Fantasy

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers. Week 11

by Dwain McFarland

1 year ago

It is time to make those tough lineup decisions for Week 11 of the fantasy football season.

Below you’ll find positional rankings, player analysis, betting totals, and implied points for every game on the slate.

Find all of our positional rankings here.

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers – Week 11

Last updated: 10 am, Saturday, November 19th. Please refer to our Rankings page for updates!

Quarterback

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	QB1	Patrick Mahomes II	at LAC	52.0	-5.5	28.75	26.9
1	QB2	Josh Allen	vs CLE	49.5	-7.5	28.50	27.2
1	QB3	Justin Fields	at ATL	49.0	3.0	23.00	21.1
1	QB4	Jalen Hurts	at IND	45.0	-6.5	25.75	24.3
2	QB5	Lamar Jackson	vs CAR	41.5	-13.0	27.25	22.5
2	QB6	Justin Herbert	vs KC	52.0	5.5	23.25	16.8
2	QB7	Joe Burrow	at PIT	41.0	-3.5	22.25	22.8
2	QB8	Dak Prescott	at MIN	48.5	-1.5	25.00	16.4
3	QB9	Kirk Cousins	vs DAL	48.5	1.5	23.50	17.9
3	QB10	Kyler Murray	vs SF	43.5	8.0	17.75	20.1
3	QB11	Aaron Rodgers	vs TEN	41.0	-3.0	22.00	15.2
4	QB12	Daniel Jones	vs DET	45.0	-3.0	24.00	16.5
4	QB13	Jimmy Garoppolo	at ARI	43.5	-8.0	25.75	16.0
4	QB14	Russell Wilson	vs LV	41.5	-2.5	22.00	15.2
4	QB15	Marcus Mariota	vs CHI	49.0	-3.0	26.00	16.2
5	QB16	Jared Goff	at NYG	45.0	3.0	21.00	16.4
5	QB17	Derek Carr	at DEN	41.5	2.5	19.50	15.4
5	QB18	Taylor Heinicke	at HOU	40.5	-3.0	21.75	14.9
5	QB19	Kenny Pickett	vs CIN	41.0	3.5	18.75	12.9
5	QB20	Jacoby Brissett	at BUF	49.5	7.5	21.00	14.9
5	QB21	Matt Ryan	vs PHI	45.0	6.5	19.25	15.6
5	QB22	Ryan Tannehill	at GB	41.0	3.0	19.00	13.0
6	QB23	Andy Dalton	vs LAR	39.0	-3.0	21.00	14.7
6	QB24	Davis Mills	vs WAS	40.5	3.0	18.75	12.8
6	QB25	Mac Jones	vs NYJ	38.5	-3.5	21.00	11.1
6	QB26	Matthew Stafford	at NO	39.0	3.0	18.00	12.7
6	QB27	Zach Wilson	at NE	38.5	3.5	17.50	12.9
6	QB28	Baker Mayfield	at BAL	41.5	13.0	14.25	12.1

Tier 2 – Justin Herbert

Keenan Allen (hamstring) and Mike Williams (ankle) were full practice participants on Friday. While both remain questionable, Williams said he should play, and Allen said it’s up to the staff, but his hamstring feels great.

Herbert has had his top two options on the field together for only 27 pass plays in 2022. However, if both can go on Sunday Night in a tilt against the Chiefs, Herbert has QB1 overall upside.

Herbert is a mid-range QB1 who climbs above Dak Prescott and Joe Burrow with the positive news.

QB Notes & Movers:

Tier 3 – Aaron Rodgers has two or more TD passes in seven out of ten games. Last week, he had his first 3-TD performance thanks to Christian Watson, who adds big-play ability to the passing attack. The Titans are a pass-funnel defense, allowing the second-fewest rushing yards per game (84.1) but the second-most via the air (288) in non-overtime play. Rodgers ranks two spots ahead of expert consensus as a low-end QB1.

Running Back

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	RB1	Saquon Barkley	vs DET	45.0	-3.0	24.00	20.0
1	RB2	Austin Ekeler	vs KC	52.0	5.5	23.25	23.6
2	RB3	Christian McCaffrey	at ARI	43.5	-8.0	25.75	20.5
2	RB4	Derrick Henry	at GB	41.0	3.0	19.00	19.7
2	RB5	Jonathan Taylor	vs PHI	45.0	6.5	19.25	13.7
2	RB6	Josh Jacobs	at DEN	41.5	2.5	19.50	19.5
2	RB7	Dalvin Cook	vs DAL	48.5	1.5	23.50	16.6
2	RB8	Nick Chubb	at BUF	49.5	7.5	21.00	19.8
2	RB9	Joe Mixon	at PIT	41.0	-3.5	22.25	19.1
3	RB10	Alvin Kamara	vs LAR	39.0	-3.0	21.00	16.7
3	RB11	Rhamondre Stevenson	vs NYJ	38.5	-3.5	21.00	16.6
3	RB12	David Montgomery	at ATL	49.0	3.0	23.00	9.3
3	RB13	Aaron Jones	vs TEN	41.0	-3.0	22.00	15.9
3	RB14	Dameon Pierce	vs WAS	40.5	3.0	18.75	14.9
3	RB15	James Conner	vs SF	43.5	8.0	17.75	12.2
3	RB16	Miles Sanders	at IND	45.0	-6.5	25.75	13.6
3	RB17	Antonio Gibson	at HOU	40.5	-3.0	21.75	12.7
3	RB18	D'Onta Foreman	at BAL	41.5	13.0	14.25	8.3
4	RB19	Tony Pollard	at MIN	48.5	-1.5	25.00	14.1
4	RB20	Jamaal Williams	at NYG	45.0	3.0	21.00	14.3
4	RB21	Devin Singletary	vs CLE	49.5	-7.5	28.50	11.3
4	RB22	Najee Harris	vs CIN	41.0	3.5	18.75	10.8
4	RB23	Brian Robinson Jr.	at HOU	40.5	-3.0	21.75	7.9
4	RB24	Cordarrelle Patterson	vs CHI	49.0	-3.0	26.00	13.4
4	RB25	D'Andre Swift	at NYG	45.0	3.0	21.00	13.6
4	RB26	Isiah Pacheco	at LAC	52.0	-5.5	28.75	4.0
4	RB27	Michael Carter	at NE	38.5	3.5	17.50	10.6
4	RB28	Ezekiel Elliott	at MIN	48.5	-1.5	25.00	11.1
5	RB29	Melvin Gordon III	vs LV	41.5	-2.5	22.00	8.3
5	RB30	Gus Edwards	vs CAR	41.5	-13.0	27.25	12.6
5	RB31	Elijah Mitchell	at ARI	43.5	-8.0	25.75	7.0
5	RB32	Kenyan Drake	vs CAR	41.5	-13.0	27.25	10.3
5	RB33	Kareem Hunt	at BUF	49.5	7.5	21.00	9.8
5	RB34	AJ Dillon	vs TEN	41.0	-3.0	22.00	7.7
5	RB35	Darrell Henderson Jr.	at NO	39.0	3.0	18.00	8.1
5	RB36	Tyler Allgeier	vs CHI	49.0	-3.0	26.00	8.1
5	RB37	James Robinson	at NE	38.5	3.5	17.50	9.6
5	RB38	Jerick McKinnon	at LAC	52.0	-5.5	28.75	7.2
5	RB39	Damien Harris	vs NYJ	38.5	-3.5	21.00	9.1
5	RB40	Latavius Murray	vs LV	41.5	-2.5	22.00	8.6
5	RB41	Jaylen Warren	vs CIN	41.0	3.5	18.75	5.2
6	RB42	Kyren Williams	at NO	39.0	3.0	18.00	6.9
6	RB43	Dontrell Hilliard	at GB	41.0	3.0	19.00	7.5
6	RB44	Kenneth Gainwell	at IND	45.0	-6.5	25.75	5.0
6	RB45	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	at LAC	52.0	-5.5	28.75	10.8
6	RB46	James Cook	vs CLE	49.5	-7.5	28.50	4.2
6	RB47	Caleb Huntley	vs CHI	49.0	-3.0	26.00	4.9
6	RB48	Rex Burkhead	vs WAS	40.5	3.0	18.75	6.4
6	RB49	Cam Akers	at NO	39.0	3.0	18.00	3.6
6	RB50	Isaiah Spiller	vs KC	52.0	5.5	23.25	0.9
6	RB51	Samaje Perine	at PIT	41.0	-3.5	22.25	5.5
6	RB52	Nyheim Hines	vs CLE	49.5	-7.5	28.50	6.1
6	RB53	Chuba Hubbard	at BAL	41.5	13.0	14.25	2.7
6	RB54	Trestan Ebner	at ATL	49.0	3.0	23.00	0.9
6	RB55	Alexander Mattison	vs DAL	48.5	1.5	23.50	5.5
6	RB56	Deon Jackson	vs PHI	45.0	6.5	19.25	7.7
6	RB57	Chase Edmonds	vs LV	41.5	-2.5	22.00	5.7
7	RB58	Keaontay Ingram	vs SF	43.5	8.0	17.75	2.6
7	RB59	Ameer Abdullah	at DEN	41.5	2.5	19.50	2.4
7	RB60	Matt Breida	vs DET	45.0	-3.0	24.00	2.3
7	RB61	Justin Jackson	at NYG	45.0	3.0	21.00	2.2
7	RB62	Raheem Blackshear	at BAL	41.5	13.0	14.25	3.0
7	RB63	Boston Scott	at IND	45.0	-6.5	25.75	2.1
7	RB64	Justice Hill	vs CAR	41.5	-13.0	27.25	3.5
7	RB65	Sony Michel	vs KC	52.0	5.5	23.25	2.8
7	RB66	Jordan Wilkins	vs PHI	45.0	6.5	19.25	4.3
7	RB67	Hassan Haskins	at GB	41.0	3.0	19.00	1.0
7	RB68	Zamir White	at DEN	41.5	2.5	19.50	0.3

Tier 3 – David Montgomery

Montgomery is in line for more touches with Khalil Herbert on the IR. Herbert averaged 11.3 rushing attempts per game in contests where both backs played.

The Bears are a run-first team, opting for the ground game no matter the game script:

Trailing by four-plus points: 48% (1st)
Within three points: 48% (5th)
Leading by four-plus points: 71% (2nd)

Montgomery hasn't been very good this season, but he is likely looking at 20-plus opportunities per game. With teams having to account for Justin Fields more than ever, he should see some large running lanes.

The Falcons allow the seventh-most fantasy points per game on the ground in non-overtime play at 19.3.

Vegas loves this game (50-point total), and the Bears carry a top-eight team total.

Montgomery ranks six spots ahead of industry consensus and is a top-12 RB.

Tier 4 – Brian Robinson Jr.

Robinson and the Commanders are three-point favorites at home against the worst rushing defense in the NFL in the Texans. On plays where Washington has led or been within three points, Robinson has a 66% rush share. The rookie has collected 50% or more of the rushing attempts in four of six starts.

He hasn’t been efficient, at 3.3 yards per attempt, but Ron Rivera and staff have stuck with him. In the right situations, he has 20-plus touch upside, as we saw against the Eagles when he registered 26 totes for 86 yards and a TD.

Houston allows the most rushing attempts (34) and yards (180) per game in non-overtime play.

Robinson is a low-end RB2 option and ranks slightly above consensus.

Tier 5 – Elijah Mitchell

Most of the fantasy community presumed Mitchell would be handcuff material upon his return, given the arrival of Christian McCaffrey. Yet, that wasn’t the case – the second-year back handled 44% of the rushing attempts in Week 10 against the Chargers.

Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
10	35%	44%	17%	4%	20%	45%	33%	0%	0%	9.8

Mitchell was involved from the very first drive and was the primary ball carrier when the score was within three points (79%), while McCaffrey handled more work when trailing (61%).

The 49ers run the ball the third-most in close game scripts and rank ninth in regulation rushing attempts per game on the season. Mitchell will have some value down the stretch if Kyle Shanahan is committed to a rotational backfield.

This week is a solid spot, with the 49ers favored by eight points over the Cardinals, who have the fifth-worst PFF run defense grade.

Mitchell is a mid-range RB3.

Additional RB Notes & Movers:

Tier 1 – Jonathan Taylor took over the passing downs in Week 10 and is now an every-down back. The Eagles have allowed 144 yards per game in non-overtime play over the last four weeks. Their run defense is surprisingly suspect against teams willing to remain committed, which fits the Colts' profile. Taylor offers RB1 overall potential in Week 11.
Tier 2 – Dalvin Cook has an 83% snap share since Week 6, making him one of a handful of backs in a proper every-down role. He has three 23-plus point outings in his last five games, and opponents must attack the Dallas defense on the ground to offset the pass rush. The Cowboys have the seventh-worst PFF run defense grade. Cook ranks three spots ahead of consensus as my RB7.
Tier 3 – James Conner experienced utilization euphoria in Week 10, and Arizona released Eno Benjamin. According to PFF grades, the 49ers have the fourth-toughest run defense, and the Cardinals are eight-point underdogs – so it won’t be easy. However, his newfound role moves him back into RB2 territory.

Wide Receiver

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	WR1	Justin Jefferson	vs DAL	48.5	1.5	23.50	23.2
1	WR2	Stefon Diggs	vs CLE	49.5	-7.5	28.50	23.6
1	WR3	CeeDee Lamb	at MIN	48.5	-1.5	25.00	17.2
1	WR4	Davante Adams	at DEN	41.5	2.5	19.50	20.4
1	WR5	DeAndre Hopkins	vs SF	43.5	8.0	17.75	21.9
1	WR6	A.J. Brown	at IND	45.0	-6.5	25.75	16.9
1	WR7	Amon-Ra St. Brown	at NYG	45.0	3.0	21.00	15.7
2	WR8	Tee Higgins	at PIT	41.0	-3.5	22.25	14.4
2	WR9	Mike Williams	vs KC	52.0	5.5	23.25	14.9
2	WR10	Chris Olave	vs LAR	39.0	-3.0	21.00	13.8
2	WR11	Terry McLaurin	at HOU	40.5	-3.0	21.75	13.3
2	WR12	Courtland Sutton	vs LV	41.5	-2.5	22.00	11.2
2	WR13	DeVonta Smith	at IND	45.0	-6.5	25.75	12.2
2	WR14	Deebo Samuel	at ARI	43.5	-8.0	25.75	13.5
2	WR15	Amari Cooper	at BUF	49.5	7.5	21.00	14.4
3	WR16	Kadarius Toney	at LAC	52.0	-5.5	28.75	6.6
3	WR17	Brandon Aiyuk	at ARI	43.5	-8.0	25.75	13.7
3	WR18	Gabe Davis	vs CLE	49.5	-7.5	28.50	13.6
3	WR19	Allen Lazard	vs TEN	41.0	-3.0	22.00	13.8
3	WR20	Tyler Boyd	at PIT	41.0	-3.5	22.25	13.1
3	WR21	Michael Pittman Jr.	vs PHI	45.0	6.5	19.25	13.9
3	WR22	DJ Moore	at BAL	41.5	13.0	14.25	10.9
3	WR23	Parris Campbell	vs PHI	45.0	6.5	19.25	9.7
3	WR24	Rondale Moore	vs SF	43.5	8.0	17.75	12.6
3	WR25	Christian Watson	vs TEN	41.0	-3.0	22.00	8.5
3	WR26	Darnell Mooney	at ATL	49.0	3.0	23.00	8.9
3	WR27	Jakobi Meyers	vs NYJ	38.5	-3.5	21.00	14.7
3	WR28	Diontae Johnson	vs CIN	41.0	3.5	18.75	10.5
3	WR29	Garrett Wilson	at NE	38.5	3.5	17.50	11.8
4	WR30	Keenan Allen	vs KC	52.0	5.5	23.25	6.9
4	WR31	Adam Thielen	vs DAL	48.5	1.5	23.50	11.5
4	WR32	Darius Slayton	vs DET	45.0	-3.0	24.00	10.6
4	WR33	George Pickens	vs CIN	41.0	3.5	18.75	8.9
4	WR34	Curtis Samuel	at HOU	40.5	-3.0	21.75	12.5
4	WR35	Brandin Cooks	vs WAS	40.5	3.0	18.75	10.2
4	WR36	Donovan Peoples-Jones	at BUF	49.5	7.5	21.00	9.4
4	WR37	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	at LAC	52.0	-5.5	28.75	8.4
4	WR38	Drake London	vs CHI	49.0	-3.0	26.00	9.7
4	WR39	Allen Robinson II	at NO	39.0	3.0	18.00	7.8
4	WR40	Nico Collins	vs WAS	40.5	3.0	18.75	9.2
4	WR41	Devin Duvernay	vs CAR	41.5	-13.0	27.25	10.3
4	WR42	Michael Gallup	at MIN	48.5	-1.5	25.00	6.5
4	WR43	Wan'Dale Robinson	vs DET	45.0	-3.0	24.00	6.4
4	WR44	Isaiah McKenzie	vs CLE	49.5	-7.5	28.50	9.2
4	WR45	Terrace Marshall Jr.	at BAL	41.5	13.0	14.25	7.4
5	WR46	Jarvis Landry	vs LAR	39.0	-3.0	21.00	8.1
5	WR47	Chase Claypool	at ATL	49.0	3.0	23.00	8.4
5	WR48	Joshua Palmer	vs KC	52.0	5.5	23.25	10.3
5	WR49	Mack Hollins	at DEN	41.5	2.5	19.50	9.3
5	WR50	Jahan Dotson	at HOU	40.5	-3.0	21.75	10.9
5	WR51	Kalif Raymond	at NYG	45.0	3.0	21.00	5.9
5	WR52	Alec Pierce	vs PHI	45.0	6.5	19.25	7.8
5	WR53	Treylon Burks	at GB	41.0	3.0	19.00	5.9
5	WR54	Demarcus Robinson	vs CAR	41.5	-13.0	27.25	4.7
5	WR55	DeVante Parker	vs NYJ	38.5	-3.5	21.00	6.6
5	WR56	Elijah Moore	at NE	38.5	3.5	17.50	4.5
5	WR57	Robert Woods	at GB	41.0	3.0	19.00	6.1
5	WR58	Ben Skowronek	at NO	39.0	3.0	18.00	6.5
5	WR59	K.J. Osborn	vs DAL	48.5	1.5	23.50	6.6
5	WR60	Van Jefferson	at NO	39.0	3.0	18.00	5.9
5	WR61	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	at GB	41.0	3.0	19.00	6.2
6	WR62	Laviska Shenault Jr.	at BAL	41.5	13.0	14.25	7.0
6	WR63	Damiere Byrd	vs CHI	49.0	-3.0	26.00	6.5
6	WR64	Olamide Zaccheaus	vs CHI	49.0	-3.0	26.00	7.0
6	WR65	Noah Brown	at MIN	48.5	-1.5	25.00	8.0
6	WR66	Tyquan Thornton	vs NYJ	38.5	-3.5	21.00	6.1
6	WR67	Tre'Quan Smith	vs LAR	39.0	-3.0	21.00	6.2
6	WR68	Randall Cobb	vs TEN	41.0	-3.0	22.00	7.3
6	WR69	Kendrick Bourne	vs NYJ	38.5	-3.5	21.00	4.0
6	WR70	Denzel Mims	at NE	38.5	3.5	17.50	4.4
6	WR71	A.J. Green	vs SF	43.5	8.0	17.75	3.8
6	WR72	Chris Moore	vs WAS	40.5	3.0	18.75	7.6
6	WR73	Kendall Hinton	vs LV	41.5	-2.5	22.00	4.5
6	WR74	Quez Watkins	at IND	45.0	-6.5	25.75	3.9
6	WR75	David Bell	at BUF	49.5	7.5	21.00	3.1
6	WR76	Dante Pettis	at ATL	49.0	3.0	23.00	4.5
6	WR77	Phillip Dorsett II	vs WAS	40.5	3.0	18.75	3.8
6	WR78	Equanimeous St. Brown	at ATL	49.0	3.0	23.00	3.9
6	WR79	Robbie Anderson	vs SF	43.5	8.0	17.75	4.8
7	WR80	Skyy Moore	at LAC	52.0	-5.5	28.75	1.5
7	WR81	Sammy Watkins	vs TEN	41.0	-3.0	22.00	5.6
7	WR82	Rashid Shaheed	vs LAR	39.0	-3.0	21.00	6.3
7	WR83	D.J. Chark Jr.	at NYG	45.0	3.0	21.00	7.6
7	WR84	Jauan Jennings	at ARI	43.5	-8.0	25.75	5.0
7	WR85	Braxton Berrios	at NE	38.5	3.5	17.50	4.8
7	WR86	Nelson Agholor	vs NYJ	38.5	-3.5	21.00	5.7
7	WR87	Justin Watson	at LAC	52.0	-5.5	28.75	3.4
7	WR88	Kevin White	vs LAR	39.0	-3.0	21.00	1.9
7	WR89	Keelan Cole Sr.	at DEN	41.5	2.5	19.50	1.4
7	WR90	James Proche II	vs CAR	41.5	-13.0	27.25	2.3
7	WR91	Kenny Golladay	vs DET	45.0	-3.0	24.00	1.1
7	WR92	Byron Pringle	at ATL	49.0	3.0	23.00	1.9
7	WR93	Steven Sims Jr.	vs CIN	41.0	3.5	18.75	1.6
7	WR94	Trenton Irwin	at PIT	41.0	-3.5	22.25	4.1
7	WR95	DeAndre Carter	vs KC	52.0	5.5	23.25	8.0
7	WR96	Khalil Shakir	vs CLE	49.5	-7.5	28.50	4.1
7	WR97	Shi Smith	at BAL	41.5	13.0	14.25	2.4
7	WR98	Isaiah Hodgins	vs DET	45.0	-3.0	24.00	7.1

Tier 1 – CeeDee Lamb

Lamb erupted for the No. 1 WR finish last week, but as the Fantasy Life audience knows, his underlying utilization has been elite all season.

Week	Routes	TPRR	Targets	ADOT	Air Yards	EZ Tgts	3rd/4th Down Targets	PA Targets	PPR
1	98%	22%	26%	10.8	29%	0%	27%	30%	4.9
2	97%	30%	34%	9.8	53%	0%	22%	30%	15.1
3	100%	39%	43%	11.4	53%	50%	38%	42%	22.7
4	100%	24%	32%	14.4	43%	0%	0%	57%	21.7
5	100%	37%	47%	7.6	48%	0%	44%	29%	10.3
6	95%	24%	27%	7.7	23%	0%	17%	33%	12.7
7	94%	22%	24%	17.7	38%	0%	50%	33%	10.6
8	93%	27%	28%	13.4	47%	33%	33%	43%	18.8
10	96%	33%	38%	10.1	51%	0%	40%	40%	38.0
YTD	97%	28%	33%	11.1	41%	15%	29%	37%	17.2

Of WRs with at least 200 routes, Lamb ranks No. 1 in target share at 33% and is eight in yards per route run (YPRR) at 2.41.

The Cowboys are maximizing their top option by scheming play-action targets on 37% of his looks – a 12 percentage-point advantage over the average NFL WR – and keeping him in the slot on 59% of routes. Over the last three seasons, a play-action target is worth 18% more in PPR points than a non-play-action target.

This weekend, the Cowboys face a Vikings team allowing 59.9 points per game to pass catchers in non-regulation play – the seventh-most. Additionally, the game could be a shootout in a contest with the second-best game total.

Lamb is in a SMASH spot as a top-three WR in Week 11.

Tier 2 – Tee Higgins

The Bengals are hopeful to have Ja’Marr Chase back next week. That leaves Higgins with another opportunity to operate as the clear-cut WR1 against the Steelers.

The third-year WR has a 25%-plus target share in four out of eight games when playing at least 50% of the snaps this season. He averages 15.8 points per game in those healthy contests, three points higher than his deflated 12.8, thanks to two games where he left with an injury.

The Steelers allow the eighth-most points to pass catchers in regulation play and aren’t healthy in the secondary.

Higgins is a top-10 option in Week 11.

Tier 3 – Kadarius Toney

Toney delivered 19 fantasy points on an anemic 41% route participation last weekend.

It was a tad discouraging that he didn’t play more with Mecole Hardman out and JuJu Smith-Schuster injured in the first half. However, his 29% targets per route run (TPRR) was in line with what we saw in Week 9 (33%) and in his rookie campaign (26%). The second-year WR is dripping with target-earning talent.

Justin Watson bested Toney in route participation (73%) last week, but we could easily see that number flip. Even his future hall-of-fame teammate can’t believe the Giants let him get away.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling will also try to earn more looks but he hasn’t been able to step his game up as many hoped. His 12% TPRR isn’t even WR5 material in a historical fantasy context.

Toney is a mid-range WR2 who could post a top-six finish if he plays an every-down role.

Additional WR Notes & Movers:

Tier 1 – A.J. Brown is dominating with a 28% target share (7th) and a 2.73 YPRR (5th), and now Dallas Goedert is out for at least four games. Look for the Eagles' passing attack to condense further around Brown and DeVonta Smith. Brown is a top-six WR this weekend.
Tier 2 – Mike Williams practiced on Wednesday. The Chargers are in a need-to-win situation against a Chiefs’ defense that allows the second-most points (64.7) to pass catchers in non-overtime play. Williams immediately slots in as a top-10 option.
Tier 2 – Terry McLaurin had a rough start to the year, but he has blossomed with Taylor Heinicke under center, who is on tap for another start. With Heinicke, McLaurin has target shares of 26%, 28%, 32%, and 44%. The fourth-year WR faces PFF’s worst-graded coverage unit over the last four games in Houston. McLaurin is a top-12 option.
Tier 2 – Courtland Sutton delivered a 28% target share last weekend, with Jerry Jeudy knocked out of the game early. It has been a while since fantasy managers could trust Sutton, but he should see plenty of opportunity against the Raiders’ last-place EPA pass defense. If Jeudy is out, Sutton is a high-end WR2.
Tier 2 – DeVonta Smith will have an opportunity to up his 24% target share with Dallas Goedert sidelined. The second-year WR is due for a blowup game and is a high-end WR2.
Tier 3 – Parris Campbell has 29 targets and averages 20.8 points in his last three games with Matt Ryan. The matchup against the Eagles isn’t easy, but Campbell is insulated by playing from the slot (78%) and collecting targets underneath (5.2 aDOT). The former Ohio State product ranks 15 spots ahead of consensus as a low-end WR2.
Tier 3 – Rondale Moore is on a bender with 30% and 37% target shares over the last two games. We could see Marquise Brown return, but Zach Ertz is out for the season. Moore has three consecutive top-16 finishes and is a top-24 option this week.
Tier 3 – Christian Watson exploded onto the scene last weekend with a 42% target share that led to four receptions, 104 yards, and three TDs against the Cowboys. While that effort will be hard to top, Watson has the juice the Packers' offense has been missing. The Titans allow the most fantasy points to pass catchers per game (65) in non-overtime play. Watson is a high-end WR3 with WR1 upside.
Tier 5 – Joshua Palmer registered two top-24 finishes, with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams out, but both are trending towards a return this weekend. The second-year WR returns to handcuff status – his 16% TPRR and 1.22 YPRR are far below even WR5 standards. He is no longer a must-hold if your roster has pressing needs elsewhere. Palmer is a low-end WR4 this weekend, but only due to byes and the chance Allen or Williams isn’t 100%.

Tight End

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	TE1	Travis Kelce	at LAC	52.0	-5.5	28.75	20.8
2	TE2	Mark Andrews	vs CAR	41.5	-13.0	27.25	15.2
2	TE3	Dalton Schultz	at MIN	48.5	-1.5	25.00	8.0
2	TE4	T.J. Hockenson	vs DAL	48.5	1.5	23.50	12.6
3	TE5	George Kittle	at ARI	43.5	-8.0	25.75	10.4
3	TE6	Pat Freiermuth	vs CIN	41.0	3.5	18.75	10.3
3	TE7	Greg Dulcich	vs LV	41.5	-2.5	22.00	9.6
3	TE8	David Njoku	at BUF	49.5	7.5	21.00	11.3
3	TE9	Cole Kmet	at ATL	49.0	3.0	23.00	8.1
3	TE10	Tyler Higbee	at NO	39.0	3.0	18.00	9.2
3	TE11	Kyle Pitts	vs CHI	49.0	-3.0	26.00	7.6
4	TE12	Hayden Hurst	at PIT	41.0	-3.5	22.25	8.9
4	TE13	Gerald Everett	vs KC	52.0	5.5	23.25	9.2
4	TE14	Foster Moreau	at DEN	41.5	2.5	19.50	7.7
4	TE15	Juwan Johnson	vs LAR	39.0	-3.0	21.00	8.2
4	TE16	Taysom Hill	vs LAR	39.0	-3.0	21.00	9.2
4	TE17	Tyler Conklin	at NE	38.5	3.5	17.50	9.2
4	TE18	Dawson Knox	vs CLE	49.5	-7.5	28.50	7.5
5	TE19	Trey McBride	vs SF	43.5	8.0	17.75	1.4
5	TE20	Robert Tonyan	vs TEN	41.0	-3.0	22.00	7.7
5	TE21	Isaiah Likely	vs CAR	41.5	-13.0	27.25	6.2
5	TE22	Hunter Henry	vs NYJ	38.5	-3.5	21.00	5.4
5	TE23	Logan Thomas	at HOU	40.5	-3.0	21.75	5.5
6	TE24	Kylen Granson	vs PHI	45.0	6.5	19.25	4.7
6	TE25	Austin Hooper	at GB	41.0	3.0	19.00	4.0
6	TE26	Jordan Akins	vs WAS	40.5	3.0	18.75	6.2
7	TE27	Jonnu Smith	vs NYJ	38.5	-3.5	21.00	4.5
7	TE28	Brock Wright	at NYG	45.0	3.0	21.00	3.7
7	TE29	Tommy Tremble	at BAL	41.5	13.0	14.25	3.7
7	TE30	Harrison Bryant	at BUF	49.5	7.5	21.00	5.1
7	TE31	Chigoziem Okonkwo	at GB	41.0	3.0	19.00	3.3
7	TE32	Noah Gray	at LAC	52.0	-5.5	28.75	4.5
7	TE33	Mo Alie-Cox	vs PHI	45.0	6.5	19.25	5.7
7	TE34	Grant Calcaterra	at IND	45.0	-6.5	25.75	5.0
7	TE35	Jack Stoll	at IND	45.0	-6.5	25.75	1.8

Tier 2 – Dalton Schultz

Schultz appears to be healthy after struggling with a knee injury for the first half of the season. He has come on strong with three consecutive 20%-plus target share outings.

Week	Routes	TPRR	Targets	ADOT	Air Yards	EZ Tgts	3rd/4th Down Targets	PA Targets	PPR
1	94%	19%	21%	6.9	15%	0%	27%	13%	13.2
2	83%	14%	14%	1.3	3%	0%	11%	25%	3.8
4	76%	13%	14%	5.7	7%	0%	14%	33%	0.0
5	32%	17%	7%	5.0	5%	0%	11%	0%	0.0
7	55%	31%	20%	5.2	9%	0%	0%	40%	9.9
8	64%	33%	24%	9.0	27%	0%	17%	33%	13.4
10	72%	24%	21%	7.3	20%	100%	10%	38%	17.4
YTD	56%	21%	14%	6.3	10%	8%	13%	29%	8.2

The route participation hasn’t quite returned to his Week 1 and 2 levels, but if it does, he has top-three upside the rest of the way.

Schultz has a great matchup against a Vikings defense that allows 59.9 points to pass catchers – the seventh-most.

The veteran ranks two spots ahead of consensus and is a top-three TE.

Additional TE Notes & Movers:

Tier 2 – T.J. Hockenson has 19 targets in two games with Minnesota. That is his highest two-game total this season. The Vikings have a potential shootout on their hands against the Cowboys. Hockenson is a mid-range TE1.
Tier 3 – Greg Dulcich has an 81% route participation over his first four games and a 16% TPRR. He has eclipsed a 20% target share in two games and could be in for more looks with Jerry Jeudy questionable and KJ Hamler out for Week 11. In a consolidated attack, Dulcich could come through in a big way against a Raiders defense allowing the sixth-most points to pass catchers. The rookie is a mid-range TE1.
Tier 3 – David Njoku is questionable (ankle) after two limited practices to finish the week but says he is ready to play. The former first-round draft pick has a career-high 21% TPRR and 2.14 yards per route run (YPRR). However, high-ankle sprains can linger, which keeps him from rejoining the top-six options this weekend. Njoku is a low-end TE1 for Week 11.

Dwain McFarland