Fantasy

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers. Week 5

by Dwain McFarland

1 year ago

It is time to make those tough lineup decisions for Week 5 of the fantasy football season.

Below you’ll find positional rankings, player analysis, betting totals, and implied points for every game on the slate.

Find all of our positional rankings here.

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers – Week 5

Last updated: 8P, Wednesday, October 5th. Please refer to our Rankings page for updates!

Quarterback

Tier	Pos Rnk	Player	Pos	Opp	Total	Spread	Implied Points	FPTS	PPG
1	QB1	Josh Allen	QB	vs PIT	45.5	-14.0	29.75	114.4	28.6
1	QB2	Jalen Hurts	QB	at ARI	49.0	-5.5	27.25	103.3	25.8
1	QB3	Lamar Jackson	QB	vs CIN	48.0	-3.5	25.75	119.3	29.8
2	QB4	Patrick Mahomes II	QB	vs LV	51.5	-7.0	29.25	94.7	23.7
2	QB5	Justin Herbert	QB	at CLE	47.5	-2.5	25.00	82.5	20.6
2	QB6	Joe Burrow	QB	at BAL	48.0	3.5	22.25	81.9	20.5
2	QB7	Kyler Murray	QB	vs PHI	49.0	5.5	21.75	84.8	21.2
3	QB8	Tom Brady	QB	vs ATL	46.5	-10.0	28.25	60.9	15.2
3	QB9	Derek Carr	QB	at KC	51.5	7.0	22.25	68.1	17.0
3	QB10	Kirk Cousins	QB	vs CHI	44.0	-7.5	25.75	63.1	15.8
3	QB11	Russell Wilson	QB	vs IND	42.5	-3.0	22.75	66.5	16.6
4	QB12	Trevor Lawrence	QB	vs HOU	43.5	-7.0	25.25	64.8	16.2
4	QB13	Jared Goff	QB	at NE	45.5	3.0	21.25	91.6	22.9
4	QB14	Aaron Rodgers	QB	vs NYG	41.0	-8.0	24.50	55.3	13.8
4	QB15	Geno Smith	QB	at NO	45.5	4.5	20.50	75.9	19.0
4	QB16	Matthew Stafford	QB	vs DAL	42.0	-5.5	23.75	49.7	12.4
4	QB17	Carson Wentz	QB	vs TEN	43.0	1.5	20.75	76.4	19.1
5	QB18	Teddy Bridgewater	QB	at NYJ	45.0	-3.5	24.25	11.8	5.9
5	QB19	Ryan Tannehill	QB	at WAS	43.0	-1.5	22.25	56.4	14.1
5	QB20	Marcus Mariota	QB	at TB	46.5	10.0	18.25	56.7	14.2
5	QB21	Zach Wilson	QB	vs MIA	45.0	3.5	20.75	20.8	20.8
5	QB22	Jacoby Brissett	QB	vs LAC	47.5	2.5	22.50	61.3	15.3
6	QB23	Jimmy Garoppolo	QB	at CAR	39.5	-6.5	23.00	40.0	13.3
6	QB24	Justin Fields	QB	at MIN	44.0	7.5	18.25	41.5	10.4
6	QB25	Matt Ryan	QB	at DEN	42.5	3.0	19.75	55.2	13.8
6	QB26	Daniel Jones	QB	at GB	41.0	8.0	16.50	66.4	16.6
6	QB27	Cooper Rush	QB	at LAR	42.0	5.5	18.25	46.2	11.6
6	QB28	Andy Dalton	QB	vs SEA	45.5	-4.5	25.00	13.7	13.7
6	QB29	Kenny Pickett	QB	at BUF	45.5	14.0	15.75	15.3	15.3
6	QB30	Davis Mills	QB	at JAC	43.5	7.0	18.25	50.3	12.6
6	QB31	Baker Mayfield	QB	vs SF	39.5	6.5	16.50	50.9	12.7
6	QB32	Bailey Zappe	QB	vs DET	45.5	-3.0	24.25	6.0	6.0

Tier 3 – Tom Brady

Brady and the Buccaneers put up 31 points in a losing effort against the Chiefs in Week 4. Tampa Bay was trailing by four or more the entire game, so it is tough to take too much away from their pass-heavy approach (89% of plays).

However, they had Mike Evans and Chris Godwin back together, which was also a factor. The Buccaneers passing rates were above expectation in all game scripts in 2021, so the truth will be somewhere in the middle once this team rolls.

Tampa Bay has the third-highest implied points on the slate, and the Falcons have given up the eighth-most passing yards in non-overtime play. According to PFF, Atlanta has the fourth-best defensive coverage grade, so the yardage totals could be a tad misleading.

Brady returns to mid-range QB1 status in Week 5.

Additional QB Notes & Movers:

Jalen Hurts is in an absolute SMASH spot with the game total, implied points and matchup all aligning against the Cardinals, who have the worst PFF coverage grade (31.5).
Carson Wentz has a good matchup against a Titans secondary, allowing the third-most passing yardage in non-overtime play (1,208) along with 10 TDs. However, the scoring environment doesn’t look so nice, with a 20.25 implied point total.

Running back

PPR Pos Rnk	Tier	Pos Rnk	Player	Opp	Total	Spread	Implied Points	PPG
1	1	RB1	Saquon Barkley	at GB	41.0	8.0	16.50	21.5
2	1	RB2	Austin Ekeler	at CLE	47.5	-2.5	25.00	19.5
3	1	RB3	Nick Chubb	vs LAC	47.5	2.5	22.50	21.4
4	1	RB4	Derrick Henry	at WAS	43.0	-1.5	22.25	16.4
5	1	RB5	Christian McCaffrey	vs SF	39.5	6.5	16.50	18.0
6	1	RB6	Dalvin Cook	vs CHI	44.0	-7.5	25.75	11.4
7	2	RB7	Aaron Jones	vs NYG	41.0	-8.0	24.50	15.7
8	2	RB8	Joe Mixon	at BAL	48.0	3.5	22.25	14.3
9	2	RB9	Leonard Fournette	vs ATL	46.5	-10.0	28.25	13.9
10	2	RB10	Jamaal Williams	at NE	45.5	3.0	21.25	17.9
11	2	RB11	James Robinson	vs HOU	43.5	-7.0	25.25	14.8
12	2	RB12	Josh Jacobs	at KC	51.5	7.0	22.25	16.7
13	2	RB13	Alvin Kamara	vs SEA	45.5	-4.5	25.00	7.5
14	2	RB14	Devin Singletary	vs PIT	45.5	-14.0	29.75	12.0
15	2	RB15	Miles Sanders	at ARI	49.0	-5.5	27.25	16.3
16	2	RB16	Rashaad Penny	at NO	45.5	4.5	20.50	11.7
17	2	RB17	Breece Hall	vs MIA	45.0	3.5	20.75	13.5
19	2	RB19	Dameon Pierce	at JAC	43.5	7.0	18.25	14.4
18	2	RB18	Jeff Wilson Jr.	at CAR	39.5	-6.5	23.00	10.6
20	2	RB20	James Conner	vs PHI	49.0	5.5	21.75	10.8
21	3	RB21	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	vs LV	51.5	-7.0	29.25	18.9
22	3	RB22	Nyheim Hines	at DEN	42.5	3.0	19.75	7.4
23	3	RB23	Najee Harris	at BUF	45.5	14.0	15.75	11.3
25	3	RB25	Rhamondre Stevenson	vs DET	45.5	-3.0	24.25	11.0
26	3	RB26	Damien Harris	vs DET	45.5	-3.0	24.25	13.1
24	3	RB24	Melvin Gordon III	vs IND	42.5	-3.0	22.75	7.2
29	3	RB29	David Montgomery	at MIN	44.0	7.5	18.25	8.2
27	3	RB27	J.K. Dobbins	vs CIN	48.0	-3.5	25.75	14.2
28	3	RB28	Kareem Hunt	vs LAC	47.5	2.5	22.50	12.6
30	3	RB30	AJ Dillon	vs NYG	41.0	-8.0	24.50	10.8
31	3	RB31	Raheem Mostert	at NYJ	45.0	-3.5	24.25	6.6
32	3	RB32	Ezekiel Elliott	at LAR	42.0	5.5	18.25	9.1
33	4	RB33	Darrell Henderson Jr.	vs DAL	42.0	-5.5	23.75	7.9
34	4	RB34	Cam Akers	vs DAL	42.0	-5.5	23.75	4.9
35	4	RB35	Antonio Gibson	vs TEN	43.0	1.5	20.75	13.1
36	4	RB36	Khalil Herbert	at MIN	44.0	7.5	18.25	14.6
37	4	RB37	Tyler Allgeier	at TB	46.5	10.0	18.25	6.1
38	4	RB38	Travis Etienne Jr.	vs HOU	43.5	-7.0	25.25	7.6
39	4	RB39	J.D. McKissic	vs TEN	43.0	1.5	20.75	9.9
40	4	RB40	Michael Carter	vs MIA	45.0	3.5	20.75	9.4
41	4	RB41	Tony Pollard	at LAR	42.0	5.5	18.25	9.1
42	4	RB42	Brian Robinson Jr.	vs TEN	43.0	1.5	20.75	0.0
43	4	RB43	Rachaad White	vs ATL	46.5	-10.0	28.25	4.7
44	4	RB44	Chase Edmonds	at NYJ	45.0	-3.5	24.25	10.3
45	4	RB45	Mike Boone	vs IND	42.5	-3.0	22.75	1.7
46	4	RB46	Rex Burkhead	at JAC	43.5	7.0	18.25	9.2
47	5	RB47	Alexander Mattison	vs CHI	44.0	-7.5	25.75	7.1
48	5	RB48	Kenneth Gainwell	at ARI	49.0	-5.5	27.25	5.8
49	5	RB49	Mark Ingram II	vs SEA	45.5	-4.5	25.00	5.6
50	5	RB50	Ken Walker III	at NO	45.5	4.5	20.50	4.4
51	5	RB51	Jerick McKinnon	vs LV	51.5	-7.0	29.25	5.1
52	5	RB52	Dontrell Hilliard	at WAS	43.0	-1.5	22.25	11.0
53	5	RB53	Isiah Pacheco	vs LV	51.5	-7.0	29.25	5.0
54	5	RB54	Craig Reynolds	at NE	45.5	3.0	21.25	4.0
55	5	RB55	Deon Jackson	at DEN	42.5	3.0	19.75	-0.3
56	5	RB56	Eno Benjamin	vs PHI	49.0	5.5	21.75	6.8
57	5	RB57	Samaje Perine	at BAL	48.0	3.5	22.25	5.7
58	5	RB58	Zack Moss	vs PIT	45.5	-14.0	29.75	4.0
59	5	RB59	Sony Michel	at CLE	47.5	-2.5	25.00	3.5
60	5	RB60	Jaylen Warren	at BUF	45.5	14.0	15.75	2.7
61	6	RB61	James Cook	vs PIT	45.5	-14.0	29.75	2.9
62	6	RB62	Caleb Huntley	at TB	46.5	10.0	18.25	6.0
63	6	RB63	Brandon Bolden	at KC	51.5	7.0	22.25	5.3
64	6	RB64	Darrel Williams	vs PHI	49.0	5.5	21.75	5.6
65	6	RB65	Trestan Ebner	at MIN	44.0	7.5	18.25	1.3
66	6	RB66	D'Onta Foreman	vs SF	39.5	6.5	16.50	0.5
67	6	RB67	Hassan Haskins	at WAS	43.0	-1.5	22.25	1.6
68	6	RB68	DeeJay Dallas	at NO	45.5	4.5	20.50	1.2
69	6	RB69	Joshua Kelley	at CLE	47.5	-2.5	25.00	3.2
70	6	RB70	Matt Breida	at GB	41.0	8.0	16.50	1.0
71	6	RB71	Kyle Juszczyk	at CAR	39.5	-6.5	23.00	3.7
72	6	RB72	Phillip Lindsay	at DEN	42.5	3.0	19.75	0.0
73	6	RB73	Mike Davis	vs CIN	48.0	-3.5	25.75	0.8
74	6	RB74	Boston Scott	at ARI	49.0	-5.5	27.25	3.4

Tier 1 – Dalvin Cook

Cook dominated rushing attempts (77%) one week off of a shoulder injury in Week 4. His route participation dipped to 43%, which creates a small concern in his utilization profile, but his 62% snap share was still substantial.

His rushing efficiency is slightly down in 2022, but his missed tackles forced (22%) and explosive rush rate (11%) are still above the three-year NFL averages. His 13% TPRR is lower than we would like, but no one else is stepping up behind Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen, leaving some room for him to get more involved.

Scoring Environment:

The Vikings have the sixth-highest implied point total
Minnesota is a seven-point favorite (fourth-highest)

Matchup:

The Vikings get a choice matchup against the Bears, who have allowed a league-leading 143 rushing attempts in non-overtime play – good for 22.9 points per game (3rd) on the ground.

Cook returns to SMASH status in Week 5 with multiple factors aligning in his favor.

Tier 2 – Leonard Fournette

Fournette’s utilization took a sizable hit in Week 4, with Rachaad White carving out a significant role. White saw work in all situations, but Fournette retained most of the passing-down work with 86% of the LDD snaps and 73% of the two-minute offense. White’s most significant impact was on the ground, taking 43% of the rushing attempts.

Player	Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
Leonard Fournette	1	76%	64%	76%	7%	9%	83%	0%	80%	100%	15.7
	2	87%	80%	68%	13%	16%	100%	0%	94%	0%	9.4
	3	91%	80%	72%	15%	19%	100%	100%	67%	100%	12.0
	4	61%	43%	47%	13%	25%	60%	0%	86%	73%	18.4
	YTD	79%	71%	64%	13%	18%	80%	33%	83%	87%	13.9
Rachaad White	1	27%	18%	24%	7%	29%	17%	0%	20%	0%	4.1
	2	13%	7%	16%	3%	17%	0%	0%	6%	0%	0.1
	3	9%	0%	12%	0%	0%	0%	0%	33%	0%	0.0
	4	41%	43%	35%	10%	28%	40%	100%	14%	27%	15.6
	YTD	22%	13%	23%	5%	22%	20%	67%	17%	13%	5.0

Fournette’s efficiency data is down from 2021, with the Bucs interior line struggling. His explosive rush rate (12%) is average, but his average yards after contact (2.37) are well below his career norms and three-year NFL averages.

Tampa Bay offers a friendly scoring environment with the third-highest implied point total and a top-three game total against the Falcons. As nine-point favorites, there should be plenty of opportunities for RB touches on Tampa’s side of the ball.

Fournette might not see as much action moving forward, but the game environment puts him in the RB2 mix for Week 5.

Tier 2 – Devin Singletary

Singletary completely controlled the Bills backfield over the last two games. In Week 4, he tallied season-highs in snaps (87%), rushing attempts (55%), and route participation (79%).

Player	Week	Snaps	Rush Att	Routes	Targets	TPRR	SDD Snaps	i5 Att	LDD Snaps	2MIN Snaps	PPR
Devin Singletary	1	59%	40%	47%	6%	11%	0%	0%	75%	100%	8.2
	2	54%	26%	67%	6%	7%	30%	0%	55%	0%	4.1
	3	74%	53%	53%	18%	26%	86%	33%	85%	56%	24.1
	4	87%	55%	79%	16%	15%	88%	0%	88%	100%	13.6
	YTD	69%	43%	61%	12%	16%	65%	17%	75%	75%	12.5

Buffalo is hurting at WR after losing Jamison Crowder for the season (ankle). Gabriel Davis and Dawson Knox aren’t earning targets at a high clip, which mirrors their historical talent profiles. So they might just be tertiary options. Singletary has 18% and 16% target shares in the last two weeks.

In his last eight games with 70%-plus snaps, he has delivered RB29, RB20, RB14, RB7, RB10, RB5, RB4, and RB23 finishes.

The Bills get a juicy matchup against the Steelers as 14-point favorites with the No. 1 implied point total on the slate. Pittsburgh allows the fourth-most rushing attempts (124) per game in non-overtime play. The Bills are a pass-heavy team in all scripts, but Singletary should see plenty of work in a favorable spot.

I have Singletary 13 spots ahead of expert consensus this weekend – he is a SMASH play.

Tier 2 – Rashaad Penny

Penny is another Utilization Report darling who moves up the ranks in Week 5. He has eclipsed the 67% snap mark in three out of four games this season as the clear No. 1 in an ascending attack.

Most importantly, he has picked up part of the passing-down work in the last two weeks after an injury to Travis Homer. That role and the Seahawks' new up-tempo offense provide Penny with a buffer against bad game scripts.

When it comes to Penny in efficiency metrics, it is litty city, y’all.

Penny efficiency stats versus all RBs with at least 30 rushing attempts (39):

Missed Tackles Forced %	Average Yards After Contact	Explosive Rush %
0.24 (12th)	4.57 (1st)	18% (5th)

The Saints are a sound defensive front with the third-best pest run defense EPA (-0.31). However, they haven’t led often (2% of plays leading by four or more) and are offering up the fifth-most rushing attempts in regulation play (124), so the Seahawks RBs should have plenty of opportunities to get things going on the ground.

Penny is a mid-range RB2, and this ranking represents a 14-spot differential versus consensus.

Tier 3 – Nyheim Hines

Hines climbs into low-end RB2 territory with Jonathan Taylor ruled out for the Thursday night tilt against the Broncos. We could see Deon Jackson and/or Philip Lindsay get involved as well, but this preseason, the Colts almost exclusively used Hines as an every-down option in drives with the starters while Taylor rested.

That doesn’t guarantee we will see an every-down version of Hines, but his role in the run game will expand, and the Colts could opt to throw the ball more to take advantage of the most talented RB they will have on the roster this week.

Additional RB Notes & Movers:

Josh Jacobs wrestled away a Saquon Barkley-like utilization workload in Week 4; if he remains a lock in the passing game, it will be hard to keep him out of the top 12 regardless of matchup.
Alvin Kamara hits the trifecta across utilization (if healthy), implied points and matchup; he will move into my top-eight with a full practice by week end
Patriots RBs in a great matchup against the Lions run defense
Packers RBs have a nice matchup against the Giants as 8.5 favorites, but I remain below consensus on A.J. Dillon every week.
Breece Hall moves up on his recent fantasy points and upgraded utilization; This rank is nine spots above consensus.
Jeff Wilson Jr. dominated the 49ers backfield in Week 5, and San Francisco is 6.5 favorites against a Panthers team that has given up 131 regulation attempts.

Wide Receiver

PPR Pos Rnk	Tier	Pos Rnk	Player	Opp	Total	Spread	Implied Points	PPG
1	1	WR1	Cooper Kupp	vs DAL	42.0	-5.5	23.75	26.6
2	1	WR2	Stefon Diggs	vs PIT	45.5	-14.0	29.75	23.9
3	1	WR3	Justin Jefferson	vs CHI	44.0	-7.5	25.75	21.4
4	1	WR4	Davante Adams	at KC	51.5	7.0	22.25	18.3
5	1	WR5	Ja'Marr Chase	at BAL	48.0	3.5	22.25	16.1
6	1	WR6	Tyreek Hill	at NYJ	45.0	-3.5	24.25	22.8
7	1	WR7	A.J. Brown	at ARI	49.0	-5.5	27.25	17.9
8	1	WR8	Mike Evans	vs ATL	46.5	-10.0	28.25	19.2
9	2	WR9	CeeDee Lamb	at LAR	42.0	5.5	18.25	16.1
10	2	WR10	Tee Higgins	at BAL	48.0	3.5	22.25	15.9
11	2	WR11	Jaylen Waddle	at NYJ	45.0	-3.5	24.25	19.7
12	2	WR12	Deebo Samuel	at CAR	39.5	-6.5	23.00	16.0
13	2	WR13	Christian Kirk	vs HOU	43.5	-7.0	25.25	17.8
14	2	WR14	Courtland Sutton	vs IND	42.5	-3.0	22.75	16.2
15	2	WR15	Marquise Brown	vs PHI	49.0	5.5	21.75	19.0
16	2	WR16	Michael Pittman Jr.	at DEN	42.5	3.0	19.75	16.1
17	2	WR17	Mike Williams	at CLE	47.5	-2.5	25.00	14.0
18	2	WR18	DK Metcalf	at NO	45.5	4.5	20.50	13.9
19	2	WR19	Chris Olave	vs SEA	45.5	-4.5	25.00	15.1
20	2	WR20	Chris Godwin	vs ATL	46.5	-10.0	28.25	9.7
21	2	WR21	Drake London	at TB	46.5	10.0	18.25	13.8
22	2	WR22	Amari Cooper	vs LAC	47.5	2.5	22.50	13.7
23	3	WR23	Diontae Johnson	at BUF	45.5	14.0	15.75	11.7
24	3	WR24	Brandin Cooks	at JAC	43.5	7.0	18.25	11.9
25	3	WR25	Tyler Lockett	at NO	45.5	4.5	20.50	13.8
26	3	WR26	DeVonta Smith	at ARI	49.0	-5.5	27.25	12.7
27	3	WR27	Curtis Samuel	vs TEN	43.0	1.5	20.75	15.8
28	3	WR28	Terry McLaurin	vs TEN	43.0	1.5	20.75	11.4
29	3	WR29	Jerry Jeudy	vs IND	42.5	-3.0	22.75	10.4
30	3	WR30	Gabe Davis	vs PIT	45.5	-14.0	29.75	9.3
31	3	WR31	Romeo Doubs	vs NYG	41.0	-8.0	24.50	12.1
32	3	WR32	Adam Thielen	vs CHI	44.0	-7.5	25.75	12.3
33	3	WR33	JuJu Smith-Schuster	vs LV	51.5	-7.0	29.25	9.9
34	3	WR34	Allen Lazard	vs NYG	41.0	-8.0	24.50	13.8
35	3	WR35	Amon-Ra St. Brown	at NE	45.5	3.0	21.25	24.4
36	3	WR36	Garrett Wilson	vs MIA	45.0	3.5	20.75	14.3
37	3	WR37	DJ Moore	vs SF	39.5	6.5	16.50	9.0
38	3	WR38	Hunter Renfrow	at KC	51.5	7.0	22.25	8.0
39	4	WR39	Isaiah McKenzie	vs PIT	45.5	-14.0	29.75	12.2
40	4	WR40	Brandon Aiyuk	at CAR	39.5	-6.5	23.00	9.7
41	4	WR41	Robert Woods	at WAS	43.0	-1.5	22.25	8.9
42	4	WR42	George Pickens	at BUF	45.5	14.0	15.75	6.9
43	4	WR43	Elijah Moore	vs MIA	45.0	3.5	20.75	8.5
44	4	WR44	Darnell Mooney	at MIN	44.0	7.5	18.25	5.0
47	4	WR47	Devin Duvernay	vs CIN	48.0	-3.5	25.75	13.3
45	4	WR45	Tyler Boyd	at BAL	48.0	3.5	22.25	11.8
46	4	WR46	Zay Jones	vs HOU	43.5	-7.0	25.25	14.1
48	4	WR48	Michael Gallup	at LAR	42.0	5.5	18.25	10.4
49	4	WR49	Rondale Moore	vs PHI	49.0	5.5	21.75	3.7
50	4	WR50	Josh Reynolds	at NE	45.5	3.0	21.25	13.3
51	4	WR51	Corey Davis	vs MIA	45.0	3.5	20.75	13.3
52	4	WR52	Allen Robinson II	vs DAL	42.0	-5.5	23.75	6.1
53	5	WR53	Russell Gage	vs ATL	46.5	-10.0	28.25	10.1
54	5	WR54	Joshua Palmer	at CLE	47.5	-2.5	25.00	9.1
55	5	WR55	Mack Hollins	at KC	51.5	7.0	22.25	12.6
56	5	WR56	Noah Brown	at LAR	42.0	5.5	18.25	12.9
57	5	WR57	Jakobi Meyers	vs DET	45.5	-3.0	24.25	14.4
58	5	WR58	Jarvis Landry	vs SEA	45.5	-4.5	25.00	8.5
59	5	WR59	Nico Collins	at JAC	43.5	7.0	18.25	7.9
60	5	WR60	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	vs LV	51.5	-7.0	29.25	7.4
61	5	WR61	DeVante Parker	vs DET	45.5	-3.0	24.25	8.2
62	5	WR62	Chase Claypool	at BUF	45.5	14.0	15.75	5.9
63	5	WR63	Robbie Anderson	vs SF	39.5	6.5	16.50	8.4
64	5	WR64	Marvin Jones Jr.	vs HOU	43.5	-7.0	25.25	6.9
65	5	WR65	Donovan Peoples-Jones	vs LAC	47.5	2.5	22.50	6.5
67	5	WR67	Richie James Jr.	at GB	41.0	8.0	16.50	7.3
66	5	WR66	K.J. Osborn	vs CHI	44.0	-7.5	25.75	7.2
68	6	WR68	Alec Pierce	at DEN	42.5	3.0	19.75	7.0
69	6	WR69	Julio Jones	vs ATL	46.5	-10.0	28.25	6.7
70	6	WR70	Nelson Agholor	vs DET	45.5	-3.0	24.25	9.6
71	6	WR71	Ben Skowronek	vs DAL	42.0	-5.5	23.75	6.5
72	6	WR72	Randall Cobb	vs NYG	41.0	-8.0	24.50	6.3
73	6	WR73	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	at WAS	43.0	-1.5	22.25	3.9
74	6	WR74	Mecole Hardman	vs LV	51.5	-7.0	29.25	5.2
75	6	WR75	Equanimeous St. Brown	at MIN	44.0	7.5	18.25	5.7
76	7	WR76	Khalil Shakir	vs PIT	45.5	-14.0	29.75	2.2
77	6	WR77	DeAndre Carter	at CLE	47.5	-2.5	25.00	7.8
78	6	WR78	Greg Dortch	vs PHI	49.0	5.5	21.75	11.9
79	6	WR79	Parris Campbell	at DEN	42.5	3.0	19.75	4.5
80	6	WR80	Christian Watson	vs NYG	41.0	-8.0	24.50	6.4
81	7	WR81	Kendrick Bourne	vs DET	45.5	-3.0	24.25	6.1
82	7	WR82	Olamide Zaccheaus	at TB	46.5	10.0	18.25	7.9
83	7	WR83	Quez Watkins	at ARI	49.0	-5.5	27.25	3.7
84	7	WR84	Skyy Moore	vs LV	51.5	-7.0	29.25	1.8
85	7	WR85	Kyle Philips	at WAS	43.0	-1.5	22.25	3.4
86	7	WR86	K.J. Hamler	vs IND	42.5	-3.0	22.75	2.2
87	7	WR87	Dyami Brown	vs TEN	43.0	1.5	20.75	0.8
88	7	WR88	Demarcus Robinson	vs CIN	48.0	-3.5	25.75	3.8
89	7	WR89	Braxton Berrios	vs MIA	45.0	3.5	20.75	4.1
90	7	WR90	Jauan Jennings	at CAR	39.5	-6.5	23.00	4.3
91	7	WR91	Ashton Dulin	at DEN	42.5	3.0	19.75	6.6
92	7	WR92	Shi Smith	vs SF	39.5	6.5	16.50	1.9
93	7	WR93	Marquez Callaway	vs SEA	45.5	-4.5	25.00	7.9
94	7	WR94	Tre'Quan Smith	vs SEA	45.5	-4.5	25.00	8.7
95	7	WR95	David Sills V	at GB	41.0	8.0	16.50	4.1
96	7	WR96	Kalif Raymond	at NE	45.5	3.0	21.25	1.6
97	7	WR97	David Bell	vs LAC	47.5	2.5	22.50	2.9

Tier 1 – Davante Adams

Adams has the seventh-best target share in the NFL at 31%, and the Raiders will face off against the Chiefs in a game with the highest game total on the slate on Monday Night Football.

The Chiefs have allowed the most fantasy points per game to opposing pass catchers in non-overtime play (75). The Raiders rank No. 8 in regulation dropbacks per game (41.5) and pass the ball three percentage points above the NFL average in neutral scripts. As one-touchdown dogs, they will need to throw plenty to hang with the Chiefs.

Adams is a top-four option in Week 5.

Tier 1 – A.J. Brown

Brown ranks fifth in the NFL in target share (32%) and leads the Eagles in air yards (45%). He sees 40% of his targets on play-action passes – which is 15 percentage points above the NFL average for WRs.

Play-action targets are worth 18% more than non-play-action looks over the last three seasons.

Brown and the Eagles’ passing attack get a juicy matchup against a Cardinals defense that is allowing the eighth-most non-overtime points to pass catchers per game (63.7). Arizona ranks last in PFF coverage grade.

The Eagles provide the fourth-highest implied points on the slate and the second-best game total.

Brown is a SMASH option as a mid-range WR1 in Week 5.

Tier 2 – Chris Olave

Olave’s 26% target share ranks 13th in the NFL, and he is averaging 15.1 points per game.

This week, the Saints get a choice matchup against the Seahawks, who allow the highest EPA per pass play in the NFL (0.36). Seattle gives up 60.4 points per game to pass catchers - a 4.2-point advantage over the NFL average.

The Saints have the sixth-highest implied points on the slate, and Seattles’ new high-tempo offense could create a high-scoring environment.

Olave is a low-end WR2 this weekend.

Tier 2 – Chris Godwin

Godwin registered a healthy 89% route participation in his first game back from a hamstring injury and finished second on the team in target share (18%) in Week 4 against the Chiefs.

Player	Pos	Week	Routes	TPRR	Targets	ADOT	Air Yards	EZ Tgts	3rd/4th Down Targets	PA Targets	PPR
Mike Evans	WR	1	79%	30%	26%	12.9	30%	50%	29%	43%	18.1
		2	65%	17%	13%	16.0	21%	0%	14%	0%	9.1
		3	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
		4	96%	20%	21%	14.6	43%	75%	9%	0%	30.3
		YTD	59%	22%	15%	14.3	26%	44%	13%	14%	19.2
Chris Godwin	WR	1	34%	30%	11%	0.7	1%	0%	0%	33%	6.5
		2	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
		3	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
		4	89%	22%	19%	5.7	15%	0%	27%	0%	12.5
		YTD	35%	24%	9%	4.5	5%	0%	8%	8%	9.5
Russell Gage	WR	1	62%	11%	7%	3.0	2%	0%	0%	0%	3.3
		2	81%	21%	19%	1.8	4%	0%	14%	0%	7.8
		3	84%	34%	33%	5.2	28%	50%	14%	8%	26.8
		4	68%	12%	10%	8.0	11%	0%	18%	0%	4.4
		YTD	75%	21%	17%	4.8	10%	11%	13%	4%	10.6
Julio Jones	WR	1	76%	23%	19%	19.8	33%	0%	14%	20%	11.6
		2	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
		3	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
		4	30%	12%	4%	25.0	13%	0%	9%	0%	1.7
		YTD	23%	18%	5%	21.3	12%	0%	5%	14%	6.7
Cameron Brate	WR	1	79%	13%	11%	5.0	5%	0%	29%	0%	1.7
		2	68%	8%	6%	10.5	7%	0%	14%	0%	1.9
		3	86%	16%	15%	6.3	16%	0%	14%	33%	10.2
		4	37%	35%	13%	6.7	13%	25%	9%	29%	7.2
		YTD	65%	17%	12%	6.7	10%	11%	15%	22%	5.3
Cade Otton		1	14%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
		2	27%	20%	6%	5.5	4%	0%	0%	50%	1.4
		3	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
		4	58%	10%	6%	4.7	4%	0%	0%	0%	5.9
		YTD	27%	12%	3%	5.0	2%	0%	0%	20%	2.4

The Falcons allow the seventh-most non-overtime points to pass catchers this season (64.1), and the Buccaneers provide the second-best implied point total on the slate.

Tampa Bay is a nine-point favorite, so we could see more running late in the game, but Godwin’s utilization and the upside for TDs are enough to make him a low-end WR2 in Week 5.

Additional WR Notes & Movers:

The Bengals WRs have a choice matchup in a game that could get wild against the Ravens.
Mike Evans, like Godwin, is in a great spot against the Falcons.
DeVonta Smith could have a boom week for the same reasons we are excited about A.J. Brown from a matchup and game environment standpoint.
Marquise Brown gets a slight downgrade thanks to middling implied points and a tough matchup against the Eagles secondary.
Michael Pittman Jr. gets a downgrade in a matchup against a strong Denver secondary paired with a low implied point total.
Diontae Johnson faces the toughest secondary in the NFL with a rookie QB; the Steelers are 14-point dogs on the road, and Johnson falls from his normal Tier 2 status to Tier 3.
Amari Cooper is in a plus spot against in a game with a solid total and the seventh-best matchup; we have seen Cooper with some big target games already.
Gabe Davis is practicing in full, and the Bills have the highest implied total on the slate; this could be his week to come up with a big play against a secondary allowing 59.8 points to pass catchers in non-overtime.
Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel have a top-three matchup against a Titans secondary, allowing 70.0 points per game in non-overtime to pass catchers.

Tight end

PPR Pos Rnk	Tier	Pos Rnk	Player	Opp	Total	Spread	Implied Points	PPG
1	1	TE1	Travis Kelce	vs LV	51.5	-7.0	29.25	19.6
2	1	TE2	Mark Andrews	vs CIN	48.0	-3.5	25.75	17.1
3	2	TE3	Darren Waller	at KC	51.5	7.0	22.25	9.9
4	2	TE4	T.J. Hockenson	at NE	45.5	3.0	21.25	16.0
5	2	TE5	Zach Ertz	vs PHI	49.0	5.5	21.75	13.5
6	2	TE6	Dallas Goedert	at ARI	49.0	-5.5	27.25	11.5
7	2	TE7	Tyler Higbee	vs DAL	42.0	-5.5	23.75	12.6
8	2	TE8	George Kittle	at CAR	39.5	-6.5	23.00	5.6
10	3	TE10	Pat Freiermuth	at BUF	45.5	14.0	15.75	11.6
11	3	TE11	David Njoku	vs LAC	47.5	2.5	22.50	10.4
12	3	TE12	Gerald Everett	at CLE	47.5	-2.5	25.00	12.3
13	3	TE13	Dalton Schultz	at LAR	42.0	5.5	18.25	5.0
14	3	TE14	Tyler Conklin	vs MIA	45.0	3.5	20.75	11.6
15	4	TE15	Logan Thomas	vs TEN	43.0	1.5	20.75	7.4
16	4	TE16	Evan Engram	vs HOU	43.5	-7.0	25.25	6.2
17	4	TE17	Hunter Henry	vs DET	45.5	-3.0	24.25	2.3
18	5	TE18	Robert Tonyan	vs NYG	41.0	-8.0	24.50	7.4
19	5	TE19	Irv Smith Jr.	vs CHI	44.0	-7.5	25.75	6.3
20	5	TE20	O.J. Howard	at JAC	43.5	7.0	18.25	6.1
21	5	TE21	Hayden Hurst	at BAL	48.0	3.5	22.25	7.6
22	5	TE22	Mo Alie-Cox	at DEN	42.5	3.0	19.75	8.7
23	5	TE23	Will Dissly	at NO	45.5	4.5	20.50	10.4
24	5	TE24	Juwan Johnson	vs SEA	45.5	-4.5	25.00	5.2
25	5	TE25	Noah Fant	at NO	45.5	4.5	20.50	5.4
26	5	TE26	Daniel Bellinger	at GB	41.0	8.0	16.50	7.3
27	5	TE27	Austin Hooper	at WAS	43.0	-1.5	22.25	2.5
28	6	TE28	Taysom Hill	vs SEA	45.5	-4.5	25.00	8.3
29	6	TE29	Cole Kmet	at MIN	44.0	7.5	18.25	2.7
30	6	TE30	Isaiah Likely	vs CIN	48.0	-3.5	25.75	3.4
31	6	TE31	Mike Gesicki	at NYJ	45.0	-3.5	24.25	5.3
32	6	TE32	Eric Saubert	vs IND	42.5	-3.0	22.75	3.2
33	7	TE33	Cade Otton	vs ATL	46.5	-10.0	28.25	2.4
34	7	TE34	Kylen Granson	at DEN	42.5	3.0	19.75	5.4
35	7	TE35	Harrison Bryant	vs LAC	47.5	2.5	22.50	5.7
36	7	TE36	Trey McBride	vs DET	49.0	5.5	21.75	5.4
37	7	TE37	Quintin Morris	vs CAR	45.5	-14.0	29.75	1.9
38	7	TE38	Parker Hesse	at SEA	46.5	10.0	18.25	1.6
39	7	TE39	Jordan Akins	at CAR	43.5	7.0	18.25	8.7

Waller is running cold, but his route participation remains elite at 87% and 90% over the last two games.

Target competition is much higher with Davante Adams around, but Mack Hollins has been the biggest unforeseen obstacle. Since 2017, Hollins has been a 13% TPRR player, which means this passing attack likely remains a three-person funnel as the season moves on with Adams, Waller, and Hunter Renfrow.

The Raiders currently rank 10th in points per game (24) and eighth in regulation passing plays per game (41.5), which is enough to support multiple weapons.

Las Vegas is seven-point dogs and will need to score points to keep up with the Chiefs this weekend. Kansas City allows the most non-overtime fantasy points per game (75) to opposing pass catchers.

Waller is in a nice bounce-back spot as a high-end TE1 in Week 5.

Additional TE Notes & Movers:

Dallas Goedert’s route participation has been juicy; he is flush with a great scoring environment and matchup against the Cardinals.
Kyle Pitts’ route participation has come in below 70% in two consecutive games (68% and 60%), and the Bucs sport the second-best PFF coverage grade (83.9). He is a boom-bust low-end TE1.
David Njoku gets another nice matchup against the Chargers, who allow the fifth-most regulation-time fantasy points to pass catchers. Njoku has eclipsed the 80% route threshold in three consecutive games (82%, 82%, 82%).

Key

Total = Game total per BetMGM
Implied points = Team expected points based on game total and spread
Route participation = routes divided by team pass plays per PFF
LDD = long down and distance – third and fourth down with three or more yards to go per PFF
SDD = short down and distance – second, third and fourth down with two or fewer yards to go per PFF
TPRR = targets per route run
YPRR = yards per route run
Explosive rush rate = percentage of runs that go for 10-plus yards per PFF
Explosive target rate = percentage of targets that go for 15-plus yards per PFF
Regulation = excludes overtime
Injuries: Q = Questionable; D = Doubtful (typically removed from ranks on Saturday); GTD = game-time decision

Dwain McFarland