or can’t perform at his usual level, this game could remain closer than expected. That creates an opportunity for the Vikings to exploit the Bills' recent weakness against the run.

While Cook’s utilization has been fantastic, he has also been more efficient than the average NFL back across the board. These two factors, together, make him a great target at the trade deadline.

Cook is due for a blowup performance and is a top-10 RB this weekend despite the tough matchup on paper against Buffalo.

Tier 3 – Dameon Pierce

Over the last two games, Pierce has added the two-minute offense to his list of primary duties, accounting for 75% of those snaps.

Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
1	29%	41%	12%	3%	20%	43%	0%	0%	0%	4.9
2	63%	79%	37%	3%	7%	100%	100%	8%	0%	8.7
3	58%	80%	26%	7%	22%	57%	100%	0%	0%	18.2
4	68%	100%	51%	18%	32%	80%	0%	7%	0%	25.9
5	79%	81%	50%	22%	38%	100%	100%	20%	0%	20.3
7	52%	87%	29%	10%	33%	50%	0%	9%	0%	15.7
8	78%	88%	59%	12%	15%	100%	0%	23%	100%	14.1
9	78%	96%	56%	0%	0%	80%	0%	11%	60%	13.9
YTD	62%	80%	39%	9%	20%	70%	100%	10%	20%	15.2

In Week 9, that didn’t translate to additional targets (0). However, over time that should change, given his 20% TPRR, which has met the RB1 threshold since 2010. From an efficiency perspective, the rookie back has the No. 6 PFF rush grade, ranks fourth in missed tackles forced per attempt (0.34), and averages the seventh-most yards after contact (3.80).

The Giants allow the sixth-most rushing yards (137) per game in non-overtime play and grade as PFF’s seventh-worst run defense. Assuming Pierce’s limited practice (chest) on Wednesday was just precautionary, he should be a massive part of the Texans' game plan and take advantage of this matchup.

He is a SMASH play as a top-12 RB.

Tier 3 – Aaron Jones

Jones (ankle) was knocked out of last week’s game and left the locker room in crutches. However, he was removed from the injury report after three limited practice sessions this week and is good to go against the Cowboys.

The veteran RB had clearly distanced himself from A.J. Dillon as the primary back in Weeks 5 to 8, handling 59% of rushing attempts. That trend changed in Week 9, with Jones and Dillon near a 50/50 split even before Jones’ day ended with an injury.

Without an injury designation, Jones rejoins the RB2 conversation, but he might not be 100%, and Dillon could challenge for more touches.

Tier 3 – Jonathan Taylor

Taylor was removed from the injury report after two full practices to end the week. The third-year back averages only 12.6 points per game.

Despite his health challenges, Taylor remains respectable in missed tackles forced per attempt (9th), average yards after contact (23rd), and explosive rush rate (18th) out of 47 RBs with at least 50 attempts. That isn’t terrible, considering the Colts rank 29th in PFF run-blocking grade (53.3).

Taylor is still clearly the best option in this backfield. Deon Jackson won’t play, leaving Zack Moss as the secondary option.

Taylor is a high-end RB2 option with upside.

Tier 4 – D’Andre Swift

Swift practiced in full on Friday and was removed from the injury report. Last weekend, Swift was upset about his usage after only playing 10 snaps, according to OC Ben Johnson.

Before last week, the limited version of Swift amounted to limited opportunities on the ground, but he remained the lead option on passing downs. However, he saw his lowest route participation of the season.

Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
1	67%	54%	66%	8%	12%	50%	0%	100%	0%	26.5
2	51%	21%	57%	15%	24%	0%	0%	93%	100%	16.7
3	41%	21%	49%	11%	18%	10%	0%	71%	44%	7.6
8	54%	26%	57%	15%	24%	38%	0%	88%	82%	14.3
9	16%	6%	28%	19%	57%	0%	0%	36%	0%	8.0
YTD	29%	16%	32%	8%	22%	12%	0%	51%	39%	14.6

Johnson remained non-committal on how much the Lions will use Swift this weekend, but his removal from the injury report and his desire for more snaps could lead to a workload more like Weeks 2, 3, and 8.

That allows the Lions to limit hits to his shoulder running between the tackles while also providing explosive upside in a passing game that is light on weapons.

Swift is a low-end RB2 with upside.

Additional RB Notes & Movers:

Tier 1 – Saquon Barkley draws the No. 1 rushing matchup in the slate against the Texans, who allow 32.4 attempts for 179 yards and 1.5 TDs per game in non-overtime play. Per BetMGM, the Giants are 5.5-point favorites, and Barkley could be an absolute monster this weekend. He is the RB1 overall.
Tier 3 – Antonio Gibson came up small in the Week 9 box score, but his underlying utilization was sweet with J.D. McKissic out. The Eagles should build an early lead over Washington (double-digit dogs), which could mean more Gibson sooner this week, assuming McKissic doesn’t go. The third-year back ranks eight spots ahead of consensus as a mid-range RB2 with upside.
Tier 4 – The Lions face off against the Bears, who allow the third-most rushing attempts per game (30.3). Jamaal Williams has sneaky RB1 upside if D’Andre Swift is limited to under 20% of the rushing attempts again.
Tier 4 – Tony Pollard could return to a committee rotation this weekend, with Ezekiel Elliott questionable as a game-time decision. However, the Cowboys have shown a commitment to the ground game, and the Packers allow the fifth-most rushing yards (138) in non-overtime play. Pollard is a low-end RB2, but if Elliott can’t go, he moves into RB1 territory.

Wide Receiver

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	WR1	Tyreek Hill	vs CLE	49.5	-3.5	26.50	23.0
1	WR2	Cooper Kupp	vs ARI	40.5	-3.0	21.75	24.8
1	WR3	Stefon Diggs	vs MIN	43.0	-3.0	23.00	23.5
2	WR4	Justin Jefferson	at BUF	43.0	3.0	20.00	21.7
2	WR5	Davante Adams	vs IND	41.0	-4.5	22.75	19.5
2	WR6	DeAndre Hopkins	at LAR	40.5	3.0	18.75	22.6
2	WR7	Jaylen Waddle	vs CLE	49.5	-3.5	26.50	18.2
2	WR8	A.J. Brown	vs WAS	43.5	-11.0	27.25	18.9
2	WR9	Amari Cooper	at MIA	49.5	3.5	23.00	15.4
2	WR10	Amon-Ra St. Brown	at CHI	48.5	3.0	22.75	14.8
3	WR11	CeeDee Lamb	at GB	44.0	-4.5	24.25	14.6
3	WR12	Mike Evans	vs SEA	44.5	-2.5	23.50	15.5
3	WR13	Chris Olave	at PIT	40.0	-1.5	20.75	14.6
3	WR14	DK Metcalf	at TB	44.5	2.5	21.00	12.6
3	WR15	Christian Kirk	at KC	50.5	9.5	20.50	14.4
3	WR16	Tyler Lockett	at TB	44.5	2.5	21.00	14.5
3	WR17	JuJu Smith-Schuster	vs JAC	50.5	-9.5	30.00	14.0
3	WR18	Deebo Samuel	vs LAC	45.5	-7.0	26.25	14.4
3	WR19	Chris Godwin	vs SEA	44.5	-2.5	23.50	11.8
4	WR20	DJ Moore	vs ATL	42.5	2.5	20.00	11.3
4	WR21	Joshua Palmer	at SF	45.5	7.0	19.25	10.7
4	WR22	Diontae Johnson	vs NO	40.0	1.5	19.25	10.6
4	WR23	Brandon Aiyuk	vs LAC	45.5	-7.0	26.25	13.9
4	WR24	Terry McLaurin	at PHI	43.5	11.0	16.25	12.4
4	WR25	Allen Lazard	vs DAL	44.0	4.5	19.75	14.7
4	WR26	Darnell Mooney	vs DET	48.5	-3.0	25.75	8.8
4	WR27	Michael Pittman Jr.	at LV	41.0	4.5	18.25	14.1
4	WR28	Jerry Jeudy	at TEN	39.0	3.0	18.00	11.6
4	WR29	Gabe Davis	vs MIN	43.0	-3.0	23.00	12.4
4	WR30	DeVonta Smith	vs WAS	43.5	-11.0	27.25	12.0
4	WR31	Rondale Moore	at LAR	40.5	3.0	18.75	11.7
4	WR32	Courtland Sutton	at TEN	39.0	3.0	18.00	11.0
5	WR33	Curtis Samuel	at PHI	43.5	11.0	16.25	13.2
5	WR34	Adam Thielen	at BUF	43.0	3.0	20.00	11.7
5	WR35	George Pickens	vs NO	40.0	1.5	19.25	8.2
5	WR36	Brandin Cooks	at NYG	40.5	4.5	18.00	10.5
5	WR37	Terrace Marshall Jr.	vs ATL	42.5	2.5	20.00	7.8
5	WR38	Drake London	at CAR	42.5	-2.5	22.50	9.1
5	WR39	Zay Jones	at KC	50.5	9.5	20.50	10.3
5	WR40	Wan'Dale Robinson	vs HOU	40.5	-4.5	22.50	7.2
5	WR41	Donovan Peoples-Jones	at MIA	49.5	3.5	23.00	8.7
5	WR42	Mack Hollins	vs IND	41.0	-4.5	22.75	10.0
5	WR43	Michael Gallup	at GB	44.0	-4.5	24.25	6.3
5	WR44	Jarvis Landry	at PIT	40.0	-1.5	20.75	8.5
5	WR45	Darius Slayton	vs HOU	40.5	-4.5	22.50	9.0
5	WR46	Allen Robinson II	vs ARI	40.5	-3.0	21.75	7.7
5	WR47	DeAndre Carter	at SF	45.5	7.0	19.25	7.0
5	WR48	Chase Claypool	vs DET	48.5	-3.0	25.75	9.1
5	WR49	Isaiah McKenzie	vs MIN	43.0	-3.0	23.00	9.1
5	WR50	Kalif Raymond	at CHI	48.5	3.0	22.75	5.7
6	WR51	Treylon Burks	vs DEN	39.0	-3.0	21.00	6.0
6	WR52	Nico Collins	at NYG	40.5	4.5	18.00	8.1
6	WR53	Alec Pierce	at LV	41.0	4.5	18.25	8.8
6	WR54	Parris Campbell	at LV	41.0	4.5	18.25	8.5
6	WR55	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	vs JAC	50.5	-9.5	30.00	7.6
6	WR56	Marvin Jones Jr.	at KC	50.5	9.5	20.50	8.0
6	WR57	Robbie Anderson	at LAR	40.5	3.0	18.75	4.8
6	WR58	Jahan Dotson	at PHI	43.5	11.0	16.25	13.1
6	WR59	Robert Woods	vs DEN	39.0	-3.0	21.00	6.5
6	WR60	Julio Jones	vs SEA	44.5	-2.5	23.50	7.1
6	WR61	K.J. Osborn	at BUF	43.0	3.0	20.00	6.4
6	WR62	Kadarius Toney	vs JAC	50.5	-9.5	30.00	2.5
6	WR63	Christian Watson	vs DAL	44.0	4.5	19.75	4.5
6	WR64	Olamide Zaccheaus	at CAR	42.5	-2.5	22.50	7.2
6	WR65	Sammy Watkins	vs DAL	44.0	4.5	19.75	5.2
6	WR66	Marquise Goodwin	at TB	44.5	2.5	21.00	6.3
6	WR67	Chris Moore	at NYG	40.5	4.5	18.00	7.2
6	WR68	Van Jefferson	vs ARI	40.5	-3.0	21.75	0.0
6	WR69	Samori Toure	vs DAL	44.0	4.5	19.75	5.8
6	WR70	Marquez Callaway	at PIT	40.0	-1.5	20.75	5.2
6	WR71	Ben Skowronek	vs ARI	40.5	-3.0	21.75	6.9
7	WR72	Damiere Byrd	at CAR	42.5	-2.5	22.50	6.0
7	WR73	Dante Pettis	vs DET	48.5	-3.0	25.75	4.7
7	WR74	Rashid Shaheed	at PIT	40.0	-1.5	20.75	7.4
7	WR75	Noah Brown	at GB	44.0	-4.5	24.25	9.0
7	WR76	Equanimeous St. Brown	vs DET	48.5	-3.0	25.75	4.2
7	WR77	Skyy Moore	vs JAC	50.5	-9.5	30.00	1.5
7	WR78	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	vs DEN	39.0	-3.0	21.00	3.0
7	WR79	Tre'Quan Smith	at PIT	40.0	-1.5	20.75	7.1
7	WR80	Phillip Dorsett II	at NYG	40.5	4.5	18.00	3.8
7	WR81	Trent Sherfield	vs CLE	49.5	-3.5	26.50	4.0
7	WR82	Khalil Shakir	vs MIN	43.0	-3.0	23.00	4.6
7	WR83	Laviska Shenault Jr.	vs ATL	42.5	2.5	20.00	5.4
7	WR84	Scotty Miller	vs SEA	44.5	-2.5	23.50	4.9
7	WR85	Shi Smith	vs ATL	42.5	2.5	20.00	2.4
7	WR86	Quez Watkins	vs WAS	43.5	-11.0	27.25	3.1
7	WR87	Michael Bandy	at SF	45.5	7.0	19.25	4.1
7	WR88	Jauan Jennings	vs LAC	45.5	-7.0	26.25	4.6
7	WR89	N'Keal Harry	vs DET	48.5	-3.0	25.75	4.8
7	WR90	Greg Dortch	at LAR	40.5	3.0	18.75	6.4
7	WR91	Justin Watson	vs JAC	50.5	-9.5	30.00	3.5
7	WR92	Amari Rodgers	vs DAL	44.0	4.5	19.75	0.8
7	WR93	David Bell	at MIA	49.5	3.5	23.00	2.7
7	WR94	Zach Pascal	vs WAS	43.5	-11.0	27.25	3.6
7	WR95	Dee Eskridge	at TB	44.5	2.5	21.00	1.7
7	WR96	Kenny Golladay	vs HOU	40.5	-4.5	22.50	1.4

Tier 2 – Amari Cooper

Cooper is on pace to set a career-high target share (28%) and has double-digit looks in four out of eight games.

Week	Routes	TPRR	Targets	ADOT	Air Yards	EZ Tgts	3rd/4th Down Targets	PA Targets	PPR
1	91%	18%	20%	10.0	26%	0%	25%	0%	4.7
2	91%	34%	37%	11.4	64%	25%	56%	30%	25.1
3	97%	34%	38%	12.3	65%	0%	33%	18%	23.1
4	90%	9%	10%	14.3	14%	50%	11%	0%	1.9
5	95%	32%	35%	11.9	41%	100%	56%	9%	20.6
6	73%	34%	29%	14.2	31%	40%	41%	17%	14.4
7	100%	12%	17%	20.3	48%	0%	22%	50%	10.4
8	96%	28%	35%	19.4	58%	100%	67%	14%	23.1
YTD	90%	25%	28%	13.6	40%	41%	35%	17%	15.4

The eighth-year WR ranks 11th in YPRR (2.14) and is on pace for 1,175 yards and 10 receiving TDs thanks to a strong connection with Jacoby Brissett. Cooper is dominating man coverage in 2022 with a mind-blowing 35% TPRR (5th) – a trend that goes back three seasons.

This weekend, he gets a dream matchup against the Dolphins, who have the worst PFF coverage grade (47.6). Additionally, the Dolphins use the second-most man coverage (41%) in the NFL. The last time Cooper faced Xavien Howard (2019), he posted six catches for 88 yards and two touchdowns.

Cooper is in a SMASH spot against Miami and is a top-12 WR.

Tier 3 – Chris Olave

Olave has acclimated quickly to life in the NFL. Of 64 WRs with at least 200 routes, he ranks highly across multiple data points:

PFF receiving grade: 81.3 (10th)
TPRR: 26% (7th)
YPRR: 2.38 (7th)

If the season ended right now, Olave would join a “Who’s Who” list of rookie WRs to eclipse the 80.0 PFF receiving grade. To say things are looking up for the former Ohio State Buckeye would be an understatement.

With Michael Thomas out for the season and Jarvis Landry still on the sidelines, Olave has shown an ability to demand targets even as the focal point of opponents. Now he gets a matchup against a Steelers defense that ranks in the bottom-10 in PFF coverage grade, allowing 277 yards and 2 TDs to opposing pass catchers in non-overtime play.

Olave is a SMASH play as a high-end WR2 with upside against Pittsburgh.

Tier 3 – JuJu Smith-Schuster

Smith-Schuster is averaging 22.2 points over the last four weeks as the No. 2 option behind Travis Kelce.

The veteran WR has historically been a 17-19% TPRR player, which aligns with his performance this season (19%). However, his 1.91 YPRR would be his best since 2018 if the season ended today.

In some offenses, his target rate would be problematic. However, the Chiefs are pass-heavy in all game scripts.

Trailing by four-plus points: 81% (2nd)
Within three points: 73% (2nd)
Leading by four-plus points: 61% (5th)

We shouldn’t expect the veteran WR to continue to live inside the top 12, but he has a solid WR2 vibe going with Patrick Mahomes averaging 45.4 dropbacks per game in non-overtime play.

The Chiefs have the No. 1 team total on the slate against the Jaguars, and Smith-Schuster is a mid-range WR2.

Tier 4 – Terry McLaurin

McLaurin is averaging a respectable 15.2 points per game with a 28% target share over the last three contests. His connection with Taylor Heinicke is evident.

Week	Routes	TPRR	Targets	ADOT	Air Yards	EZ Tgts	3rd/4th Down Targets	PA Targets	PPR
1	94%	7%	8%	18.3	20%	0%	9%	33%	13.8
2	89%	15%	17%	12.9	25%	0%	30%	43%	12.2
3	90%	18%	23%	16.2	45%	0%	15%	0%	16.2
4	94%	14%	16%	16.0	31%	33%	23%	17%	3.5
5	98%	14%	17%	9.5	18%	0%	11%	33%	12.6
6	100%	16%	19%	6.5	19%	100%	33%	50%	8.2
7	97%	24%	26%	13.3	48%	25%	31%	38%	18.3
8	92%	22%	28%	13.6	62%	0%	25%	13%	16.6
9	100%	21%	32%	9.4	38%	0%	25%	71%	10.6
YTD	94%	17%	20%	12.9	33%	19%	22%	31%	12.4

However, Washington has the lowest team total on the slate, and Philadelphia has the fourth-best PFF coverage grade (80.5). The Eagles allow the fourth-fewest passing yards per game (200) in non-overtime play.

McLaurin’s recent surge in targets is positive, but he slips back into WR3 territory this weekend, making him a FADE.

Additional WR Notes & Movers:

Tier 1 – Stefon Diggs might not have Josh Allen (elbow) this weekend. However, he and Case Keenum played together in 2017 and had a connection. If Allen can’t go, Diggs would downgrade slightly but remain in the top-seven WRs.
Tier 1 – Cooper Kupp is in serious jeopardy of not having Matthew Stafford, who entered concussion protocol on Tuesday. John Wolford would step in if Stafford can’t go, and Kupp would downgrade to a mid-range WR1.
Tier 2 – Amon-Ra St. Brown appears to finally be healthy again, demanding monster targets over the last two games (26% and 43%). The Sun God is due for a solar flare eruption, and the Bears provide the fourth-worst EPA pass defense. St. Brown is a low-end WR1, and don’t let anyone tell you otherwise.
Tier 3 – Christian Kirk faces a Kansas City defense allowing the third-most points (64.5) to pass catchers in non-overtime play. The fifth-year WR has a 27% target share over the last four games. He is a mid-range WR2.
Tier 4 – Joshua Palmer will serve as the lead WR option again with Mike Williams and Keenan Allen out for the Chargers. Palmer delivered 18.6 points on a 24% target share last weekend. He faces a 49ers defense with the worst pass EPA over the last four games. Palmer is a low-end WR2.
Tier 4 – Darnell Mooney leads the Bears with a 28% target share. He has averaged 58.5 receiving yards over the last four games and could be due for his first 100-yard performance thanks to a tasty matchup against the Lions. Detroit allows the third-most yards (279) in non-overtime play. Mooney is a high-end WR3.
Tier 4 – Allen Lazard saw a season-high 26% target share last weekend against the Lions. He could have had a huge day if not for penalties. However, this weekend he faces the No. 1 PFF coverage unit in the Dallas Cowboys, and the Packers have the fifth-worst team total. Lazard remains just outside of WR2 territory.
Tier 5 – Mack Hollins gets a slight bump with Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow placed on IR. Hollins isn’t an elite target earner (16% target share), but he could look more like a 20% option with the thin depth chart. He is a WR4 option against a Colts defense that is getting healthier.

Tight End

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	TE1	Travis Kelce	vs JAC	50.5	-9.5	30.00	20.9
2	TE2	Dallas Goedert	vs WAS	43.5	-11.0	27.25	13.0
2	TE3	George Kittle	vs LAC	45.5	-7.0	26.25	11.7
3	TE4	Zach Ertz	at LAR	40.5	3.0	18.75	12.6
3	TE5	T.J. Hockenson	at BUF	43.0	3.0	20.00	12.7
3	TE6	Dalton Schultz	at GB	44.0	-4.5	24.25	6.4
3	TE7	Gerald Everett	at SF	45.5	7.0	19.25	9.8
4	TE8	Greg Dulcich	at TEN	39.0	3.0	18.00	12.1
4	TE9	Pat Freiermuth	vs NO	40.0	1.5	19.25	10.7
4	TE10	Kyle Pitts	at CAR	42.5	-2.5	22.50	7.9
5	TE11	Taysom Hill	at PIT	40.0	-1.5	20.75	10.4
5	TE12	Evan Engram	at KC	50.5	9.5	20.50	8.3
5	TE13	Cole Kmet	vs DET	48.5	-3.0	25.75	6.4
5	TE14	Mike Gesicki	vs CLE	49.5	-3.5	26.50	7.8
5	TE15	Foster Moreau	vs IND	41.0	-4.5	22.75	6.5
5	TE16	Cade Otton	vs SEA	44.5	-2.5	23.50	6.7
6	TE17	Robert Tonyan	vs DAL	44.0	4.5	19.75	8.4
6	TE18	Juwan Johnson	at PIT	40.0	-1.5	20.75	7.4
6	TE19	Noah Fant	at TB	44.5	2.5	21.00	6.7
6	TE20	Dawson Knox	vs MIN	43.0	-3.0	23.00	7.2
6	TE21	Tyler Higbee	vs ARI	40.5	-3.0	21.75	8.4
6	TE22	Logan Thomas	at PHI	43.5	11.0	16.25	5.9
7	TE23	Will Dissly	at TB	44.5	2.5	21.00	7.2
7	TE24	Cameron Brate	vs SEA	44.5	-2.5	23.50	4.9
7	TE25	Brevin Jordan	at NYG	40.5	4.5	18.00	1.8
7	TE26	Harrison Bryant	at MIA	49.5	3.5	23.00	4.2
7	TE27	Austin Hooper	vs DEN	39.0	-3.0	21.00	3.4
7	TE28	Kylen Granson	at LV	41.0	4.5	18.25	4.2
7	TE29	Brock Wright	at CHI	48.5	3.0	22.75	3.0
7	TE30	Mo Alie-Cox	at LV	41.0	4.5	18.25	5.7
7	TE31	James Mitchell	at CHI	48.5	3.0	22.75	5.6
7	TE32	Jordan Akins	at NYG	40.5	4.5	18.00	5.5
7	TE33	Tommy Tremble	vs ATL	42.5	2.5	20.00	4.3
7	TE34	Chigoziem Okonkwo	vs DEN	39.0	-3.0	21.00	3.1
7	TE35	Noah Gray	vs JAC	50.5	-9.5	30.00	3.8

Tier 2 – George Kittle

Kittle is the No. 2 TE in fantasy over the last three games, averaging 17 points. However, his TPRR (19%) is well below his last three campaigns (26%, 31%, and 28%), and now the 49ers have four mouths to feed with Christian McCaffrey onboard.

The fifth-year TE continues to provide blowup upside, but he needs the coaching staff to dial up more passing plays for his recent success to continue.

Kittle is a high-end TE1 with a boom-bust profile; fingers crossed for the boom.

Tier 3 – T.J. Hockenson

Hockenson registered a surprising 84% route participation and delivered his second-highest point total of the season (16.0) in his first game with the Vikings. His 27% target share was second on the team behind Justin Jefferson.

The Vikings are a pass-first offense, and Hockenson has an opportunity to serve as the No. 2 option. Adam Thielen has a 20% target share on the season, but his YPRR (1.32) is down for the fourth consecutive season. The 32-year-old WR isn’t the same player he once was.

Hockenson is a solid mid-range TE1 against the Bills.

Tier 3 – Dalton Schultz

Schultz has battled injuries all season but was showing signs of life before the Cowboys’ bye week with 20% and 24% target shares. Those numbers came despite 55% and 64% route participation due to elite targets per route (31% and 33%), demonstrating continued chemistry with Dak Prescott.

The veteran TE has practiced in full all week and was removed from the injury report, clearing the way for a strong finish to the 2022 season.

Schultz is my No. 6 TE this weekend, which is four spots ahead of expert consensus.

Tier 4 – Greg Dulcich

Dulcich’s career is off to a hot start with three top-12 finishes, and his utilization profile backs it up. The rookie has eclipsed the 80% route threshold and has two 20%-plus target shares under his belt.

Week	Routes	TPRR	Targets	ADOT	Air Yards	EZ Tgts	3rd/4th Down Targets	PA Targets	PPR
6	81%	11%	13%	12.0	14%	33%	29%	0%	12.4
7	72%	26%	20%	8.4	16%	0%	13%	11%	11.1
8	91%	16%	21%	22.8	39%	0%	25%	0%	12.7
YTD	29%	18%	7%	13.3	9%	4%	6%	6%	12.1

Dulcich has the 11th-highest PFF receiving grade (74.4) and sixth-best YPRR (1.88) out of tight ends with 75 routes.

The Titans allow the second-most fantasy points to pass catchers per game (66.2) in non-overtime play, creating room for upside coming off the bye.

The third-round NFL draft pick is a mid-range TE1.

Additional TE Notes & Movers:

Tier 4 – David Njoku indicated he would be ready for Week 10, but he didn’t practice on Wednesday. If he goes, Miami is a good matchup and has the potential for a shootout environment. Njoku is a mid-range TE1 if he suits up.
Tier 3 – Pat Freiermuth could be in for more targets with slot receiver Chase Claypool in Chicago. The two players operate in a similar area of the field on underneath routes, and Freiermuth’s 23% TPRR 23% and 1.82 YPRR comps favorably to top-six TEs since 2010. The Saints are historically tough against TEs, keeping the second-year TE in low-end TE1 territory.

Dwain McFarland