Quarterback can be a tricky position in fantasy football. Generally ignored early in drafts, the position annually offers late-round options with a significant chance of vastly outproducing their ADP. 

But identifying these profits is not an exact science. Those who leaned on the likes of Daniel Jones, Aaron Rodgers or Matthew Stafford last season did not reap the full benefit of loading up on skill positions early. Of course, those who left the draft room with Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert or Justin Fields didn't exactly enjoy life with their early-round picks, either. 

So what do we make of the QB position for 2024 fantasy football? Rather than doing the exact opposite of what didn't work out for us last year, let's look to Fantasy Life analysts Matthew Freedman, Ian Hartitz and Kendall Valenzuela for insight on which QBs they're higher on and lower on for 2024.

Which QB are you higher on than the market and why?

Jayden Daniels | Washington Commanders

Drafters have warmed to Daniels over the last month with his stock rising from QB18 to QB11 in early best-ball drafts. If he remains injury-free, he could easily secure a top-eight position in 2024.

Over his collegiate career, Daniels posted a 14% scramble rate and averaged 17% of the designed rushing attempts — both great signs for future rushing production. Particularly impressive were his final two seasons at LSU, in which Daniels maintained an enticing average of 90 yards per game.

Daniels didn't mature into a prolific passer until his fifth year but arrived in a big way when he averaged 318 yards and 3.3 TDs at LSU. The late breakout is a concern, but it also demonstrates his potential in the passing game. The Fantasy Life projection model assumes Daniels will struggle in year one as a passer, forecasting fewer than 3,400 yards and 20 TDs. However, the model loves his upside on the ground, suggesting he could push for 700-plus yards on 120-ish totes.

Since 2011, we have had 21 instances of a QB recording 100 or more rushing attempts while passing for fewer than 3,500 yards. That group averaged 20.3 fantasy points per game and finished with an average of QB8 in points per game. Only three failed to secure a top-12 finish.

— Dwain McFarland

Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers

Despite entering his fifth season in the league, Love has just 20 starts to his name (including playoffs), so there's room for improvement upon his performance from last year, when he passed for 4,159 yards and 32 TDs and added 50-247-4 rushing.

January 20, 2024; Santa Clara, CA, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) during the second quarter in a 2024 NFC divisional round game against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Additionally, all of his pass catchers (WRs Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks and Bo Melton and TEs Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft) are still on cheap contracts and in the ascension phase of their careers. Love and his receivers have the opportunity to advance together.

Finally, Love has one of the league's best and most consistent offensive schemers and play-callers in HC Matt LaFleur, whose unit was No. 4 last year in expected points added per play (0.091). If Love underperforms his draft position this year, he's unlikely to do so by much, but if he outperforms he could finish the season as a top-three fantasy producer.

— Matthew Freedman

Kyler Murray | Arizona Cardinals

Last season, I dubbed the Cardinals quarterback as a potentially valuable late pick in drafts, hoping his return from ACL surgery would come midseason and push us into fantasy championships. Unfortunately, his Week 10 return and beyond didn't yield the high expectations I had hoped for. But it did show a glimpse of what could be in 2024.

Murray had three weeks with top-10 fantasy finishes last season and now will be a full year removed from his injury and even more comfortable with head coach Jonathan Gannon and offensive coordinator Drew Petzing's offense.

To add even more fuel to the fire, the addition of wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. should open up this offense even more. He will join the team as the undisputed No. 1 receiver given his athleticism and explosiveness, plus he has the ability to elevate Murray. Last season, one of Murray's favorite targets was rookie tight end Trey McBride, who finished with 81 receptions on 106 targets for 825 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

I'm beyond optimistic about Murray this season. Not only do I think he will return to the top of his game, but the team assembled by Monti Ossenfort and Co. will help propel him to top fantasy finishes. 

— Kendall Valenzuela

Which QB are you lower on than the market and why? (I.E. a “Do Not Draft!” Player)

Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers

While Jim Harbaugh's winning ways might be a boon for the Chargers, his arrival could spell trouble for Justin Herbert's fantasy value. The last time Harbaugh was in the NFL was with the 49ers from 2011 to 2014. That team had a run-heavy approach, dropping back to pass only 54% of plays, well below the NFL average of 61%. The offensive coordinator for those teams was Greg Roman — who now reunites with Harbaugh in the same role.

One might be inclined to think this is different because Herbert is a better passer than Alex Smith and Colin Kaepernick. While that's fair, we have seen Harbaugh yank the emergency brake with an elite passer before. He opted to pound the rock 61% of plays in two seasons at Stanford with Andrew Luck.

Furthermore, the Chargers' offseason moves align with historical play-calling tendencies. While salary cap constraints were a factor, we can't ignore that the team jettisoned Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Austin Ekeler and Gerald Everett. Then they opted to pass on Malik Nabers to take Joe Alt with pick five in the NFL Draft.

Herbert projects as a bottom-10 QB in the Fantasy Life projection model, making him a name to avoid unless his price falls significantly.

— Dwain McFarland

Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals

Burrow will likely be fine in 2024, but his fantasy ceiling could be capped by a few factors.

He has never been much of a scrambler, and he might run even less this year after dealing with injuries (calf, wrist) most of last season. It would be a surprise if he approached the career-high five TDs rushing he had in 2022.

Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow makes a throw during OTAs on Tuesday, May 28, 2024, at the Kettering Health Practice Fields outside of Paycor Stadium.

The offense has experienced notable turnover this offseason, and WR Jermaine Burton, TEs Mike Gesicki and Erick All, RB Zack Moss and OTs Trent Brown and Amarius Mims — all new to the offense — might not integrate as smoothly into the system as the team expects.

And then there's HC Zac Taylor, who lost his top lieutenant (former OC Brian Callahan) this offseason and whose play-calling prowess has often left something to be desired.

Burrow's floor is solid because of his inherent talent and his connection with WRs Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, but his odds of having an elite fantasy season are diminished.

— Matthew Freedman

Tua Tagovailoa | Miami Dolphins

I know none of us are rushing to add Tua Tagovailoa to our fantasy teams, but with his QB13 ADP, I wanted to reestablish why other quarterbacks going around his range offer better upside.

Tagovailoa avoided injury in 2023, and fading a quarterback who has a top receiving duo in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle seems questionable. But for a fantasy quarterback to be truly successful, there needs to be high-end mobility and the opportunity to notch touchdowns week in and week out.

The Dolphins found the end zone on the ground 27 times last season, and while Tagovailoa threw for 29 with an incredible deep ball and accuracy, the rushing upside is limited. His 4,624 passing yards and 8.3 yards per attempt were impressive, but he averaged only 16.7 fantasy points. 

I think it's also important to point out that Tagovailoa's strongest fantasy weeks came at the hands of mediocre teams: the Chargers (QB1), Broncos (QB2), Panthers (QB3), Patriots (QB9) and Commanders (QB10). When facing challenging teams, Tagovailoa had just a QB15 finish at best. I'm drafting Maimi's receivers and running backs but avoiding their quarterback in 2024.

— Kendall Valenzuela

FL Mag

What is your bold prediction for the QB position in 2024?

Kyler Murray | Arizona Cardinals

Bold predictions are all about natural resources. Which players have the right mix of untapped potential lurking below the surface that could result in an eruption? 

At the QB position, rushing upside is the resource that can make fantasy box scores boom. However, it's a rare trait that most don't have — especially when narrowing your search to QBs with 4,000-yard passing upside. However, one player stands out when surveying the QB landscape after the top six names: Kyler Murray.

Murray's injury history is a concern, but he won't go inside the top 12 QBs in many leagues. Despite the injuries, Murray has provided an incredible floor per game: He has never finished outside of the top 12 since entering the league.

He also has a demonstrated ceiling. The former No. 1 NFL Draft pick finished as the QB3 with 24.9 points per game in 2020, with 822 rushing yards and 3,971 yards passing. Murray followed that up with 22.1 points per contest in 2021.

Now he's more than a season removed from a 2022 ACL injury, and the Cardinals added Marvin Harrison Jr. in the draft. With Harrison joining budding superstar TE Trey McBride, Murray could push for 3,800 yards passing and 550 yards rushing. Since 2011, QBs who have reached those milestones have averaged 23.5 fantasy points with a QB2 finish. 

Murray is the best QB value on the board in 2024 and will challenge for a top-three finish.

— Dwain McFarland

Jayden Daniels | Washington Commanders

If Dwain wouldn't have chosen to highlight Daniels as the QB he's high on, I would have. I love him as a 2024 fantasy option.

I have no idea if he'll be a good QB in reality. But for fantasy, he has what we want: The ability to produce with his legs (135-1,134-10 rushing last year) and the willingness to throw the ball deep (11.7 yards per attempt).

So here's my bold prediction: Daniels will finish as a top-five fantasy QB as a rookie. 

Jun 5, 2024; Ashburn, VA, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) passes a ball during an OTA workout at Commanders Park. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

His receiving weapons aren't great (WRs Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson and Luke McCaffrey, TEs Zach Ertz and Ben Sinnott and RB Austin Ekeler), but they're good enough for Daniels to be respectable as a passer. With his rushing ability, OC Kliff Kingsbury is likely to give him at least a few designed carries each game. And as a rookie, Daniels is likely to have an elevated scramble rate as he looks to make plays with his legs whenever he's pressured in the pocket.

As rookies, Cam Newton (25.9 points per game) and Robert Griffin (23.5) both started right away and finished No. 4 in fantasy scoring. Daniels' skill set is similar to theirs, and I believe he'll have comparable success in his first NFL season.

— Matthew Freedman

Anthony Richardson | Indianapolis Colts

The return of Anthony Richardson will bring a return to fantasy SUCCESS. All right, in fairness, "return" is really referring to only two games, but you get the point.

We saw flashes last year of just how good Richardson can be — he started just four games and completed two but notched top-four fantasy finishes twice and averaged 23.1 fantasy points per game. And of course how could we forget the rushing upside? In the four games, he had 25 rush attempts for 136 yards and four touchdowns.

Yes, the injuries are a concern. A season-ending shoulder surgery is less than ideal for a quarterback who was tagged as an "undeveloped passer," and his injuries begged the question as to whether coaches would change his style to protect himself. However, Richardson told reporters after the season he won't change his playing style, focusing more on understanding when to slide or go out of bounds going forward.   

I love Richardson's potential and I also love his surrounding cast. The receiver trio of Michael Pittman Jr., Josh Downs and Adonai Mitchell will help him develop, as will head coach Shane Steichen, who did wonders with the team even under tough circumstances in 2023. The rushing upside will return immediately and he will evolve as a passer to be a top fantasy quarterback this season.

— Kendall Valenzuela