Fantasy

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers. Week 15

by Dwain McFarland

1 year ago

It is time to make those tough lineup decisions for Week 15 of the fantasy football season.

Below you’ll find positional rankings, player analysis, betting totals, and implied points for every game on the slate.

Find all of our positional rankings here.

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers – Week 15

Last updated: 11 pm, Friday, December 17th. Please refer to our Rankings page for updates!

Quarterback

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	QB1	Jalen Hurts	at CHI	48.5	-9.0	28.75	26.0
1	QB2	Josh Allen	vs MIA	44.0	-7.0	25.50	25.1
1	QB3	Patrick Mahomes II	at HOU	49.5	-14.0	31.75	25.5
1	QB4	Justin Herbert	vs TEN	46.5	-3.0	24.75	18.4
2	QB5	Joe Burrow	at TB	45.0	-3.5	24.25	23.1
2	QB6	Justin Fields	vs PHI	48.5	9.0	19.75	21.4
2	QB7	Dak Prescott	at JAC	47.5	-4.0	25.75	17.0
3	QB8	Trevor Lawrence	vs DAL	47.5	4.0	21.75	18.6
3	QB9	Tua Tagovailoa	at BUF	44.0	7.0	18.50	18.9
3	QB10	Deshaun Watson	vs BAL	38.0	-3.0	20.50	11.8
3	QB11	Geno Smith	vs SF	43.5	3.5	20.00	19.5
3	QB12	Kirk Cousins	vs IND	47.5	-3.5	25.50	17.2
4	QB13	Matt Ryan	at MIN	47.5	3.5	22.00	14.3
4	QB14	Jared Goff	at NYJ	43.5	-1.5	22.50	16.9
4	QB15	Tyler Huntley	at CLE	38.0	3.0	17.50	11.6
4	QB16	Daniel Jones	at WAS	40.5	4.5	18.00	17.4
4	QB17	Aaron Rodgers	vs LAR	39.5	-7.0	23.25	15.1
4	QB18	Tom Brady	vs CIN	45.0	3.5	20.75	15.7
4	QB19	Derek Carr	vs NE	44.5	-1.5	23.00	15.6
5	QB20	Ryan Tannehill	at LAC	46.5	3.0	21.75	14.1
5	QB21	Mac Jones	at LV	44.5	1.5	21.50	12.1
5	QB22	Taylor Heinicke	vs NYG	40.5	-4.5	22.50	13.9
6	QB23	Brock Purdy	at SEA	43.5	-3.5	23.50	7.8
6	QB24	Desmond Ridder	at NO	43.5	3.5	20.00	0.0
6	QB25	Andy Dalton	vs ATL	43.5	-3.5	23.50	14.9
6	QB26	Zach Wilson	vs DET	43.5	1.5	21.00	11.8
7	QB27	Mitch Trubisky	at CAR	37.5	3.0	17.25	10.8
7	QB28	Colt McCoy	at DEN	36.5	1.5	17.50	11.1
7	QB29	Sam Darnold	vs PIT	37.5	-3.0	20.25	14.4
7	QB30	Baker Mayfield	at GB	39.5	7.0	16.25	11.7
7	QB31	Brett Rypien	vs ARI	36.5	-1.5	19.00	6.3
7	QB32	Davis Mills	vs KC	49.5	14.0	17.75	12.1
7	QB33	Jeff Driskel	vs KC	49.5	14.0	17.75	3.5

Tier 1 – Justin Herbert

Since getting Keenan Allen back in Week 11, Herbert has averaged 21.8 fantasy points per game. Last weekend, Mike Williams returned and suddenly the Chargers have one of the better receiving corps in football, with Austin Ekeler, Joshua Palmer, and Gerald Everett rounding out the attack.

No other team allows more fantasy points via the passing game than the Titans, who allow 296 yards and 1.9 TDs per contest in non-overtime play. In one of only four games with a 47-point total or higher, the Chargers' passing offense is in a great spot this weekend.

Herbert is a SMASH play as the QB4 overall.

Running Back

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	RB1	Christian McCaffrey	at SEA	43.5	-3.5	23.50	20.7
1	RB2	Derrick Henry	at LAC	46.5	3.0	21.75	18.8
1	RB3	Austin Ekeler	vs TEN	46.5	-3.0	24.75	22.5
1	RB4	Josh Jacobs	vs NE	44.5	-1.5	23.00	21.8
2	RB5	Tony Pollard	at JAC	47.5	-4.0	25.75	16.8
2	RB6	Dalvin Cook	vs IND	47.5	-3.5	25.50	14.7
2	RB7	Jonathan Taylor	at MIN	47.5	3.5	22.00	14.4
2	RB8	Miles Sanders	at CHI	48.5	-9.0	28.75	15.3
2	RB9	Nick Chubb	vs BAL	38.0	-3.0	20.50	17.3
3	RB10	Saquon Barkley	at WAS	40.5	4.5	18.00	17.4
3	RB11	Joe Mixon	at TB	45.0	-3.5	24.25	17.6
3	RB12	Aaron Jones	vs LAR	39.5	-7.0	23.25	15.5
3	RB13	Isiah Pacheco	at HOU	49.5	-14.0	31.75	7.0
3	RB14	Alvin Kamara	vs ATL	43.5	-3.5	23.50	14.5
3	RB15	Travis Etienne Jr.	vs DAL	47.5	4.0	21.75	11.5
3	RB16	James Conner	at DEN	36.5	1.5	17.50	14.3
3	RB17	Ezekiel Elliott	at JAC	47.5	-4.0	25.75	13.4
3	RB18	Rhamondre Stevenson	at LV	44.5	1.5	21.50	15.4
4	RB19	Kenneth Walker III	vs SF	43.5	3.5	20.00	13.6
4	RB20	Zonovan Knight	vs DET	43.5	1.5	21.00	15.3
4	RB21	Brian Robinson Jr.	vs NYG	40.5	-4.5	22.50	9.6
4	RB22	Najee Harris	at CAR	37.5	3.0	17.25	12.2
4	RB23	David Montgomery	vs PHI	48.5	9.0	19.75	11.3
4	RB24	J.K. Dobbins	at CLE	38.0	3.0	17.50	10.4
4	RB25	Rachaad White	vs CIN	45.0	3.5	20.75	8.2
4	RB26	D'Andre Swift	at NYJ	43.5	-1.5	22.50	13.2
4	RB27	Raheem Mostert	at BUF	44.0	7.0	18.50	9.6
4	RB28	Leonard Fournette	vs CIN	45.0	3.5	20.75	15.0
4	RB29	Jamaal Williams	at NYJ	43.5	-1.5	22.50	13.6
4	RB30	Cam Akers	at GB	39.5	7.0	16.25	5.8
4	RB31	D'Onta Foreman	vs PIT	37.5	-3.0	20.25	8.1
4	RB32	Antonio Gibson	vs NYG	40.5	-4.5	22.50	12.0
4	RB33	Latavius Murray	vs ARI	36.5	-1.5	19.00	9.6
5	RB34	Cordarrelle Patterson	at NO	43.5	3.5	20.00	12.0
5	RB35	Devin Singletary	vs MIA	44.0	-7.0	25.50	11.2
5	RB36	AJ Dillon	vs LAR	39.5	-7.0	23.25	9.2
5	RB37	Jerrick McKinnon	at HOU	49.5	-14.0	31.75	9.1
5	RB38	Michael Carter	vs DET	43.5	1.5	21.00	8.9
5	RB39	Rex Burkhead	vs KC	49.5	14.0	17.75	5.4
5	RB40	Chuba Hubbard	vs PIT	37.5	-3.0	20.25	4.9
5	RB41	Gus Edwards	at CLE	38.0	3.0	17.50	8.4
5	RB42	Jordan Mason	at SEA	43.5	-3.5	23.50	1.9
5	RB43	James Cook	vs MIA	44.0	-7.0	25.50	5.3
5	RB44	Kareem Hunt	vs BAL	38.0	-3.0	20.50	8.6
5	RB45	Tyler Allgeier	at NO	43.5	3.5	20.00	7.6
5	RB46	Samaje Perine	at TB	45.0	-3.5	24.25	10.0
6	RB47	Dare Ogunbowale	vs KC	49.5	14.0	17.75	2.8
6	RB48	Jaylen Warren	at CAR	37.5	3.0	17.25	4.8
6	RB49	Pierre Strong Jr.	at LV	44.5	1.5	21.50	2.5
6	RB50	Marlon Mack	vs ARI	36.5	-1.5	19.00	4.0
6	RB51	Alexander Mattison	vs IND	47.5	-3.5	25.50	4.8
6	RB52	Kenyan Drake	at CLE	38.0	3.0	17.50	8.0
6	RB53	Darrynton Evans	vs PHI	48.5	9.0	19.75	4.9
6	RB54	Kyren Williams	at GB	39.5	7.0	16.25	5.2
6	RB55	Kenneth Gainwell	at CHI	48.5	-9.0	28.75	5.1
6	RB56	Justin Jackson	at NYJ	43.5	-1.5	22.50	3.7
6	RB57	Matt Breida	at WAS	40.5	4.5	18.00	2.9
6	RB58	Joshua Kelley	vs TEN	46.5	-3.0	24.75	5.1
6	RB59	Kevin Harris	at LV	44.5	1.5	21.50	3.0
6	RB60	Travis Homer	vs SF	43.5	3.5	20.00	3.8
6	RB61	Ameer Abdullah	vs NE	44.5	-1.5	23.00	3.4
6	RB62	Boston Scott	at CHI	48.5	-9.0	28.75	3.1
6	RB63	Raheem Blackshear	vs PIT	37.5	-3.0	20.25	3.7
6	RB64	JaMycal Hasty	vs DAL	47.5	4.0	21.75	4.7
7	RB65	Ty Johnson	vs DET	43.5	1.5	21.00	3.4
7	RB66	Zamir White	vs NE	44.5	-1.5	23.00	0.7
7	RB67	Keaontay Ingram	at DEN	36.5	1.5	17.50	2.0
7	RB68	Deon Jackson	at MIN	47.5	3.5	22.00	6.5
7	RB69	Hassan Haskins	at LAC	46.5	3.0	21.75	0.8
7	RB70	Caleb Huntley	at NO	43.5	3.5	20.00	4.1
7	RB71	Gary Brightwell	at WAS	40.5	4.5	18.00	1.9
7	RB72	Nyheim Hines	vs MIA	44.0	-7.0	25.50	4.6
7	RB73	Benny Snell Jr.	at CAR	37.5	3.0	17.25	2.7

Tier 1 – Derrick Henry

Henry faces the third-worst graded PFF run defense (34.6) and could see career-high usage on passing downs with Dontrell Hilliard out. The veteran RB neared a 50% route participation (48%) and played 67% of the two-minute offense snaps last week, with Hilliard going down.

The Chargers allow 146 yards per game on the ground in non-overtime play – the fifth-most in the NFL. The Titans won’t have Treylon Burks again this weekend, so finding ways to create touches in the passing game for the best team’s best playmaker could be in the cards.

Henry could easily finish as the RB1 overall on the Week 15 slate. He is my RB2.

Tier 2 – Miles Sanders

Sanders has two 140-plus-yard rushing totals in the last three games. He continues to share the backfield (49% of rushing attempts), but the Eagles run the sixth-most total plays and rank No. 1 in rushing plays in non-overtime.

Philadelphia scores a TD on 35% of their drives – the most in the NFL – and Sanders operates behind the No. 2 PFF run-blocking unit. This is one of the healthiest ground-game environments in the league, which makes Sanders’ 17.5 opportunities per game (attempts plus targets) more valuable than other backs who get larger workloads.

Historically, Sanders has displayed explosive playmaking ability, which has carried over into 2022. He ranks fifth in 10-plus-yard rushing attempts (15%) out of 50 RBs with at least 70 carries. The fourth-year RB is PFF’s No. 5 graded rusher (86.8).

In Week 15, the Eagles face a Bears team that invites opponents to run the ball the third-most per game (30.8) in non-overtime. Not only do teams often run against Chicago, but they also run wild thanks to the worst-graded PFF run defense. Teams average 146 yards and 1.6 TDs.

The Eagles are nine-point favorites in a game where they could eclipse 30 points on the scoreboard.

Sanders is a SMASH play and is my RB8 this weekend.

Tier 2 – Alvin Kamara

Kamara averages only 14.2 opportunities per game since Week 9. The veteran RB typically plays almost 70% of the snaps, but his utilization in the passing game isn’t there. His 20% TPRR is well below his 29% career average.

Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
1	62%	47%	40%	13%	24%	50%	0%	58%	43%	7.6
3	70%	65%	61%	14%	18%	67%	0%	29%	92%	9.3
5	73%	48%	69%	25%	30%	63%	0%	70%	100%	25.9
6	69%	56%	66%	32%	36%	50%	0%	67%	100%	18.3
7	72%	58%	55%	19%	28%	67%	100%	67%	77%	17.5
8	72%	56%	69%	32%	41%	80%	100%	55%	91%	42.8
9	88%	60%	75%	15%	15%	100%	0%	100%	100%	9.2
10	79%	57%	76%	14%	16%	100%	0%	64%	100%	7.5
11	70%	48%	69%	19%	23%	80%	0%	75%	0%	12.9
12	67%	39%	62%	24%	33%	83%	0%	64%	100%	11.0
13	59%	50%	50%	7%	12%	80%	0%	36%	100%	5.7
YTD	60%	45%	52%	16%	26%	65%	25%	51%	75%	15.2

In Week 13, we saw Mark Ingram II uncharacteristically account for 19% of the Saints' targets, while Kamara saw 7%. However, Ingram is out for the season due to a knee injury. The majority of passing-down work should belong to Kamara.

It isn’t just the receiving numbers that are down for the sixth-year RB. He ranks 38th in missed tackles forced per attempt (0.15), 46th in average yards after contact (2.48), 30th in 10-plus yard attempts (9%), and 41st in PFF rush grade (69.0).

If there is a chance for the veteran RB to get things turned around, Atlanta’s defense is a good place to start.

Kamara’s TPRR jumps from 16% against man coverage to 30% versus zone, and the Falcons play the eighth-most zone coverage in the NFL. They also allow the seventh-most yards on the ground per game in non-overtime play.

Kamara is a high-end RB2 in Week 15.

Tier 3 – Isiah Pacheco

Pacheco has quietly finished as the RB16, RB15, and RB17 over the last three games. Since taking over the lead early-down role in Week 10, he averages 16 rushing attempts per game and one target per game.

Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
10	56%	73%	37%	0%	0%	29%	0%	13%	0%	8.2
11	40%	63%	24%	0%	0%	60%	0%	0%	0%	10.7
12	51%	85%	28%	3%	7%	43%	100%	11%	23%	15.6
13	45%	61%	31%	10%	20%	40%	0%	8%	100%	16.2
14	43%	54%	27%	8%	25%	67%	0%	0%	20%	12.3
YTD	28%	43%	17%	2%	9%	23%	28%	6%	7%	7.2

The rookie isn’t seeing much action in the passing game, and the Chiefs don’t feed him inside the five-yard line where they pass the third-most at 67%. These two factors typically keep Pacheco in the low-end RB2 range of the rankings, but this week he gets a special treat with a matchup against the Texans.

Houston allows the most rushing attempts (33.9) and yards (165) per game in non-overtime play. Pacheco has a shot at a 20-plus-touch game in a contest where Kansas City is favored by two TDs.

Pacheco moves into the high-end RB2 conversation this weekend as the RB13.

Tier 4 – Brian Robinson Jr.

Robinson averages 17.3 rushing attempts per game and gets a great matchup against a Giants run defense that allows the fourth-most rushing yards per game (147) in non-overtime play.

Antonio Gibson figures to remain the lead passing-down option, which adds risk to Robinson’s profile if the game goes sideways. However, the Commanders have still handed the rock to the rookie RB 20, 13, 26, and 21 times in games where they trailed by four-plus points on 40% or more of plays.

Robinson is a low-end RB2 this weekend.

Additional RB Notes & Movers:

Tier 4 – Kenneth Walker III will return to action against the 49ers on Thursday night after missing Week 14. If Walker is even slightly limited by his ankle injury, it will be a problem against the most stingy run defense in the NFL. San Francisco allows only 75 yards per game on the ground in non-overtime play. Walker is a low-end RB2.
Tier 4 – Zonovan Knight has taken over the lead rushing role on the Jets, accounting for 65% and 75% of attempts over the last two games. The undrafted rookie has back-to-back top-12 finishes, and the Lions allow the fourth-most fantasy points on the ground (22) in non-overtime play. Knight is a low-end RB2.
Tier 4 – J.K. Dobbins returned to action in Week 14 and led the Ravens’ rushing attack with 39% of the carries. He is still in a timeshare with Gus Edwards, but the Browns offer an intriguing matchup, allowing the eighth-most rushing yards per game (128) in non-overtime. Dobbins is a high-end RB3.
Tier 4 – Brian Robinson Jr. averages 17.3 rushing attempts per game and gets a great matchup against a Giants run defense allowing the fourth-most rushing yards per game (147) in non-overtime play. Robinson is a high-end RB3 with RB2 upside.

Wide Receiver

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	WR1	Justin Jefferson	vs IND	47.5	-3.5	25.50	22.8
1	WR2	Davante Adams	vs NE	44.5	-1.5	23.00	21.4
1	WR3	Ja'Marr Chase	at TB	45.0	-3.5	24.25	20.8
1	WR4	Stefon Diggs	vs MIA	44.0	-7.0	25.50	21.4
1	WR5	Tyreek Hill	at BUF	44.0	7.0	18.50	21.9
1	WR6	Amon-Ra St. Brown	at NYJ	43.5	-1.5	22.50	18.1
2	WR7	CeeDee Lamb	at JAC	47.5	-4.0	25.75	16.2
2	WR8	A.J. Brown	at CHI	48.5	-9.0	28.75	17.2
2	WR9	Keenan Allen	vs TEN	46.5	-3.0	24.75	14.0
3	WR10	DK Metcalf	vs SF	43.5	3.5	20.00	14.7
3	WR11	DeAndre Hopkins	at DEN	36.5	1.5	17.50	19.6
3	WR12	Mike Williams	vs TEN	46.5	-3.0	24.75	14.5
3	WR13	Jaylen Waddle	at BUF	44.0	7.0	18.50	15.0
3	WR14	Amari Cooper	vs BAL	38.0	-3.0	20.50	14.7
3	WR15	Tyler Lockett	vs SF	43.5	3.5	20.00	15.7
3	WR16	Chris Godwin	vs CIN	45.0	3.5	20.75	14.2
3	WR17	Terry McLaurin	vs NYG	40.5	-4.5	22.50	13.6
3	WR18	Christian Kirk	vs DAL	47.5	4.0	21.75	15.0
3	WR19	Christian Watson	vs LAR	39.5	-7.0	23.25	12.6
3	WR20	JuJu Smith-Schuster	at HOU	49.5	-14.0	31.75	12.8
3	WR21	Garrett Wilson	vs DET	43.5	1.5	21.00	13.4
3	WR22	DeVonta Smith	at CHI	48.5	-9.0	28.75	13.2
3	WR23	Chris Olave	vs ATL	43.5	-3.5	23.50	13.9
3	WR24	Jerry Jeudy	vs ARI	36.5	-1.5	19.00	12.4
3	WR25	Michael Pittman Jr.	at MIN	47.5	3.5	22.00	13.5
3	WR26	Tee Higgins	at TB	45.0	-3.5	24.25	16.0
4	WR27	Brandon Aiyuk	at SEA	43.5	-3.5	23.50	13.4
4	WR28	Mike Evans	vs CIN	45.0	3.5	20.75	13.1
4	WR29	Marquise Brown	at DEN	36.5	1.5	17.50	15.9
4	WR30	Zay Jones	vs DAL	47.5	4.0	21.75	12.5
4	WR31	Diontae Johnson	at CAR	37.5	3.0	17.25	10.5
4	WR32	Gabe Davis	vs MIA	44.0	-7.0	25.50	12.0
4	WR33	Donovan Peoples-Jones	vs BAL	38.0	-3.0	20.50	10.6
4	WR34	Adam Thielen	vs IND	47.5	-3.5	25.50	11.8
4	WR35	Joshua Palmer	vs TEN	46.5	-3.0	24.75	12.2
4	WR36	Darius Slayton	at WAS	40.5	4.5	18.00	10.8
4	WR37	Allen Lazard	vs LAR	39.5	-7.0	23.25	12.5
4	WR38	DJ Moore	vs PIT	37.5	-3.0	20.25	10.4
4	WR39	Jakobi Meyers	at LV	44.5	1.5	21.50	12.6
4	WR40	Michael Gallup	at JAC	47.5	-4.0	25.75	8.2
4	WR41	George Pickens	at CAR	37.5	3.0	17.25	9.3
4	WR42	D.J. Chark Jr.	at NYJ	43.5	-1.5	22.50	9.8
4	WR43	Drake London	at NO	43.5	3.5	20.00	9.6
4	WR44	Curtis Samuel	vs NYG	40.5	-4.5	22.50	11.6
5	WR45	Chris Moore	vs KC	49.5	14.0	17.75	8.5
5	WR46	Parris Campbell	at MIN	47.5	3.5	22.00	9.3
5	WR47	Isaiah McKenzie	vs MIA	44.0	-7.0	25.50	9.2
5	WR48	Demarcus Robinson	at CLE	38.0	3.0	17.50	6.9
5	WR49	Tyler Boyd	at TB	45.0	-3.5	24.25	10.6
5	WR50	Richie James Jr.	at WAS	40.5	4.5	18.00	7.2
5	WR51	Elijah Moore	vs DET	43.5	1.5	21.00	5.8
5	WR52	Alec Pierce	at MIN	47.5	3.5	22.00	7.9
5	WR53	Mack Hollins	vs NE	44.5	-1.5	23.00	9.8
5	WR54	Van Jefferson	at GB	39.5	7.0	16.25	8.2
5	WR55	Jahan Dotson	vs NYG	40.5	-4.5	22.50	9.2
5	WR56	Devin Duvernay	at CLE	38.0	3.0	17.50	8.6
6	WR57	Jarvis Landry	vs ATL	43.5	-3.5	23.50	7.5
6	WR58	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	at HOU	49.5	-14.0	31.75	7.7
6	WR59	Jameson Williams	at NYJ	43.5	-1.5	22.50	5.6
6	WR60	Terrace Marshall Jr.	vs PIT	37.5	-3.0	20.25	6.6
6	WR61	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	at LAC	46.5	3.0	21.75	6.4
6	WR62	Randall Cobb	vs LAR	39.5	-7.0	23.25	7.4
6	WR63	Nelson Agholor	at LV	44.5	1.5	21.50	6.7
6	WR64	Ben Skowronek	at GB	39.5	7.0	16.25	6.4
6	WR65	Olamide Zaccheaus	at NO	43.5	3.5	20.00	7.0
6	WR66	Phillip Dorsett II	vs KC	49.5	14.0	17.75	3.3
6	WR67	Isaiah Hodgins	at WAS	40.5	4.5	18.00	9.2
6	WR68	Quez Watkins	at CHI	48.5	-9.0	28.75	5.6
6	WR69	Robert Woods	at LAC	46.5	3.0	21.75	6.4
6	WR70	Marquise Goodwin	vs SF	43.5	3.5	20.00	7.9
6	WR71	Julio Jones	vs CIN	45.0	3.5	20.75	8.2
7	WR72	K.J. Osborn	vs IND	47.5	-3.5	25.50	6.4
7	WR73	Noah Brown	at JAC	47.5	-4.0	25.75	7.2
7	WR74	Rashid Shaheed	vs ATL	43.5	-3.5	23.50	6.6
7	WR75	Greg Dortch	at DEN	36.5	1.5	17.50	6.4
7	WR76	Marvin Jones Jr.	vs DAL	47.5	4.0	21.75	7.1
7	WR77	Tutu Atwell	at GB	39.5	7.0	16.25	5.4
7	WR78	Josh Reynolds	at NYJ	43.5	-1.5	22.50	10.5
7	WR79	Jauan Jennings	at SEA	43.5	-3.5	23.50	5.3
7	WR80	Kadarius Toney	at HOU	49.5	-14.0	31.75	5.3
7	WR81	Trent Sherfield	at BUF	44.0	7.0	18.50	5.7
7	WR82	DeAndre Carter	vs TEN	46.5	-3.0	24.75	7.9
8	WR83	DeSean Jackson	at CLE	38.0	3.0	17.50	5.1
8	WR84	Romeo Doubs	vs LAR	39.5	-7.0	23.25	8.8
8	WR85	Laviska Shenault Jr.	vs PIT	37.5	-3.0	20.25	6.5
8	WR86	Equanimeous St. Brown	vs PHI	48.5	9.0	19.75	4.3
8	WR87	Tyquan Thornton	at LV	44.5	1.5	21.50	5.5
8	WR88	Russell Gage	vs CIN	45.0	3.5	20.75	7.7
8	WR89	Skyy Moore	at HOU	49.5	-14.0	31.75	2.6
8	WR90	Ray-Ray McCloud	at SEA	43.5	-3.5	23.50	2.9
8	WR91	Robbie Anderson	at DEN	36.5	1.5	17.50	5.0
8	WR92	Kendrick Bourne	at LV	44.5	1.5	21.50	4.3
8	WR93	Kalif Raymond	at NYJ	43.5	-1.5	22.50	5.7
8	WR94	Amari Rodgers	vs KC	49.5	14.0	17.75	1.9
8	WR95	Trenton Irwin	at TB	45.0	-3.5	24.25	6.7
8	WR96	Braxton Berrios	vs DET	43.5	1.5	21.00	4.0
8	WR97	Justin Watson	at HOU	49.5	-14.0	31.75	3.6
8	WR98	Jamal Agnew	vs DAL	47.5	4.0	21.75	5.4

Tier 3 – Mike Williams

Williams was limited to a 72% route participation in his first game back but led the team in air yards (35%). He delivered 23.6 fantasy points on six receptions for 116 yards and a TD.

Week	Routes	TPRR	Targets	ADOT	Air Yards	EZ Tgts	3rd/4th Down Targets	PA Targets	PPR
1	92%	12%	12%	3.8	6%	0%	25%	25%	3.0
2	94%	20%	23%	14.4	56%	25%	20%	30%	25.3
3	90%	11%	13%	23.0	32%	50%	30%	20%	8.5
4	98%	25%	27%	10.9	40%	50%	21%	50%	19.0
5	88%	37%	41%	9.0	67%	0%	44%	46%	23.4
6	96%	9%	12%	18.3	37%	100%	13%	50%	3.7
7	73%	21%	19%	10.7	30%	0%	25%	33%	21.6
11	11%	25%	4%	15.0	6%	0%	20%	0%	2.5
14	72%	14%	13%	15.7	35%	25%	6%	67%	23.6
YTD	55%	19%	13%	12.7	24%	14%	15%	41%	14.5

Williams isn’t a target hog (19% TPRR) but the Chargers rank inside the top-five in pass rate across trailing, close, and leading game scripts. No team drops back to pass more (70%), and the team is maximizing the veteran WR's looks by using play-action.

The average WR sees 25% of targets come from play action, while Williams sees 41%. Over the last three seasons, play action targets are worth ~20% more than non-play action targets in PPR scoring.

In healthy games with a 70% route participation or more, Williams averages 7.9 targets and 16 fantasy points. In eight such games, he has scored 20-plus points four times. He doesn’t need a 30% target share to dominate in this offense.

The Chargers face a Titans defense that allows the second-most passing yards (296) and TDs (1.9) in regulation play.

Williams is a high-end WR2 this weekend with top-six potential.

Tier 3 – Terry McLaurin

McLaurin has been on fire since Taylor Heinicke took over as the Commanders’ starting QB. He has a 90.4 PFF receiving grade, 26% TPRR, and 2.62 YPRR. He averages 8.4 targets and 15.7 fantasy points per game during that span.

Washington faces the Giants this weekend and their last-place PFF coverage grade (45.1). The Giants run more man coverage (48%) than any other team. The fourth-year WR will have plenty of chances to exploit one-on-one matchups in Week 15.

McLaurin is a mid-range WR2 against New York.

Tier 3 – Christian Watson

Watson has a top-10 fantasy finish in all four games since taking over a starting role in Week 10. He leads the team in TPRR (23%) and YPRR (2.30), and is the straw that stirs the drink on the Packers' offense.

As a starter, a whopping 21% of his targets come from 20-plus yards. He is always a threat to score on the long ball. However, he isn’t a one-trick pony. Watson has shown an ability to score in various ways – including an underneath slant route he took to the house and an end around. Additionally, Aaron Rodgers has looked his way on a team-high 41% of targets in the endzone.

The Packers will host the once-heralded Rams defense in Week 15, a coverage unit with the fifth-worst PFF coverage grade (53.0) over the last four games.

Watson is a low-end WR2 with WR1 upside.

Tier 3 – Garrett Wilson

The Ohio State rookie has four top-16 finishes since taking over a starting role in Week 7, averaging 15.5 points per game. Wilson has become the centerpiece of the Jets' offense, averaging 24% of the targets as a starter.

Week	Routes	TPRR	Targets	ADOT	Air Yards	EZ Tgts	3rd/4th Down Targets	PA Targets	PPR
7	88%	13%	17%	1.5	6%	0%	0%	25%	6.5
8	98%	17%	21%	8.4	17%	0%	18%	29%	17.5
9	97%	32%	38%	8.2	51%	100%	17%	44%	16.7
11	100%	10%	17%	10.0	16%	0%	13%	33%	3.2
12	90%	29%	29%	7.3	35%	100%	9%	50%	26.4
13	90%	27%	27%	16.4	50%	25%	13%	36%	24.2
14	100%	14%	17%	11.6	24%	0%	36%	0%	13.8
YTD	82%	22%	23%	9.8	27%	38%	22%	25%	13.3

The rookie is playing at an elite level, ranking 18th in YPRR (2.00) and 12th in PFF receiving grade (84.7) out of 82 WRs with at least 250 routes. Since 2011, only eight other WRs have delivered a PFF receiving grade of 82 or higher in their rookie season: Ja’Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson, A.J. Brown, Terry McLaurin, Michael Thomas, Odell Beckham Jr., Mike Evans, and Keenan Allen.

Wilson’s future is bright, and we need to look no further than Week 15 this season for a blow-up game opportunity. The Jets face a Lions defense with the third-worst PFF coverage grade (52.4). Detroit allows the third-most receiving yards per game (276) in non-regulation play and deploys the third-most man coverage (36%), where Wilson feasts (28% TPRR).

Wilson’s future is bright, but unfortunately, the Jets will start Zach Wilson this weekend. This development reduces the rookie’s upside and floor.

Wilson started the week as a sure-fire top-eight option, but downgrades to boom-bust WR2 material with the QB change.

Additional WR Notes & Movers:

Tier 1 – Stefon Diggs matches up against a man-heavy Dolphins coverage unit (37%) that allows the sixth-most receiving yards per game in non-overtime play (260). Josh Allen looks Diggs’ way 34% of the time he faces man coverage. The veteran WR demanded 11 targets in Week 3 against Miami. Diggs is my No. 1 WR in Week 15.
Tier 1 – Ja’Marr Chase saw an eye-popping 17 targets (50%) last weekend. Tee Higgins (hamstring) and Tyler Boyd (finger) are both questionable for Week 15 against the Buccaneers. Chase moves into the top spot this weekend if Higgins and Boyd are out.
Tier 2 – Keenan Allen averages 10.5 targets per game since his return and is Justin Herbert’s most-trusted weapon in critical situations. The Titans allow the second-most receiving yards per game (296) in non-overtime play. The Chargers have a top-five team total. Allen is a must-start WR1.
Tier 3 – Chris Olave has four sub-WR36 outings over his last six games, averaging 7.7 targets per game. He leads the team in targets, with a 26% TPRR, and his 2.45 YPRR is elite. The Saints face the Falcons' defense that allows the sixth-most receiving yards (260) per game in regulation play. The rookie is a low-end WR2.
Tier 3 – Jerry Jeudy erupted with three receiving TDs in Week 14, and while he won’t likely repeat that feat, he is the Broncos WR1 (22% TPRR), and Courtland Sutton might not play again. There might not be many points in a contest against the Cardinals, but it is a plus matchup. Jeudy is a high-end WR3.

Tight End

Tier	Pos Rank	Player	Opp	Game Total	Spread	Team Total	PPG
1	TE1	Travis Kelce	at HOU	49.5	-14.0	31.75	19.8
2	TE2	Mark Andrews	at CLE	38.0	3.0	17.50	13.2
2	TE3	Dalton Schultz	at JAC	47.5	-4.0	25.75	9.1
2	TE4	T.J. Hockenson	vs IND	47.5	-3.5	25.50	12.0
2	TE5	George Kittle	at SEA	43.5	-3.5	23.50	10.4
2	TE6	Dallas Goedert	at CHI	48.5	-9.0	28.75	12.6
2	TE7	Pat Freiermuth	at CAR	37.5	3.0	17.25	10.7
2	TE8	David Njoku	vs BAL	38.0	-3.0	20.50	11.6
3	TE9	Greg Dulcich	vs ARI	36.5	-1.5	19.00	8.8
3	TE10	Gerald Everett	vs TEN	46.5	-3.0	24.75	9.3
3	TE11	Evan Engram	vs DAL	47.5	4.0	21.75	10.3
4	TE12	Chigoziem Okonkwo	at LAC	46.5	3.0	21.75	5.6
4	TE13	Cole Kmet	vs PHI	48.5	9.0	19.75	8.2
4	TE14	Dawson Knox	vs MIA	44.0	-7.0	25.50	7.7
4	TE15	Tyler Conklin	vs DET	43.5	1.5	21.00	8.1
5	TE16	Tyler Higbee	at GB	39.5	7.0	16.25	8.1
5	TE17	Hunter Henry	at LV	44.5	1.5	21.50	6.2
5	TE18	Daniel Bellinger	at WAS	40.5	4.5	18.00	7.7
5	TE19	Foster Moreau	vs NE	44.5	-1.5	23.00	6.7
5	TE20	Austin Hooper	at LAC	46.5	3.0	21.75	6.1
5	TE21	Juwan Johnson	vs ATL	43.5	-3.5	23.50	8.0
5	TE22	Taysom Hill	vs ATL	43.5	-3.5	23.50	8.9
5	TE23	Logan Thomas	vs NYG	40.5	-4.5	22.50	5.7
6	TE24	Cade Otton	vs CIN	45.0	3.5	20.75	6.8
6	TE25	Noah Fant	vs SF	43.5	3.5	20.00	6.7
6	TE26	Jordan Akins	vs KC	49.5	14.0	17.75	6.1
6	TE27	Robert Tonyan	vs LAR	39.5	-7.0	23.25	6.8
6	TE28	Trey McBride	at DEN	36.5	1.5	17.50	2.4
6	TE29	Mike Gesicki	at BUF	44.0	7.0	18.50	5.8
6	TE30	Will Dissly	vs SF	43.5	3.5	20.00	6.3
6	TE31	Isaiah Likely	at CLE	38.0	3.0	17.50	5.8
6	TE32	Kylen Granson	at MIN	47.5	3.5	22.00	4.7
6	TE33	Jack Stoll	at CHI	48.5	-9.0	28.75	2.4

Tier 2 – Dalton Schultz

Schultz is finally playing a full-time role after battling an MCL injury most of the season. He has elite route participation over the last two games (91% and 88%) and is the Cowboys' No. 2 target (22% TPRR) behind CeeDee Lamb. The veteran TE has four top-five finishes in his last six contests and is due for a big game.

The matchup against the Jaguars could be a shootout, with the third-highest game total on the slate. Plus, Jacksonville allows the fifth-most passing yards per game (264) in non-overtime play.

Schultz is a SMASH play in Week 15 as a top-three option.

Tier 2 – George Kittle

Over the last three seasons, Kittle registered a 26% TPRR in games without Deebo Samuel – a six percentage point difference versus games with Samuel. With Samuel out, Kittle will have less target competition in a matchup against division rival Seattle.

The 49ers will continue to lean on their run game as much as possible – especially given the QB injuries – but Kittle has big-play potential that allows him to win on efficiency.

Kittle moves back into the mid-range TE1 tier.

Additional TE Notes & Movers:

Tier 4 – David Njoku averages 12.6 points in healthy games and has a top-eight finish in four of his last six outings. He ranks sixth in YPRR (1.80) and TPRR (21%). He is a mid-range TE1 against the Ravens.

Dwain McFarland