Fantasy

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers. Week 12

by Dwain McFarland

1 year ago

It is time to make those tough lineup decisions for Week 12 of the fantasy football season.

Below you’ll find positional rankings, player analysis, betting totals, and implied points for every game on the slate.

Find all of our positional rankings here.

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers – Week 12

Last updated: 11 pm, Friday, November 25th Please refer to our Rankings page for updates!

Quarterback

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	QB1	Josh Allen	at DET	54.5	-9.5	32.00	25.8
1	QB2	Patrick Mahomes II	vs LAR	42.0	-16.0	29.00	26.9
1	QB3	Jalen Hurts	vs GB	46.5	-6.5	26.50	24.3
2	QB4	Tua Tagovailoa	vs HOU	47.0	-14.0	30.50	20.4
2	QB5	Joe Burrow	at TEN	43.5	-2.5	23.00	23.4
2	QB6	Lamar Jackson	at JAC	43.5	-3.5	23.50	21.9
3	QB7	Kyler Murray	vs LAC	48.0	2.5	22.75	20.1
3	QB8	Justin Herbert	at ARI	48.0	-2.5	25.25	17.2
3	QB9	Justin Fields	at NYJ	38.5	6.0	16.25	21.4
3	QB10	Dak Prescott	vs NYG	45.5	-9.5	27.50	17.2
3	QB11	Geno Smith	vs LV	47.5	-3.5	25.50	18.7
4	QB12	Jimmy Garoppolo	vs NO	43.0	-9.5	26.25	17.0
4	QB13	Tom Brady	at CLE	42.5	-3.0	22.75	15.5
4	QB14	Kirk Cousins	vs NE	42.5	-2.5	22.50	16.3
5	QB15	Daniel Jones	at DAL	45.5	9.5	18.00	17.5
5	QB16	Trevor Lawrence	vs BAL	43.5	3.5	20.00	16.7
5	QB17	Aaron Rodgers	at PHI	46.5	6.5	20.00	15.6
5	QB18	Marcus Mariota	at WAS	41.0	4.0	18.50	16.3
5	QB19	Derek Carr	at SEA	47.5	3.5	22.00	15.9
6	QB20	Matt Ryan	vs PIT	39.0	-2.5	20.75	14.9
6	QB21	Jacoby Brissett	vs TB	42.5	3.0	19.75	16.0
6	QB22	Taylor Heinicke	vs ATL	41.0	-4.0	22.50	13.5
6	QB23	Russell Wilson	at CAR	36.0	-1.5	18.75	14.7
6	QB24	Jared Goff	vs BUF	54.5	9.5	22.50	15.4
6	QB25	Ryan Tannehill	vs CIN	43.5	2.5	20.50	13.9
6	QB26	Kenny Pickett	at IND	39.0	2.5	18.25	13.3
6	QB27	Andy Dalton	at SF	43.0	9.5	16.75	15.6
7	QB28	Mike White	vs CHI	38.5	-6.0	22.25	0.0
7	QB29	Bryce Perkins	at KC	42.0	16.0	13.00	3.4
7	QB30	Mac Jones	at MIN	42.5	2.5	20.00	10.9
7	QB31	Kyle Allen	at MIA	47.0	14.0	16.50	0.0
7	QB32	Sam Darnold	vs DEN	36.0	1.5	17.25	0.0

Tier 1 – Josh Allen

Allen scored a season-low 12.6 fantasy points in Week 11 against the Browns.

Since his elbow injury, the team has eased his designed-rushing workload to 4% and 6% in the last two games – far below his pre-injury 23% average. Last week the team dropped back to pass a season-low 49% of plays – also well below their season average of 67% – possibly in an attempt to save his elbow. Allen practiced in a limited fashion all week and was removed from the injury report.

The Lions allow the fifth-most non-overtime passing yards per game (273) and won’t have their No. 1 CB in Jeff Okudah. No team carries a higher implied points total in Week 12 than Buffalo (32).

Look for the Bills passing game to operate with high efficiency, but we could see a more balanced attack and less running from Allen as the team focuses on a healthy playoff run.

Tier 2 – Kyler Murray

Murray was removed from the injury report after three full practices and should be near 100%.

The Cardinals square off against the Chargers in a game with shootout potential (48-point game total), and Murray should have DeAndre Hopkins and Marquise Brown on the field together for the first time in 2022.

The veteran QB has underperformed compared to the elite options, but he averages 38.9 rushing yards per game, which keeps him in the mid-range QB1 conversation.

Murray is the QB7 this weekend.

Tier 3 – Justin Fields

Fields will be a game-time decision due to a non-throwing-shoulder injury he suffered in Week 11. He wasn’t able to get in a full practice this week, and Trevor Siemian will start if Fields can’t play.

The Jets are the second-best coverage unit and fifth-best run defense according to PFF grades, which already made this a tricky spot for the second-year QB. If he plays, he could be limited and carries the risk of re-injury.

Fields moves out of the top-three options down to QB9.

Tier 3 – Dak Prescott

Since his injury, Prescott averaged 250 yards and 2 TDs in four games. In a league where passing is down across the board, those are solid QB1 numbers.

Dallas is dialing up pass plays only 51% of the time and relying on play-action 36% of the time over the four-game span – nine percentage points above the NFL average. Unlike some run-centric teams, they don’t seek to drain the clock. The Cowboys rank No. 2 in average time remaining on the play clock (11.5 seconds).

Additionally, the 29-year-old signal-caller has been more active on the ground, accounting for 10% of designed rushing attempts.

The Cowboys carry the third-highest team total on the slate, and the Giants have the second-worst PFF coverage grade (49.1).

Look for Prescott to keep things rolling as a mid-range QB1 this weekend.

Additional QB Notes & Movers:

Tier 4 – Kirk Cousins will face off against New England's No. 1 EPA pass defense. The Patriots allow the fifth-fewest passing yards per game in non-overtime play. However, Cousins has the weapons to overcome any defense – he averaged 284 yards and 1.7 TDs before his brutal outing against Dallas. The veteran QB remains a high-end QB2, but don’t be afraid to pivot.
Tier 5 – Daniel Jones has two top-five outings in his last four games. His 345-yard passing outburst is sure to regress, but he has shown it is in the range of outcomes. And that is enough, given his 43.2 rushing yards per game. The Giants carry a lowly 18-point team total and are 9.5 point dogs against the second-stingiest pass defense. Jones is a mid-range QB2.

Running Back

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	RB1	Austin Ekeler	at ARI	48.0	-2.5	25.25	23.0
1	RB2	Christian McCaffrey	vs NO	43.0	-9.5	26.25	20.2
1	RB3	Saquon Barkley	at DAL	45.5	9.5	18.00	18.5
1	RB4	Derrick Henry	vs CIN	43.5	2.5	20.50	20.3
1	RB5	Josh Jacobs	at SEA	47.5	3.5	22.00	19.4
2	RB6	Jonathan Taylor	vs PIT	39.0	-2.5	20.75	14.0
2	RB7	Kenneth Walker III	vs LV	47.5	-3.5	25.50	14.3
2	RB8	Travis Etienne Jr.	vs BAL	43.5	3.5	20.00	13.9
2	RB9	Dalvin Cook	vs NE	42.5	-2.5	22.50	15.7
2	RB10	Rhamondre Stevenson	at MIN	42.5	2.5	20.00	16.4
2	RB11	Nick Chubb	vs TB	42.5	3.0	19.75	18.8
2	RB12	Tony Pollard	vs NYG	45.5	-9.5	27.50	16.3
2	RB13	Alvin Kamara	at SF	43.0	9.5	16.75	16.3
2	RB14	Jeff Wilson Jr.	vs HOU	47.0	-14.0	30.50	11.2
2	RB15	Rachaad White	at CLE	42.5	-3.0	22.75	6.0
2	RB16	Aaron Jones	at PHI	46.5	6.5	20.00	15.7
2	RB17	James Conner	vs LAC	48.0	2.5	22.75	12.3
3	RB18	David Montgomery	at NYJ	38.5	6.0	16.25	10.5
3	RB19	Dameon Pierce	at MIA	47.0	14.0	16.50	13.8
3	RB20	Najee Harris	at IND	39.0	2.5	18.25	12.5
3	RB21	Antonio Gibson	vs ATL	41.0	-4.0	22.50	12.7
3	RB22	Miles Sanders	vs GB	46.5	-6.5	26.50	12.8
3	RB23	Samaje Perine	at TEN	43.5	-2.5	23.00	8.0
3	RB24	Jamaal Williams	vs BUF	54.5	9.5	22.50	15.4
3	RB25	Devin Singletary	at DET	54.5	-9.5	32.00	12.0
3	RB26	Latavius Murray	at CAR	36.0	-1.5	18.75	9.9
3	RB27	Isiah Pacheco	vs LAR	42.0	-16.0	29.00	4.7
3	RB28	D'Onta Foreman	vs DEN	36.0	1.5	17.25	7.8
4	RB29	Cordarrelle Patterson	at WAS	41.0	4.0	18.50	13.1
4	RB30	D'Andre Swift	vs BUF	54.5	9.5	22.50	13.4
4	RB31	Ezekiel Elliott	vs NYG	45.5	-9.5	27.50	11.9
4	RB32	Michael Carter	vs CHI	38.5	-6.0	22.25	9.8
4	RB33	Brian Robinson Jr.	vs ATL	41.0	-4.0	22.50	7.6
4	RB34	Elijah Mitchell	vs NO	43.0	-9.5	26.25	6.6
4	RB35	Kenyan Drake	at JAC	43.5	-3.5	23.50	9.9
4	RB36	Gus Edwards	at JAC	43.5	-3.5	23.50	12.6
4	RB37	Damien Harris	at MIN	42.5	2.5	20.00	9.4
4	RB38	Kareem Hunt	vs TB	42.5	3.0	19.75	9.6
4	RB39	Cam Akers	at KC	42.0	16.0	13.00	3.9
4	RB40	Tyler Allgeier	at WAS	41.0	4.0	18.50	8.1
4	RB41	AJ Dillon	at PHI	46.5	6.5	20.00	7.3
4	RB42	James Robinson	vs CHI	38.5	-6.0	22.25	8.8
4	RB43	Jerick McKinnon	vs LAR	42.0	-16.0	29.00	6.6
4	RB44	Kyren Williams	at KC	42.0	16.0	13.00	6.2
5	RB45	James Cook	at DET	54.5	-9.5	32.00	4.6
5	RB46	Trestan Ebner	at NYJ	38.5	6.0	16.25	0.9
5	RB47	Dontrell Hilliard	vs CIN	43.5	2.5	20.50	7.6
5	RB48	Kenneth Gainwell	vs GB	46.5	-6.5	26.50	4.5
5	RB49	Marlon Mack	at CAR	36.0	-1.5	18.75	0.0
5	RB50	Chuba Hubbard	vs DEN	36.0	1.5	17.25	3.0
5	RB51	Alexander Mattison	vs NE	42.5	-2.5	22.50	5.1
5	RB52	Keaontay Ingram	vs LAC	48.0	2.5	22.75	2.5
5	RB53	Isaiah Spiller	at ARI	48.0	-2.5	25.25	1.7
5	RB54	Zamir White	at SEA	47.5	3.5	22.00	0.3
5	RB55	Matt Breida	at DAL	45.5	9.5	18.00	3.1
5	RB56	Justin Jackson	vs BUF	54.5	9.5	22.50	2.9
5	RB57	Rex Burkhead	at MIA	47.0	14.0	16.50	6.4
5	RB58	Caleb Huntley	at WAS	41.0	4.0	18.50	4.5
5	RB59	Justice Hill	at JAC	43.5	-3.5	23.50	3.9
5	RB60	Boston Scott	vs GB	46.5	-6.5	26.50	2.3
5	RB61	Deon Jackson	vs PIT	39.0	-2.5	20.75	7.3
6	RB62	Raheem Blackshear	vs DEN	36.0	1.5	17.25	3.1
6	RB63	Chris Evans	at TEN	43.5	-2.5	23.00	0.7
6	RB64	Travis Homer	vs LV	47.5	-3.5	25.50	2.4
6	RB65	Gio Bernard	at CLE	42.5	-3.0	22.75	0.0
6	RB66	Nyheim Hines	at DET	54.5	-9.5	32.00	5.5
6	RB67	JaMycal Hasty	vs BAL	43.5	3.5	20.00	3.1
6	RB68	Ameer Abdullah	at SEA	47.5	3.5	22.00	2.5
6	RB69	Ty Johnson	vs CHI	38.5	-6.0	22.25	0.9
6	RB70	David Johnson	at SF	43.0	9.5	16.75	1.7
6	RB71	Salvon Ahmed	vs HOU	47.0	-14.0	30.50	0.4

Tier 1 – Saquon Barkley

Barkley had a rough outing against a soft Lions defense, leaving fantasy managers scratching their heads in Week 11. Sometimes great players don’t come through in choice matchups – it happens.

On a positive note, Barkley’s utilization remains pristine. He leads all RBs with an 82% snap share, ranks fourth in rush share (71%) and is No. 2 in route participation (66%). The opportunity profile doesn’t get better than that, y’all.

The Cowboys will look to build a lead and push New York to pass the ball, but the best path to a Giants victory could be through Barkley. Dallas has the fifth-worst PFF run defense grade (47.9) and fifth-best coverage unit (79.6).

Look for New York to feed Barkley early and often, he is a high-end RB1.

Tier 2 – Dalvin Cook

Cook is delivering gargantuan utilization numbers over the last five games. He ranks third in snap share (72%), fourth in rush share (69%), and eighth in route participation (54%).

Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
1	77%	71%	71%	12%	13%	71%	0%	80%	89%	13.8
2	69%	67%	63%	13%	19%	100%	0%	80%	44%	7.6
3	61%	68%	32%	0%	0%	100%	100%	73%	38%	15.6
4	62%	77%	43%	6%	10%	60%	0%	13%	100%	10.6
5	57%	58%	40%	5%	12%	50%	67%	30%	38%	26.1
6	87%	76%	46%	4%	6%	100%	0%	78%	100%	15.3
8	76%	74%	52%	20%	27%	90%	100%	88%	100%	25.1
9	86%	77%	64%	9%	11%	67%	100%	86%	100%	13.7
10	84%	61%	73%	11%	12%	86%	20%	89%	100%	23.6
11	60%	65%	55%	7%	5%	40%	0%	63%	100%	7.2
YTD	72%	69%	54%	9%	13%	75%	54%	67%	74%	15.9

The Vikings have trailed by four-plus points on 75% of snaps over the last two outings, which has lowered the team rushing attempts, but Cook isn’t leaving the field on passing downs.

The Patriots have the No. 1 EPA run defense (-0.71), which will be a stiff test, but the veteran back is due for an eruption game. Not only is he getting the opportunities, but he has also been efficient, ranking well above the NFL average in missed tackles forced (23%), average yards after contact (3.82), and attempts of 10-plus yards (15%).

Cook ranks three spots ahead of expert consensus and is a low-end RB1 with upside.

Tier 2 – Rhamondre Stevenson

Stevenson has given up a few carries since the return of Damien Harris in Week 11, but he remains the clear-cut No. 1 option in New England.

Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
1	25%	38%	14%	7%	40%	33%	0%	0%	0%	4.7
2	62%	32%	58%	6%	9%	60%	0%	57%	100%	6.1
3	62%	50%	62%	16%	20%	60%	50%	60%	100%	20.1
4	55%	42%	52%	25%	38%	67%	0%	100%	0%	12.9
5	90%	74%	62%	10%	14%	67%	0%	100%	100%	19.5
6	86%	63%	60%	16%	25%	100%	100%	92%	0%	25.1
7	77%	69%	69%	32%	36%	60%	100%	100%	100%	23.8
8	62%	53%	53%	23%	30%	33%	0%	94%	100%	21.5
9	73%	52%	71%	25%	29%	100%	50%	92%	0%	16.0
11	78%	52%	79%	22%	23%	100%	0%	100%	0%	14.2
YTD	67%	53%	58%	18%	25%	70%	67%	79%	100%	16.4

The second-year RB played 70% of the snaps in the last two outings with Harris (Weeks 9 and 11) and dominated all of the passing-down opportunities. Only Christian McCaffrey and Austin Ekeler have higher target shares than Stevenson (18%).

Against zone coverage, Stevenson’s TPRR surges to 27%, and on Thanksgiving, they will take on the Vikings – the second-heaviest zone squad in the NFL (82%).

Stevenson comes in three spots ahead of consensus as my RB10.

Tier 2 – Tony Pollard

Ezekiel Elliott returned to the lineup in Week 11 against the Vikings, which returned the Cowboys backfield to a rotation. However, an important development occurred, with Pollard posting a 59% route participation and gobbling up 100% of the two-minute offense.

The fourth-year RB has demonstrated a high-end receiving profile in the past, and it is showing up again this year with the fifth-best YPRR (1.71) of RBs with at least 100 routes.

Pollard and Elliott split the rushing workload evenly, including the work inside the five-yard line. Elliott could regain the lead in those two areas as his knee gets stronger, but Pollard has outperformed Zeke in every efficiency metric.

	PFF Rush Grade	Missed Tackles Forced %	Average Yards After Contact	10-Plus Yard Attempts %
Tony Pollard	89.9	22%	4.3	17%
Ezekiel Elliott	79.6	13%	2.7	6%

Jerry Jones has remained steadfast in his belief that Dallas is a better team with Elliott playing, but the door has opened for Pollard.

If the fourth-year RB can hang onto 35-40% of the rushing attempts and 60-65% of the passing downs, he has RB1 potential the rest of the way in a surging Cowboys’ attack.

The Cowboys are 9.5-point favorites over the Giants, with the fourth-highest team total. The Giants run the most man coverage (50%), which is the one cause for concern with Pollard. His target rate is only 4% against man coverage versus a robust 23% against zone.

Pollard is a high-end RB2 this weekend, but I have him three spots below consensus.

Tier 2 – Jeff Wilson Jr.

Raheem Mostert (knee) is doubtful for a juicy matchup against a Texans defense that invites a whopping 34.6 rushing attempts per game in non-overtime play. Houston ranks third-worst in PFF run defense grade (38.3).

Dolphins RBs with at least a 60% snap share are averaging 15.7 attempts and 3.2 targets per game. Miami leans to the pass more than the NFL average in trailing, close, and leading game scripts, but as 14-point favorites, there is a lot of room for Wilson to pick up touches.

Wilson ranks No. 6 in attempts of 10-plus yards (15%) and has the No. 17 PFF rush grade.

The Dolphins carry a 30.5-point team total, and Wilson should touch the ball 20+ times, making him a SMASH play as the RB14.

RB – Rachaad White

Leonard Fournette (hip) is doubtful, which means White is in line for an expanded workload. White stepped up his utilization starting in Week 4 but it stalled out, with the rookie failing to make much out of his touches.

The Buccaneers rank 31st in run blocking, and Fournette hasn’t fared much better, so there is still hope for the rookie.

Of course, volume is king at RB, and White gets a tantalizing matchup against a bewildered Browns team with the worst-graded PFF run defense (29.9). Cleveland allows the sixth-most rushing yards per game (136) in non-overtime play.

Giovani Bernard returns to action this weekend and could challenge for passing-down snaps, but White’s role as the leading runner should be safe.

White moves up to RB15.

Tier 3 – Samaje Perine

Joe Mixon (concussion) won’t play, opening the door for Perine to serve as the lead back for the Bengals in Week 12. While the volume should be there, historically, Perine isn’t a very efficient RB, and the Titans are good against the run.

Tennessee is the No. 3 PFF run defense and allows the fewest rushing yards per game (81) in non-overtime play. On the flip side, they allow the second-most passing yards at 282 and the Bengals throw the ball more than the NFL average in trailing, close, and leading game scripts.

We could see most of the Bengals’ attack channeled via the passing game. Perine has a solid 21% TPRR and collected four receptions for 54 yards and three TDs last week. However, Cincinnati was not targeting their backs as much before the Ja’Marr Chase injury.

Perine ranks as my RB23, but if Chase is out, he could perform more like a mid-range RB2.

Tier 3 – Devin Singletary

Singletary has quietly held onto all of the passing-down work despite the arrival of Nyheim Hines three weeks ago.

Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
9	74%	42%	65%	15%	18%	88%	0%	73%	80%	8.8
10	72%	57%	56%	5%	7%	46%	100%	78%	100%	17.7
11	72%	55%	81%	8%	10%	67%	0%	78%	100%	18.9
YTD	71%	49%	62%	10%	13%	70%	36%	74%	83%	12.5

Over the last two games, the Bills have reduced Josh Allen’s rushing workload since his elbow injury, and that has led to 15.5 rushing attempts per game. With Buffalo favored by 9.5 points, we could see plenty of the veteran RB again in Week 12 against the Lions.

Detroit allows a league-high 25 fantasy points per game to opponents on the ground in non-overtime play.

Singletary is a low-end RB2 with RB1 upside.

Additional RB Notes & Movers:

Tier 3 – Jamaal Williams is in a tough spot against the Bills as 9.5-point dogs. The veteran still averages 15 attempts per game in contests where the Lions trail by four-plus on 40% or more of snaps. Leading scripts have helped Buffalo subdue opposing attacks, but they are the sixth-worst run defense per PFF grades (48.3). Williams remains an RB2 this week despite the matchup.
Tier 4 – D’Andre Swift practiced in full all week, so maybe we see him more against the Bills. The Lions will need all of their weapons to keep up with Buffalo. In recent weeks, the former first-round pick has averaged 17% of attempts with a 14% target share. He is a boom-bust RB3.
Tier 4 – Ezekiel Elliott should be in line for about half of the rushing attempts for the Cowboys, who are a run-heavy attack. Dallas is a 9.5-point favorite, which could bode well for Elliot’s chances of punching in a score. He is a TD-dependent RB3.

Wide Receiver

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	WR1	Tyreek Hill	vs HOU	47.0	-14.0	30.50	22.2
1	WR2	Stefon Diggs	at DET	54.5	-9.5	32.00	22.7
1	WR3	Davante Adams	at SEA	47.5	3.5	22.00	21.6
1	WR4	Justin Jefferson	vs NE	42.5	-2.5	22.50	21.6
1	WR5	DeAndre Hopkins	vs LAC	48.0	2.5	22.75	21.1
1	WR6	CeeDee Lamb	vs NYG	45.5	-9.5	27.50	16.4
1	WR7	A.J. Brown	vs GB	46.5	-6.5	26.50	16.2
2	WR8	Amon-Ra St. Brown	vs BUF	54.5	9.5	22.50	15.6
2	WR9	Jaylen Waddle	vs HOU	47.0	-14.0	30.50	17.5
2	WR10	Amari Cooper	vs TB	42.5	3.0	19.75	16.1
2	WR11	Ja'Marr Chase	at TEN	43.5	-2.5	23.00	20.2
2	WR12	Tee Higgins	at TEN	43.5	-2.5	23.00	15.5
2	WR13	Terry McLaurin	vs ATL	41.0	-4.0	22.50	12.9
2	WR14	Chris Olave	at SF	43.0	9.5	16.75	14.5
2	WR15	Mike Evans	at CLE	42.5	-3.0	22.75	14.9
2	WR16	DK Metcalf	vs LV	47.5	-3.5	25.50	12.6
2	WR17	Christian Kirk	vs BAL	43.5	3.5	20.00	16.1
2	WR18	Tyler Lockett	vs LV	47.5	-3.5	25.50	14.4
2	WR19	DeVonta Smith	vs GB	46.5	-6.5	26.50	12.4
3	WR20	Gabe Davis	at DET	54.5	-9.5	32.00	13.4
3	WR21	Chris Godwin	at CLE	42.5	-3.0	22.75	12.8
3	WR22	Deebo Samuel	vs NO	43.0	-9.5	26.25	14.4
3	WR23	Michael Pittman Jr.	vs PIT	39.0	-2.5	20.75	13.9
3	WR24	Keenan Allen	at ARI	48.0	-2.5	25.25	8.7
3	WR25	JuJu Smith-Schuster	vs LAR	42.0	-16.0	29.00	13.1
3	WR26	Jakobi Meyers	at MIN	42.5	2.5	20.00	14.0
3	WR27	Brandon Aiyuk	vs NO	43.0	-9.5	26.25	13.9
3	WR28	Courtland Sutton	at CAR	36.0	-1.5	18.75	11.4
4	WR29	Garrett Wilson	vs CHI	38.5	-6.0	22.25	11.0
4	WR30	Joshua Palmer	at ARI	48.0	-2.5	25.25	12.6
4	WR31	Allen Lazard	at PHI	46.5	6.5	20.00	13.4
4	WR32	Christian Watson	at PHI	46.5	6.5	20.00	10.1
4	WR33	Marquise Brown	vs LAC	48.0	2.5	22.75	18.3
4	WR34	Parris Campbell	vs PIT	39.0	-2.5	20.75	9.9
4	WR35	Darius Slayton	at DAL	45.5	9.5	18.00	11.0
4	WR36	George Pickens	at IND	39.0	2.5	18.25	9.9
4	WR37	Diontae Johnson	at IND	39.0	2.5	18.25	10.1
4	WR38	Drake London	at WAS	41.0	4.0	18.50	9.4
4	WR39	Tyler Boyd	at TEN	43.5	-2.5	23.00	12.4
4	WR40	DJ Moore	vs DEN	36.0	1.5	17.25	10.4
4	WR41	Treylon Burks	vs CIN	43.5	2.5	20.50	7.9
4	WR42	Donovan Peoples-Jones	vs TB	42.5	3.0	19.75	10.2
4	WR43	Darnell Mooney	at NYJ	38.5	6.0	16.25	9.2
5	WR44	Curtis Samuel	vs ATL	41.0	-4.0	22.50	12.2
5	WR45	Adam Thielen	vs NE	42.5	-2.5	22.50	10.8
5	WR46	Allen Robinson II	at KC	42.0	16.0	13.00	8.5
5	WR47	Brandin Cooks	at MIA	47.0	14.0	16.50	10.2
5	WR48	Nico Collins	at MIA	47.0	14.0	16.50	9.3
5	WR49	Zay Jones	vs BAL	43.5	3.5	20.00	10.8
5	WR50	Michael Gallup	vs NYG	45.5	-9.5	27.50	6.6
5	WR51	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	vs LAR	42.0	-16.0	29.00	7.9
5	WR52	Demarcus Robinson	at JAC	43.5	-3.5	23.50	6.6
5	WR53	Terrace Marshall Jr.	vs DEN	36.0	1.5	17.25	7.9
5	WR54	Jarvis Landry	at SF	43.0	9.5	16.75	8.8
5	WR55	Mack Hollins	at SEA	47.5	3.5	22.00	9.5
6	WR56	Isaiah McKenzie	at DET	54.5	-9.5	32.00	8.2
6	WR57	Devin Duvernay	at JAC	43.5	-3.5	23.50	9.4
6	WR58	Julio Jones	at CLE	42.5	-3.0	22.75	8.5
6	WR59	Jahan Dotson	vs ATL	41.0	-4.0	22.50	9.5
6	WR60	Alec Pierce	vs PIT	39.0	-2.5	20.75	7.6
6	WR61	Van Jefferson	at KC	42.0	16.0	13.00	6.3
6	WR62	Chase Claypool	at NYJ	38.5	6.0	16.25	7.9
6	WR63	Noah Brown	vs NYG	45.5	-9.5	27.50	7.8
6	WR64	Robert Woods	vs CIN	43.5	2.5	20.50	6.8
6	WR65	K.J. Osborn	vs NE	42.5	-2.5	22.50	6.3
6	WR66	Marvin Jones Jr.	vs BAL	43.5	3.5	20.00	7.6
6	WR67	Corey Davis	vs CHI	38.5	-6.0	22.25	9.4
6	WR68	Chris Moore	at MIA	47.0	14.0	16.50	7.6
6	WR69	Skyy Moore	vs LAR	42.0	-16.0	29.00	2.5
6	WR70	D.J. Chark Jr.	vs BUF	54.5	9.5	22.50	5.7
6	WR71	Kalif Raymond	vs BUF	54.5	9.5	22.50	6.1
6	WR72	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	vs CIN	43.5	2.5	20.50	6.1
6	WR73	Randall Cobb	at PHI	46.5	6.5	20.00	8.1
6	WR74	Olamide Zaccheaus	at WAS	41.0	4.0	18.50	6.6
6	WR75	Kendall Hinton	at CAR	36.0	-1.5	18.75	5.1
7	WR76	Damiere Byrd	at WAS	41.0	4.0	18.50	6.3
7	WR77	DeAndre Carter	at ARI	48.0	-2.5	25.25	7.8
7	WR78	Elijah Moore	vs CHI	38.5	-6.0	22.25	4.4
7	WR79	Laviska Shenault Jr.	vs DEN	36.0	1.5	17.25	6.7
7	WR80	Justin Watson	vs LAR	42.0	-16.0	29.00	4.0
7	WR81	Ben Skowronek	at KC	42.0	16.0	13.00	6.0
7	WR82	Tyquan Thornton	at MIN	42.5	2.5	20.00	5.4
7	WR83	Tre'Quan Smith	at SF	43.0	9.5	16.75	6.2
7	WR84	DeVante Parker	at MIN	42.5	2.5	20.00	6.3
7	WR85	Greg Dortch	vs LAC	48.0	2.5	22.75	7.0
7	WR86	Rashid Shaheed	at SF	43.0	9.5	16.75	5.6
7	WR87	Quez Watkins	vs GB	46.5	-6.5	26.50	4.6
7	WR88	Sammy Watkins	at PHI	46.5	6.5	20.00	4.8
7	WR89	Jauan Jennings	vs NO	43.0	-9.5	26.25	4.4
7	WR90	Josh Reynolds	vs BUF	54.5	9.5	22.50	10.5
7	WR91	Trent Sherfield	vs HOU	47.0	-14.0	30.50	5.3
7	WR92	Richie James Jr.	at DAL	45.5	9.5	18.00	5.3
7	WR93	Kenny Golladay	at DAL	45.5	9.5	18.00	1.8
7	WR94	Marquise Goodwin	vs LV	47.5	-3.5	25.50	7.0
7	WR95	Dante Pettis	at NYJ	38.5	6.0	16.25	4.1
7	WR96	David Bell	vs TB	42.5	3.0	19.75	3.4
7	WR97	Equanimeous St. Brown	at NYJ	38.5	6.0	16.25	3.9
7	WR98	Denzel Mims	vs CHI	38.5	-6.0	22.25	4.7
7	WR99	Nelson Agholor	at MIN	42.5	2.5	20.00	5.4
7	WR100	A.J. Green	vs LAC	48.0	2.5	22.75	4.6
7	WR101	Isaiah Hodgins	at DAL	45.5	9.5	18.00	6.0
7	WR102	Robbie Anderson	vs LAC	48.0	2.5	22.75	4.8
7	WR103	James Proche II	at JAC	43.5	-3.5	23.50	1.9
7	WR104	Marquez Callaway	at SF	43.0	9.5	16.75	4.7
7	WR105	Lawrence Cager	at DAL	45.5	9.5	18.00	3.2
7	WR106	Braxton Berrios	vs CHI	38.5	-6.0	22.25	4.3

Tier 1 – Stefon Diggs

Diggs ranks No. 4 in the NFL with a 29% target share (101), and he will face off against Detroit, the worst-graded PFF coverage unit (47.2).

Last week, the Bills opted for a run-heavy attack once they got the lead – a change from their traditional pass-heavy nature. That led to Diggs’ lowest target total of the year at five.

There is a chance Buffalo is managing Josh Allen’s elbow injury and we could see something similar in Week 12, with Buffalo as near double-digit favorites. Of course, Diggs could still come through on sheer efficiency – he has the second-largest endzone target share (52%) behind only A.J. Brown.

Diggs is a high-end WR1.

Tier 1 – CeeDee Lamb

Only Tyreek Hill and Davante Adams have higher target shares than Lamb (31%).

Week	Routes	TPRR	Targets	ADOT	Air Yards	EZ Tgts	3rd/4th Down Targets	PA Targets	PPR
7	94%	22%	24%	17.7	38%	0%	50%	33%	10.6
8	93%	27%	28%	13.4	47%	33%	33%	43%	18.8
10	96%	33%	38%	10.1	51%	0%	40%	40%	38.0
11	68%	22%	17%	5.2	17%	0%	14%	20%	9.5
YTD	94%	28%	31%	10.7	40%	13%	28%	36%	16.4

The third-year WR has averaged 85.5 yards and 0.75 TDs per game since the return of Dak Prescott.

This week, he gets a matchup against the Giants, who play more man coverage than any other team at 50%. Lamb has destroyed both man and zone coverages this season, but his target rate surges to 27% against man, per PFF data.

The Giants are the second-worst coverage unit per PFF grades (49.1), making Lamb a SMASH play on Thanksgiving.

Tier 2 – Ja’Marr Chase

According to head coach Zac Taylor, Chase will be a game-time decision but had a good week of practice.

The second-year WR never made it to a full practice participation this week, but Taylor indicated that doesn't preclude Chase from suiting up. Fortunately, the Bengals play in the early window, so fantasy managers will be able to act accordingly.

When Chase does return, we can expect him to perform near pre-injury levels. Of course, the wildcard is whether the Bengals put him on a snap count or not, and we might not have that information before kickoff.

Given the risk of a limited workload, Chase ranks as my WR11 and my No. 29 ranked player overall. That puts him in Tier 2 with guys like Tee Higgins, Terry McLaurin, Chris Olave, and Mike Evans and ahead of Tier 3 with guys like Deebo Samuel, Michael Pittman Jr., and JuJu Smith-Schuster.

Tier 3 – Gabe Davis

Davis hasn’t taken the step forward many fantasy fans hoped for in 2022. His 16% target share is well below historical WR3 performers.

However, the third-year WR’s target shares have popped over the last four games. He battled an ankle injury early in the season, which could be a factor.

Week	Routes	TPRR	Targets	ADOT	Air Yards	EZ Tgts	3rd/4th Down Targets	PA Targets	PPR
1	100%	13%	16%	16.4	36%	0%	50%	40%	18.8
2	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
3	96%	9%	11%	11.0	20%	33%	7%	17%	6.7
4	98%	7%	9%	8.3	11%	0%	0%	0%	2.3
5	85%	18%	18%	28.0	36%	25%	25%	33%	32.1
6	96%	12%	14%	17.6	31%	0%	33%	20%	16.4
8	88%	27%	30%	13.6	30%	0%	75%	14%	5.5
9	98%	12%	15%	24.4	31%	0%	25%	0%	5.3
10	98%	20%	25%	15.7	41%	50%	30%	20%	21.3
11	94%	25%	28%	13.6	46%	0%	33%	14%	11.8
YTD	85%	15%	16%	16.6	28%	16%	23%	19%	13.4

Since the bye week, Davis has a 25% target share and a 37% air-yard share.

According to PFF grades, the Lions are the worst coverage unit and play the fourth-most man. Davis has enjoyed a five percent target-rate increase against man.

Davis a SMASH WR2.

Tier 4 – Marquise Brown

Brown is expected to suit up on Sunday against the Chargers.

Over the first six weeks of the season, Brown averaged 18.3 points per game with a career-high 26% target share. However, we could see a performance hit as the veteran WR gets back to full speed and the team could limit his reps.

The Cardinals are in a must-win scenario and don't have many other options right now outside of DeAndre Hopkins. Zach Ertz is out for the season, Rondale Moore is out, and Greg Dortch (thumb) is a game-time decision. As much as the coaching staff might want to limit Brown, there is a chance he plays more than we expect.

Brown is a mid-range WR3 with a boom-bust profile.

Tier 4 – Darius Slayton

Slayton took over a starting role in Week 5 with a 68% route participation and has slowly expanded his role. Last weekend, he hit a season-high at 87%, and he has a 22% target share over his last six games. Over that span, he has averaged 67 receiving yards per game and has four top-24 finishes.

Last weekend, the Giants lost Wan’Dale Robinson (knee) for the season, and Slayton saw a season-high 48% of routes from the slot. The Giants' passing offense will be under duress against Dallas, but Slayton is the centerpiece of their passing offense.

Slayton is a low-end WR3 this weekend.

Additional WR Notes & Movers:

Tier 1 – Justin Jefferson draws a matchup against the No. 1 EPA pass defense (-0.24) in the Patriots. New England will likely focus heavily on Jefferson to take him away, but that is easier said than done. The third-year WR ranks sixth in target share (29%) and fourth in yards per route run (YPRR). He is a mid-range WR1.
Tier 2 – Amon-Ra St. Brown averages 10 targets in games where he has played at least 70% of passing downs. The Bills are a difficult matchup on paper, but the Sun God fears no defense. He is a low-end WR1 that is due for a 30-point outburst.
Tier 3 – Jakobi Meyers faces a Vikings secondary that allows the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing pass catchers in non-overtime play. The Patriots tend to spread things out more against zone coverage, but Meyers is the team’s No. 1 option. He is a mid-range WR2.
Tier 6 – Isaiah McKenzie has taken over the primary slot duties after splitting the work earlier in the season. Last week the Bills went with more TE sets in a run-first game plan, but eventually, we will get a McKenzie spike game in his new role. It could be this week. He is a boom-bust WR5.
Tier 6 – DJ Chark returned to action in Week 11 and should expand his route participation against the Bills. He is a boom-bust WR6.

Tight End

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	TE1	Travis Kelce	vs LAR	42.0	-16.0	29.00	22.3
1	TE2	Mark Andrews	at JAC	43.5	-3.5	23.50	14.9
2	TE3	T.J. Hockenson	vs NE	42.5	-2.5	22.50	12.1
2	TE4	Pat Freiermuth	at IND	39.0	2.5	18.25	10.9
2	TE5	George Kittle	vs NO	43.0	-9.5	26.25	12.2
2	TE6	Dalton Schultz	vs NYG	45.5	-9.5	27.50	7.6
3	TE7	Tyler Higbee	at KC	42.0	16.0	13.00	9.1
3	TE8	Greg Dulcich	at CAR	36.0	-1.5	18.75	9.1
4	TE9	David Njoku	vs TB	42.5	3.0	19.75	10.4
4	TE10	Cole Kmet	at NYJ	38.5	6.0	16.25	8.0
4	TE11	Dawson Knox	at DET	54.5	-9.5	32.00	8.2
4	TE12	Hayden Hurst	at TEN	43.5	-2.5	23.00	8.5
4	TE13	Evan Engram	vs BAL	43.5	3.5	20.00	7.9
4	TE14	Juwan Johnson	at SF	43.0	9.5	16.75	8.7
4	TE15	Foster Moreau	at SEA	47.5	3.5	22.00	7.2
4	TE16	Tyler Conklin	vs CHI	38.5	-6.0	22.25	8.6
4	TE17	Taysom Hill	at SF	43.0	9.5	16.75	9.1
4	TE18	Gerald Everett	at ARI	48.0	-2.5	25.25	9.2
5	TE19	Noah Fant	vs LV	47.5	-3.5	25.50	6.7
5	TE20	Robert Tonyan	at PHI	46.5	6.5	20.00	7.4
5	TE21	Mike Gesicki	vs HOU	47.0	-14.0	30.50	7.5
5	TE22	Austin Hooper	vs CIN	43.5	2.5	20.50	5.6
5	TE23	Hunter Henry	at MIN	42.5	2.5	20.00	5.2
5	TE24	Trey McBride	vs LAC	48.0	2.5	22.75	2.1
5	TE25	Logan Thomas	vs ATL	41.0	-4.0	22.50	6.3
6	TE26	Isaiah Likely	at JAC	43.5	-3.5	23.50	5.6
6	TE27	Kylen Granson	vs PIT	39.0	-2.5	20.75	4.5
6	TE28	Cade Otton	at CLE	42.5	-3.0	22.75	6.7
6	TE29	Will Dissly	vs LV	47.5	-3.5	25.50	7.0
6	TE30	Harrison Bryant	vs TB	42.5	3.0	19.75	5.5
6	TE31	Cameron Brate	at CLE	42.5	-3.0	22.75	4.4
6	TE32	Jonnu Smith	at MIN	42.5	2.5	20.00	5.0
6	TE33	Jordan Akins	at MIA	47.0	14.0	16.50	5.7
6	TE34	Jack Stoll	vs GB	46.5	-6.5	26.50	1.8
6	TE35	Tommy Tremble	vs DEN	36.0	1.5	17.25	3.3
6	TE36	Mo Alie-Cox	vs PIT	39.0	-2.5	20.75	5.3
6	TE37	Brock Wright	vs BUF	54.5	9.5	22.50	3.7
6	TE38	Chigoziem Okonkwo	vs CIN	43.5	2.5	20.50	3.4
6	TE39	James Mitchell	vs BUF	54.5	9.5	22.50	4.2

Tier 2 – Dalton Schultz

Schultz projects poorly in most models based on his overall body of work this season. However, he battled an MCL injury early and has come alive over the last four games, averaging 49.8 receiving yards.

His target rates have been elite at 31%, 33%, 23%, and 23%, and he is the No. 2 option in a Cowboys passing attack averaging 250 yards over the last four games.

Schultz is a mid-range TE1.

Additional TE Notes & Movers:

Tier 2 – T.J. Hockenson has a gaudy 83% route participation and 26% target share in his first three games with the Vikings. He has surpassed a fading Adam Thielen as the clear No. 2 option in a pass-first attack seeking a division title. The former first-round pick is a high-end TE1.
Tier 4 – Dawson Knox posted a season-high 28% target share last week, but his season total remains low at 12%. He is a boom-bust high-end TE2.

Dwain McFarland