Volume is king in fantasy football, and this report will help you understand which players are due more or less according to their roles. Based on historical data tied to metrics we know drive volume, it is a great way to understand who is over-performing (sell high) and underperforming (buy low).

  • Overall offense: Which teams are enabling winning volume and efficiency across game scripts
  • Quarterbacks: How involved is each QB in the running game, and who is unlocking upside for their weapons
  • Running backs: Which backs are handling early downs, short yardage, and passing downs
  • Tight ends: Who is running enough routes and meeting critical targets per route run (TPRR) thresholds
  • Receivers: Which receivers are in the most routes and operating broadly within the offense

1. Khalil Herbert asserted himself as the No. 1 back for Chicago.

After sharing the workload with Roschon Johnson over the last two games, Herbert surged to utilization highs in Week 4, and the fantasy points followed with 22.

This was the Bears' first game to build a lead, which might have contributed to the enhanced role for Herbert. Still, regardless of the game script, Herbert has led the Bears in snap share in three consecutive games. He has played 68% of the snaps in 2023 when the Bears are within three points.

Herbert also registered season-highs in passing-down situations with 73% of the LDD snaps and 50% of the two-minute offense. Johnson stole the lone rushing attempt inside the five-yard line, but Herbert dominated the SDD work with 88%.

The third-year RB hasn’t been quite as explosive as in previous years, but his yards after contact and missed tackles forced rank highly among the 35 backs with at least 30 attempts.

  • 10-plus yard attempts: 9.8% (18th)
  • Average yards after contact: 3.27 (8th)
  • Missed tackles forced per attempt: 31.7% (1st)

Herbert also has a 19% TPRR, which is borderline RB1-worthy based on data back to 2012. If he can hold onto more passing-down work, he might make unexpected noise as a receiver in 2023.

The third-year RB could still experience swings in value because, unlike 2022, the Bears are no longer a run-heavy offense. They are a neutral DBOE team.

Outlook: Herbert UPGRADES to low-end RB2 with upside status.

2. Jake Ferguson has TE1-worthy talent and SHOULD BE ON ROSTERS.

Ferguson’s 27% TPRR ranks No. 2 in the NFL for TEs that have run at least 80 routes. Who is in first place, you ask? Travis Kelce.

I don’t mean to be overdramatic, but I want your attention. Ferguson is currently the TE8, averaging 9.5 points per game, but with a more prominent role, he has top-six upside. 

In Week 4, Peyton Hendershot didn’t play for the Cowboys, opening the door to Ferguson’s biggest route participation day at 69%, and he delivered 15 points.

The TEs to reach at least a 70% route participation and a 24%-plus TPRR since 2011:

  • Darren Waller
  • Delanie Walker
  • George Kittle
  • Jimmy Graham
  • Jordan Reed
  • Mark Andrews
  • Rob Gronkowski
  • Travis Kelce
  • Zach Ertz

Ferguson remains available in 47% of Yahoo! leagues and is a PRIORITY waiver wire target this week. He should be rostered over names like Pat Freiermuth, Hunter Henry, Tyler Higbee and Chig Okonkwo.

FAAB Recommendation: 20 to 30%

Outlook: Ferguson UPGRADES to low-end TE1 status and offers a top-six upside with more involvement.

3. Is Romeo Doubs turning into a high-end target earner?

Doubs leads the Packers with a 25% target share despite starting the season at less than 100% due to a hamstring injury. In three of four games, he has reached a 25% TPRR or better, and in Week 4, he tallied a career-high 35% while accounting for 38% of Green Bay’s targets.

The second-year WR flashed WR3-worthy target-earning ability as a rookie with a 21% TPRR, but the rest of his data profile was questionable, including his 62.0 PFF receiving grade. That hasn’t been the case in Year 2. His 1.75 YPRR is WR3-worthy, and his 75.8 PFF receiving grade is at a WR2 level.

The Packers didn’t get Christian Watson back until Week 4, and he only played on 48% of the passing plays. As Watson returns to health, Doubs could regress with more competition, especially with the emergence of rookie Jayden Reed with a 22% TPRR.

Despite those concerns, it is hard not to notice Doubs’ chemistry with Jordan Love. There is a chance he will be the Packers' No. 1 in 2023. In four contests, the second-year WR has delivered WR13, WR70, WR16, and WR10 finishes. 

Doubs is available in 46% of Yahoo! leagues and is our waiver wire add of the week in 10-team leagues or smaller.

FAAB Recommendation: 20 to 30%

Outlook: Doubs UPGRADES to high-end WR3 status and will move into WR2 territory if his target shares withstand Watson in a full-time role.

4. Alvin Kamara returned to action and DOMINATED the backfield.

The Saints only managed 197 yards of total offense, with Derek Carr playing through his shoulder injury against the Buccaneers. However, that didn’t stop Kamara from tallying 21 fantasy points and a top-12 finish in his first start of the season.

The veteran RB registered near bell-cow utilization, handling 75% of the snaps.

We could see Jamaal Williams eat into the short-yardage work upon return from IR, but Kamara looks like the clear-cut No. 1 moving forward and should continue to dominate passing downs at a minimum.

The more significant issue here is Carr’s health. While the 37% target share on checkdowns was excellent, we need the signal caller healthy to enable TD upside.

Outlook: Kamara is a high-end RB2 with RB1 upside once Carr returns to health.

5. The time to buy Dameon Pierce is right now.

Pierce bombed in the first two games with back-to-back RB37 finishes, but since then he delivered RB13 and RB15 totals. While he hasn’t earned the passing-down reps we saw him garner in the preseason, in three out of four games, he has registered 17-plus opportunities when combining rushing attempts and targets.

Pierce is still a central figure in the Texans offense that is playing at a much higher level than expected, with C.J. Stroud averaging 303 passing yards per game. Houston ranks 15th in scoring with 24 points per game. Last year, they ranked 30th at 17 points per game.

The Texans' ground game could have been more efficient, with multiple starting offensive linemen missing time. However, the team could get back tackles Laremy Tunsil and Tytus Howard as soon as Week 5 and second-round guard Juice Scruggs could return from IR in Week 6.

Dameon Pierce

Sep 10, 2023; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Houston Texans running back Dameon Pierce (31) carries the ball past Baltimore Ravens defensive tackle Michael Pierce (58) during the second half at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

A back getting somewhere between 17 and 25 opportunities in a mid-range scoring offense with a good offensive line could offer a high-end RB2 upside even without passing-down duties, which makes Pierce a great buy-low candidate.

Outlook: Pierce UPGRADES to low-end RB2 status and could quickly ascend to high-end RB2 territory as the offensive line gets healthy.

6. It is officially D’Andre Swift SZN.

Many already thought this last week, but it was hard to give my stamp of approval given the backs rotated snaps each quarter. However, that wasn’t the case in Week 4, with Swift creating a significant gap in utilization between himself and Kenneth Gainwell.

Gainwell remained involved in the passing attack, handling the majority of the two-minute offense, but Swift played most of the LDD snaps and dominated short yardage. Jalen Hurts will continue to steal rushing TDs inside the five-yard line, but the team gave Swift the lone opportunity in Week 4.

Swift’s role is perfect, but he is playing well and resides on an offense ranked fourth in drives converted to scores at 51%.

Outlook: Swift UPGRADES to high-end RB2 status.

7. The Lions LOVE David Montgomery AND Jahmyr Gibbs is a BUY LOW.

Montgomery has bogarted 77% and 70% of the snaps, along with 64% and 76% of the rushing attempts in two healthy games.

The free-agent addition is their hammer, and the Lions are more committed to the run than ever with their near league-leading -7% DBOE.

You have a steal if you drafted Montgomery in Round 7 of drafts. The veteran RB has delivered three top-24 finishes in three games and is a mid-range RB2 with upside in the Lions offense.

While Montgomery is the clear lead back right now in Detroit, we still shouldn’t dismiss Gibbs. His utilization has been frustrating, given that the Lions dished out a top-12 pick to get him. However, the rookie’s underlying data points tell us he is an uber-talented back who could shine in more competitive game scripts.

Thanks to his elite target-earning skills, Gibbs’ closest comps in our RB Rookie Super Model were Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara. Those skills have translated to the NFL with an eye-popping 28% TPRR — superstar material.

We shouldn’t expect the rookie to take over for Montgomery suddenly, but he offers a lot of outs in a long season. His talent could help him secure more playing time on passing downs, or an injury could open the door for a more significant role.

Outlook: Montgomery UPGRADES to mid-range RB2 status and will have RB1 spike weeks. Gibbs DOWNGRADES to an upside RB3 who should offer RB2 upside in more competitive game scripts.

8. Isiah Pacheco UPGRADES to mid-range RB2 status.

Excluding the fourth quarter from the Week 3 blowout against the Bears, Pacheco has accounted for 63%, 63% and 65% of the Chiefs rushing attempts over the last three games. In that span, he delivered RB26, RB11 and RB6 finishes.

Most of the LDD and two-minute offense work goes to Jerick McKinnon, but Pacheco has been active out of the backfield on base downs. His 17% TPRR (RB3-worthy) is way up from his 9% as a rookie, which might be a symptom of the lack of options in the passing attack behind Kelce. 

Only Rashee Rice and Kadarius Toney offer strong target-earning ability, and they aren’t on the field over half the time. Pacheco has the third-best receiving grade on the team (70.4), behind only Kelce and Rice, per PFF.

Outlook: Pacheco upgrades to mid-range RB2 status.

9. Dalton Kincaid is a BUY-LOW TE, but don’t get carried away.

Let me start by saying I can’t tell you with any certainty that Kincaid is taking over the Bills TE position. However, I can tell you that if we wait until we know for sure, the buy-low window will be over.

In Week 4, Kincaid’s utilization separated from Dawson Knox for the first time this season with a 79% versus 48% route participation.

While the Week 4 data is nice, what is more encouraging is the underlying utilization within personnel groups. 

The Bills use 11 or 12 personnel on 80% of snaps. Early in the season, Kincaid depended on the team using two-TE (12) personnel, where he had nearly 100% route participation. However, his usage in 11 personnel has slowly trended up and exploded in Week 4.

Bills TE route participation in 11 personnel by week:

  • Knox: 63%, 59%, 57%, 29%
  • Kincaid: 38%, 41%, 43%, 71%

If this is a permanent switch, Kincaid will push for 30 to 35 routes per game in competitive scripts, putting him squarely back in the TE1 conversation if he can garner more targets. His 15% TPRR is not TE1 material right now, but if he can approach his collegiate average of 21%, it would be a very profitable fantasy situation. However, that isn’t a given, making the range of outcomes on the rookie very wide.

Kincaid Realistic Range of Outcomes:

  • Floor: 60% route participation with 15-16% TPRR = free agent TE (6.8 PPG)
  • Median: 70% route participation with 17-18% TPRR = mid-range TE2 (8.8 PPG)
  • Ceiling: 80% route participation with 20-21% TPRR = mid-range TE1 (11.8 PPG)

Now you can see why we don’t want to get carried away in our quest to obtain Kincaid. Two of these outcomes don’t help our fantasy teams. However, the ceiling outcome is realistic and would make him an option we would start over most guys except the elites. It is also notable that Kincaid’s career-high TPRR in college was 25%, so there is a little more room in that ceiling case if you catch lightning in a bottle.

Outlook: Kincaid is a mid-range TE2 right now, but if his recent bump in utilization sticks, he could morph into a mid-range TE1.

10. Jaleel McLaughlin might be the RB to own if Javonte Williams is out.

Williams suffered a hip flexor injury on Sunday on the third drive and could not return to action. The team insists Williams won’t miss much time, but our friendly neighborhood Twitter docs see things differently.

McLaughlin has been a Sean Payton favorite, and the rookie has earned more snaps over the last three weeks.

After Williams departed in Week 4, Samaje Perine led the team in snaps (56%), but McLaughlin led in attempts (46%) and route participation (43%). The rookie posted 19 fantasy points in the limited role and has more juice than Perine.

The sample size is small (13 attempts), but the rookie leads the Broncos in every rushing efficiency data point.

  • 10-plus yard attempts: McLaughlin 23%, Perine 17%
  • Average yards after contact: McLaughlin 5.0, Perine 2.0
  • Missed tackles forced: McLaughlin 54%, Perine 6%

These numbers will all come down with more touches, but the rookie reinforces coach Payton’s belief in him with each opportunity. McLaughlin could lead the team in touches while Williams recovers and offers the big-play ability that can offset a limited workload.

FAAB Recommendation: 5 to 10%

Outlook: McLaughlin is an RB3 with upside while Williams is out and is an RB5 stash after he returns.

Utilization Bytes:

QB

  • Joshua Dobbs: At this point, we have to give Dobbs credit. The Cardinals have been competitive in every game — including matchups against the Cowboys and 49ers vaunted defenses. The veteran signal-caller ranks fifth in designed rush rate (17%) for QBs with at least 100 snaps on the season and has QB8, QB16 and QB9 finishes over his last three contests. Dobbs is a streamable dual-threat option with QB1 upside until Kyler Murray returns — he has matchups against the Bengals, Rams and Seahawks on tap.
  • Lamar Jackson: Jackson has back-to-back top-three QB finishes, and Todd Monken has upped his utilization in the ground attack since Week 1. Jackson now sits at 21% of the Ravens' designed rush attempts and has a 12% scramble rate. Those two data points rank third and first in the NFL. Lamar is doing Lamar things on the ground, but the promise of a new high-flying passing attack hasn’t materialized yet, with the Ravens sitting at a -4% DBOE. Jackson is a top-five QB option the rest of the way and could still challenge for the QB1 overall spot if Baltimore’s passing game takes flight as the team gets healthy.
  • Justin Fields: Fields was a BUY-LOW candidate in the Utilization Report last weekend thanks to his rushing prowess, but he exploded via the air with his first 300-yard passing game by toasting the Broncos for 335 yards and four TDs. No, he won’t get to play Denver every week, but his fourth-ranked designed rush rate (17%) and third-ranked scramble rate (9%) are elite. Despite the Bears’ 0-4 start in real-life football, Fields is a mid-range QB1 with slate-breaking upside in fantasy.
  • Joe Burrow: Burrow practiced in full last week, so the practice reps should start to pay off at some point soon. However, until we see it, it is hard to trust the superstar pocket passer. Burrow fell flat against a terrible Titans pass defense, gaining only 165 yards passing and zero TDs. He averages 182 yards and 0.5 TDs per game despite the Bengals' willingness to pass. Burrow DOWNGRADES to mid-range QB2 status but has merit as a BUY-LOW option.
  • Russell Wilson: Wilson has thrown for 300-plus yards or multiple TDs in every game this season and is PFF’s 8th-graded passer and ranks fourth in big-time throw rate (6.3%). Wilson UPGRADES to high-end QB2 status.
  • C.J. Stroud: Stroud is averaging 303 yards and 1.5 TDs per game. The rookie has three top-12 finishes over the last three games and is grooving with Nico Collins and Tank Dell. The Texans might have hit a home run with the No. 2 overall pick in the NFL draft. Stroud UPGRADES to high-end QB2 status.
  • Anthony Richardson: The rookie QB handled 25% of the team's designed rush attempts in Week 4 and scrambled on 10% of dropbacks. His accuracy issues surfaced with a 44% completion rate, but his elite role on the ground fueled him to 28 fantasy points. Richardson UPGRADES to a mid-range QB1.
  • Matthew Stafford: Stafford has eclipsed 300 yards passing in three of four games but only has three TD passes. He could get Cooper Kupp back as soon as Week 5, and given the emergence of Puka Nacua, Kyren Williams and Tutu Atwell, the Rams could have one of the better offenses in the NFL, and passing TDs could soon follow. Stafford UPGRADES to high-end QB2 status despite some tough matchups on the horizon.

RB

  • Tyler Allgeier: That RB4 finish in Week 1 seems like decades ago. Allgeier has RB42, RB41 and RB55 finishes in less cooperative game scripts. He remains involved in the rushing attack, but his role has diminished from 58% of attempts to 33%. The second-year back could still pop in close or leading scripts, but DOWNGRADES to RB4 territory.
  • Gus Edwards: Edwards played 71% of the snaps and accounted for 50% of the rushing attempts in Week 4. He also registered a surprising 67% route participation with a 12% target share. Unfortunately, he wasn’t able to convert those opportunities into fantasy points. Justice Hill (toe) returned to action but wasn’t 100% and could regain some of the workload as he gets healthy. Keaton Mitchell is also eligible to return in Week 4, making it hard to get excited about Edwards’ spike in utilization. Edwards would move into RB2 territory if this utilization holds in Week 5, but he remains an RB4 for now.
  • James Cook: Cook handled all of the work inside the 10-yard line for the first time in 2023 and scored a TD. However, his role in the passing game decreased, registering a season-low 31% route participation, with most LDD work migrating to Latavius Murray. LDD snaps are the least valuable of the passing-down snaps, so in a vacuum, this role trade-off should be a net positive for Cook if it holds. The Bills didn’t use the two-minute offense thanks to blowout conditions, but if Cook loses that work to Murray, it would offset any gains. Cook remains a mid-range RB2 option, but he morphs into an RB1 if he holds onto the high-leverage scoring snaps plus the two-minute role.
  • Miles Sanders: Sanders battled through a groin injury to suit up on Sunday and registered season-lows in snaps (43%), attempts (46%) and route participation (33%). Chuba Hubbard took over a more significant role, but we shouldn’t expect it to continue once Sanders is at full strength. Sanders is a volume-dependent low-end RB2 thanks to the Panthers' struggling offense.
  • Jerome Ford: Once again, Ford didn’t reach 50% of the rushing attempts for the Browns. He remained active in the receiving game with 63% route participation and a 22% TPRR, which saved his day. The second-year back’s improvement in the passing attack is a big positive that could unlock RB1 upside in the coming weeks. Ford remains a mid-range RB2.
  • Deuce Vaughn: The rookie saw season-highs in snaps (29%) and rushing attempts (24%), with Rico Dowdle suffering a hip injury. If Dowdle is out, Vaughn could handle the No. 2 duties behind Tony Pollard. However, the team could call up Malik Davis from the practice squad. Vaughn is an RB6 stash option in large leagues.
  • Josh Jacobs: The utilization has been there for the 25-year-old back, but fantasy points were hard to come by until his 28-point explosion in Week 4. Jacobs has a 27% target share in both games where the Raiders were hurting at WR. He still needs to get things going in the efficiency department, but Jacobs remains a low-end RB1.
  • De’Von Achane: Achane was the No. 1 RB for the Dolphins in Week 4, accounting for 66% of snaps and 42% of the attempts. He also had a 68% route participation and a 15% target share. Raheem Mostert held a slight lead in the first half before fumbling, but this looks like a split backfield moving forward, and Achane might have the slight lead. Achane is a mid-range RB2 with RB1 spike potential.
  • Jeff Wilson Jr: Wilson is eligible to return in Week 5, but his role in the offense is unknown with the emergence of Achane and the hot start for Mostert. Wilson is an RB6 stash in deep leagues.
  • Cam Akers: Akers almost doubled the role we saw for Ty Chandler in previous weeks. The veteran RB handled 32% of the snaps, 22% of rushing attempts and was in a route on 33% of pass plays. He is still clearly behind Alexander Mattison, but the door is open to carve out more work, and this was a positive first step. Akers is a stash RB5.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson: All of the rumors about a larger role for Ezekiel Elliott didn’t materialize. Stevenson remained the clear leader of the Patriots backfield with a 64% snap share and 67% of the attempts. Unfortunately, New England’s offense has been dreadful, and the third-year RB ranks 20th out of 29 in PFF run grade (minimum 30 attempts). Last season, in tough rushing outings, Stevenson managers could rely on his passing-down ability, but his 15% TPRR is well down from his 26% in 2022. Stevenson DOWNGRADES to mid-range RB2 status.

WR

  • Marquise Brown: Brown has WR21, WR18 and WR13 finishes over the last three contests. Dobbs is playing above expectations, and Brown is a borderline target hog, ranking 15th in target share at 27%. Brown averages 14.5 PPG and UPGRADES to low-end WR2 status.
  • Michael Wilson: Wilson flashed in the Week 4 box score with 27 points, thanks to two TD grabs. He is worthy of a small FAAB bid in smaller leagues, but his playing time and target-earning ability are still concerns. He hasn’t cleared 80% route participation since Week 1, and his 17% TPRR grades out as a WR6. However, his big performance could earn him more playing time moving forward. Wilson is a WR6 stash.
  • Drake London: London was a target monster as a rookie, garnering a 27% TPRR. However, things haven’t been the same early in 2023 with Desmond Ridder at QB. London currently sits at a 17% TPRR and a 20% target share, which isn’t enough in a run-first offense where up to 50% of his targets could be uncatchable in any game. London is likely still London underneath all this, but it is hard to imagine much upside unless the team makes a QB change. London DOWNGRADES to low-end WR4 status.
  • Adam Thielen: Thielen has 29%, 26% and 28% target shares over the last three games. Despite the struggles of Bryce Young, Thielen has two top-24 finishes with the rookie under center. Thielen UPGRADES for the second week in a row and is now a low-end WR2 and a nice SELL-HIGH option.
  • Tyler Boyd: Boyd registered a season-high 24% TPRR, with Tee Higgins leaving the game with a rib injury that could sideline him in the coming weeks. Over the last three seasons, Boyd has a 21% target share and a 27% TPRR when on the field with Ja’Marr Chase but without Higgins. Boyd UPGRADES to mid-range WR4 status but would be in the WR3 conversation while Higgins is out if the Bengals' passing game was clicking.
  • Marvin Mims: Mims saw a season-high 39% route participation in Week 4 against the Bears. While that isn’t the breakout utilization we hoped for, it is a step in the right direction. The rookie WR leads the Broncos in TPRR (28%) and YPRR (6.21). Mims remains a WR6 stash with BIG UPSIDE should the role expand.
  • Nico Collins: The third-year player is the WR7 in fantasy football after a 36-point eruption game in Week 4. He already had a 28-point game to his name in Week 2. While Tank Dell will have his games, Stroud might be good enough to support both Texans' WRs in more games than not. Collins ranks No. 16 in targets with 32 and UPGRADES to low-end WR2 status.
  • Calvin Ridley: Ridley’s target share has fallen to 19%, third on the team behind Christian Kirk (24%) and Evan Engram (21%). While WRs can’t post outstanding target shares every week, and we don’t want to overreact, a three-week trend is worth noting. Ridley is the WR34 in fantasy and DOWNGRADES to low-end WR2 status.
  • Christian Kirk: Kirk leads the Jaguars with a 24% target share and has finishes of WR12, WR24 and Wfinishes R14 over the last three games. In games without Zay Jones, his route participation has increased to 91% and 97%. Kirk UPGRADES to low-end WR2 territory.
  • Rashee Rice: The rookie is the second-best receiving option behind Travis Kelce on the Chiefs. His 2.50 YPRR is No. 1 on the team, and his 77.0 PFF receiving grade ranks No. 2. Only Kadarius Toney (33%) has a higher TPRR than Rice’s 32%. Rice’s route participation is up to 51% and 47% over the last two games, with Richie James sidelined. He can’t enter lineups yet, but he is one of the best stash options in fantasy. Rice is a MUST-ROSTER UPSIDE WR6.
  • Joshua Palmer: Palmer delivered a top-36 finish in his first game as a starter. He led the team with a 35% target share and surprisingly accounted for 50% of the air yards with a 17.9 aDOT. Typically, WRs own their aDOT, and Palmer hasn’t been a downfield target, so it will be surprising if this development sticks. However, if it does, it provides the third-year WR with more big-game potential. Palmer UPGRADES to high-end WR4 status.
  • Quentin Johnston: Johnston saw a season-high 71% route participation. He didn’t deliver in the box score but still ranks second on the active roster with an 18% TPRR, and he could see an increased workload after the team’s bye in Week 5. Johnston is a boom-bust WR4 that many managers dropped after Week 4 — he is available in 54% of leagues.
  • Jordan Addison: The rookie blanked in the boxscore, but his role was unchanged. This was a rough outing for the Vikings offense that played a historically low amount of plays. Addison remains a WR4 with upside.
  • Garrett Wilson: The Jets registered their first positive DBOE of the season against the Chiefs at plus 6%, which opened the door for 39 pass attempts by Zach Wilson. The second-year WR ranks sixth in the NFL with a 31% target share and averages 9.3 looks per game in three starts with Zach. Wilson UPGRADES to mid-range WR3 status. 

TE

  • Zach Ertz: The veteran TE has target shares of 33%, 29%, 10% and 24% to start the season. He is the clear No. 2 behind Brown in a passing attack that is pretty consolidated. Ertz is available in 74% of Yahoo! leagues and is the TE10 on the season. He is a high-floor, low-end TE1 option.
  • Jonnu Smith: On average, the Falcons utilize 12 personnel (two TEs) on 42% of plays — one of the highest marks in the NFL. However, he still hasn’t reached 75% route participation in a game, and the team is a run-first offense with a -7% DBOE. Smith is tied with Kyle Pitts for third on the team in target share at 18%, but it is hard to imagine many more top-five finishes like Week 4 when he delivered 16 points. Smith is a mid-range TE2 without much upside and is only a minimum bid option on waivers.
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